For the large number of nonlinear degradation devices existing in a project, the existing methods have not systematically studied the effects of random effect on the remaining lifetime(RL),the accuracy and efficiency ...For the large number of nonlinear degradation devices existing in a project, the existing methods have not systematically studied the effects of random effect on the remaining lifetime(RL),the accuracy and efficiency of the parameters estimation are not high, and the current degradation state of the target device is not accurately estimated. In this paper, a nonlinear Wiener degradation model with random effect is proposed and the corresponding probability density function(PDF) of the first hitting time(FHT)is deduced. A parameter estimation method based on modified expectation maximum(EM) algorithm is proposed to obtain the estimated value of fixed coefficient and the priori value of random coefficient in the model. The posterior value of the random coefficient and the current degradation state of target device are updated synchronously by the state space model(SSM) and the Kalman filter algorithm. The PDF of RL with random effect is deduced. A simulation example is analyzed to verify that the proposed method has the obvious advantage over the existing methods in parameter estimation error and RL prediction accuracy.展开更多
基于模块化多电平变换器的有源电力滤波器MMC-APF(modular multilevel converter-based active power filter)是用来处理非线性负载对电网带来的污染问题最有效的拓扑之一。提出了一种基于改进有限状态多步模型预测控制的MMC-APF,仅通...基于模块化多电平变换器的有源电力滤波器MMC-APF(modular multilevel converter-based active power filter)是用来处理非线性负载对电网带来的污染问题最有效的拓扑之一。提出了一种基于改进有限状态多步模型预测控制的MMC-APF,仅通过基波同步旋转坐标系实现对所有谐波的控制。首先,使用PI加重复控制的电流环复合控制得到上、下桥臂预导通子模块数,在此基础上进行多步交流侧电流模型预测,最终得到桥臂投入子模块数的最优解,缩小了寻找目标函数最优电平的搜索范围,无需设计权重因子,每相桥臂子模块的总投入数为[N-1,N+1],交流侧输出电平数最大可达2N+1,提高了MMC-APF交流侧电流补偿精度,并改善了系统动态性能。最后,搭建了MMC-APF平台,仿真和实验结果与理论分析一致,进一步验证了所提研究方案的可行性和有效性。展开更多
基金supported by the National Defense Foundation of China(71601183)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2017M623415)
文摘For the large number of nonlinear degradation devices existing in a project, the existing methods have not systematically studied the effects of random effect on the remaining lifetime(RL),the accuracy and efficiency of the parameters estimation are not high, and the current degradation state of the target device is not accurately estimated. In this paper, a nonlinear Wiener degradation model with random effect is proposed and the corresponding probability density function(PDF) of the first hitting time(FHT)is deduced. A parameter estimation method based on modified expectation maximum(EM) algorithm is proposed to obtain the estimated value of fixed coefficient and the priori value of random coefficient in the model. The posterior value of the random coefficient and the current degradation state of target device are updated synchronously by the state space model(SSM) and the Kalman filter algorithm. The PDF of RL with random effect is deduced. A simulation example is analyzed to verify that the proposed method has the obvious advantage over the existing methods in parameter estimation error and RL prediction accuracy.
文摘基于模块化多电平变换器的有源电力滤波器MMC-APF(modular multilevel converter-based active power filter)是用来处理非线性负载对电网带来的污染问题最有效的拓扑之一。提出了一种基于改进有限状态多步模型预测控制的MMC-APF,仅通过基波同步旋转坐标系实现对所有谐波的控制。首先,使用PI加重复控制的电流环复合控制得到上、下桥臂预导通子模块数,在此基础上进行多步交流侧电流模型预测,最终得到桥臂投入子模块数的最优解,缩小了寻找目标函数最优电平的搜索范围,无需设计权重因子,每相桥臂子模块的总投入数为[N-1,N+1],交流侧输出电平数最大可达2N+1,提高了MMC-APF交流侧电流补偿精度,并改善了系统动态性能。最后,搭建了MMC-APF平台,仿真和实验结果与理论分析一致,进一步验证了所提研究方案的可行性和有效性。
