Though traditional methods could recognize some facies, e.g. lagoon facies, backshoal facies and foreshoal facies, they couldn't recognize reef facies and shoal facies well. To solve this problem, back propagation...Though traditional methods could recognize some facies, e.g. lagoon facies, backshoal facies and foreshoal facies, they couldn't recognize reef facies and shoal facies well. To solve this problem, back propagation neural network(BP-ANN) and an improved BP-ANN with better stability and suitability, optimized by a particle swarm optimizer(PSO) algorithm(PSO-BP-ANN) were proposed to solve the microfacies' auto discrimination of M formation from the R oil field in Iraq. Fourteen wells with complete core, borehole and log data were chosen as the standard wells and 120 microfacies samples were inferred from these 14 wells. Besides, the average value of gamma, neutron and density logs as well as the sum of squares of deviations of gamma were extracted as key parameters to build log facies(facies from log measurements)-microfacies transforming model. The total 120 log facies samples were divided into 12 kinds of log facies and 6 kinds of microfacies, e.g. lagoon bioclasts micrite limestone microfacies, shoal bioclasts grainstone microfacies, backshoal bioclasts packstone microfacies, foreshoal bioclasts micrite limestone microfacies, shallow continental micrite limestone microfacies and reef limestone microfacies. Furthermore, 68 samples of these 120 log facies samples were chosen as training samples and another 52 samples were gotten as testing samples to test the predicting ability of the discrimination template. Compared with conventional methods, like Bayes stepwise discrimination, both the BP-ANN and PSO-BP-ANN can integrate more log details with a correct rate higher than 85%. Furthermore, PSO-BP-ANN has more simple structure, smaller amount of weight and threshold and less iteration time.展开更多
为了针对性地制定后续优化措施,以降低多机场终端区内航班延误所带来的不利影响,并提高多机场系统内各机场的运营效率,进行多机场终端区航班延误的预测研究。首先,考虑多机场终端区交通态势对航班延误的影响,在对多机场终端区交通态势...为了针对性地制定后续优化措施,以降低多机场终端区内航班延误所带来的不利影响,并提高多机场系统内各机场的运营效率,进行多机场终端区航班延误的预测研究。首先,考虑多机场终端区交通态势对航班延误的影响,在对多机场终端区交通态势进行分析的基础上,建立6个描述终端区交通态势的指标。接着,构建反向传播(back propagation,BP)神经网络航班延误预测模型,将终端区交通态势指标、航班信息和天气环境数据等作为输入,航班延误时间作为输出,并利用粒子群优化算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)优化BP神经网络进行训练。通过实例验证和分析,基于多机场终端区交通态势的航班延误预测能够有效提高预测准确率,同时,通过粒子群优化BP神经网络的预测模型预测准确率均高于一般的考虑交通态势的BP和遗传算法优化的BP神经网络模型(genetic algorithm and back propagation,GA-BP)。展开更多
基金Project(41272137) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Though traditional methods could recognize some facies, e.g. lagoon facies, backshoal facies and foreshoal facies, they couldn't recognize reef facies and shoal facies well. To solve this problem, back propagation neural network(BP-ANN) and an improved BP-ANN with better stability and suitability, optimized by a particle swarm optimizer(PSO) algorithm(PSO-BP-ANN) were proposed to solve the microfacies' auto discrimination of M formation from the R oil field in Iraq. Fourteen wells with complete core, borehole and log data were chosen as the standard wells and 120 microfacies samples were inferred from these 14 wells. Besides, the average value of gamma, neutron and density logs as well as the sum of squares of deviations of gamma were extracted as key parameters to build log facies(facies from log measurements)-microfacies transforming model. The total 120 log facies samples were divided into 12 kinds of log facies and 6 kinds of microfacies, e.g. lagoon bioclasts micrite limestone microfacies, shoal bioclasts grainstone microfacies, backshoal bioclasts packstone microfacies, foreshoal bioclasts micrite limestone microfacies, shallow continental micrite limestone microfacies and reef limestone microfacies. Furthermore, 68 samples of these 120 log facies samples were chosen as training samples and another 52 samples were gotten as testing samples to test the predicting ability of the discrimination template. Compared with conventional methods, like Bayes stepwise discrimination, both the BP-ANN and PSO-BP-ANN can integrate more log details with a correct rate higher than 85%. Furthermore, PSO-BP-ANN has more simple structure, smaller amount of weight and threshold and less iteration time.
文摘为了针对性地制定后续优化措施,以降低多机场终端区内航班延误所带来的不利影响,并提高多机场系统内各机场的运营效率,进行多机场终端区航班延误的预测研究。首先,考虑多机场终端区交通态势对航班延误的影响,在对多机场终端区交通态势进行分析的基础上,建立6个描述终端区交通态势的指标。接着,构建反向传播(back propagation,BP)神经网络航班延误预测模型,将终端区交通态势指标、航班信息和天气环境数据等作为输入,航班延误时间作为输出,并利用粒子群优化算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)优化BP神经网络进行训练。通过实例验证和分析,基于多机场终端区交通态势的航班延误预测能够有效提高预测准确率,同时,通过粒子群优化BP神经网络的预测模型预测准确率均高于一般的考虑交通态势的BP和遗传算法优化的BP神经网络模型(genetic algorithm and back propagation,GA-BP)。
