Under Type-Ⅱ progressively hybrid censoring, this paper discusses statistical inference and optimal design on stepstress partially accelerated life test for hybrid system in presence of masked data. It is assumed tha...Under Type-Ⅱ progressively hybrid censoring, this paper discusses statistical inference and optimal design on stepstress partially accelerated life test for hybrid system in presence of masked data. It is assumed that the lifetime of the component in hybrid systems follows independent and identical modified Weibull distributions. The maximum likelihood estimations(MLEs)of the unknown parameters, acceleration factor and reliability indexes are derived by using the Newton-Raphson algorithm. The asymptotic variance-covariance matrix and the approximate confidence intervals are obtained based on normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of MLEs of model parameters. Moreover,two bootstrap confidence intervals are constructed by using the parametric bootstrap method. The optimal time of changing stress levels is determined under D-optimality and A-optimality criteria.Finally, the Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to illustrate the proposed procedures.展开更多
This paper proposes a simple constant-stress accel- erated life test （ALT） model from Burr type XII distribution when the data are Type-I progressively hybrid censored. The maximum likelihood estimation （MLE） of t...This paper proposes a simple constant-stress accel- erated life test （ALT） model from Burr type XII distribution when the data are Type-I progressively hybrid censored. The maximum likelihood estimation （MLE） of the parameters is obtained through the numerical method for solving the likelihood equations. Approxi- mate confidence interval （CI）, based on normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of MLE and percentile bootstrap Cl is derived. Finally, a numerical example is introduced and then a Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to illustrate the pro- posed method.展开更多
The optimum design of equivalent accelerated life testing plan based on proportional hazards-proportional odds model using D-optimality is presented. The defined equivalent test plan is the test plan that has the same...The optimum design of equivalent accelerated life testing plan based on proportional hazards-proportional odds model using D-optimality is presented. The defined equivalent test plan is the test plan that has the same value of the determinant of Fisher information matrix. The equivalent test plan of step stress accelerated life testing （SSALT） to a baseline optimum constant stress accelerated life testing （CSALT） plan is obtained by adjusting the censoring time of SSALT and solving the optimization problem for each case to achieve the same value of the determinant of Fisher information matrix as in the baseline optimum CSALT plan. Numer- ical examples are given finally which demonstrate the equivalent SSALT plan to the baseline optimum CSALT plan reduces almost half of the test time while achieving approximately the same estimation errors of model parameters.展开更多
针对航空装备在寿命周期内不只经历一个任务阶段,而当前加速寿命试验(accelerated life test,ALT)优化设计大多仅关注单一任务阶段的情况,提出一种综合环境下两阶段ALT优化设计方法。该方法采用拉丁超立方设计(Latin hypercube design,L...针对航空装备在寿命周期内不只经历一个任务阶段,而当前加速寿命试验(accelerated life test,ALT)优化设计大多仅关注单一任务阶段的情况,提出一种综合环境下两阶段ALT优化设计方法。该方法采用拉丁超立方设计(Latin hypercube design,LHD)确定两阶段试验整体的应力水平组合方式,解决前后阶段应力水平的组合问题;以两阶段试验中产品正常应力水平下P阶分位寿命估计的渐近方差之和最小为优化目标,构建优化设计的数学模型,解决前后阶段的样本分配问题。算例分析表明两阶段ALT优化设计方法的预测精度优于传统方法,参数敏感性分析表明该方法确定的最优试验方案具有一定的稳健性。该方法为实际工程中多任务阶段产品的ALT优化设计提供了一种新思路。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71401134 71571144+1 种基金 71171164)the Program of International Cooperation and Exchanges in Science and Technology Funded by Shaanxi Province(2016KW-033)
文摘Under Type-Ⅱ progressively hybrid censoring, this paper discusses statistical inference and optimal design on stepstress partially accelerated life test for hybrid system in presence of masked data. It is assumed that the lifetime of the component in hybrid systems follows independent and identical modified Weibull distributions. The maximum likelihood estimations(MLEs)of the unknown parameters, acceleration factor and reliability indexes are derived by using the Newton-Raphson algorithm. The asymptotic variance-covariance matrix and the approximate confidence intervals are obtained based on normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of MLEs of model parameters. Moreover,two bootstrap confidence intervals are constructed by using the parametric bootstrap method. The optimal time of changing stress levels is determined under D-optimality and A-optimality criteria.Finally, the Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to illustrate the proposed procedures.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(7117116470471057)
文摘This paper proposes a simple constant-stress accel- erated life test （ALT） model from Burr type XII distribution when the data are Type-I progressively hybrid censored. The maximum likelihood estimation （MLE） of the parameters is obtained through the numerical method for solving the likelihood equations. Approxi- mate confidence interval （CI）, based on normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of MLE and percentile bootstrap Cl is derived. Finally, a numerical example is introduced and then a Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to illustrate the pro- posed method.
文摘The optimum design of equivalent accelerated life testing plan based on proportional hazards-proportional odds model using D-optimality is presented. The defined equivalent test plan is the test plan that has the same value of the determinant of Fisher information matrix. The equivalent test plan of step stress accelerated life testing （SSALT） to a baseline optimum constant stress accelerated life testing （CSALT） plan is obtained by adjusting the censoring time of SSALT and solving the optimization problem for each case to achieve the same value of the determinant of Fisher information matrix as in the baseline optimum CSALT plan. Numer- ical examples are given finally which demonstrate the equivalent SSALT plan to the baseline optimum CSALT plan reduces almost half of the test time while achieving approximately the same estimation errors of model parameters.
文摘针对航空装备在寿命周期内不只经历一个任务阶段,而当前加速寿命试验(accelerated life test,ALT)优化设计大多仅关注单一任务阶段的情况,提出一种综合环境下两阶段ALT优化设计方法。该方法采用拉丁超立方设计(Latin hypercube design,LHD)确定两阶段试验整体的应力水平组合方式,解决前后阶段应力水平的组合问题;以两阶段试验中产品正常应力水平下P阶分位寿命估计的渐近方差之和最小为优化目标,构建优化设计的数学模型,解决前后阶段的样本分配问题。算例分析表明两阶段ALT优化设计方法的预测精度优于传统方法,参数敏感性分析表明该方法确定的最优试验方案具有一定的稳健性。该方法为实际工程中多任务阶段产品的ALT优化设计提供了一种新思路。
