The purpose of this study was to determine a suitable model for investigating the effects of climate factors on the area burned by forest fire in the Tahe forest region, Daxing＇an Mountains, in northeast China. The r...The purpose of this study was to determine a suitable model for investigating the effects of climate factors on the area burned by forest fire in the Tahe forest region, Daxing＇an Mountains, in northeast China. The response variables were the area burned by lightning- caused fire, human-caused fire, and total burned area. The predictor variables were nine climate variables collected from the local weather station. Three regression models were utilized, including multiple linear regression, log- linear model （log-transformation on both response and predictor variables）, and gamma-generalized linear model. The goodness-of-fit of the models were compared based on model fitting statistics such as R2, AIC, and RMSE. The results revealed that the gamma-generalized linear model was generally superior to both multiple linear regressionmodel and log-linear model for fitting the fire data. Further, the best models were selected based on the criteria that the climate variables were statistically significant at at = 0.05. The gamma best models indicated that maximum wind speed, precipitation, and days that rainfall greater than 0.1 mm had significant impacts on the area burned by the lightning-caused fire, while the mean temperature and minimum relative humidity were the .main drivers of the burned area caused by human activities. Overall, the total burned area by forest fire was significantly influenced by days that rainfall greater than 0.1 mm and minimum rela- tive humidity, indicating that the moisture condition of forest stands determine the burned area by forest fire.展开更多
Various nodes,logistics,capital flows,and information flows are required to make systematic decisions concerning the operation of an integrated coal supply system. We describe a quantitative analysis of such a system....Various nodes,logistics,capital flows,and information flows are required to make systematic decisions concerning the operation of an integrated coal supply system. We describe a quantitative analysis of such a system. A dynamic optimization model of the supply chain is developed. It has achieved optimal system profit under conditions guaranteeing a certain level of customer satisfaction. Applying this model to coal production of the Xuzhou coal mines allows recommendations for a more systematic use of washing and processing,transportation and sale resources for commercial coal production to be made. The results show that this model,which is scientific and effective,has an important value for making reasonable decisions related to complex coal enterprises.展开更多
With the development of multichannel audio systems, corresponding audio quality assessment techniques, especially the objective prediction models, have received increasing attention. Existing methods, such as PEAQ(Per...With the development of multichannel audio systems, corresponding audio quality assessment techniques, especially the objective prediction models, have received increasing attention. Existing methods, such as PEAQ(Perceptual Evaluation of Audio Quality) recommended by ITU, usually lead to poor results when assessing multichannel audio, which have little correlation with subjective scores. In this paper, a novel two-layer model based on Multiple Linear Regression(MLR) and Neural Network(NN) is proposed. Through the first layer, two indicators of multichannel audio, Audio Quality Score(AQS) and Spatial Perception Score(SPS) are derived, and through the second layer the overall score is output. The final results show that this model can not only improve the correlation with the subjective test score by 30.7% and decrease the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) by 44.6%, but also add two new indicators: AQS and SPS, which can help reflect the multichannel audio quality more clearly.展开更多
目的科学评价芙蓉李果实成熟期间的营养品质,建立色度值表观特征与营养品质的关系。方法以福建省主栽品种芙蓉李为研究对象,对其成熟期间果糖、葡萄糖、蔗糖、苹果酸、奎尼酸、琥珀酸、柠檬酸、富马酸、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3...目的科学评价芙蓉李果实成熟期间的营养品质,建立色度值表观特征与营养品质的关系。方法以福建省主栽品种芙蓉李为研究对象,对其成熟期间果糖、葡萄糖、蔗糖、苹果酸、奎尼酸、琥珀酸、柠檬酸、富马酸、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3-葡萄糖苷、多酚、黄酮、类胡萝卜素等13个品质指标进行分析和综合评价。结果芙蓉李成熟期间,各品质指标的含量变化存在显著差异(P<0.05),综合运用相关分析、因子分析、绝对因子分析-多元线性回归(absolute principal component scores-multiple linear regression,APCS-MLR)分析筛选可反映芙蓉李综合品质的主要指标。因子分析提取出3个主因子,贡献率分别为52.677%、23.468%、11.649%,累计贡献率为87.794%。综合APCS-MLR等数理统计分析,主因子1主要对果糖、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3-葡萄糖苷贡献较大,贡献率分别为53.00%、73.85%、55.54%;主因子2主要对蔗糖、富马酸、果糖、柠檬酸的贡献率较大,分别为28.26%、18.70%、16.14%、15.59%;主因子3主要对多酚(29.13%)和黄酮(28.28%)有较大贡献率;选取3个主因子总贡献率高于60%的果糖、葡萄糖、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3-葡萄糖苷作为综合品质评价的主要指标。分别对已筛选出的4个主要评价指标与色度值进行多元线性逐步回归分析,建立4个主要指标与色度值的表观预测模型,各模型均具有较好的拟合度,预测值与实测值的均方根误差较小;进一步验证结果表明,通过色度值对4个指标的预测具有较高的可靠性和准确性。结论本研究筛选出的主要指标及预测模型可更加简单、便捷地评价芙蓉李果实成熟期间的综合品质。展开更多
基金funded by Asia-Pacific Forests Net(APFNET/2010/FPF/001)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.31400552)Forestry industry research special funds for public welfare projects(201404402)
文摘The purpose of this study was to determine a suitable model for investigating the effects of climate factors on the area burned by forest fire in the Tahe forest region, Daxing＇an Mountains, in northeast China. The response variables were the area burned by lightning- caused fire, human-caused fire, and total burned area. The predictor variables were nine climate variables collected from the local weather station. Three regression models were utilized, including multiple linear regression, log- linear model （log-transformation on both response and predictor variables）, and gamma-generalized linear model. The goodness-of-fit of the models were compared based on model fitting statistics such as R2, AIC, and RMSE. The results revealed that the gamma-generalized linear model was generally superior to both multiple linear regressionmodel and log-linear model for fitting the fire data. Further, the best models were selected based on the criteria that the climate variables were statistically significant at at = 0.05. The gamma best models indicated that maximum wind speed, precipitation, and days that rainfall greater than 0.1 mm had significant impacts on the area burned by the lightning-caused fire, while the mean temperature and minimum relative humidity were the .main drivers of the burned area caused by human activities. Overall, the total burned area by forest fire was significantly influenced by days that rainfall greater than 0.1 mm and minimum rela- tive humidity, indicating that the moisture condition of forest stands determine the burned area by forest fire.
文摘Various nodes,logistics,capital flows,and information flows are required to make systematic decisions concerning the operation of an integrated coal supply system. We describe a quantitative analysis of such a system. A dynamic optimization model of the supply chain is developed. It has achieved optimal system profit under conditions guaranteeing a certain level of customer satisfaction. Applying this model to coal production of the Xuzhou coal mines allows recommendations for a more systematic use of washing and processing,transportation and sale resources for commercial coal production to be made. The results show that this model,which is scientific and effective,has an important value for making reasonable decisions related to complex coal enterprises.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.61571044,No.11590772,and No.61473041)
文摘With the development of multichannel audio systems, corresponding audio quality assessment techniques, especially the objective prediction models, have received increasing attention. Existing methods, such as PEAQ(Perceptual Evaluation of Audio Quality) recommended by ITU, usually lead to poor results when assessing multichannel audio, which have little correlation with subjective scores. In this paper, a novel two-layer model based on Multiple Linear Regression(MLR) and Neural Network(NN) is proposed. Through the first layer, two indicators of multichannel audio, Audio Quality Score(AQS) and Spatial Perception Score(SPS) are derived, and through the second layer the overall score is output. The final results show that this model can not only improve the correlation with the subjective test score by 30.7% and decrease the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) by 44.6%, but also add two new indicators: AQS and SPS, which can help reflect the multichannel audio quality more clearly.
文摘目的科学评价芙蓉李果实成熟期间的营养品质,建立色度值表观特征与营养品质的关系。方法以福建省主栽品种芙蓉李为研究对象,对其成熟期间果糖、葡萄糖、蔗糖、苹果酸、奎尼酸、琥珀酸、柠檬酸、富马酸、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3-葡萄糖苷、多酚、黄酮、类胡萝卜素等13个品质指标进行分析和综合评价。结果芙蓉李成熟期间,各品质指标的含量变化存在显著差异(P<0.05),综合运用相关分析、因子分析、绝对因子分析-多元线性回归(absolute principal component scores-multiple linear regression,APCS-MLR)分析筛选可反映芙蓉李综合品质的主要指标。因子分析提取出3个主因子,贡献率分别为52.677%、23.468%、11.649%,累计贡献率为87.794%。综合APCS-MLR等数理统计分析,主因子1主要对果糖、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3-葡萄糖苷贡献较大,贡献率分别为53.00%、73.85%、55.54%;主因子2主要对蔗糖、富马酸、果糖、柠檬酸的贡献率较大,分别为28.26%、18.70%、16.14%、15.59%;主因子3主要对多酚(29.13%)和黄酮(28.28%)有较大贡献率;选取3个主因子总贡献率高于60%的果糖、葡萄糖、矢车菊素-3-芸香糖苷、矢车菊素-3-葡萄糖苷作为综合品质评价的主要指标。分别对已筛选出的4个主要评价指标与色度值进行多元线性逐步回归分析,建立4个主要指标与色度值的表观预测模型,各模型均具有较好的拟合度,预测值与实测值的均方根误差较小;进一步验证结果表明,通过色度值对4个指标的预测具有较高的可靠性和准确性。结论本研究筛选出的主要指标及预测模型可更加简单、便捷地评价芙蓉李果实成熟期间的综合品质。
