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Least Squares Support Vector Machine Based Real-Time Fault Diagnosis Model for Gas Path Parameters of Aero Engines 被引量:2
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作者 王旭辉 黄圣国 +2 位作者 王烨 刘永建 舒平 《Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(English Edition)》 2009年第1期22-26,共5页
Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is applied in gas path fault diagnosis for aero engines. Firstly, the deviation data of engine cruise are analyzed. Then, model selection is conducted using pattern sear... Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is applied in gas path fault diagnosis for aero engines. Firstly, the deviation data of engine cruise are analyzed. Then, model selection is conducted using pattern search method. Finally, by decoding aircraft communication addressing and reporting system (ACARS) report, a real-time cruise data set is acquired, and the diagnosis model is adopted to process data. In contrast to the radial basis function (RBF) neutral network, LS-SVM is more suitable for real-time diagnosis of gas turbine engine. 展开更多
关键词 Engine diagnosis Gas path least squares support vector machine Pattern search
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Prediction of chaotic systems with multidimensional recurrent least squares support vector machines 被引量:2
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作者 孙建成 周亚同 罗建国 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2006年第6期1208-1215,共8页
In this paper, we propose a multidimensional version of recurrent least squares support vector machines (MDRLS- SVM) to solve the problem about the prediction of chaotic system. To acquire better prediction performa... In this paper, we propose a multidimensional version of recurrent least squares support vector machines (MDRLS- SVM) to solve the problem about the prediction of chaotic system. To acquire better prediction performance, the high-dimensional space, which provides more information on the system than the scalar time series, is first reconstructed utilizing Takens's embedding theorem. Then the MDRLS-SVM instead of traditional RLS-SVM is used in the high- dimensional space, and the prediction performance can be improved from the point of view of reconstructed embedding phase space. In addition, the MDRLS-SVM algorithm is analysed in the context of noise, and we also find that the MDRLS-SVM has lower sensitivity to noise than the RLS-SVM. 展开更多
关键词 chaotic systems support vector machines least squares noise
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Fault diagnosis using a probability least squares support vector classification machine 被引量:4
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作者 GAO Yang, WANG Xuesong, CHENG Yuhu, PAN Jie School of Information and Electrical Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第6期917-921,共5页
Coal mines require various kinds of machinery. The fault diagnosis of this equipment has a great impact on mine production. The problem of incorrect classification of noisy data by traditional support vector machines ... Coal mines require various kinds of machinery. The fault diagnosis of this equipment has a great impact on mine production. The problem of incorrect classification of noisy data by traditional support vector machines is addressed by a proposed Probability Least Squares Support Vector Classification Machine (PLSSVCM). Samples that cannot be definitely determined as belonging to one class will be assigned to a class by the PLSSVCM based on a probability value. This gives the classification results both a qualitative explanation and a quantitative evaluation. Simulation results of a fault diagnosis show that the correct rate of the PLSSVCM is 100%. Even though samples are noisy, the PLSSVCM still can effectively realize multi-class fault diagnosis of a roller bearing. The generalization property of the PLSSVCM is better than that of a neural network and a LSSVCM. 展开更多
关键词 fault diagnosis PROBABILITY least squares support vector classification machine roller bearing
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Design of Ballistic Consistency Based on Least Squares Support Vector Machine and Particle Swarm Optimization
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作者 张宇宸 杜忠华 戴炜 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2015年第5期549-554,共6页
In order to improve the firing efficiency of projectiles,it is required to use the universal firing table for gun weapon system equipped with a variety of projectiles.Moreover,the foundation of sharing the universal f... In order to improve the firing efficiency of projectiles,it is required to use the universal firing table for gun weapon system equipped with a variety of projectiles.Moreover,the foundation of sharing the universal firing table is the ballistic matching for two types of projectiles.Therefore,a method is proposed in the process of designing new type of projectile.The least squares support vector machine is utilized to build the ballistic trajectory model of the original projectile,thus it is viable to compare the two trajectories.Then the particle swarm optimization is applied to find the combination of trajectory parameters which meet the criterion of ballistic matching best.Finally,examples show the proposed method is valid and feasible. 展开更多
关键词 ballistic matching least squares support vector machine particle swarm optimization curve fitting
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ONLINE PARSIMONIOUS LEAST SQUARES SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION AND ITS APPLICATION 被引量:2
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作者 赵永平 孙健国 王健康 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2009年第4期280-287,共8页
A simple and effective mechanism is proposed to realize the parsimoniousness of the online least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR), and the approach is called the OPLS-SVR for short. Hence, the response tim... A simple and effective mechanism is proposed to realize the parsimoniousness of the online least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR), and the approach is called the OPLS-SVR for short. Hence, the response time is curtailed. Besides, an OPLS-SVR based analytical redundancy technique is presented to cope with the sensor failure and drift problems to guarantee that the provided signals for the aeroengine controller are correct and acceptable. Experiments on the sensor failure and drift show the effectiveness and the validity of the proposed analytical redundancy. 展开更多
关键词 support vector machines SENSORS least squares analytical redundancy aeroengines
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NOVEL WEIGHTED LEAST SQUARES SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION FOR THRUST ESTIMATION ON PERFORMANCE DETERIORATION OF AERO-ENGINE 被引量:2
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作者 苏伟生 赵永平 孙健国 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2012年第1期25-32,共8页
A thrust estimator with high precision and excellent real-time performance is needed to mitigate perfor- mance deterioration for future aero-engines. A weight least squares support vector regression is proposed using ... A thrust estimator with high precision and excellent real-time performance is needed to mitigate perfor- mance deterioration for future aero-engines. A weight least squares support vector regression is proposed using a novel weighting strategy. Then a thrust estimator based on the proposed regression is designed for the perfor- mance deterioration. Compared with the existing weighting strategy, the novel one not only satisfies the require- ment of precision but also enhances the real-time performance. Finally, numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed weighted least squares support vector regression for thrust estimator. Key words : intelligent engine control; least squares ; support vector machine ; performance deterioration 展开更多
关键词 intelligent engine control least squares support vector machine performance deterioration
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BOOSTING SPARSE LEAST SQUARES SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION (BSLSSVR) AND ITS APPLICATION TO THRUST ESTIMATION 被引量:2
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作者 赵永平 孙健国 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2008年第4期254-261,共8页
In order to realize direct thrust control instead of conventional sensors-based control for aero-engine, a thrust estimator with high accuracy is designed by using the boosting technique to improve the performance of ... In order to realize direct thrust control instead of conventional sensors-based control for aero-engine, a thrust estimator with high accuracy is designed by using the boosting technique to improve the performance of least squares support vector regression (LSSVR). There exist two distinct features compared with the conven- tional boosting technique: (1) Sampling without replacement is used to avoid numerical instability for modeling LSSVR. (2) To realize the sparseness of LSSVR and reduce the computational complexity, only a subset of the training samples is used to construct LSSVR. Thus, this boosting method for LSSVR is called the boosting sparse LSSVR (BSLSSVR). Finally, simulation results show that BSLSSVR-based thrust estimator can satisfy the requirement of direct thrust control, i.e. , maximum absolute value of relative error of thrust estimation is not more than 5‰. 展开更多
关键词 least squares support vector machines direct thrust control boosting technique
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Small-time scale network traffic prediction based on a local support vector machine regression model 被引量:10
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作者 孟庆芳 陈月辉 彭玉华 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第6期2194-2199,共6页
In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the... In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the reconstructed phase space, the local support vector machine prediction method is used to predict the traffic measurement data, and the BIC-based neighbouring point selection method is used to choose the number of the nearest neighbouring points for the local support vector machine regression model. The experimental results show that the local support vector machine prediction method whose neighbouring points are optimized can effectively predict the small-time scale traffic measurement data and can reproduce the statistical features of real traffic measurements. 展开更多
关键词 network traffic small-time scale nonlinear time series analysis support vector machine regression model
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Casing life prediction using Borda and support vector machine methods 被引量:4
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作者 Xu Zhiqian Yan Xiangzhen Yang Xiujuan 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第3期416-421,共6页
Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts ... Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine (SVM), a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 support vector machine method Borda method life prediction model failure modes RISKFACTORS
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An Eigen-Normal Approach for 3D Mesh Watermarking Using Support Vector Machines
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作者 Rakhi Motwani Mukesh Motwani +1 位作者 Frederick Harris Sergiu Dascalu 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS 2010年第3期237-243,共7页
The use of support vector machines (SVM) for watermarking of 3D mesh models is investigated. SVMs have been widely explored for images, audio, and video watermarking but to date the potential of SVMs has not been ex... The use of support vector machines (SVM) for watermarking of 3D mesh models is investigated. SVMs have been widely explored for images, audio, and video watermarking but to date the potential of SVMs has not been explored in the 3D watermarking domain. The proposed approach utilizes SVM as a binary classifier for the selection of vertices for watermark embedding. The SVM is trained with feature vectors derived from the angular difference between the eigen normal and surface normals of a 1-ring neighborhood of vertices taken from normalized 3D mesh models. The SVM learns to classify vertices as appropriate or inappropriate candidates for modification in order to accommodate the watermark. Experimental results verify that the proposed algorithm is imperceptible and robust against attacks such as mesh smoothing, cropping and noise addition. 展开更多
关键词 3D mesh models support vector machine watermarking.
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Deep learning CNN-APSO-LSSVM hybrid fusion model for feature optimization and gas-bearing prediction
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作者 Jiu-Qiang Yang Nian-Tian Lin +3 位作者 Kai Zhang Yan Cui Chao Fu Dong Zhang 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期2329-2344,共16页
Conventional machine learning(CML)methods have been successfully applied for gas reservoir prediction.Their prediction accuracy largely depends on the quality of the sample data;therefore,feature optimization of the i... Conventional machine learning(CML)methods have been successfully applied for gas reservoir prediction.Their prediction accuracy largely depends on the quality of the sample data;therefore,feature optimization of the input samples is particularly important.Commonly used feature optimization methods increase the interpretability of gas reservoirs;however,their steps are cumbersome,and the selected features cannot sufficiently guide CML models to mine the intrinsic features of sample data efficiently.In contrast to CML methods,deep learning(DL)methods can directly extract the important features of targets from raw data.Therefore,this study proposes a feature optimization and gas-bearing prediction method based on a hybrid fusion model that combines a convolutional neural network(CNN)and an adaptive particle swarm optimization-least squares support vector machine(APSO-LSSVM).This model adopts an end-to-end algorithm structure to directly extract features from sensitive multicomponent seismic attributes,considerably simplifying the feature optimization.A CNN was used for feature optimization to highlight sensitive gas reservoir information.APSO-LSSVM was used to fully learn the relationship between the features extracted by the CNN to obtain the prediction results.The constructed hybrid fusion model improves gas-bearing prediction accuracy through two processes of feature optimization and intelligent prediction,giving full play to the advantages of DL and CML methods.The prediction results obtained are better than those of a single CNN model or APSO-LSSVM model.In the feature optimization process of multicomponent seismic attribute data,CNN has demonstrated better gas reservoir feature extraction capabilities than commonly used attribute optimization methods.In the prediction process,the APSO-LSSVM model can learn the gas reservoir characteristics better than the LSSVM model and has a higher prediction accuracy.The constructed CNN-APSO-LSSVM model had lower errors and a better fit on the test dataset than the other individual models.This method proves the effectiveness of DL technology for the feature extraction of gas reservoirs and provides a feasible way to combine DL and CML technologies to predict gas reservoirs. 展开更多
关键词 Multicomponent seismic data Deep learning Adaptive particle swarm optimization Convolutional neural network least squares support vector machine Feature optimization Gas-bearing distribution prediction
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新能源汽车驱动电机冷却系统劣化故障预测
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作者 柳炽伟 黄韵迪 《汽车安全与节能学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期277-285,共9页
提出一种主成分分析及粒子群优化支持向量机(PCA-GOA-LSSVM)的多分类器模型,用于尽早检测和预测新能源汽车驱动电机冷却系统的劣化,减少因冷却液温度过高导致的电机功率限制或停机状况的发生。其中主成分分析法(PCA)用于对故障特征进行... 提出一种主成分分析及粒子群优化支持向量机(PCA-GOA-LSSVM)的多分类器模型,用于尽早检测和预测新能源汽车驱动电机冷却系统的劣化,减少因冷却液温度过高导致的电机功率限制或停机状况的发生。其中主成分分析法(PCA)用于对故障特征进行降维重构处理,蝗虫算法(GOA)用来优化最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)的参数。通过实车故障试验采集样本数据,分别输入至LSSVM预测模型、PCA-PSO-SVM及PCA-GOA-LSSVM模型,进行对比测试。结果表明:基于PCA-GOA-LSSVM的多分类器预测模型准确率达91.41%、精确率达86.25%,高于对比的预测模型,可准确提醒及时维护车辆及有效判断故障类型;该模型能够用于新能源汽车驱动电机冷却系统性能劣化预测和故障诊断中。 展开更多
关键词 新能源汽车 驱动电机冷却系统 故障预测 最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM) 蝗虫算法(GOA) 主成分分析(PCA)
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融合长短期记忆网络和支持向量机的Wi-Fi室内入侵检测
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作者 王长浩 张懿祥 +1 位作者 张强 郝嘉耀 《电子技术应用》 2025年第5期68-76,共9页
基于Wi-Fi感知的室内入侵检测系统是一种无需在移动实体上附加任何设备即可检测移动实体的系统。针对目前检测方法忽略复杂的幅度变化和相位变化引起的潜在影响,提出了融合长短期记忆网络和支持向量机的室内入侵检测新方法LSID(Long Sho... 基于Wi-Fi感知的室内入侵检测系统是一种无需在移动实体上附加任何设备即可检测移动实体的系统。针对目前检测方法忽略复杂的幅度变化和相位变化引起的潜在影响,提出了融合长短期记忆网络和支持向量机的室内入侵检测新方法LSID(Long Short-Term Memory and Support Vector Machine Intrusion Detection)。LSID方法采用一种新的特征值建模方式,利用长短期记忆网络可以学习到时序特征并且能捕捉时序信号长期的依赖关系,将信道状态信息真实值与长短期记忆神经网络的预测值之差作为特征值,能更准确地捕捉入侵者对信号状态信息的影响。该检测方法在学校实验室环境下经过多次实验验证,最终检测准确率达到99.21%,通过多组实验比对,结果显示LSID方法具有有效性和可行性,相比于其他入侵检测方法准确率明显提升。 展开更多
关键词 室内入侵 长短期记忆网络 支持向量机 特征值建模
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基于红外视觉特征融合的矿井外因火灾监测方法
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作者 李晓宇 范伟强 +1 位作者 刘毅 霍跃华 《矿业科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期116-124,共9页
为了解决矿井复杂环境下外因火灾监测误报率和漏报率较高的问题,提出基于红外视觉特征融合的矿井外因火灾监测算法。首先,改进红外小目标检测的局部对比度度量(LCM)模型,提高早期火灾目标的显著度,进而分割出火灾疑似区域;其次,通过分... 为了解决矿井复杂环境下外因火灾监测误报率和漏报率较高的问题,提出基于红外视觉特征融合的矿井外因火灾监测算法。首先,改进红外小目标检测的局部对比度度量(LCM)模型,提高早期火灾目标的显著度,进而分割出火灾疑似区域;其次,通过分析不同监视场景下外因火灾和主要干扰热源在热红外图像序列中的视觉特征,选出抗干扰能力强的火灾显著特征;然后,优选火灾显著特征提取方法和相似度估计策略,以获取热红外图像序列中火灾疑似区域的主要视觉特征,并构建火灾特征向量;最后,通过建立特征向量集,构建基于支持向量机(SVM)的矿井外因火灾检测模型,对所提算法进行验证。结果表明:所提算法不仅能监测不同场景下的外因火灾,还能够监测远距离和早期阶段的外因火灾,其正确率和检测率分别达到96.93%、96.24%,误检率低至2.56%;相较于对比算法,所提算法在火灾监测的准确率、误报率和漏报率方面均有较大的改善。 展开更多
关键词 矿井外因火灾 红外视觉特征 局部对比度度量(LCM)模型 特征向量 支持向量机(SVM)
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土石坝渗流预测的BiTCN-Attention-LSSVM模型研究
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作者 傅蜀燕 杨石勇 +2 位作者 陈德辉 王子轩 欧斌 《水资源与水工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期118-128,共11页
为了克服常规机器学习模型在处理时序数据时难以有效捕捉长期依赖关系和局部重要性的局限,提出了一种基于双向时序卷积神经网络(BiTCN)、注意力机制(Attention)和最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)的土石坝渗流预测耦合模型。该模型利用BiTCN... 为了克服常规机器学习模型在处理时序数据时难以有效捕捉长期依赖关系和局部重要性的局限,提出了一种基于双向时序卷积神经网络(BiTCN)、注意力机制(Attention)和最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)的土石坝渗流预测耦合模型。该模型利用BiTCN从前、后两个方向捕获时序数据中的长期依赖关系,引入Attention机制帮助模型专注于与预测相关的关键局部特征,并将BiTCN-Attention深度处理后的特征输入LSSVM模型中进行预测,最后以2个不同的数据集分析了模型的预测效果。案例分析表明:与LSSVM、CNN-LSSVM和TCN-LSSVM相比,BiTCN-Attention-LSSVM模型预测的各项评价指标均为最优,在土石坝测压管水位预测中展现出更高的模型精度和稳定性;BiTCN与Attention的相互结合能够更好地提取时序数据中的相互依赖关系,将BiTCN-Attention提取的特征输入LSSVM中进行预测可获得良好的预测性能,数据集扩充处理后有效提高了模型的学习能力。 展开更多
关键词 土石坝测压管水位 渗流预测 双向时序卷积神经网络 注意力机制 最小二乘支持向量机
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基于支持向量回归(SVR)的马尾松木材脱脂率预测
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作者 郭佳伦 钟浩珉 +1 位作者 赵俊博 陈瑶 《北京林业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期151-161,共11页
【目的】脱脂处理是提升松木制品性能的重要手段,但传统脱脂率检测方法耗时且破坏试样。本研究旨在探索一种快速、无损的脱脂率检测方法,基于木材表面颜色变化,利用支持向量回归(SVR)构建脱脂率预测模型。【方法】采用氨气-水蒸气在高... 【目的】脱脂处理是提升松木制品性能的重要手段,但传统脱脂率检测方法耗时且破坏试样。本研究旨在探索一种快速、无损的脱脂率检测方法,基于木材表面颜色变化,利用支持向量回归(SVR)构建脱脂率预测模型。【方法】采用氨气-水蒸气在高温条件下对马尾松木材进行处理,分析不同条件对木材表面颜色参数和脱脂率的影响,探讨其相关性。利用3种不同的核函数(多项式核函数、Sigmoid核函数、径向基函数)构建基于SVR的脱脂率预测模型,并通过比较选择最优模型。【结果】经氨气-水蒸气热处理脱脂后,马尾松表面明度(L^(*))和黄蓝指数(b^(*))低于未处理木材,红绿指数(a^(*))则高于未处理木材。随着氨水质量分数和处理温度的增加,L^(*)、a^(*)和b^(*)呈逐渐降低趋势,总色差(ΔE^(*))逐渐增大,脱脂率随之提高。在180℃、较高氨水质量分数的处理条件下,ΔE^(*)达到最大值58.89,脱脂率达到最高值70.00%。颜色参数与脱脂率呈局部二次函数关系,相关系数最高为0.713。在以径向基函数为核函数的SVR模型中,预测含脂率和脱脂率的均方根误差分别为0.523和4.315,决定系数分别为0.847和0.823,该预测模型可应用于脱脂率检测的前期筛选。【结论】本研究成功构建了基于SVR的马尾松木材脱脂率预测模型。该模型在脱脂率检测的前期筛选中具有一定的应用价值,能够在一定程度上实现检测过程的快速、简便和无损化。本研究为马尾松木材脱脂率检测的效率提升和质量改进提供了一种新的方法。 展开更多
关键词 支持向量回归 机器学习 预测模型 脱脂 马尾松 颜色参数
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基于Stackelberg博弈与改进深度神经网络的多源调频协调策略研究
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作者 王永文 赵雪锋 +5 位作者 李夏叶 詹巍 单怡琳 闫启明 赵泽宇 杨锡运 《全球能源互联网》 北大核心 2025年第1期76-86,共11页
随着电网中新能源渗透率的增加,传统火电机组调频已无法满足电能质量需求。针对多源场景中传统自动发电控制系统区域控制误差较大的问题,提出一种基于Stackelberg博弈与改进深度神经网络(Stackelberg game and improved deep neural net... 随着电网中新能源渗透率的增加,传统火电机组调频已无法满足电能质量需求。针对多源场景中传统自动发电控制系统区域控制误差较大的问题,提出一种基于Stackelberg博弈与改进深度神经网络(Stackelberg game and improved deep neural network,S-DNN)的多源调频协调策略。首先,设计一种改进多层次深度神经网络(deep neural network,DNN),由DNN层、自然梯度提升层、最小二乘支持向量机层顺序递进完成预测、评价、执行动作,输出总调频功率指令。该多层次总调频功率输出模型考虑新能源渗透率对调频系统的动态影响,充分学习历史信息与实时状态中更多的特征,提高了时序调频指令精度。然后基于Stackelberg博弈理论,考虑多源调频特征与协同作用,优化各调频源间的功率分配,提高系统二次调频的经济性。最后,通过算例分析验证了提出的多源调频协调策略的有效性。与传统调频方法相比,所提出的S-DNN多源调频协调策略可有效降低区域控制误差与频率偏差,并降低调频成本。 展开更多
关键词 多源系统 二次调频 STACKELBERG博弈 深度神经网络 自然梯度提升 最小二乘支持向量机
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4种机器学习算法构建的临床预测模型在预测结直肠癌患者术前营养不良中的价值
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作者 刘瑶 刘娟 葛玉红 《护士进修杂志》 2025年第9期939-945,967,共8页
目的采用4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良的临床风险预测模型,探讨其预测价值。方法回顾性收集2023年1月—2024年5月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院胃肠外科就诊的412例结直肠癌患者的术前资料;按7∶3的比例随机分为训练... 目的采用4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良的临床风险预测模型,探讨其预测价值。方法回顾性收集2023年1月—2024年5月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院胃肠外科就诊的412例结直肠癌患者的术前资料;按7∶3的比例随机分为训练集(n=288)和验证集(n=124),采用单因素分析及二元logistic回归分析筛选出术前营养不良的预测因子;基于逻辑回归(LR)、支持向量机(SVM)、轻量级梯度提升(LightGBM)、多层感知机(MLP)4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良风险预测模型,绘制ROC曲线评价4种算法模型预测效能,通过Delong检验比较4种模型的AUC差异。选择最优算法模型,采用校准曲线和临床决策曲线(DCA曲线)进行验证。结果(1)结直肠癌患者术前营养不良发生率为33.7%,年龄、Braden评分是其独立危险因素;(2)训练集中LightGBM算法模型预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的AUC高于LR、SVM、MLP算法模型(0.941 VS 0.874、0.830、0.831);(3)ROC曲线结果提示,LightGBM算法模型验证集中预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的AUC为0.926(95%CI:0.882~0.969);校准曲线显示,LightGBM算法模型预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的曲线与实际发生营养不良一致性良好;DCA曲线结果显示,LightGBM算法模型在阈值概率区间为0.16~0.79可以提供显著临床净收益。结论基于LightGBM算法构建的临床预测模型在预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良中有较高价值,可以为临床人员实施营养管理提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 结直肠肿瘤 营养不良 机器学习 预测模型 逻辑回归 支持向量机 轻量级梯度提升 多层感知机
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基于DBO-SVC的煤层底板突水灾害预测
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作者 张志 刘进晓 《山东煤炭科技》 2025年第5期168-173,共6页
针对底板突水的随机性、非线性问题,准确预测底板突水危险性。根据滨湖煤矿的实际地质资料和勘探活动,选择了13种主要控制因素,作为突水预测的关键指标,提出了一种基于蜣螂优化算法(DBO)-支持向量分类(SVC)的煤层底板突水灾害预测模型,... 针对底板突水的随机性、非线性问题,准确预测底板突水危险性。根据滨湖煤矿的实际地质资料和勘探活动,选择了13种主要控制因素,作为突水预测的关键指标,提出了一种基于蜣螂优化算法(DBO)-支持向量分类(SVC)的煤层底板突水灾害预测模型,运用归一化模型减少数据梯度,在MATLAB软件上采用蜣螂优化算法(DBO)对SVC的参数进行训练,进而获得最佳参数,结合实例数据将DBO-SVC模型与KPCA-DBO-SVC模型、DBO-BP模型、BP模型进行对比。结果表明:DBO-SVC模型能够使模型避免局部最优的缺陷,可以较大程度地提高收敛速度,具有更好的识别准确性、更高的数据匹配能力和更小的误差范围。研究结果为更加准确地实现煤层底板突水预测与判别提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 底板突水 预测模型 蜣螂优化算法 支持向量机
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基于SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型的城市用水量实时预测
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作者 李轩 吴永强 +2 位作者 王佳伟 杨伟超 张天洋 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2025年第3期36-39,6,共5页
为提高气象波动下城市用水量预测精度,通过季节性分解的趋势—季节性—残差程序(STL)将城市时用水量分解为趋势分量、季节性分量和残差分量3部分,使用季节性自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)对季节性部分进行捕捉,利用支持向量机(SVM)提取趋... 为提高气象波动下城市用水量预测精度,通过季节性分解的趋势—季节性—残差程序(STL)将城市时用水量分解为趋势分量、季节性分量和残差分量3部分,使用季节性自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)对季节性部分进行捕捉,利用支持向量机(SVM)提取趋势部分与气温、降水、风速、气压和相对湿度5个气象因素之间的关系,利用长短时记忆网络(LSTM)对波动性明显的残差部分进行关系捕捉,构建了SVM-SARIMA-LSTM用水量实时预测模型,并利用衡水市3个月时用水量数据和气象数据训练SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型,以随后1周的实测数据作为验证集对模型预测性能进行评估。结果表明,SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型的平均绝对百分比误差(E_(MAP))比SARIMA模型低4.502%,均方根误差(E_(RMSE))降低了39.084%,确定系数R^(2)提高了9.965%,最大绝对误差(E_(maxA))减小了55.946%,具有较好的应用价值。所建模型通过整合关键气象因素,准确地捕捉到城市用水量的季节性趋势及非季节性波动,展现了优良的泛化性。 展开更多
关键词 SARIMA模型 支持向量机 长短时记忆神经网络 SVM-SARIMA-LSTM模型 STL分解程序 气象因素 用水量预测
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