Deficiencies of applying the traditional least squares support vector machine （LS-SVM） to time series online prediction were specified. According to the kernel function matrix＇s property and using the recursive cal...Deficiencies of applying the traditional least squares support vector machine （LS-SVM） to time series online prediction were specified. According to the kernel function matrix＇s property and using the recursive calculation of block matrix, a new time series online prediction algorithm based on improved LS-SVM was proposed. The historical training results were fully utilized and the computing speed of LS-SVM was enhanced. Then, the improved algorithm was applied to timc series online prediction. Based on the operational data provided by the Northwest Power Grid of China, the method was used in the transient stability prediction of electric power system. The results show that, compared with the calculation time of the traditional LS-SVM（75 1 600 ms）, that of the proposed method in different time windows is 40-60 ms, proposed method is above 0.8. So the improved method is online prediction. and the prediction accuracy（normalized root mean squared error） of the better than the traditional LS-SVM and more suitable for time series online prediction.展开更多
Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction mode...Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction models do not consider the features contained in the data,resulting in limited improvement of model accuracy.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a multi-dimensional multi-modal cold rolling vibration time series prediction model(MDMMVPM)based on the deep fusion of multi-level networks.In the model,the long-term and short-term modal features of multi-dimensional data are considered,and the appropriate prediction algorithms are selected for different data features.Based on the established prediction model,the effects of tension and rolling force on mill vibration are analyzed.Taking the 5th stand of a cold mill in a steel mill as the research object,the innovative model is applied to predict the mill vibration for the first time.The experimental results show that the correlation coefficient(R^(2))of the model proposed in this paper is 92.5%,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE)is 0.0011,which significantly improves the modeling accuracy compared with the existing models.The proposed model is also suitable for the hot rolling process,which provides a new method for the prediction of strip rolling vibration.展开更多
It is known that centers, widths, and weights are three mainly considered factors in constructing a radial basis function（RBF） network.This paper aims at constructing a compact RBF network with two main steps.In the...It is known that centers, widths, and weights are three mainly considered factors in constructing a radial basis function（RBF） network.This paper aims at constructing a compact RBF network with two main steps.In the first step, the coarse clusters computed from triangle inequalities are refined to obtain the locations of centers by the defined maximum degree spanning tree（MDST）.Meanwhile the coarse widths are obtained.In the second step, a learning algorithm referred to as anisotropic gradient descent method is presented to further refine the above coarse widths.Experiments of the proposed algorithm show its great performance in times series prediction and classification.展开更多
基金Project (SGKJ[200301-16]) supported by the State Grid Cooperation of China
文摘Deficiencies of applying the traditional least squares support vector machine （LS-SVM） to time series online prediction were specified. According to the kernel function matrix＇s property and using the recursive calculation of block matrix, a new time series online prediction algorithm based on improved LS-SVM was proposed. The historical training results were fully utilized and the computing speed of LS-SVM was enhanced. Then, the improved algorithm was applied to timc series online prediction. Based on the operational data provided by the Northwest Power Grid of China, the method was used in the transient stability prediction of electric power system. The results show that, compared with the calculation time of the traditional LS-SVM（75 1 600 ms）, that of the proposed method in different time windows is 40-60 ms, proposed method is above 0.8. So the improved method is online prediction. and the prediction accuracy（normalized root mean squared error） of the better than the traditional LS-SVM and more suitable for time series online prediction.
基金Project(2023JH26-10100002)supported by the Liaoning Science and Technology Major Project,ChinaProjects(U21A20117,52074085)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China+1 种基金Project(2022JH2/101300008)supported by the Liaoning Applied Basic Research Program Project,ChinaProject(22567612H)supported by the Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory Performance Subsidy Project,China。
文摘Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction models do not consider the features contained in the data,resulting in limited improvement of model accuracy.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a multi-dimensional multi-modal cold rolling vibration time series prediction model(MDMMVPM)based on the deep fusion of multi-level networks.In the model,the long-term and short-term modal features of multi-dimensional data are considered,and the appropriate prediction algorithms are selected for different data features.Based on the established prediction model,the effects of tension and rolling force on mill vibration are analyzed.Taking the 5th stand of a cold mill in a steel mill as the research object,the innovative model is applied to predict the mill vibration for the first time.The experimental results show that the correlation coefficient(R^(2))of the model proposed in this paper is 92.5%,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE)is 0.0011,which significantly improves the modeling accuracy compared with the existing models.The proposed model is also suitable for the hot rolling process,which provides a new method for the prediction of strip rolling vibration.
基金supported by Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China (U0635001)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (20060390728)the Natural Science Fund of Guangdong Province, China (07006490)
文摘It is known that centers, widths, and weights are three mainly considered factors in constructing a radial basis function（RBF） network.This paper aims at constructing a compact RBF network with two main steps.In the first step, the coarse clusters computed from triangle inequalities are refined to obtain the locations of centers by the defined maximum degree spanning tree（MDST）.Meanwhile the coarse widths are obtained.In the second step, a learning algorithm referred to as anisotropic gradient descent method is presented to further refine the above coarse widths.Experiments of the proposed algorithm show its great performance in times series prediction and classification.
