The collapse of rock masses in fault-developed zones poses significant safety challenges during the excavation of high-stress underground caverns. This study investigates the spatiotemporal evolution of the collapse m...The collapse of rock masses in fault-developed zones poses significant safety challenges during the excavation of high-stress underground caverns. This study investigates the spatiotemporal evolution of the collapse mechanisms of the cavern in the Yebatan Hydropower Station through using microseismic (MS) monitoring and displacement measurements. We developed a multi-parameter deformation early warning model that integrates three critical indicators: deformation rate, rate increment, and tangential angle of the deformation time curve. The results of the early warning model show a significant and abrupt increase in the deformation of the rock mass during the collapse process. The safety and stability of the local cavern in the face of excavation-induced disturbances are meticulously assessed utilizing MS data. Spatiotemporal analysis of the MS monitoring indicates a high frequency of MS events during the blasting phase, with a notable clustering of these events in the vicinity of the fault. These research results provide a valuable reference for risk warnings and stability assessments in the fault development zones of analogous caverns.展开更多
In order to improve the survivability of the aircraft,conceptual design and radar cross section（RCS） performance research are done. The CATIA software is used to design the 3D digital model of the shipborne early wa...In order to improve the survivability of the aircraft,conceptual design and radar cross section（RCS） performance research are done. The CATIA software is used to design the 3D digital model of the shipborne early warning aircraft, and some measures are taken to reduce the RCS characteristics of the early warning aircraft at the same time. Based on the physical optics method and the equivalent electromagnetic flow method,the aircraft＇s RCS characteristics and strength distribution characteristics are simulated numerically, and compared with the foreign advanced shipborne early warning aircraft. The simulation results show that under the X radar band, when the incident wave pitching angle is 0？, compared with the foreign advanced shipborne early warning aircraft, the forward RCS average value of the conceptual shipborne early warning aircraft is reduced to 24.49%, the lateral RCS average value is reduced to 5.04%, and the backward RCS average value is reduced to 39.26%. The research results of this paper are expected to provide theoretical basis and technical support for the conceptual design and the stealth design of the shipborne early warning aircraft.展开更多
After reviewing current researches on early warning, it is found that “bad”data of some systems is not easy to obtain, which makes methods proposed by these researches unsuitable for monitored systems. An interactiv...After reviewing current researches on early warning, it is found that “bad”data of some systems is not easy to obtain, which makes methods proposed by these researches unsuitable for monitored systems. An interactive early warning technique based on SVDD （support vector data description） is proposed to adopt “good” data as samples to overcome the difficulty in obtaining the “bad” data. The process consists of two parts： （1） A hypersphere is fitted on “good” data using SVDD. If the data object are outside the hypersphere, it would be taken as “suspicious”; （2） A group of experts would decide whether the suspicious data is “bad” or “good”, early warning messages would be issued according to the decisions. And the detailed process of implementation is proposed. At last, an experiment based on data of a macroeconomic system is conducted to verify the proposed technique.展开更多
Main lobe jamming seriously affects the detection performance of airborne early warning radar.The joint processing of polarization-space has become an effective way to suppress the main lobe jamming.To avoid the main ...Main lobe jamming seriously affects the detection performance of airborne early warning radar.The joint processing of polarization-space has become an effective way to suppress the main lobe jamming.To avoid the main beam distortion and wave crest migration caused by the main lobe jamming in adaptive beamforming,a joint optimization algorithm based on adaptive polarization canceller(APC)and stochastic variance reduction gradient descent(SVRGD)is proposed.First,the polarization plane array structure and receiving signal model based on primary and auxiliary array cancellation are established,and an APC iterative algorithm model is constructed to calculate the optimal weight vector of the auxiliary channel.Second,based on the stochastic gradient descent principle,the variance reduction method is introduced to modify the gradient through internal and external iteration to reduce the variance of the stochastic gradient estimation,the airspace optimal weight vector is calculated and the equivalent weight vector is introduced to measure the beamforming effect.Third,by setting up a planar polarization array simulation scene,the performance of the algorithm against the interference of the main lobe and the side lobe is analyzed,and the effectiveness of the algorithm is verified under the condition of short snapshot number and certain signal to interference plus noise ratio.展开更多
A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and...A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and then each search bar was tracked using Kalman filter between frames. The lane detection performance was evaluated and demonstrated in ways of receiver operating characteristic, dice similarity coefficient and real-time performance. For lane departure detection, a lane departure risk evaluation model based on lasting time and frequency was effectively executed on the ARM-based platform. Experimental results indicate that the algorithm generates satisfactory lane detection results under different traffic and lighting conditions, and the proposed warning mechanism sends effective warning signals, avoiding most false warning.展开更多
In view of the cumbersome and often untimely process of manual collection and observation of frozen soil data parameters,and the damage caused to dams by frost heaving of frozen soil,a remote monitoring and an early w...In view of the cumbersome and often untimely process of manual collection and observation of frozen soil data parameters,and the damage caused to dams by frost heaving of frozen soil,a remote monitoring and an early warning model for frozen soil in dam areas was presented.The Pt100 temperature sensors and JM seam gauges were used as measurement tools in the system.The sensor layout was designed,based on the actual situation in the monitoring area.A 4G network was used for wireless transmission to monitor frozen soil data in real time.BP neural network was used to predict the parameters of frozen soil.After analysis,four factors including the average temperature of frozen soil,the type of frozen soil,the artificial upper limit of frozen soil and the building construction time were selected to establish an early warning model using fuzzy reasoning.The experimental results showed that the early warning model could reflect the influence on dam buildings of frost heaving and sinking of frozen soil,and provided technical support for predicting the hazard level.展开更多
As one of the provinces of highest economic growth in coastal China,Zhejiang Province is experiencing serious geological disasters during the past development of economy.The main kinds of geo-hazards include landslide...As one of the provinces of highest economic growth in coastal China,Zhejiang Province is experiencing serious geological disasters during the past development of economy.The main kinds of geo-hazards include landslides,rock falls and debris-flows in Zhejiang Province,which are mainly induced by intensive rainfall during typhoon season or by long-term rainfall from May to June every year.Thus,展开更多
With the continuous expansion of deep underground engineering and the growing demand for safety monitoring,microseismic monitoring has become a core method for early warning of rock mass fracture and engineering stabi...With the continuous expansion of deep underground engineering and the growing demand for safety monitoring,microseismic monitoring has become a core method for early warning of rock mass fracture and engineering stability assessment.To address problems in existing methods,such as low data processing efficiency and poor phase recognition accuracy under low signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)conditions in complex geological environments,this study proposes an intelligent phase picking model based on ResUNet.The model integrates the residual learning mechanism of ResNet with the multi-scale feature extraction capability of UNet,effectively mitigating the vanishing gradient problem in deep networks.It also achieves cross-layer fusion of shallow detail features and deep semantic features through skip connections in the encoder-decoder structure.Compared with traditional short-time average/long-time average(STA/LTA)algorithms and advanced neural network models such as PhaseNet and EQTransformer,ResUNet shows superior performance in picking P-and S-wave phases.The model was trained on 400000 labeled microseismic signals from the Stanford earthquake dataset(STEAD)and was successfully applied to the Shizhuyuan polymetallic mine in Hunan Province,China.The results demonstrate that ResUNet achieves high picking accuracy and robustness in complex geological conditions,offering reliable technical support for early warning of disasters such as rockburst in deep underground engineering.展开更多
Metal mineral resources play an indispensable role in the development of the national economy.Dynamic disasters in underground metal mines seriously threaten mining safety,which are major scientific and technological ...Metal mineral resources play an indispensable role in the development of the national economy.Dynamic disasters in underground metal mines seriously threaten mining safety,which are major scientific and technological problems to be solved urgently.In this article,the occurrence status and grand challenges of some typical dynamic disasters involving roof falling,spalling,collapse,large deformation,rockburst,surface subsidence,and water inrush in metal mines in China are systematically presented,the characteristics of mining-induced dynamic disasters are analyzed,the examples of dynamic disasters occurring in some metal mines in China are summarized,the occurrence mechanism,monitoring and early warning methods,and prevention and control techniques of these disasters are highlighted,and some new opinions,suggestions,and solutions are proposed simultaneously.Moreover,some shortcomings in current disaster research are pointed out,and the direction of efforts to improve the prevention and control level of dynamic disasters in China’s metal mines in the future is prospected.The integration of forward-looking key innovative theories and technologies in the abovementioned aspects will greatly enhance the cognitive level of disaster prevention and mitigation in China’s metal mining industry and achieve a significant shift from passive disaster relief to active disaster prevention.展开更多
Microseismic monitoring technology has become an important technique to assess stability of rock mass in metal mines.Due to the special characteristics of underground metal mines in China,including the high tectonic s...Microseismic monitoring technology has become an important technique to assess stability of rock mass in metal mines.Due to the special characteristics of underground metal mines in China,including the high tectonic stress,irregular shape and existence of ore body,and complex mining methods,the application of microseismic technology is more diverse in China compared to other countries,and is more challenging than in other underground structures such as tunnels,hydropower stations and coal mines.Apart from assessing rock mass stability and ground pressure hazards induced by mining process,blasting,water inrush and large scale goaf,microseismic technology is also used to monitor illegal mining,and track personnel location during rescue work.Moreover,microseismic data have been used to optimize mining parameters in some metal mines.The technology is increasingly used to investigate cracking mechanism in the design of rock mass supports.In this paper,the application,research development and related achievements of microseismic technology in underground metal mines in China are summarized.By considering underground mines from the perspective of informatization,automation and intelligentization,future studies should focus on intelligent microseismic data processing method,e.g.,signal identification of microseismic and precise location algorithm,and on the research and development of microseismic equipment.In addition,integrated monitoring and collaborative analysis for rock mass response caused by mining disturbance will have good prospects for future development.展开更多
Coal mine belt fire develops very rapidly and is difficult to control. If not suppressed quickly, a belt fire could easily lead to airflow disorder and undermine the ventilation system. However, belt fire can be preve...Coal mine belt fire develops very rapidly and is difficult to control. If not suppressed quickly, a belt fire could easily lead to airflow disorder and undermine the ventilation system. However, belt fire can be prevented effectively by establishing fire airflow control system. In this work, the 5th belt roadway of Kongzhuang coal mine was taken as the object of investigation, where geometrical models of this roadway were established firstly. Then, based on mathematical model of fire smoke flow, the CO volume fraction, smoke density distribution, air temperature and pollutant velocity vector in the roadway before and after taking airflow control measures were simulated by using Fluent software. It can be known from the simulation that with the normal ventilation status in 5th belt roadway, the countercurrent of smoke does not happen when a fire occurs; the roadway's section is almost filled with CO at 10 m downstream from the fire source, and with air velocity getting stable gradually, the CO concentration reaches about 15 %. After taking airflow control measures, the effect range of temperature field which are harmful to the miners decreases from 69 m to 30 m; and the distance of the roadway fully filled with CO is 5 m farther than that before taking measures. Finally, according to the numerical simulation results and the actual condition of the belt roadway, the warning and automatic remote airflow control system with short-circuit method for the 5th belt roadway was designed to guarantee the safety production.展开更多
The missile-tracked priority assessment for the early warning system monitoring multi-missile very well, is the first task to defend them and useful to perform optimally the sensor-to-missile assignment. The problem o...The missile-tracked priority assessment for the early warning system monitoring multi-missile very well, is the first task to defend them and useful to perform optimally the sensor-to-missile assignment. The problem of the missile-tracked priority assessment is of incomplete information, of multi-attribute and dynamic. To solve the dificult problem, the index system, which includes six classification indices, is established by means of reducing the target＇s primary information which the early warning system focuses on. The lack of some attributes values, which is caused by the incomplete information, is handled by the approach： first classifying each attribute as unknown one or known one, and then subdividing the latter, last using the expectation and the information entropy if the attribute is known but uncertain. With a view of reality, nine qualitative evaluation criteria are given. Based on them each index is quantified by the eigenvector method. And then based on the improved technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution （TOPSIS）, the targets-tracked priorities are assessed and sorted by an evaluation function from three aspects： 1） the quantity of the available information, 2） the affirmative or accurate degree of the available information, 3） the classification or trait of the available information.展开更多
基金Projects(52209132, 52309156) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(BK20251905) supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China+2 种基金Project(252102320037) supported by the Henan Province Science and Technology Research,ChinaProject(CKWV20231173/KY) supported by the CRSRI Open Research Program,ChinaProject(2023KSD15) supported by the Open Research Fund of Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Construction and Management in Hydropower Engineering,China。
文摘The collapse of rock masses in fault-developed zones poses significant safety challenges during the excavation of high-stress underground caverns. This study investigates the spatiotemporal evolution of the collapse mechanisms of the cavern in the Yebatan Hydropower Station through using microseismic (MS) monitoring and displacement measurements. We developed a multi-parameter deformation early warning model that integrates three critical indicators: deformation rate, rate increment, and tangential angle of the deformation time curve. The results of the early warning model show a significant and abrupt increase in the deformation of the rock mass during the collapse process. The safety and stability of the local cavern in the face of excavation-induced disturbances are meticulously assessed utilizing MS data. Spatiotemporal analysis of the MS monitoring indicates a high frequency of MS events during the blasting phase, with a notable clustering of these events in the vicinity of the fault. These research results provide a valuable reference for risk warnings and stability assessments in the fault development zones of analogous caverns.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51375490)
文摘In order to improve the survivability of the aircraft,conceptual design and radar cross section（RCS） performance research are done. The CATIA software is used to design the 3D digital model of the shipborne early warning aircraft, and some measures are taken to reduce the RCS characteristics of the early warning aircraft at the same time. Based on the physical optics method and the equivalent electromagnetic flow method,the aircraft＇s RCS characteristics and strength distribution characteristics are simulated numerically, and compared with the foreign advanced shipborne early warning aircraft. The simulation results show that under the X radar band, when the incident wave pitching angle is 0？, compared with the foreign advanced shipborne early warning aircraft, the forward RCS average value of the conceptual shipborne early warning aircraft is reduced to 24.49%, the lateral RCS average value is reduced to 5.04%, and the backward RCS average value is reduced to 39.26%. The research results of this paper are expected to provide theoretical basis and technical support for the conceptual design and the stealth design of the shipborne early warning aircraft.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70471074)Department of Science and Technology of Guangdong Province (2004B36001051).
文摘After reviewing current researches on early warning, it is found that “bad”data of some systems is not easy to obtain, which makes methods proposed by these researches unsuitable for monitored systems. An interactive early warning technique based on SVDD （support vector data description） is proposed to adopt “good” data as samples to overcome the difficulty in obtaining the “bad” data. The process consists of two parts： （1） A hypersphere is fitted on “good” data using SVDD. If the data object are outside the hypersphere, it would be taken as “suspicious”; （2） A group of experts would decide whether the suspicious data is “bad” or “good”, early warning messages would be issued according to the decisions. And the detailed process of implementation is proposed. At last, an experiment based on data of a macroeconomic system is conducted to verify the proposed technique.
基金supported by the Aviation Science Foundation of China(20175596020)。
文摘Main lobe jamming seriously affects the detection performance of airborne early warning radar.The joint processing of polarization-space has become an effective way to suppress the main lobe jamming.To avoid the main beam distortion and wave crest migration caused by the main lobe jamming in adaptive beamforming,a joint optimization algorithm based on adaptive polarization canceller(APC)and stochastic variance reduction gradient descent(SVRGD)is proposed.First,the polarization plane array structure and receiving signal model based on primary and auxiliary array cancellation are established,and an APC iterative algorithm model is constructed to calculate the optimal weight vector of the auxiliary channel.Second,based on the stochastic gradient descent principle,the variance reduction method is introduced to modify the gradient through internal and external iteration to reduce the variance of the stochastic gradient estimation,the airspace optimal weight vector is calculated and the equivalent weight vector is introduced to measure the beamforming effect.Third,by setting up a planar polarization array simulation scene,the performance of the algorithm against the interference of the main lobe and the side lobe is analyzed,and the effectiveness of the algorithm is verified under the condition of short snapshot number and certain signal to interference plus noise ratio.
基金Project(51175159)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2013WK3024)supported by the Science andTechnology Planning Program of Hunan Province,ChinaProject(CX2013B146)supported by the Hunan Provincial InnovationFoundation for Postgraduate,China
文摘A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and then each search bar was tracked using Kalman filter between frames. The lane detection performance was evaluated and demonstrated in ways of receiver operating characteristic, dice similarity coefficient and real-time performance. For lane departure detection, a lane departure risk evaluation model based on lasting time and frequency was effectively executed on the ARM-based platform. Experimental results indicate that the algorithm generates satisfactory lane detection results under different traffic and lighting conditions, and the proposed warning mechanism sends effective warning signals, avoiding most false warning.
基金Supported by the Application Technology Research and Development Plan Project of Heilongjiang Province(GY2014ZB0011)the 13th Five-year National Key R&D Program(2016YFD0300610)
文摘In view of the cumbersome and often untimely process of manual collection and observation of frozen soil data parameters,and the damage caused to dams by frost heaving of frozen soil,a remote monitoring and an early warning model for frozen soil in dam areas was presented.The Pt100 temperature sensors and JM seam gauges were used as measurement tools in the system.The sensor layout was designed,based on the actual situation in the monitoring area.A 4G network was used for wireless transmission to monitor frozen soil data in real time.BP neural network was used to predict the parameters of frozen soil.After analysis,four factors including the average temperature of frozen soil,the type of frozen soil,the artificial upper limit of frozen soil and the building construction time were selected to establish an early warning model using fuzzy reasoning.The experimental results showed that the early warning model could reflect the influence on dam buildings of frost heaving and sinking of frozen soil,and provided technical support for predicting the hazard level.
文摘As one of the provinces of highest economic growth in coastal China,Zhejiang Province is experiencing serious geological disasters during the past development of economy.The main kinds of geo-hazards include landslides,rock falls and debris-flows in Zhejiang Province,which are mainly induced by intensive rainfall during typhoon season or by long-term rainfall from May to June every year.Thus,
基金Project(2022YFC2905100)supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of ChinaProject(52174098)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China。
文摘With the continuous expansion of deep underground engineering and the growing demand for safety monitoring,microseismic monitoring has become a core method for early warning of rock mass fracture and engineering stability assessment.To address problems in existing methods,such as low data processing efficiency and poor phase recognition accuracy under low signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)conditions in complex geological environments,this study proposes an intelligent phase picking model based on ResUNet.The model integrates the residual learning mechanism of ResNet with the multi-scale feature extraction capability of UNet,effectively mitigating the vanishing gradient problem in deep networks.It also achieves cross-layer fusion of shallow detail features and deep semantic features through skip connections in the encoder-decoder structure.Compared with traditional short-time average/long-time average(STA/LTA)algorithms and advanced neural network models such as PhaseNet and EQTransformer,ResUNet shows superior performance in picking P-and S-wave phases.The model was trained on 400000 labeled microseismic signals from the Stanford earthquake dataset(STEAD)and was successfully applied to the Shizhuyuan polymetallic mine in Hunan Province,China.The results demonstrate that ResUNet achieves high picking accuracy and robustness in complex geological conditions,offering reliable technical support for early warning of disasters such as rockburst in deep underground engineering.
基金Project(52204084)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(FRF-IDRY-GD22-002)supported by the Interdisciplinary Research Project for Young Teachers of USTB(Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities),China+2 种基金Project(QNXM20220009)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities and the Youth Teacher International Exchange and Growth Program,ChinaProjects(2022YFC2905600,2022YFC3004601)supported by the National Key R&D Program of ChinaProject(2023XAGG0061)supported by the Science,Technology&Innovation Project of Xiongan New Area,China。
文摘Metal mineral resources play an indispensable role in the development of the national economy.Dynamic disasters in underground metal mines seriously threaten mining safety,which are major scientific and technological problems to be solved urgently.In this article,the occurrence status and grand challenges of some typical dynamic disasters involving roof falling,spalling,collapse,large deformation,rockburst,surface subsidence,and water inrush in metal mines in China are systematically presented,the characteristics of mining-induced dynamic disasters are analyzed,the examples of dynamic disasters occurring in some metal mines in China are summarized,the occurrence mechanism,monitoring and early warning methods,and prevention and control techniques of these disasters are highlighted,and some new opinions,suggestions,and solutions are proposed simultaneously.Moreover,some shortcomings in current disaster research are pointed out,and the direction of efforts to improve the prevention and control level of dynamic disasters in China’s metal mines in the future is prospected.The integration of forward-looking key innovative theories and technologies in the abovementioned aspects will greatly enhance the cognitive level of disaster prevention and mitigation in China’s metal mining industry and achieve a significant shift from passive disaster relief to active disaster prevention.
基金Projects(51974059,52174142)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2017YFC0602904)supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of ChinaProject(N180115010)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China。
文摘Microseismic monitoring technology has become an important technique to assess stability of rock mass in metal mines.Due to the special characteristics of underground metal mines in China,including the high tectonic stress,irregular shape and existence of ore body,and complex mining methods,the application of microseismic technology is more diverse in China compared to other countries,and is more challenging than in other underground structures such as tunnels,hydropower stations and coal mines.Apart from assessing rock mass stability and ground pressure hazards induced by mining process,blasting,water inrush and large scale goaf,microseismic technology is also used to monitor illegal mining,and track personnel location during rescue work.Moreover,microseismic data have been used to optimize mining parameters in some metal mines.The technology is increasingly used to investigate cracking mechanism in the design of rock mass supports.In this paper,the application,research development and related achievements of microseismic technology in underground metal mines in China are summarized.By considering underground mines from the perspective of informatization,automation and intelligentization,future studies should focus on intelligent microseismic data processing method,e.g.,signal identification of microseismic and precise location algorithm,and on the research and development of microseismic equipment.In addition,integrated monitoring and collaborative analysis for rock mass response caused by mining disturbance will have good prospects for future development.
基金Project supported by Joint Innovative Center for Safe and Effective Mining Technology and Equipment of Coal Resources of Shandong Province,ChinaProject supported by Taishan Scholar Program of Shandong Province,China+2 种基金Project(2014JQJH106)supported by Shandong University of Science and Technology Research Fund,ChinaProject(LAK2012-1)supported by Science and Technology Development Program of Safety Production of Shandong Province,ChinaProject(2012ZHTD06)supported by Science Research Innovative Group of College of Mining and Safety Engineering of Shandong University of Science and Technology,China
文摘Coal mine belt fire develops very rapidly and is difficult to control. If not suppressed quickly, a belt fire could easily lead to airflow disorder and undermine the ventilation system. However, belt fire can be prevented effectively by establishing fire airflow control system. In this work, the 5th belt roadway of Kongzhuang coal mine was taken as the object of investigation, where geometrical models of this roadway were established firstly. Then, based on mathematical model of fire smoke flow, the CO volume fraction, smoke density distribution, air temperature and pollutant velocity vector in the roadway before and after taking airflow control measures were simulated by using Fluent software. It can be known from the simulation that with the normal ventilation status in 5th belt roadway, the countercurrent of smoke does not happen when a fire occurs; the roadway's section is almost filled with CO at 10 m downstream from the fire source, and with air velocity getting stable gradually, the CO concentration reaches about 15 %. After taking airflow control measures, the effect range of temperature field which are harmful to the miners decreases from 69 m to 30 m; and the distance of the roadway fully filled with CO is 5 m farther than that before taking measures. Finally, according to the numerical simulation results and the actual condition of the belt roadway, the warning and automatic remote airflow control system with short-circuit method for the 5th belt roadway was designed to guarantee the safety production.
基金supported by the National Ministry Foundation for the Pre-research
文摘The missile-tracked priority assessment for the early warning system monitoring multi-missile very well, is the first task to defend them and useful to perform optimally the sensor-to-missile assignment. The problem of the missile-tracked priority assessment is of incomplete information, of multi-attribute and dynamic. To solve the dificult problem, the index system, which includes six classification indices, is established by means of reducing the target＇s primary information which the early warning system focuses on. The lack of some attributes values, which is caused by the incomplete information, is handled by the approach： first classifying each attribute as unknown one or known one, and then subdividing the latter, last using the expectation and the information entropy if the attribute is known but uncertain. With a view of reality, nine qualitative evaluation criteria are given. Based on them each index is quantified by the eigenvector method. And then based on the improved technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution （TOPSIS）, the targets-tracked priorities are assessed and sorted by an evaluation function from three aspects： 1） the quantity of the available information, 2） the affirmative or accurate degree of the available information, 3） the classification or trait of the available information.
