With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirement...With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable.展开更多
模型辅助检测概率(model-assisted probability of detection,MAPoD)和灵敏度分析对于量化涡流无损检测(eddy current nondestructive testing,ECNDT)系统的检测能力非常重要。由于不确定性在涡流无损检测的MAPoD和SA问题中的传播,传统...模型辅助检测概率(model-assisted probability of detection,MAPoD)和灵敏度分析对于量化涡流无损检测(eddy current nondestructive testing,ECNDT)系统的检测能力非常重要。由于不确定性在涡流无损检测的MAPoD和SA问题中的传播,传统基于实验方法和物理仿真模型对该问题的分析需要耗费大量的时间和人力成本,为了降低这些成本,提出基于粒子群算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)的支持向量回归(support vector regression,SVR)模型取代传统的实验方法以及物理仿真模型,对涡流无损检测模型的响应进行预测,从而加速MAPoD和SA问题的分析。此外,创新性地将网格搜索、随机搜索、模拟退火算法和PSO等优化算法与SVR相结合,研究不同的优化算法对SVR的关键参数优化的精度和效率,验证PSO相较于其他优化算法的性能优势。最后,将PSO-SVR模型应用于ECNDT算例中,对表面裂缝长度的不确定性进行MAPoD和SA的分析。结果表明,所提算法在保证求解精度的同时,加速了涡流无损检测系统的MAPoD和SA问题的研究,并减少了计算开销。在计算量方面,对这两个问题的求解,平均分别仅需纯物理模型计算量的3.5%和0.06%。展开更多
当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究...当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究二者之间的关系,构建灰狼优化算法-支持向量回归机(Grey Wolf Optimization and Support Vactor Regression,GWO-SVR)组合模型,收集2008—2020年每个月的建筑安全事故数据及死亡人数数据集,发现二者之间成正向相关关系,以建筑安全事故数为特征对建筑死亡人数进行预测,精度达到95%以上,对建筑安全资源与人力投入有较大参考价值,有助于提升建筑安全管理水平。展开更多
As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonl...As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation.展开更多
为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发...为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发电功率预测方法。首先,采用相关性特征法聚类气象条件中关键气象因子,以消除数据冗余并降低ARIMAX模型的复杂性;其次,在ARIMAX模型中引入季节性因素,构建SARIMAX模型来捕捉数据的季节性变化;最后,使用SARIMAX模型的拟合残差其作为SVR模型的输入,进一步拟合数据的非线性。通过仿真算例分析表明,所提方法可显著提高光伏发电功率预测精度。展开更多
This paper describes a novel approach for identifying the Z-axis drift of the ring laser gyroscope （RLG） based on ge-netic algorithm （GA） and support vector regression （SVR） in the single-axis rotation inertial ...This paper describes a novel approach for identifying the Z-axis drift of the ring laser gyroscope （RLG） based on ge-netic algorithm （GA） and support vector regression （SVR） in the single-axis rotation inertial navigation system （SRINS）. GA is used for selecting the optimal parameters of SVR. The latitude error and the temperature variation during the identification stage are adopted as inputs of GA-SVR. The navigation results show that the proposed GA-SVR model can reach an identification accuracy of 0.000 2 （？）/h for the Z-axis drift of RLG. Compared with the ra-dial basis function-neural network （RBF-NN） model, the GA-SVR model is more effective in identification of the Z-axis drift of RLG.展开更多
针对以往船舶备件需求预测精度不高,无法满足船舶综合保障的实际问题,文章建立一种基于改进红狐优化算法(improved red fox optimization,IRFO)的支持向量机回归(support vector regression,SVR)的船舶备件预测模型。为进一步提高红狐...针对以往船舶备件需求预测精度不高,无法满足船舶综合保障的实际问题,文章建立一种基于改进红狐优化算法(improved red fox optimization,IRFO)的支持向量机回归(support vector regression,SVR)的船舶备件预测模型。为进一步提高红狐优化算法(red fox optimization,RFO)的寻优精度,重构其全局搜索公式,并融合精英反向学习策略。采用基准测试函数对IRFO算法进行仿真实验,实验表明,IRFO算法比RFO算法、粒子群算法、灰狼优化算法寻优能力更强,综合性能更优。基于船舶备件历史数据,建立IRFO-SVR船舶备件预测模型,通过对比其他模型的预测结果,表明IRFO-SVR的预测效果更佳。展开更多
为给小麦的长势监测与农艺决策提供科学依据,利用高光谱技术实现了小麦冠层叶绿素含量的估测。通过分析18种高光谱指数对叶绿素的估测能力,筛选出可敏感表征叶绿素含量的指数REP,利用地面光谱数据为样本集,以最小二乘支持向量回归(least...为给小麦的长势监测与农艺决策提供科学依据,利用高光谱技术实现了小麦冠层叶绿素含量的估测。通过分析18种高光谱指数对叶绿素的估测能力,筛选出可敏感表征叶绿素含量的指数REP,利用地面光谱数据为样本集,以最小二乘支持向量回归(least squares support vector regression,LS-SVR)算法建立了小麦冠层叶绿素含量反演模型,其校正决定系数C-R2与预测决定系数P-R2分别为0.751与0.722,在各指数中反演精度最高。进一步分析表明,REP对叶绿素含量以及LAI值较高与较低的样本均具备良好的预测能力,可有效避免样本取值范围以及冠层郁闭度等因素对叶绿素含量估测的影响。利用LS-SVR反演模型完成了OMIS影像叶绿素含量的遥感填图,并以地面实测值进行检验,其拟合模型R2与RMSE值分别为0.676与1.715。结果表明,高光谱指数REP所建立的LS-SVR模型实现了叶绿素含量的准确估测,可用于小麦叶绿素含量信息的快速、无损获取。展开更多
为改进小麦冠层含氮率的高光谱测定模型,以正交试验筛选出小波去噪的最优参数组合(小波类型取haar,分解层数为5,阈值方案选择Fixed form threshold,噪声结构定为Unscaled white noise),并利用去噪后的小麦冠层光谱建立偏最小二乘回归(P...为改进小麦冠层含氮率的高光谱测定模型,以正交试验筛选出小波去噪的最优参数组合(小波类型取haar,分解层数为5,阈值方案选择Fixed form threshold,噪声结构定为Unscaled white noise),并利用去噪后的小麦冠层光谱建立偏最小二乘回归(PLS)模型,对不同预处理方法进行比较分析。发现采用小波去噪结合一阶导数能最有效消除原始光谱的背景信息,此时PLS模型校正集均方根误差(RMSEC)为0.260,预测集均方根误差(RMSEP)为0.288。对经一阶导数结合小波去噪后的光谱用主成分分析(PCA)进行降维,以前6个主成份为输入变量,建立最小二乘支撑向量机回归模型(LS-SVR),其RMSEC与RMSEP分别为0.154与0.259,具有比PLS模型更高的精度。结果表明:以小波去噪结合一阶导数去除小麦冠层反射光谱中的土壤背景信息以提高模型的精度是可行的,且LS-SVR是建模的优选方法。展开更多
基金supported by the Foundation of Key Laboratory of Near-Surface。
文摘With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable.
文摘模型辅助检测概率(model-assisted probability of detection,MAPoD)和灵敏度分析对于量化涡流无损检测(eddy current nondestructive testing,ECNDT)系统的检测能力非常重要。由于不确定性在涡流无损检测的MAPoD和SA问题中的传播,传统基于实验方法和物理仿真模型对该问题的分析需要耗费大量的时间和人力成本,为了降低这些成本,提出基于粒子群算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)的支持向量回归(support vector regression,SVR)模型取代传统的实验方法以及物理仿真模型,对涡流无损检测模型的响应进行预测,从而加速MAPoD和SA问题的分析。此外,创新性地将网格搜索、随机搜索、模拟退火算法和PSO等优化算法与SVR相结合,研究不同的优化算法对SVR的关键参数优化的精度和效率,验证PSO相较于其他优化算法的性能优势。最后,将PSO-SVR模型应用于ECNDT算例中,对表面裂缝长度的不确定性进行MAPoD和SA的分析。结果表明,所提算法在保证求解精度的同时,加速了涡流无损检测系统的MAPoD和SA问题的研究,并减少了计算开销。在计算量方面,对这两个问题的求解,平均分别仅需纯物理模型计算量的3.5%和0.06%。
文摘当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究二者之间的关系,构建灰狼优化算法-支持向量回归机(Grey Wolf Optimization and Support Vactor Regression,GWO-SVR)组合模型,收集2008—2020年每个月的建筑安全事故数据及死亡人数数据集,发现二者之间成正向相关关系,以建筑安全事故数为特征对建筑死亡人数进行预测,精度达到95%以上,对建筑安全资源与人力投入有较大参考价值,有助于提升建筑安全管理水平。
基金the National Defense Science and Technology Key Laboratory Fund of China(XM2020XT1023).
文摘As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation.
文摘为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发电功率预测方法。首先,采用相关性特征法聚类气象条件中关键气象因子,以消除数据冗余并降低ARIMAX模型的复杂性;其次,在ARIMAX模型中引入季节性因素,构建SARIMAX模型来捕捉数据的季节性变化;最后,使用SARIMAX模型的拟合残差其作为SVR模型的输入,进一步拟合数据的非线性。通过仿真算例分析表明,所提方法可显著提高光伏发电功率预测精度。
文摘This paper describes a novel approach for identifying the Z-axis drift of the ring laser gyroscope （RLG） based on ge-netic algorithm （GA） and support vector regression （SVR） in the single-axis rotation inertial navigation system （SRINS）. GA is used for selecting the optimal parameters of SVR. The latitude error and the temperature variation during the identification stage are adopted as inputs of GA-SVR. The navigation results show that the proposed GA-SVR model can reach an identification accuracy of 0.000 2 （？）/h for the Z-axis drift of RLG. Compared with the ra-dial basis function-neural network （RBF-NN） model, the GA-SVR model is more effective in identification of the Z-axis drift of RLG.
文摘针对以往船舶备件需求预测精度不高,无法满足船舶综合保障的实际问题,文章建立一种基于改进红狐优化算法(improved red fox optimization,IRFO)的支持向量机回归(support vector regression,SVR)的船舶备件预测模型。为进一步提高红狐优化算法(red fox optimization,RFO)的寻优精度,重构其全局搜索公式,并融合精英反向学习策略。采用基准测试函数对IRFO算法进行仿真实验,实验表明,IRFO算法比RFO算法、粒子群算法、灰狼优化算法寻优能力更强,综合性能更优。基于船舶备件历史数据,建立IRFO-SVR船舶备件预测模型,通过对比其他模型的预测结果,表明IRFO-SVR的预测效果更佳。
文摘为给小麦的长势监测与农艺决策提供科学依据,利用高光谱技术实现了小麦冠层叶绿素含量的估测。通过分析18种高光谱指数对叶绿素的估测能力,筛选出可敏感表征叶绿素含量的指数REP,利用地面光谱数据为样本集,以最小二乘支持向量回归(least squares support vector regression,LS-SVR)算法建立了小麦冠层叶绿素含量反演模型,其校正决定系数C-R2与预测决定系数P-R2分别为0.751与0.722,在各指数中反演精度最高。进一步分析表明,REP对叶绿素含量以及LAI值较高与较低的样本均具备良好的预测能力,可有效避免样本取值范围以及冠层郁闭度等因素对叶绿素含量估测的影响。利用LS-SVR反演模型完成了OMIS影像叶绿素含量的遥感填图,并以地面实测值进行检验,其拟合模型R2与RMSE值分别为0.676与1.715。结果表明,高光谱指数REP所建立的LS-SVR模型实现了叶绿素含量的准确估测,可用于小麦叶绿素含量信息的快速、无损获取。
文摘为改进小麦冠层含氮率的高光谱测定模型,以正交试验筛选出小波去噪的最优参数组合(小波类型取haar,分解层数为5,阈值方案选择Fixed form threshold,噪声结构定为Unscaled white noise),并利用去噪后的小麦冠层光谱建立偏最小二乘回归(PLS)模型,对不同预处理方法进行比较分析。发现采用小波去噪结合一阶导数能最有效消除原始光谱的背景信息,此时PLS模型校正集均方根误差(RMSEC)为0.260,预测集均方根误差(RMSEP)为0.288。对经一阶导数结合小波去噪后的光谱用主成分分析(PCA)进行降维,以前6个主成份为输入变量,建立最小二乘支撑向量机回归模型(LS-SVR),其RMSEC与RMSEP分别为0.154与0.259,具有比PLS模型更高的精度。结果表明:以小波去噪结合一阶导数去除小麦冠层反射光谱中的土壤背景信息以提高模型的精度是可行的,且LS-SVR是建模的优选方法。
