The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to elimin...The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to eliminate the random fluctuations or errors of the observational data of all variables, and the combined prediction model together with the multiple linear regression is established in order to improve the simulation and prediction accuracy of the combined model. Finally, a combined model of the MGM（1,2） with optimized background value and the binary linear regression is constructed by an example. The results show that the model has good effects for simulation and prediction.展开更多
In the process of shield tunneling through soft soil layers,the presence of confined water ahead poses a significant threat to the stability of the tunnel face.Therefore,it is crucial to consider the impact of confine...In the process of shield tunneling through soft soil layers,the presence of confined water ahead poses a significant threat to the stability of the tunnel face.Therefore,it is crucial to consider the impact of confined water on the limit support pressure of the tunnel face.This study employed the finite element method(FEM)to analyze the limit support pressure of shield tunnel face instability within a pressurized water-containing layer.Subsequently,a multiple linear regression approach was applied to derive a concise solution formula for the limit support pressure,incorporating various influencing factors.The analysis yields the following conclusions:1)The influence of confined water on the instability mode of the tunnel face in soft soil layers makes the displacement response of the strata not significant when the face is unstable;2)The limit support pressure increases approximately linearly with the pressure head,shield tunnel diameter,and tunnel burial depth.And inversely proportional to the thickness of the impermeable layer,soil cohesion and internal friction angle;3)Through an engineering case study analysis,the results align well with those obtained from traditional theoretical methods,thereby validating the rationality of the equations proposed in this paper.Furthermore,the proposed equations overcome the limitation of traditional theoretical approaches considering the influence of changes in impermeable layer thickness.It can accurately depict the dynamic variation in the required limit support pressure to maintain the stability of the tunnel face during shield tunneling,thus better reflecting engineering reality.展开更多
In order to resolve the state estimation problem of nonlinear/non-Gaussian systems, a new kind of quadrature Kalman particle filter （QKPF） is proposed. In this new algorithm, quadrature Kalman filter （QKF） is used...In order to resolve the state estimation problem of nonlinear/non-Gaussian systems, a new kind of quadrature Kalman particle filter （QKPF） is proposed. In this new algorithm, quadrature Kalman filter （QKF） is used for generating the impor- tance density function. It linearizes the nonlinear functions using statistical linear regression method through a set of Gaussian- Hermite quadrature points. It need not compute the Jacobian matrix and is easy to be implemented. Moreover, the importantce density function integrates the latest measurements into system state transition density, so the approximation to the system poste- rior density is improved. The theoretical analysis and experimen- tal results show that, compared with the unscented partcle filter （UPF）, the estimation accuracy of the new particle filter is improved almost by 18%, and its calculation cost is decreased a little. So, QKPF is an effective nonlinear filtering algorithm.展开更多
Near infrared spectrometer technology under a wavelength range of 918-1045 nm was used to rapidly detect paddy rice that was stored at 5℃, 15℃ and 25℃. A total of 121 paddy rice samples were collected from artifici...Near infrared spectrometer technology under a wavelength range of 918-1045 nm was used to rapidly detect paddy rice that was stored at 5℃, 15℃ and 25℃. A total of 121 paddy rice samples were collected from artificial infection with moulds to build the calibration models to calculate the total number colony of moulds based on the principal component regression method and multiple linear regression method. The results of statistical analysis indicated that multiple linear regression method was applicable to the detection of the total number colony of moulds. The correlation of calibration data set was 0.943. The correlation of prediction data set was 0.897. Therefore, the result showed that near infrared spectroscopy could be a useful instrumental method for determining the total number colony of moulds in paddy rice. The near infrared spectroscopy methodology could be applied for monitoring mould contamination in postharvest paddy rice during storage and might become a powerful tool for monitoring the safety of the grain.展开更多
The cost and safety of geotechnical engineering are highly depending on the accuracy of soil shear strength parameters.There are three methods often used to estimate soil shear strength parameters,i.e.,moment method,3...The cost and safety of geotechnical engineering are highly depending on the accuracy of soil shear strength parameters.There are three methods often used to estimate soil shear strength parameters,i.e.,moment method,3-sigma rule and linear regression method.In this study,the accuracy of these three methods is compared.Traditional linear regression method(LRM)can only offer the mean of shear strength parameters.Some engineers misuse the standard error of shear strength indexes as the standard deviations.Such misuse may highly underestimate the uncertainty and induce high risk to the geotechnical design.A modified LRM is proposed to determine both the mean and variance of shear strength parameters.The moment method,three-sigma rule and LRM are used to analyze the tri-axial test data in Xiaolangdi Hydraulic Project and three numerical shear strength tests.The results demonstrate that:1)The modified LRM can offer the most accurate estimation to shear strength parameters;2)A dimensionless formula is much preferred in LRM rather than a dimensional formula.The stress ratio formula is much better than stress relation in the shear strength parameter analysis.The proposed method is applicable to shear strength parameter analysis for tri-axial test data,direct shear test and the un-drained shear strength test of stratified clay.展开更多
The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems(ANFIS)are widely used in the concrete technology.In this research,the compressive strength of light weight concrete was determined.To this end,the scoria percentage and curin...The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems(ANFIS)are widely used in the concrete technology.In this research,the compressive strength of light weight concrete was determined.To this end,the scoria percentage and curing day variables were used as the input parameters,and compressive strength and tensile strength were used as the output parameters.In addition,100 patterns were used,70%of which were used for training and 30%were used for testing.To assess the precision of the neuro-fuzzy system,it was compared using two linear regression models.The comparisons were carried out in the training and testing phases.Research results revealed that the neuro-fuzzy systems model offers more potential,flexibility,and precision than the statistical models.展开更多
The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated ...The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated VBR video traffic is made. Different methods to estimate stability parameter a and self-similar parameter H are compared. Processes to generate the linear fractional stable noise （LFSN） and the alpha stable random variables are provided. Model construction and the quantitative comparisons with fractional Brown motion （FBM） and real traffic are also examined. Open problems and future directions are also given with thoughtful discussions.展开更多
The thermal decomposition temperature is one of the most important parameters to evaluate fire hazard of organic peroxide. A quantitative structure-property relationship model was proposed for estimating the thermal d...The thermal decomposition temperature is one of the most important parameters to evaluate fire hazard of organic peroxide. A quantitative structure-property relationship model was proposed for estimating the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. The entire set of 38 organic peroxides was at random divided into a training set for model development and a prediction set for external model validation. The novel local molecular descriptors of AT1, AT2, AT3, AT4, AT5, AT6 and global molecular descriptor of ATC have been proposed in order to character organic peroxides’ molecular structures. An accurate quantitative structure-property relationship （QSPR） equation is developed for the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. The statistical results showed that the QSPR model was obtained using the multiple linear regression （MLR） method with correlation coefficient （R）, standard deviation （S）, leave-one-out validation correlation coefficient （RCV） values of 0.9795, 6.5676 ℃ and 0.9328, respectively. The average absolute relative deviation （AARD） is only 3.86% for the experimental values. Model test by internal leave-one-out cross validation and external validation and molecular descriptor interpretation were discussed. Comparison with literature results demonstrated that novel local and global descriptors were useful molecular descriptors for predicting the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71071077)the Ministry of Education Key Project of National Educational Science Planning(DFA090215)+1 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(20100481137)Funding of Jiangsu Innovation Program for Graduate Education(CXZZ11-0226)
文摘The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to eliminate the random fluctuations or errors of the observational data of all variables, and the combined prediction model together with the multiple linear regression is established in order to improve the simulation and prediction accuracy of the combined model. Finally, a combined model of the MGM（1,2） with optimized background value and the binary linear regression is constructed by an example. The results show that the model has good effects for simulation and prediction.
基金Project(ZDRW-ZS-2021-3)supported by the Key Deployment Projects of Chinese Academy of SciencesProjects(52179116,51991392)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China。
文摘In the process of shield tunneling through soft soil layers,the presence of confined water ahead poses a significant threat to the stability of the tunnel face.Therefore,it is crucial to consider the impact of confined water on the limit support pressure of the tunnel face.This study employed the finite element method(FEM)to analyze the limit support pressure of shield tunnel face instability within a pressurized water-containing layer.Subsequently,a multiple linear regression approach was applied to derive a concise solution formula for the limit support pressure,incorporating various influencing factors.The analysis yields the following conclusions:1)The influence of confined water on the instability mode of the tunnel face in soft soil layers makes the displacement response of the strata not significant when the face is unstable;2)The limit support pressure increases approximately linearly with the pressure head,shield tunnel diameter,and tunnel burial depth.And inversely proportional to the thickness of the impermeable layer,soil cohesion and internal friction angle;3)Through an engineering case study analysis,the results align well with those obtained from traditional theoretical methods,thereby validating the rationality of the equations proposed in this paper.Furthermore,the proposed equations overcome the limitation of traditional theoretical approaches considering the influence of changes in impermeable layer thickness.It can accurately depict the dynamic variation in the required limit support pressure to maintain the stability of the tunnel face during shield tunneling,thus better reflecting engineering reality.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60574033)
文摘In order to resolve the state estimation problem of nonlinear/non-Gaussian systems, a new kind of quadrature Kalman particle filter （QKPF） is proposed. In this new algorithm, quadrature Kalman filter （QKF） is used for generating the impor- tance density function. It linearizes the nonlinear functions using statistical linear regression method through a set of Gaussian- Hermite quadrature points. It need not compute the Jacobian matrix and is easy to be implemented. Moreover, the importantce density function integrates the latest measurements into system state transition density, so the approximation to the system poste- rior density is improved. The theoretical analysis and experimen- tal results show that, compared with the unscented partcle filter （UPF）, the estimation accuracy of the new particle filter is improved almost by 18%, and its calculation cost is decreased a little. So, QKPF is an effective nonlinear filtering algorithm.
基金Supported by the National 12th Five-year Plan for Science&Technology Support Fund(2012BAK08B04-02)the Heilongjiang Science and Technology Plan(GC12B404)
文摘Near infrared spectrometer technology under a wavelength range of 918-1045 nm was used to rapidly detect paddy rice that was stored at 5℃, 15℃ and 25℃. A total of 121 paddy rice samples were collected from artificial infection with moulds to build the calibration models to calculate the total number colony of moulds based on the principal component regression method and multiple linear regression method. The results of statistical analysis indicated that multiple linear regression method was applicable to the detection of the total number colony of moulds. The correlation of calibration data set was 0.943. The correlation of prediction data set was 0.897. Therefore, the result showed that near infrared spectroscopy could be a useful instrumental method for determining the total number colony of moulds in paddy rice. The near infrared spectroscopy methodology could be applied for monitoring mould contamination in postharvest paddy rice during storage and might become a powerful tool for monitoring the safety of the grain.
基金Project(2017YFC0404803) supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of ChinaProject(51678040) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(8192034) supported by the Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation,China
文摘The cost and safety of geotechnical engineering are highly depending on the accuracy of soil shear strength parameters.There are three methods often used to estimate soil shear strength parameters,i.e.,moment method,3-sigma rule and linear regression method.In this study,the accuracy of these three methods is compared.Traditional linear regression method(LRM)can only offer the mean of shear strength parameters.Some engineers misuse the standard error of shear strength indexes as the standard deviations.Such misuse may highly underestimate the uncertainty and induce high risk to the geotechnical design.A modified LRM is proposed to determine both the mean and variance of shear strength parameters.The moment method,three-sigma rule and LRM are used to analyze the tri-axial test data in Xiaolangdi Hydraulic Project and three numerical shear strength tests.The results demonstrate that:1)The modified LRM can offer the most accurate estimation to shear strength parameters;2)A dimensionless formula is much preferred in LRM rather than a dimensional formula.The stress ratio formula is much better than stress relation in the shear strength parameter analysis.The proposed method is applicable to shear strength parameter analysis for tri-axial test data,direct shear test and the un-drained shear strength test of stratified clay.
文摘The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems(ANFIS)are widely used in the concrete technology.In this research,the compressive strength of light weight concrete was determined.To this end,the scoria percentage and curing day variables were used as the input parameters,and compressive strength and tensile strength were used as the output parameters.In addition,100 patterns were used,70%of which were used for training and 30%were used for testing.To assess the precision of the neuro-fuzzy system,it was compared using two linear regression models.The comparisons were carried out in the training and testing phases.Research results revealed that the neuro-fuzzy systems model offers more potential,flexibility,and precision than the statistical models.
文摘The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated VBR video traffic is made. Different methods to estimate stability parameter a and self-similar parameter H are compared. Processes to generate the linear fractional stable noise （LFSN） and the alpha stable random variables are provided. Model construction and the quantitative comparisons with fractional Brown motion （FBM） and real traffic are also examined. Open problems and future directions are also given with thoughtful discussions.
基金Project(2015SK20823) supported by Science and Technology Project of Hunan Province,ChinaProject(15A001) supported by Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education Department,China+2 种基金Project(2017CL06) supported by Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Materials Protection for Electric Power and Transportation,ChinaProject(k1403029-11) supported by Science and Technology Project of Changsha City,ChinaProject(CX2015B372) supported by the Hunan Provincial Innovation Foundation for Postgraduate,China
文摘The thermal decomposition temperature is one of the most important parameters to evaluate fire hazard of organic peroxide. A quantitative structure-property relationship model was proposed for estimating the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. The entire set of 38 organic peroxides was at random divided into a training set for model development and a prediction set for external model validation. The novel local molecular descriptors of AT1, AT2, AT3, AT4, AT5, AT6 and global molecular descriptor of ATC have been proposed in order to character organic peroxides’ molecular structures. An accurate quantitative structure-property relationship （QSPR） equation is developed for the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. The statistical results showed that the QSPR model was obtained using the multiple linear regression （MLR） method with correlation coefficient （R）, standard deviation （S）, leave-one-out validation correlation coefficient （RCV） values of 0.9795, 6.5676 ℃ and 0.9328, respectively. The average absolute relative deviation （AARD） is only 3.86% for the experimental values. Model test by internal leave-one-out cross validation and external validation and molecular descriptor interpretation were discussed. Comparison with literature results demonstrated that novel local and global descriptors were useful molecular descriptors for predicting the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides.
