Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,su...Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies.展开更多
The basic"current"statistical model and adaptive Kalman filter algorithm can not track a weakly maneuvering target precisely,though it has good estimate accuracy for strongly maneuvering target.In order to s...The basic"current"statistical model and adaptive Kalman filter algorithm can not track a weakly maneuvering target precisely,though it has good estimate accuracy for strongly maneuvering target.In order to solve this problem,a novel nonlinear fuzzy membership function was presented to adjust the upper and lower limit of target acceleration adaptively,and then the validity of the new algorithm for feeblish maneuvering target was proved in theory.At last,the computer simulation experiments indicated that the new algorithm has a great advantage over the basic"current"statistical model and adaptive algorithm.展开更多
Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a ...Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a statistical damage constitutive model and energy evolution mechanisms.Initially,integrating the principle of effective stress and the Hoek-Brown criterion,a statistical damage constitutive model for gas-bearing coal is established and validated through triaxial compression tests under different gas pressures to verify its accuracy and applicability.Subsequently,employing energy evolution mechanism,two energy characteristic parameters(elastic energy proportion and dissipated energy proportion)are analyzed.Based on the damage stress thresholds,the damage evolution characteristics of gas bearing coal were explored.Finally,by integrating energy characteristic parameters with damage parameters,a novel brittleness index is proposed.The results demonstrate that the theoretical curves derived from the statistical damage constitutive model closely align with the test curves,accurately reflecting the stress−strain characteristics of gas-bearing coal and revealing the stress drop and softening characteristics of coal in the post-peak stage.The shape parameter and scale parameter represent the brittleness and macroscopic strength of the coal,respectively.As gas pressure increases from 1 to 5 MPa,the shape parameter and the scale parameter decrease by 22.18%and 60.45%,respectively,indicating a reduction in both brittleness and strength of the coal.Parameters such as maximum damage rate and peak elastic energy storage limit positively correlate with coal brittleness.The brittleness index effectively captures the brittleness characteristics and reveals a decrease in brittleness and an increase in sensitivity to plastic deformation under higher gas pressure conditions.展开更多
This paper developed a statistical damage constitutive model for deep rock by considering the effects of external load and thermal treatment temperature based on the distortion energy.The model parameters were determi...This paper developed a statistical damage constitutive model for deep rock by considering the effects of external load and thermal treatment temperature based on the distortion energy.The model parameters were determined through the extremum features of stress−strain curve.Subsequently,the model predictions were compared with experimental results of marble samples.It is found that when the treatment temperature rises,the coupling damage evolution curve shows an S-shape and the slope of ascending branch gradually decreases during the coupling damage evolution process.At a constant temperature,confining pressure can suppress the expansion of micro-fractures.As the confining pressure increases the rock exhibits ductility characteristics,and the shape of coupling damage curve changes from an S-shape into a quasi-parabolic shape.This model can well characterize the influence of high temperature on the mechanical properties of deep rock and its brittleness-ductility transition characteristics under confining pressure.Also,it is suitable for sandstone and granite,especially in predicting the pre-peak stage and peak stress of stress−strain curve under the coupling action of confining pressure and high temperature.The relevant results can provide a reference for further research on the constitutive relationship of rock-like materials and their engineering applications.展开更多
Interacting multiple models is the hotspot in the research of maneuvering target models at present. A hierarchical idea is introduced into IMM algorithm. The method is that the whole models are organized as two levels...Interacting multiple models is the hotspot in the research of maneuvering target models at present. A hierarchical idea is introduced into IMM algorithm. The method is that the whole models are organized as two levels to co-work, and each cell model is an improved ＂current＂ statistical model. In the improved model, a kind of nonlinear fuzzy membership function is presented to get over the limitation of original model, which can not track weak maneuvering target precisely. At last, simulation experiments prove the efficient of the novel algorithm compared to interacting multiple model and hierarchical interacting multiple model based original ＂current＂ statistical model in tracking precision.展开更多
A multiple model tracking algorithm based on neural network and multiple-process noise soft-switching for maneuvering targets is presented.In this algorithm, the＂current＂statistical model and neural network are runn...A multiple model tracking algorithm based on neural network and multiple-process noise soft-switching for maneuvering targets is presented.In this algorithm, the＂current＂statistical model and neural network are running in parallel.The neural network algorithm is used to modify the adaptive noise filtering algorithm based on the mean value and variance of the＂current＂statistical model for maneuvering targets, and then the multiple model tracking algorithm of the multiple processing switch is used to improve the precision of tracking maneuvering targets.The modified algorithm is proved to be effective by simulation.展开更多
The logarithmic model is often used to describe the relationships between factors.It often gives good statistical characteristics.Yet,in the process of modeling of soil and water conservation,we find out that this“g...The logarithmic model is often used to describe the relationships between factors.It often gives good statistical characteristics.Yet,in the process of modeling of soil and water conservation,we find out that this“good”model cannot guarantee good result.In this paper we make an inquiry into the intrinsic reasons.It is shown that the logarithmic model has the property of enlarging or reducing model errors,and the disadvantages of the logarithmic model are analyzed.展开更多
Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with g...Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with good performance and less computation.2) Class-based method always loses the prediction ability to adapt the text in different domains.In order to solve above problems,a definition of word similarity by utilizing mutual information was presented.Based on word similarity,the definition of word set similarity was given.Experiments show that word clustering algorithm based on similarity is better than conventional greedy clustering method in speed and performance,and the perplexity is reduced from 283 to 218.At the same time,an absolute weighted difference method was presented and was used to construct vari-gram language model which has good prediction ability.The perplexity of vari-gram model is reduced from 234.65 to 219.14 on Chinese corpora,and is reduced from 195.56 to 184.25 on English corpora compared with category-based model.展开更多
Evaluating how park characteristics affect the formation of a park cool island(PCI) is the premise of guiding green parks planning in mountain cities.The diurnal variation of PCI intensity was achieved,and correlation...Evaluating how park characteristics affect the formation of a park cool island(PCI) is the premise of guiding green parks planning in mountain cities.The diurnal variation of PCI intensity was achieved,and correlations between PCI intensity and park characteristics such as park area,landscape shape index(LSI),green ratio and altitude were analyzed,using 3 010 temperature and humidity data from measurements in six parks with typical park characteristics in Chongqing,China.The results indicate that:1) the main factor determining PCI intensity is park area,which leads to obvious cool island effect when it exceeds 14 hm2;2) there is a negative correlation between PCI intensity and LSI,showing that the rounder the park shape is,the better the cool island effect could be achieved;3) regression analysis of humidity and PCI intensity proves that photosynthesis midday depression(PMD) is an important factor causing the low PCI intensity at 13:00;4) the multivariable linear regression model proposed here could effectively well predict the daily PCI intensity in mountain cities.展开更多
In the paper,the statistical modeling method of the lightning attachment process to extended objects has been proposed.The modeling takes into account the probabilities of lightning occurrence with current of differen...In the paper,the statistical modeling method of the lightning attachment process to extended objects has been proposed.The modeling takes into account the probabilities of lightning occurrence with current of different amplitudes, and nonlinear variation of spark resistance at leader channel growth.The method also takes into consideration the dependency of velocity and acceleration of a lightning leader on its potential.The propagation of lightning channel towards the earth is tortuous and random in orientation and does not depend upon ground objects until it enters into"last stroke zone".It assumes that the lightning leader channel orientation begins when its streamer zone touches the earth,a grounded object,a grounded lightning rod or a streamer zone of the ascending leader.The probable frequency of lightning strikes to an investigated object can be obtained by the summation of the total probable number of strikes of all possible potentials at each node of the object,appearing with the assigned probability,as well as the points of origin of the heads of lightning leaders from all nodes on the plain(over the object) at corresponding heights.The proposed method is implemented to calculate the lightning stroke probability to a high voltage substation. Due to lightning attraction from the territory greater than that of the investigated object,the total number of annual probable lightning strokes to the object is increased by 1.28 times in comparison with the case of the same flat territory.展开更多
The accuracy of background clutter model is a key factor which determines the performance of a constant false alarm rate(CFAR) target detection method. G0 distribution is one of the optimal statistic models in the syn...The accuracy of background clutter model is a key factor which determines the performance of a constant false alarm rate(CFAR) target detection method. G0 distribution is one of the optimal statistic models in the synthetic aperture radar(SAR) image background clutter modeling and can accurately model various complex background clutters in the SAR images. But the application of the distribution is greatly limited by its disadvantages that the parameter estimation is complex and the local detection threshold is difficult to be obtained. In order to solve the above-mentioned problems, an synthetic aperture radar CFAR target detection method using the logarithmic cumulant(Mo LC) + method of moment(Mo M)-based G0 distribution clutter model is proposed. In the method, G0 distribution is used for modeling the background clutters, a new Mo LC+Mo M-based parameter estimation method coupled with a fast iterative algorithm is used for estimating the parameters of G0 distribution and an exquisite dichotomy method is used for obtaining the local detection threshold of CFAR detection, which greatly improves the computational efficiency, detection performance and environmental adaptability of CFAR detection. Experimental results show that the proposed SAR CFAR target detection method has good target detection performance in various complex background clutter environments.展开更多
基金funded through India Meteorological Department,New Delhi,India under the Forecasting Agricultural output using Space,Agrometeorol ogy and Land based observations(FASAL)project and fund number:No.ASC/FASAL/KT-11/01/HQ-2010.
文摘Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies.
文摘The basic"current"statistical model and adaptive Kalman filter algorithm can not track a weakly maneuvering target precisely,though it has good estimate accuracy for strongly maneuvering target.In order to solve this problem,a novel nonlinear fuzzy membership function was presented to adjust the upper and lower limit of target acceleration adaptively,and then the validity of the new algorithm for feeblish maneuvering target was proved in theory.At last,the computer simulation experiments indicated that the new algorithm has a great advantage over the basic"current"statistical model and adaptive algorithm.
基金Project(52274096)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(WS2023A03)supported by the State Key Laboratory Cultivation Base for Gas Geology and Gas Control,China。
文摘Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a statistical damage constitutive model and energy evolution mechanisms.Initially,integrating the principle of effective stress and the Hoek-Brown criterion,a statistical damage constitutive model for gas-bearing coal is established and validated through triaxial compression tests under different gas pressures to verify its accuracy and applicability.Subsequently,employing energy evolution mechanism,two energy characteristic parameters(elastic energy proportion and dissipated energy proportion)are analyzed.Based on the damage stress thresholds,the damage evolution characteristics of gas bearing coal were explored.Finally,by integrating energy characteristic parameters with damage parameters,a novel brittleness index is proposed.The results demonstrate that the theoretical curves derived from the statistical damage constitutive model closely align with the test curves,accurately reflecting the stress−strain characteristics of gas-bearing coal and revealing the stress drop and softening characteristics of coal in the post-peak stage.The shape parameter and scale parameter represent the brittleness and macroscopic strength of the coal,respectively.As gas pressure increases from 1 to 5 MPa,the shape parameter and the scale parameter decrease by 22.18%and 60.45%,respectively,indicating a reduction in both brittleness and strength of the coal.Parameters such as maximum damage rate and peak elastic energy storage limit positively correlate with coal brittleness.The brittleness index effectively captures the brittleness characteristics and reveals a decrease in brittleness and an increase in sensitivity to plastic deformation under higher gas pressure conditions.
基金Project(11272119)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China。
文摘This paper developed a statistical damage constitutive model for deep rock by considering the effects of external load and thermal treatment temperature based on the distortion energy.The model parameters were determined through the extremum features of stress−strain curve.Subsequently,the model predictions were compared with experimental results of marble samples.It is found that when the treatment temperature rises,the coupling damage evolution curve shows an S-shape and the slope of ascending branch gradually decreases during the coupling damage evolution process.At a constant temperature,confining pressure can suppress the expansion of micro-fractures.As the confining pressure increases the rock exhibits ductility characteristics,and the shape of coupling damage curve changes from an S-shape into a quasi-parabolic shape.This model can well characterize the influence of high temperature on the mechanical properties of deep rock and its brittleness-ductility transition characteristics under confining pressure.Also,it is suitable for sandstone and granite,especially in predicting the pre-peak stage and peak stress of stress−strain curve under the coupling action of confining pressure and high temperature.The relevant results can provide a reference for further research on the constitutive relationship of rock-like materials and their engineering applications.
文摘Interacting multiple models is the hotspot in the research of maneuvering target models at present. A hierarchical idea is introduced into IMM algorithm. The method is that the whole models are organized as two levels to co-work, and each cell model is an improved ＂current＂ statistical model. In the improved model, a kind of nonlinear fuzzy membership function is presented to get over the limitation of original model, which can not track weak maneuvering target precisely. At last, simulation experiments prove the efficient of the novel algorithm compared to interacting multiple model and hierarchical interacting multiple model based original ＂current＂ statistical model in tracking precision.
文摘A multiple model tracking algorithm based on neural network and multiple-process noise soft-switching for maneuvering targets is presented.In this algorithm, the＂current＂statistical model and neural network are running in parallel.The neural network algorithm is used to modify the adaptive noise filtering algorithm based on the mean value and variance of the＂current＂statistical model for maneuvering targets, and then the multiple model tracking algorithm of the multiple processing switch is used to improve the precision of tracking maneuvering targets.The modified algorithm is proved to be effective by simulation.
基金Supported by the Ministry of Educational,China(2003-58)the Research Fund for thr Doctoral Programs of the Ministry of Education,China(2002-173)
文摘The logarithmic model is often used to describe the relationships between factors.It often gives good statistical characteristics.Yet,in the process of modeling of soil and water conservation,we find out that this“good”model cannot guarantee good result.In this paper we make an inquiry into the intrinsic reasons.It is shown that the logarithmic model has the property of enlarging or reducing model errors,and the disadvantages of the logarithmic model are analyzed.
基金Project(60763001) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2010GZS0072) supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province,ChinaProject(GJJ12271) supported by the Science and Technology Foundation of Provincial Education Department of Jiangxi Province,China
文摘Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with good performance and less computation.2) Class-based method always loses the prediction ability to adapt the text in different domains.In order to solve above problems,a definition of word similarity by utilizing mutual information was presented.Based on word similarity,the definition of word set similarity was given.Experiments show that word clustering algorithm based on similarity is better than conventional greedy clustering method in speed and performance,and the perplexity is reduced from 283 to 218.At the same time,an absolute weighted difference method was presented and was used to construct vari-gram language model which has good prediction ability.The perplexity of vari-gram model is reduced from 234.65 to 219.14 on Chinese corpora,and is reduced from 195.56 to 184.25 on English corpora compared with category-based model.
基金Project(2006BAJ02A02-05) supported by the National Key Technologies R&D Program of China
文摘Evaluating how park characteristics affect the formation of a park cool island(PCI) is the premise of guiding green parks planning in mountain cities.The diurnal variation of PCI intensity was achieved,and correlations between PCI intensity and park characteristics such as park area,landscape shape index(LSI),green ratio and altitude were analyzed,using 3 010 temperature and humidity data from measurements in six parks with typical park characteristics in Chongqing,China.The results indicate that:1) the main factor determining PCI intensity is park area,which leads to obvious cool island effect when it exceeds 14 hm2;2) there is a negative correlation between PCI intensity and LSI,showing that the rounder the park shape is,the better the cool island effect could be achieved;3) regression analysis of humidity and PCI intensity proves that photosynthesis midday depression(PMD) is an important factor causing the low PCI intensity at 13:00;4) the multivariable linear regression model proposed here could effectively well predict the daily PCI intensity in mountain cities.
文摘In the paper,the statistical modeling method of the lightning attachment process to extended objects has been proposed.The modeling takes into account the probabilities of lightning occurrence with current of different amplitudes, and nonlinear variation of spark resistance at leader channel growth.The method also takes into consideration the dependency of velocity and acceleration of a lightning leader on its potential.The propagation of lightning channel towards the earth is tortuous and random in orientation and does not depend upon ground objects until it enters into"last stroke zone".It assumes that the lightning leader channel orientation begins when its streamer zone touches the earth,a grounded object,a grounded lightning rod or a streamer zone of the ascending leader.The probable frequency of lightning strikes to an investigated object can be obtained by the summation of the total probable number of strikes of all possible potentials at each node of the object,appearing with the assigned probability,as well as the points of origin of the heads of lightning leaders from all nodes on the plain(over the object) at corresponding heights.The proposed method is implemented to calculate the lightning stroke probability to a high voltage substation. Due to lightning attraction from the territory greater than that of the investigated object,the total number of annual probable lightning strokes to the object is increased by 1.28 times in comparison with the case of the same flat territory.
基金Project(61105020)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(13zxtk08)supported by the Key Research Platform for Research Projects of Southwest University of Science and Technology,China
文摘The accuracy of background clutter model is a key factor which determines the performance of a constant false alarm rate(CFAR) target detection method. G0 distribution is one of the optimal statistic models in the synthetic aperture radar(SAR) image background clutter modeling and can accurately model various complex background clutters in the SAR images. But the application of the distribution is greatly limited by its disadvantages that the parameter estimation is complex and the local detection threshold is difficult to be obtained. In order to solve the above-mentioned problems, an synthetic aperture radar CFAR target detection method using the logarithmic cumulant(Mo LC) + method of moment(Mo M)-based G0 distribution clutter model is proposed. In the method, G0 distribution is used for modeling the background clutters, a new Mo LC+Mo M-based parameter estimation method coupled with a fast iterative algorithm is used for estimating the parameters of G0 distribution and an exquisite dichotomy method is used for obtaining the local detection threshold of CFAR detection, which greatly improves the computational efficiency, detection performance and environmental adaptability of CFAR detection. Experimental results show that the proposed SAR CFAR target detection method has good target detection performance in various complex background clutter environments.
