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A method for modeling and evaluating the interoperability of multi-agent systems based on hierarchical weighted networks
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作者 DONG Jingwei TANG Wei YU Minggang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2025年第3期754-767,共14页
Multi-agent systems often require good interoperability in the process of completing their assigned tasks.This paper first models the static structure and dynamic behavior of multiagent systems based on layered weight... Multi-agent systems often require good interoperability in the process of completing their assigned tasks.This paper first models the static structure and dynamic behavior of multiagent systems based on layered weighted scale-free community network and susceptible-infected-recovered(SIR)model.To solve the problem of difficulty in describing the changes in the structure and collaboration mode of the system under external factors,a two-dimensional Monte Carlo method and an improved dynamic Bayesian network are used to simulate the impact of external environmental factors on multi-agent systems.A collaborative information flow path optimization algorithm for agents under environmental factors is designed based on the Dijkstra algorithm.A method for evaluating system interoperability is designed based on simulation experiments,providing reference for the construction planning and optimization of organizational application of the system.Finally,the feasibility of the method is verified through case studies. 展开更多
关键词 complex network agent INTEROPERABILITY susceptible-infected-recovered model dynamic Bayesian network
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考虑机械故障影响的碾压混凝土坝施工进度SD-DES耦合可视化仿真
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作者 李政 吴斌平 +1 位作者 赵梦琦 王佳俊 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第4期94-106,共13页
【目的】碾压混凝土坝(roller compacted concrete dam,RCCD)施工过程仿真方法为分析大坝施工的复杂动态系统提供了科学有效的技术手段。传统的离散事件仿真(discrete event simulation,DES)方法在仿真过程中虽然考虑了影响施工进度的... 【目的】碾压混凝土坝(roller compacted concrete dam,RCCD)施工过程仿真方法为分析大坝施工的复杂动态系统提供了科学有效的技术手段。传统的离散事件仿真(discrete event simulation,DES)方法在仿真过程中虽然考虑了影响施工进度的主要因素(混凝土生产、运输入仓和施工降雨等),但未有效考虑仓面作业中施工机械故障情况对施工过程的影响,施工进度仿真结果的准确性以及三维可视化展示效果有待进一步提高。针对以上情况,在传统施工仿真的基础上结合系统动力学(system dynamics,SD)提出了考虑机械故障的RCCD施工SD-DES耦合可视化仿真方法。【方法】首先,基于系统动力学建立了仓面施工机械故障SD模型,从而实现对仓面施工中碾压机作业、故障、维修等行为的因果关系分析;其次,以传统施工进度DES仿真模型为基础,耦合机械故障SD模型建立RCCD施工SD-DES耦合仿真模型,并以碾压施工时间作为耦合模型的接口变量,从而实现模型的数据通信和交互,有效提高了仿真结果的准确性;再次,将系统仿真技术与可视化技术结合,基于Unity 3D构建大坝施工三维动态场景,实现基于仿真结果的施工过程的三维动态可视化展示;最后,以我国西南地区某高碾压混凝土坝工程为例进行施工仿真分析与成果展示。【结果】相比于传统DES模型仿真结果(与实际偏差2.49%),基于SD-DES耦合模型的仿真结果(与实际偏差0.28%)更加贴近实际情况,同时三维动态可视化展示水平得到进一步提升。【结论】研究表明,SD-DES耦合可视化仿真方法能够有效考虑施工机械故障对施工进度的影响,提高仿真精度和施工过程的可视化表现能力,有助于大坝施工方案的合理制定和现场施工的管理决策。 展开更多
关键词 系统动力学 机械故障 sd-DES耦合 碾压混凝土坝 施工可视化仿真 混凝土 水利工程
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Modelling of internal ballistics of gun systems:A review 被引量:1
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作者 F.Ongaro C.Robbe +2 位作者 A.Papy B.Stirbu A.Chabotier 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第11期35-58,共24页
A deep understanding of the internal ballistic process and the factors affecting it is of primary importance to efficiently design a gun system and ensure its safe management. One of the main goals of internal ballist... A deep understanding of the internal ballistic process and the factors affecting it is of primary importance to efficiently design a gun system and ensure its safe management. One of the main goals of internal ballistics is to estimate the gas pressure into the combustion chamber and the projectile muzzle velocity in order to use the propellant to its higher efficiency while avoiding over-pressure phenomena. Dealing with the internal ballistic problem is a complex undertaking since it requires handling the interaction between different constituents during a transient time lapse with very steep rise of pressure and temperature. Several approaches have been proposed in the literature, based on different assumptions and techniques. Generally, depending on the used mathematical framework, they can be classified into two categories: computational fluid dynamics-based models and lumped-parameter ones. By focusing on gun systems, this paper offers a review of the main contributions in the field by mentioning their advantages and drawbacks. An insight into the limitations of the currently available modelling strategies is provided,as well as some considerations on the choice of one model over another. Lumped-parameter models, for example, are a good candidate for performing parametric analysis and optimisation processes of gun systems, given their minimum requirements of computer resources. Conversely, CFD-based models have a better capacity to address more sophisticated phenomena like pressure waves and turbulent flow effects. The performed review also reveals that too little attention has been given to small calibre guns since the majority of currently available models are conceived for medium and large calibre gun systems.Similarly, aspects like wear phenomena, bore deformations or projectile-barrel interactions still need to be adequately addressed and our suggestion is to dedicate more effort on it. 展开更多
关键词 Internal ballistics Numerical modelling Lumped-parameter model Computational fluid dynamics Gun systems
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A comprehensive comparative investigation of frictional force models for dynamics of rotor−bearing systems 被引量:6
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作者 LIU Jing 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第6期1770-1779,共10页
Vibrations of a rotor-bearing system(RBS)can be affected by the frictional forces between the components of the inherent bearings.Thus,an in-depth investigation of the influences of the frictional moments of the beari... Vibrations of a rotor-bearing system(RBS)can be affected by the frictional forces between the components of the inherent bearings.Thus,an in-depth investigation of the influences of the frictional moments of the bearings on the vibrations of the RBS can be helpful for understanding the vibration mechanisms in the rotating machinery.In this study,an improved dynamic model of a RBS considering different frictional force models is presented.A comparative investigation on the influences of the empirical and analytical frictional force models on the vibration characteristics of the RBS is proposed.The empirical frictional force models include Palmgren’s and SKF’s models.The analytical frictional force model considers the rolling friction caused by the radial elastic material hysteresis,slipping friction between the ball and races,viscosity friction caused by the lubricating oil,and contact friction between the ball and cage.The influences of the external load and rotational speed on the vibrations of the RBS are analyzed.The comparative results show that the analytical frictional force model can give a more reasonable method for formulating the effects of the friction forces in the bearings on the vibrations of the RBS.The results also demonstrate that the friction forces in the bearings can significantly affect the vibrations of the RBSs. 展开更多
关键词 friction force vibrations rotor-bearing system dynamic model
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A novel refined dynamic model of high-speed maglev train-bridge coupled system for random vibration and running safety assessment
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作者 MAO Jian-feng LI Dao-hang +3 位作者 YU Zhi-wu CAI Wen-feng GUO Wei ZHANG Guang-wen 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第7期2532-2544,共13页
Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can b... Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can be well characterized based on various stochastic excitations.A three-dimensional refined spatial random vibration analysis model of high-speed maglev train-bridge coupled system is established in this paper,in which multi-source uncertainty excitation can be considered simultaneously,and the probability density evolution method(PDEM)is adopted to reveal the system-specific uncertainty dynamic characteristic.The motion equation of the maglev vehicle model is composed of multi-rigid bodies with a total 210-degrees of freedom for each vehicle,and a refined electromagnetic force-air gap model is used to account for the interaction and coupling effect between the moving train and track beam bridges,which are directly established by using finite element method.The model is proven to be applicable by comparing with Monte Carlo simulation.By applying the proposed stochastic framework to the high maglev line,the random dynamic responses of maglev vehicles running on the bridges are studied for running safety and stability assessment.Moreover,the effects of track irregularity wavelength range under different amplitude and running speeds on the coupled system are investigated.The results show that the augmentation of train speed will move backward the sensitive wavelength interval,and track irregularity amplitude influences the response remarkably in the sensitive interval. 展开更多
关键词 maglev train-bridge interaction electromagnetic force-air gap model stochastic dynamic analysis running safety assessment probability density evolution method
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基于SD模型的新疆水资源供需预测及平衡方案研究
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作者 聂鸿玉 刘凯鑫 +1 位作者 胡宝华 倪盼盼 《节水灌溉》 北大核心 2025年第8期15-21,共7页
为了系统解析新疆水资源时空分布规律与利用效率,促进新疆经济社会与生态可持续发展,构建供需动态平衡的SD模型,并通过控制变量原则,提出维持现状型(S1)、经济发展型(S2)、节约用水型(S3)和可持续发展型(S4)4种发展情景,对新疆2024-203... 为了系统解析新疆水资源时空分布规律与利用效率,促进新疆经济社会与生态可持续发展,构建供需动态平衡的SD模型,并通过控制变量原则,提出维持现状型(S1)、经济发展型(S2)、节约用水型(S3)和可持续发展型(S4)4种发展情景,对新疆2024-2035年的需水量和水资源供需平衡状况进行模拟及动态分析。结果表明:①在预测期内,设定的4种情景下,新疆需水总量均呈上升趋势,平均需水总量分别为717.323、720.719、603.311和605.486亿m^(3),平均供需比分别为0.887%、0.883%、1.054%、1.050%。②4种情景下,若维持现状,新疆在2030年后将面临严重的水资源短缺问题;经济发展型将进一步加剧水资源供需之间的矛盾;节约用水型有效降低了需水总量,极大缓解了水资源供需压力,但同时会限制新疆经济的快速发展;可持续发展型从多方面进行调整,既保证了经济的发展,又保证了水资源的可持续利用,是新疆社会发展应选择的方案。研究结果可以为新疆水资源合理利用及推动人水关系可持续发展提供参考依据。 展开更多
关键词 系统动力学 水资源供需平衡 sd模型 发展情景 新疆
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基于SD-PLUS-InVEST的新疆土地利用及生境质量多情景分析
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作者 张志浩 何宝忠 +1 位作者 宋雅宁 罗雪峰 《环境科学与技术》 北大核心 2025年第3期10-22,共13页
土地利用的改变对生物栖息环境有着强烈的影响,所造成的生境退化和破碎是生物多样性损失的主要原因之一。全面掌握共享社会经济路径下新疆土地利用和生境质量变化特征,对新疆“三区三线”的划定和生物多样性的保护有积极意义。该研究通... 土地利用的改变对生物栖息环境有着强烈的影响,所造成的生境退化和破碎是生物多样性损失的主要原因之一。全面掌握共享社会经济路径下新疆土地利用和生境质量变化特征,对新疆“三区三线”的划定和生物多样性的保护有积极意义。该研究通过耦合SD-Markov-PLUS模型得出了SSP119、SSP245、SSP585三种气候情景下2035年土地利用分布,并利用InVEST模型评估了其生境质量,最后分析了生境质量对土地利用变化的响应。结果表明:(1)2000-2020年是新疆经济建设快速发展时期,耕地、林地、水域、建设用地分别扩张了25234.19、3588.47、2452.50和3722.37 km^(2),草地和未利用地面积分别减少17239.50、17758.06 km^(2),呈“四增两减”趋势。(2)2020-2035年新疆逐步过渡到平稳和高质量发展阶段,不同气候情景下,耕地、建设用地、未利用地面积SSP585>SSP245>SSP119,林地、草地面积SSP119>SSP245>SSP585,水域面积较为波动。(3)2000-2020年新疆生境指数均值从0.3110下降到0.3056,多年均值为0.3095,各情景中生境指数均值SSP119>SSP245>SSP585,山地林草区域较高,荒漠较低,形成“三屏两环”格局。(4)2000-2020年生境贡献率总和为-1.3259,SSP119、SSP245、SSP585情景生境贡献率总和分别为-0.7932、-0.9973、-1.1589。研究结果可为新疆协调经济发展与生态保护提供科学依据和参考。 展开更多
关键词 sd-PLUS模型 InVEST模型 生境质量 生境贡献率 新疆
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基于CN-SD的城市生命线Natech事件风险传导链路研究
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作者 李世丰 尚煜 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第6期200-208,共9页
城市生命线Natech事件是多风险、多主体耦合系统,为定性定量识别城市生命线Natech事件风险传导链路,首先,分析风险传导机制,城市生命线Natech事件同时具备自然灾害链与多米诺效应;然后,分析风险传导链路复杂性、动力学特征,构建城市生命... 城市生命线Natech事件是多风险、多主体耦合系统,为定性定量识别城市生命线Natech事件风险传导链路,首先,分析风险传导机制,城市生命线Natech事件同时具备自然灾害链与多米诺效应;然后,分析风险传导链路复杂性、动力学特征,构建城市生命线Natech事件风险传导链路复杂网络(CN)-系统动力学(SD)模型;最后,以全国十大自然灾害及报道为文本数据,量化风险路径、风险集聚、风险传导等CN指标,进而量化风险关联度及城市生命线脆弱性等SD指标,从而数值模拟城市生命线Natech事件风险传导速率及程度。结果表明:该模型能够定性与定量结合分析城市生命线Natech事件风险传导链路,能够可视化数值模拟自然灾害链情景下交通、电力、通信、供水等城市生命线技术事故多米诺效应风险传导速率与程度动态曲线。 展开更多
关键词 复杂网络(CN) 系统动力学(sd) 城市生命线 Natech事件 风险传导链路
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基于SD-PLUS耦合模型的杭州市土地利用多情景模拟 被引量:1
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作者 蔚芳 蒋雨薇 《农业资源与环境学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期44-56,共13页
气候变化威胁全球粮食安全并造成土地退化和荒漠化,反之土地系统问题又成为气候变化的驱动因素。为探讨在气候变化背景下如何合理配置土地资源,本研究基于2020年IPCC(政府间气候变化专门委员会)发布的共享经济路径(SSPs)与典型浓度路径(... 气候变化威胁全球粮食安全并造成土地退化和荒漠化,反之土地系统问题又成为气候变化的驱动因素。为探讨在气候变化背景下如何合理配置土地资源,本研究基于2020年IPCC(政府间气候变化专门委员会)发布的共享经济路径(SSPs)与典型浓度路径(RCPs)耦合的SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5气候情景,构建并验证了综合考虑社会经济因素及气候变化因素的SDPLUS耦合模型,以2000—2020年为历史数据,模拟了2030年杭州市三种气候情景下的土地利用变化。结果表明:SD模型预测误差在5%以内,PLUS模型模拟结果Kappa系数为0.84,总体精度为0.93,SD-PLUS耦合模型能够较为精确地反映土地利用变化情况。三种情景下土地利用变化整体上呈现生态用地向耕地和建设用地转移,但仍存在差异性:SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景生态用地在临安区、富阳等中心城区周边地区转移为建设用地,SSP5-8.5情景变化最为激烈,建设用地大幅扩张了608.94 km^(2);只有SSP1-2.6情景下建设用地在各市区中心周边有序扩张,生态用地减少得到控制。SSP1-2.6情景下,保护生态用地能够有效避免建设用地无序扩张,提升土地利用效率,实现区域均衡发展。研究表明,基于气候变化背景的SD-PLUS耦合模型能够有效模拟不同气候情景下杭州市土地利用空间格局的变化趋势,研究结果可为杭州市未来经济发展与生态保护区域协同提供科学支撑。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 sd-PLUS耦合模型 土地利用 SSP-RCP情景 多情景模拟 杭州市
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Dynamics and experiments of a tendon-actuated flexible robotic arm for capturing a floating target
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作者 Xin Xia Yunpeng Sun Jialiang Sun 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第5期216-241,共26页
Reusable and flexible capturing of space debris is highly required in future aerospace technologies.A tendon-actuated flexible robotic arm is therefore proposed for capturing floating targets in this paper.Firstly,an ... Reusable and flexible capturing of space debris is highly required in future aerospace technologies.A tendon-actuated flexible robotic arm is therefore proposed for capturing floating targets in this paper.Firstly,an accurate dynamic model of the flexible robotic arm is established by using the absolute nodal coordinate formulation(ANCF)in the framework of the arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian(ALE)description and the natural coordinate formulation(NCF).The contact and self-contact dynamics of the flexible robotic arm when bending and grasping an object are considered via a fast contact detection approach.Then,the dynamic simulations of the flexible robotic arm for capturing floating targets are carried out to study the influence of the position,size,and mass of the target object on the grasping performance.Finally,a principle prototype of the tendon-actuated flexible robotic arm is manufactured to validate the dynamic model.The corresponding grasping experiments for objects of various shapes are also conducted to illustrate the excellent performance of the flexible robotic arm. 展开更多
关键词 Tendon-actuated flexible robotic arm Dynamic modeling Contact dynamics ALE-ANCF variable-length cable element Capturing experiments
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Modeling and analysis of maneuver laws based on higher order multi-resolution dynamic mode decomposition for hypersonic glide vehicles
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作者 Zichu Liu Yudong Hu +2 位作者 Changsheng Gao Wuxing Jing Xudong Ji 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第6期34-47,共14页
The precise characterization of hypersonic glide vehicle(HGV) maneuver laws in complex flight scenarios still faces challenges. Non-stationary changes in flight state due to abrupt changes in maneuver modes place high... The precise characterization of hypersonic glide vehicle(HGV) maneuver laws in complex flight scenarios still faces challenges. Non-stationary changes in flight state due to abrupt changes in maneuver modes place high demands on the accuracy of modeling methods. To address this issue, a novel maneuver laws modeling and analysis method based on higher order multi-resolution dynamic mode decomposition(HMDMD) is proposed in this work. A joint time-space-frequency decomposition of the vehicle's state sequence in the complex flight scenario is achieved with the higher order Koopman assumption and standard multi-resolution dynamic mode decomposition, and an approximate dynamic model is established. The maneuver laws can be reconstructed and analyzed with extracted multi-scale spatiotemporal modes with clear physical meaning. Based on the dynamic model of HGV, two flight scenarios are established with constant angle of attack and complex maneuver laws, respectively. Simulation results demonstrate that the maneuver laws obtained using the HMDMD method are highly consistent with those derived from the real dynamic model, the modeling accuracy is better than other common modeling methods, and the method has strong interpretability. 展开更多
关键词 Hypersonic glide vehicle Dynamic mode decomposition Higher order koopman assumption Manoeuvre law modeling INTERPRETABILITY
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基于误差修正LMDI-SD方法的数字经济规模预测
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作者 王方 武承炫 《统计与决策》 北大核心 2025年第4期29-34,共6页
为准确预测数字经济规模,文章基于均值对数迪氏(LMDI)分解法和系统动力学(SD)模型,使用2017—2020年的经济数据,研究了2017—2020年我国数字经济发展的关键驱动因素,并预测了2021—2025年我国的数字经济规模。研究发现:(1)误差修正LMDI... 为准确预测数字经济规模,文章基于均值对数迪氏(LMDI)分解法和系统动力学(SD)模型,使用2017—2020年的经济数据,研究了2017—2020年我国数字经济发展的关键驱动因素,并预测了2021—2025年我国的数字经济规模。研究发现:(1)误差修正LMDI-SD方法相比灰色预测模型和指数平滑模型精度更高;(2)我国数字经济规模在“十四五”期间将保持高速发展,由2021年的45.5万亿元增长至2025年的76.46万亿元,复合增长率达到13.86%;(3)数字经济强度效应逐渐成为影响我国数字经济规模的主要因素。 展开更多
关键词 数字经济 LMDI 系统动力学模型 预测
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基于三度空间和SDM的特大城市地震安全韧性动态评估及演化分析
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作者 刘敬严 郑文文 +2 位作者 蔡博渊 向恩娆 游子吟 《灾害学》 北大核心 2025年第3期1-7,共7页
地震灾害威胁着城市安全韧性的可持续发展。该文基于三度空间与韧性理念构建指标体系,运用系统动力学模型(System Dynamics Model,SDM)提出多维度、动态化的地震安全评估方法。以特大城市——北京为例,对指标进行敏感性分析,发现三度空... 地震灾害威胁着城市安全韧性的可持续发展。该文基于三度空间与韧性理念构建指标体系,运用系统动力学模型(System Dynamics Model,SDM)提出多维度、动态化的地震安全评估方法。以特大城市——北京为例,对指标进行敏感性分析,发现三度空间模拟结果呈三阶段性变化。情景预测模拟结果表明,2030年后信息驱动是韧性提升的主导方向,政策驱动则在均衡性与可持续性方面发挥关键作用,而资源优化情景的边际效益递减。因此,需深化信息技术应用,优化社会治理,精准配置资源,推动特大城市地震安全韧性的提升。 展开更多
关键词 地震灾害 安全韧性 三度空间 系统动力学模型(sdM)
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Hydrodynamics Research on Amphibious Vehicle Systems:Modeling Theory
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作者 居乃鵕 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2006年第1期14-21,共8页
For completing the hydrodynamics software development and the engineering application research on the amphibious vehicle systems, hydrodynamic modeling theory of the amphibious vehicle systems is elaborated, which inc... For completing the hydrodynamics software development and the engineering application research on the amphibious vehicle systems, hydrodynamic modeling theory of the amphibious vehicle systems is elaborated, which includes to build up the dynamic system model of amphibious vehicle motion on water, gun tracking-aiming-firing, bullet hit and armored check-target, gunner operating control, and the simulation computed model of time domain for random sea wave. 展开更多
关键词 水动力学 水陆两用船 动力系统模型 海波 建模理论
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基于ISM-AHP-SD的突发事件网络舆情风险影响因素研究
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作者 王潇 王翰文 《情报杂志》 北大核心 2025年第7期156-164,共9页
[研究目的]厘清突发事件网络舆情风险的影响因素,并预测舆情风险的趋势走向。为政府部门的网络舆情风险治理提供理论依据。[研究方法]使用系统动力学(SD),将舆情风险系统划分为政府、网民、网媒和事件4个子系统,24个影响因素。运用解释... [研究目的]厘清突发事件网络舆情风险的影响因素,并预测舆情风险的趋势走向。为政府部门的网络舆情风险治理提供理论依据。[研究方法]使用系统动力学(SD),将舆情风险系统划分为政府、网民、网媒和事件4个子系统,24个影响因素。运用解释结构模型(ISM)分析各影响因素之间的因果关系与层级结构,明确直接影响舆情风险的底层因素。并利用层次分析法(AHP)分析各影响因素权重,借助Vensim软件构建突发事件网络舆情风险演化模型。将案例“广西德天瀑布登高观瀑魔毯‘8·10’事故”纳入仿真分析中,以探究其对舆情风险产生显著影响的关键因素。[研究结果/结论]研究结果显示,政府的应对能力、反应速度、意见领袖的影响力、网络媒体的活跃程度以及事件的影响力对网络舆情风险产生了显著的影响,且在仿真中证实了方法的普适性。因此,在应对突发事件舆情时,政府可考虑使用该方法并重点针对上述因素开展工作,以实现有效的风险管控。 展开更多
关键词 突发事件 网络舆情 舆情风险 系统动力学 解释结构模型 层次分析法
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基于SD-PLUS耦合模型的陕西省土地利用变化及碳储量多情景预测 被引量:9
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作者 李倩 王成军 +2 位作者 冯涛 杜传甲 张炳林 《水土保持学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期195-206,215,共13页
[目的]为探讨不同土地利用方式对区域生态系统碳储量的影响。[方法]以陕西省为研究对象,利用SD-PLUS耦合模型,采用国际耦合模式比较计划第6阶段(CMIP6)提出的耦合共享社会经济路线和代表性浓度路线(SSP-RCP)情景,对2030年陕西省的土地... [目的]为探讨不同土地利用方式对区域生态系统碳储量的影响。[方法]以陕西省为研究对象,利用SD-PLUS耦合模型,采用国际耦合模式比较计划第6阶段(CMIP6)提出的耦合共享社会经济路线和代表性浓度路线(SSP-RCP)情景,对2030年陕西省的土地利用变化进行预测,然后利用InVEST模型模拟未来不同情景下陕西省碳储量及其空间分布。[结果](1)对构建的SD模型进行历史检验,其误差<5%,PLUS模型模拟的2020年土地利用Kappa指数为0.86,模型精度和可靠性总体符合要求;(2)3种情景下,未来建设用地面积均增加,增长速率从低到高的情景分别为SSP126、SSP245、SSP585;在所有情景下,林地面积均增加,水域面积均保持稳定;草地面积在SSP126情景下有小幅度增加,其他情景下减少;耕地面积3种情景下均减少;(3)3种情景下,陕西省碳储量均减少,关中平原建设用地的扩张占用大量的耕地是造成陕西省碳储量下降的主要原因。[结论]在SSP126情景下,建设用地扩张所占用的生态用地面积最小,碳储量损失最少,该情景同时考虑社会经济发展及生态保护的需要,可为未来陕西省国土资源保护和高质量发展提供参考模式。 展开更多
关键词 土地利用变化 sd-PLUS耦合模型 未来情景预测 碳储量 InVEST模型
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Dynamics and rebound behavior analysis of flexible tethered satellite system in deployment and station-keeping phases 被引量:2
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作者 Yue Zhang Xin Jiang +2 位作者 Zheng-feng Bai Jia-wen Guo Cheng Wei 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第3期509-523,共15页
The tether deployment of a tethered satellite system involves the consideration of complex dynamic properties of the tether,such as large deformation,slack,and even rebound,and therefore,the dynamic modelling of the t... The tether deployment of a tethered satellite system involves the consideration of complex dynamic properties of the tether,such as large deformation,slack,and even rebound,and therefore,the dynamic modelling of the tether is necessary for performing a dynamic analysis of the system.For a variablelength tether element,the absolute nodal coordinate formulation(ANCF)in the framework of the arbitrary Lagrange-Euler(ALE)description was used to develop a precise dynamic model of a tethered satellite.The model considered the gravitational gradient force and Coriolis force in the orbital coordinate frame,and it was validated through numerical simulation.In the presence of dynamic constraints,a deployment velocity of the tether was obtained by an optimal procedure.In the simulation,rebound behavior of the tethered satellite system was observed when the ANCF-ALE model was employed.Notably,the rebound behavior cannot be predicted by the traditional dumbbell model.Furthermore,an improved optimal deployment velocity was developed.Simulation results indicated that the rebound phenomenon was eliminated,and smooth deployment as well as a stable state of the station-keeping process were achieved.Additionally,the swing amplitude in the station-keeping phase decreased when a deployment strategy based on the improved optimal deployment velocity was used. 展开更多
关键词 Tethered satellite system Dynamic model REBOUND DEPLOYMENT ANCF-ALE
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Dynamic compressive response of porcine muscle measured using a split Hopkinson bar system with a pair of PVDF force transducers 被引量:2
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作者 Yao-ke Wen Liang Xu +2 位作者 Ai-jun Chen Fang-dong Dong Bin Qin 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第10期298-305,共8页
The classic metallic Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar(SHPB)cannot capture the transmitted signal accurately when measuring soft biological tissue,because of the very low wave impedance and strength of this material.So the... The classic metallic Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar(SHPB)cannot capture the transmitted signal accurately when measuring soft biological tissue,because of the very low wave impedance and strength of this material.So the dynamic compressive response of porcine muscle has been investigated by using a modified SHPB.The forces on both ends of the sample measured using Polyvinylidene fluor(PVDF)transducers were applied to calculate the stress in the specimen instead of the strain gauge signal on the transmitted bar.Moreover,a circular cardboard disk pulse shaper was applied for generating a suitable incident pulse to achieve stress equilibrium and constant strain rates in the specimens.Then,the dynamic mechanical properties of porcine muscle parallel and perpendicular to the fiber directions were measured,and the stress equilibrium process during loading was analyzed,as well as the inertia-induced extra stress being corrected.Furthermore,quasi-static tests were conducted at two different strain rates to investigate the strain rate dependence using a universal material testing machine.The results show that the stress-strain curves are sensitive to strain rate in the two different loading directions.The compressive stress perpendicular to the fiber direction is stiffer than that parallel to the fiber direction.In addition,a strain rate-dependent constitutive model was developed based on the mechanical response of the muscle at different strain rates and fitted to the experimental data.The results show that the overall fit is good,and the constitutive model could describe the muscle's dynamic mechanical properties. 展开更多
关键词 PVDF Hopkinson bar Porcine muscle Dynamic mechanical properties Constitutive model
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Dynamics of the HBV model with diffusion and time delay 被引量:2
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作者 QIAO mei-hong,QI huan(Department of Control Science and Engineering,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074) 《医用生物力学》 EI CAS CSCD 2009年第S1期117-118,共2页
Chronic hepatitis B infection is a major health problem,with approximately 350 million virus carriers worldwide.In Africa,about 30%-60% of children and 60%-100% of adults have
关键词 HBV TIME dynamics of the HBV model with diffusion and time delay
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A novel launch dynamics measurement system for multiple launch rocket system and comparative analysis with numerical simulations 被引量:2
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作者 Li-lin Gu Xiao-ting Rui +3 位作者 Guo-ping Wang Yi An Fu-feng Yang Min Wei 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第2期671-681,共11页
In this paper,a novel launch dynamics measurement system based on the photoelectric sensor pair is built.The actual muzzle time(i.e.a time duration that originates from the initial movement to the rocket’s departure ... In this paper,a novel launch dynamics measurement system based on the photoelectric sensor pair is built.The actual muzzle time(i.e.a time duration that originates from the initial movement to the rocket’s departure from the muzzle)and the muzzle velocity are measured.Compared with the classical methods,the actual muzzle time is obtained by eliminating the ignition delay.The comparative analysis method is proposed with numerical simulations established by the transfer matrix method for multibody systems.The experiment results indicate that the proposed measurement system can effectively measure the actual muzzle time and reduce the error of classical methods,which match well with the simulation results showing the launch dynamics model is reliable and helpful for further analysis and design of the MLRS. 展开更多
关键词 Multiple launch rocket system Photoelectric sensor Launch dynamics measurement system model verification Transfer matrix method for multibody systemS
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