Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is applied in gas path fault diagnosis for aero engines. Firstly, the deviation data of engine cruise are analyzed. Then, model selection is conducted using pattern sear...Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is applied in gas path fault diagnosis for aero engines. Firstly, the deviation data of engine cruise are analyzed. Then, model selection is conducted using pattern search method. Finally, by decoding aircraft communication addressing and reporting system (ACARS) report, a real-time cruise data set is acquired, and the diagnosis model is adopted to process data. In contrast to the radial basis function (RBF) neutral network, LS-SVM is more suitable for real-time diagnosis of gas turbine engine.展开更多
In this paper, we propose a multidimensional version of recurrent least squares support vector machines (MDRLS- SVM) to solve the problem about the prediction of chaotic system. To acquire better prediction performa...In this paper, we propose a multidimensional version of recurrent least squares support vector machines (MDRLS- SVM) to solve the problem about the prediction of chaotic system. To acquire better prediction performance, the high-dimensional space, which provides more information on the system than the scalar time series, is first reconstructed utilizing Takens's embedding theorem. Then the MDRLS-SVM instead of traditional RLS-SVM is used in the high- dimensional space, and the prediction performance can be improved from the point of view of reconstructed embedding phase space. In addition, the MDRLS-SVM algorithm is analysed in the context of noise, and we also find that the MDRLS-SVM has lower sensitivity to noise than the RLS-SVM.展开更多
Coal mines require various kinds of machinery. The fault diagnosis of this equipment has a great impact on mine production. The problem of incorrect classification of noisy data by traditional support vector machines ...Coal mines require various kinds of machinery. The fault diagnosis of this equipment has a great impact on mine production. The problem of incorrect classification of noisy data by traditional support vector machines is addressed by a proposed Probability Least Squares Support Vector Classification Machine (PLSSVCM). Samples that cannot be definitely determined as belonging to one class will be assigned to a class by the PLSSVCM based on a probability value. This gives the classification results both a qualitative explanation and a quantitative evaluation. Simulation results of a fault diagnosis show that the correct rate of the PLSSVCM is 100%. Even though samples are noisy, the PLSSVCM still can effectively realize multi-class fault diagnosis of a roller bearing. The generalization property of the PLSSVCM is better than that of a neural network and a LSSVCM.展开更多
In order to improve the firing efficiency of projectiles,it is required to use the universal firing table for gun weapon system equipped with a variety of projectiles.Moreover,the foundation of sharing the universal f...In order to improve the firing efficiency of projectiles,it is required to use the universal firing table for gun weapon system equipped with a variety of projectiles.Moreover,the foundation of sharing the universal firing table is the ballistic matching for two types of projectiles.Therefore,a method is proposed in the process of designing new type of projectile.The least squares support vector machine is utilized to build the ballistic trajectory model of the original projectile,thus it is viable to compare the two trajectories.Then the particle swarm optimization is applied to find the combination of trajectory parameters which meet the criterion of ballistic matching best.Finally,examples show the proposed method is valid and feasible.展开更多
A simple and effective mechanism is proposed to realize the parsimoniousness of the online least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR), and the approach is called the OPLS-SVR for short. Hence, the response tim...A simple and effective mechanism is proposed to realize the parsimoniousness of the online least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR), and the approach is called the OPLS-SVR for short. Hence, the response time is curtailed. Besides, an OPLS-SVR based analytical redundancy technique is presented to cope with the sensor failure and drift problems to guarantee that the provided signals for the aeroengine controller are correct and acceptable. Experiments on the sensor failure and drift show the effectiveness and the validity of the proposed analytical redundancy.展开更多
A thrust estimator with high precision and excellent real-time performance is needed to mitigate perfor- mance deterioration for future aero-engines. A weight least squares support vector regression is proposed using ...A thrust estimator with high precision and excellent real-time performance is needed to mitigate perfor- mance deterioration for future aero-engines. A weight least squares support vector regression is proposed using a novel weighting strategy. Then a thrust estimator based on the proposed regression is designed for the perfor- mance deterioration. Compared with the existing weighting strategy, the novel one not only satisfies the require- ment of precision but also enhances the real-time performance. Finally, numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed weighted least squares support vector regression for thrust estimator. Key words : intelligent engine control; least squares ; support vector machine ; performance deterioration展开更多
In order to realize direct thrust control instead of conventional sensors-based control for aero-engine, a thrust estimator with high accuracy is designed by using the boosting technique to improve the performance of ...In order to realize direct thrust control instead of conventional sensors-based control for aero-engine, a thrust estimator with high accuracy is designed by using the boosting technique to improve the performance of least squares support vector regression (LSSVR). There exist two distinct features compared with the conven- tional boosting technique: (1) Sampling without replacement is used to avoid numerical instability for modeling LSSVR. (2) To realize the sparseness of LSSVR and reduce the computational complexity, only a subset of the training samples is used to construct LSSVR. Thus, this boosting method for LSSVR is called the boosting sparse LSSVR (BSLSSVR). Finally, simulation results show that BSLSSVR-based thrust estimator can satisfy the requirement of direct thrust control, i.e. , maximum absolute value of relative error of thrust estimation is not more than 5‰.展开更多
In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the...In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the reconstructed phase space, the local support vector machine prediction method is used to predict the traffic measurement data, and the BIC-based neighbouring point selection method is used to choose the number of the nearest neighbouring points for the local support vector machine regression model. The experimental results show that the local support vector machine prediction method whose neighbouring points are optimized can effectively predict the small-time scale traffic measurement data and can reproduce the statistical features of real traffic measurements.展开更多
Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts ...Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine (SVM), a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.展开更多
The use of support vector machines (SVM) for watermarking of 3D mesh models is investigated. SVMs have been widely explored for images, audio, and video watermarking but to date the potential of SVMs has not been ex...The use of support vector machines (SVM) for watermarking of 3D mesh models is investigated. SVMs have been widely explored for images, audio, and video watermarking but to date the potential of SVMs has not been explored in the 3D watermarking domain. The proposed approach utilizes SVM as a binary classifier for the selection of vertices for watermark embedding. The SVM is trained with feature vectors derived from the angular difference between the eigen normal and surface normals of a 1-ring neighborhood of vertices taken from normalized 3D mesh models. The SVM learns to classify vertices as appropriate or inappropriate candidates for modification in order to accommodate the watermark. Experimental results verify that the proposed algorithm is imperceptible and robust against attacks such as mesh smoothing, cropping and noise addition.展开更多
Conventional machine learning(CML)methods have been successfully applied for gas reservoir prediction.Their prediction accuracy largely depends on the quality of the sample data;therefore,feature optimization of the i...Conventional machine learning(CML)methods have been successfully applied for gas reservoir prediction.Their prediction accuracy largely depends on the quality of the sample data;therefore,feature optimization of the input samples is particularly important.Commonly used feature optimization methods increase the interpretability of gas reservoirs;however,their steps are cumbersome,and the selected features cannot sufficiently guide CML models to mine the intrinsic features of sample data efficiently.In contrast to CML methods,deep learning(DL)methods can directly extract the important features of targets from raw data.Therefore,this study proposes a feature optimization and gas-bearing prediction method based on a hybrid fusion model that combines a convolutional neural network(CNN)and an adaptive particle swarm optimization-least squares support vector machine(APSO-LSSVM).This model adopts an end-to-end algorithm structure to directly extract features from sensitive multicomponent seismic attributes,considerably simplifying the feature optimization.A CNN was used for feature optimization to highlight sensitive gas reservoir information.APSO-LSSVM was used to fully learn the relationship between the features extracted by the CNN to obtain the prediction results.The constructed hybrid fusion model improves gas-bearing prediction accuracy through two processes of feature optimization and intelligent prediction,giving full play to the advantages of DL and CML methods.The prediction results obtained are better than those of a single CNN model or APSO-LSSVM model.In the feature optimization process of multicomponent seismic attribute data,CNN has demonstrated better gas reservoir feature extraction capabilities than commonly used attribute optimization methods.In the prediction process,the APSO-LSSVM model can learn the gas reservoir characteristics better than the LSSVM model and has a higher prediction accuracy.The constructed CNN-APSO-LSSVM model had lower errors and a better fit on the test dataset than the other individual models.This method proves the effectiveness of DL technology for the feature extraction of gas reservoirs and provides a feasible way to combine DL and CML technologies to predict gas reservoirs.展开更多
基于Wi-Fi感知的室内入侵检测系统是一种无需在移动实体上附加任何设备即可检测移动实体的系统。针对目前检测方法忽略复杂的幅度变化和相位变化引起的潜在影响,提出了融合长短期记忆网络和支持向量机的室内入侵检测新方法LSID(Long Sho...基于Wi-Fi感知的室内入侵检测系统是一种无需在移动实体上附加任何设备即可检测移动实体的系统。针对目前检测方法忽略复杂的幅度变化和相位变化引起的潜在影响,提出了融合长短期记忆网络和支持向量机的室内入侵检测新方法LSID(Long Short-Term Memory and Support Vector Machine Intrusion Detection)。LSID方法采用一种新的特征值建模方式,利用长短期记忆网络可以学习到时序特征并且能捕捉时序信号长期的依赖关系,将信道状态信息真实值与长短期记忆神经网络的预测值之差作为特征值,能更准确地捕捉入侵者对信号状态信息的影响。该检测方法在学校实验室环境下经过多次实验验证,最终检测准确率达到99.21%,通过多组实验比对,结果显示LSID方法具有有效性和可行性,相比于其他入侵检测方法准确率明显提升。展开更多
随着电网中新能源渗透率的增加,传统火电机组调频已无法满足电能质量需求。针对多源场景中传统自动发电控制系统区域控制误差较大的问题,提出一种基于Stackelberg博弈与改进深度神经网络(Stackelberg game and improved deep neural net...随着电网中新能源渗透率的增加,传统火电机组调频已无法满足电能质量需求。针对多源场景中传统自动发电控制系统区域控制误差较大的问题,提出一种基于Stackelberg博弈与改进深度神经网络(Stackelberg game and improved deep neural network,S-DNN)的多源调频协调策略。首先,设计一种改进多层次深度神经网络(deep neural network,DNN),由DNN层、自然梯度提升层、最小二乘支持向量机层顺序递进完成预测、评价、执行动作,输出总调频功率指令。该多层次总调频功率输出模型考虑新能源渗透率对调频系统的动态影响,充分学习历史信息与实时状态中更多的特征,提高了时序调频指令精度。然后基于Stackelberg博弈理论,考虑多源调频特征与协同作用,优化各调频源间的功率分配,提高系统二次调频的经济性。最后,通过算例分析验证了提出的多源调频协调策略的有效性。与传统调频方法相比,所提出的S-DNN多源调频协调策略可有效降低区域控制误差与频率偏差,并降低调频成本。展开更多
目的采用4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良的临床风险预测模型,探讨其预测价值。方法回顾性收集2023年1月—2024年5月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院胃肠外科就诊的412例结直肠癌患者的术前资料;按7∶3的比例随机分为训练...目的采用4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良的临床风险预测模型,探讨其预测价值。方法回顾性收集2023年1月—2024年5月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院胃肠外科就诊的412例结直肠癌患者的术前资料;按7∶3的比例随机分为训练集(n=288)和验证集(n=124),采用单因素分析及二元logistic回归分析筛选出术前营养不良的预测因子;基于逻辑回归(LR)、支持向量机(SVM)、轻量级梯度提升(LightGBM)、多层感知机(MLP)4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良风险预测模型,绘制ROC曲线评价4种算法模型预测效能,通过Delong检验比较4种模型的AUC差异。选择最优算法模型,采用校准曲线和临床决策曲线(DCA曲线)进行验证。结果(1)结直肠癌患者术前营养不良发生率为33.7%,年龄、Braden评分是其独立危险因素;(2)训练集中LightGBM算法模型预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的AUC高于LR、SVM、MLP算法模型(0.941 VS 0.874、0.830、0.831);(3)ROC曲线结果提示,LightGBM算法模型验证集中预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的AUC为0.926(95%CI:0.882~0.969);校准曲线显示,LightGBM算法模型预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的曲线与实际发生营养不良一致性良好;DCA曲线结果显示,LightGBM算法模型在阈值概率区间为0.16~0.79可以提供显著临床净收益。结论基于LightGBM算法构建的临床预测模型在预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良中有较高价值,可以为临床人员实施营养管理提供参考。展开更多
基金The National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (No.2006AA12A108)
文摘Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is applied in gas path fault diagnosis for aero engines. Firstly, the deviation data of engine cruise are analyzed. Then, model selection is conducted using pattern search method. Finally, by decoding aircraft communication addressing and reporting system (ACARS) report, a real-time cruise data set is acquired, and the diagnosis model is adopted to process data. In contrast to the radial basis function (RBF) neutral network, LS-SVM is more suitable for real-time diagnosis of gas turbine engine.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No 90207012).
文摘In this paper, we propose a multidimensional version of recurrent least squares support vector machines (MDRLS- SVM) to solve the problem about the prediction of chaotic system. To acquire better prediction performance, the high-dimensional space, which provides more information on the system than the scalar time series, is first reconstructed utilizing Takens's embedding theorem. Then the MDRLS-SVM instead of traditional RLS-SVM is used in the high- dimensional space, and the prediction performance can be improved from the point of view of reconstructed embedding phase space. In addition, the MDRLS-SVM algorithm is analysed in the context of noise, and we also find that the MDRLS-SVM has lower sensitivity to noise than the RLS-SVM.
基金supported by the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (NoNCET- 08-0836)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos60804022, 60974050 and 61072094)+1 种基金the Fok Ying-Tung Education Foundation for Young Teachers (No121066)by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (No.BK2008126)
文摘Coal mines require various kinds of machinery. The fault diagnosis of this equipment has a great impact on mine production. The problem of incorrect classification of noisy data by traditional support vector machines is addressed by a proposed Probability Least Squares Support Vector Classification Machine (PLSSVCM). Samples that cannot be definitely determined as belonging to one class will be assigned to a class by the PLSSVCM based on a probability value. This gives the classification results both a qualitative explanation and a quantitative evaluation. Simulation results of a fault diagnosis show that the correct rate of the PLSSVCM is 100%. Even though samples are noisy, the PLSSVCM still can effectively realize multi-class fault diagnosis of a roller bearing. The generalization property of the PLSSVCM is better than that of a neural network and a LSSVCM.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51006052)
文摘In order to improve the firing efficiency of projectiles,it is required to use the universal firing table for gun weapon system equipped with a variety of projectiles.Moreover,the foundation of sharing the universal firing table is the ballistic matching for two types of projectiles.Therefore,a method is proposed in the process of designing new type of projectile.The least squares support vector machine is utilized to build the ballistic trajectory model of the original projectile,thus it is viable to compare the two trajectories.Then the particle swarm optimization is applied to find the combination of trajectory parameters which meet the criterion of ballistic matching best.Finally,examples show the proposed method is valid and feasible.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(50576033)the Aeronautical ScienceFoundation of China(04C52019)~~
文摘A simple and effective mechanism is proposed to realize the parsimoniousness of the online least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR), and the approach is called the OPLS-SVR for short. Hence, the response time is curtailed. Besides, an OPLS-SVR based analytical redundancy technique is presented to cope with the sensor failure and drift problems to guarantee that the provided signals for the aeroengine controller are correct and acceptable. Experiments on the sensor failure and drift show the effectiveness and the validity of the proposed analytical redundancy.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51006052)the Nanjing University of Science and Technology Outstanding Scholar Supporting Program~~
文摘A thrust estimator with high precision and excellent real-time performance is needed to mitigate perfor- mance deterioration for future aero-engines. A weight least squares support vector regression is proposed using a novel weighting strategy. Then a thrust estimator based on the proposed regression is designed for the perfor- mance deterioration. Compared with the existing weighting strategy, the novel one not only satisfies the require- ment of precision but also enhances the real-time performance. Finally, numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed weighted least squares support vector regression for thrust estimator. Key words : intelligent engine control; least squares ; support vector machine ; performance deterioration
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(50576033)the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(04C52019)~~
文摘In order to realize direct thrust control instead of conventional sensors-based control for aero-engine, a thrust estimator with high accuracy is designed by using the boosting technique to improve the performance of least squares support vector regression (LSSVR). There exist two distinct features compared with the conven- tional boosting technique: (1) Sampling without replacement is used to avoid numerical instability for modeling LSSVR. (2) To realize the sparseness of LSSVR and reduce the computational complexity, only a subset of the training samples is used to construct LSSVR. Thus, this boosting method for LSSVR is called the boosting sparse LSSVR (BSLSSVR). Finally, simulation results show that BSLSSVR-based thrust estimator can satisfy the requirement of direct thrust control, i.e. , maximum absolute value of relative error of thrust estimation is not more than 5‰.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No 60573065)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province,China (Grant No Y2007G33)the Key Subject Research Foundation of Shandong Province,China(Grant No XTD0708)
文摘In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the reconstructed phase space, the local support vector machine prediction method is used to predict the traffic measurement data, and the BIC-based neighbouring point selection method is used to choose the number of the nearest neighbouring points for the local support vector machine regression model. The experimental results show that the local support vector machine prediction method whose neighbouring points are optimized can effectively predict the small-time scale traffic measurement data and can reproduce the statistical features of real traffic measurements.
基金support from "973 Project" (Contract No. 2010CB226706)
文摘Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine (SVM), a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.
文摘The use of support vector machines (SVM) for watermarking of 3D mesh models is investigated. SVMs have been widely explored for images, audio, and video watermarking but to date the potential of SVMs has not been explored in the 3D watermarking domain. The proposed approach utilizes SVM as a binary classifier for the selection of vertices for watermark embedding. The SVM is trained with feature vectors derived from the angular difference between the eigen normal and surface normals of a 1-ring neighborhood of vertices taken from normalized 3D mesh models. The SVM learns to classify vertices as appropriate or inappropriate candidates for modification in order to accommodate the watermark. Experimental results verify that the proposed algorithm is imperceptible and robust against attacks such as mesh smoothing, cropping and noise addition.
基金funded by the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (ZR2021MD061ZR2023QD025)+3 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2022M721972)National Natural Science Foundation of China (41174098)Young Talents Foundation of Inner Mongolia University (10000-23112101/055)Qingdao Postdoctoral Science Foundation (QDBSH20230102094)。
文摘Conventional machine learning(CML)methods have been successfully applied for gas reservoir prediction.Their prediction accuracy largely depends on the quality of the sample data;therefore,feature optimization of the input samples is particularly important.Commonly used feature optimization methods increase the interpretability of gas reservoirs;however,their steps are cumbersome,and the selected features cannot sufficiently guide CML models to mine the intrinsic features of sample data efficiently.In contrast to CML methods,deep learning(DL)methods can directly extract the important features of targets from raw data.Therefore,this study proposes a feature optimization and gas-bearing prediction method based on a hybrid fusion model that combines a convolutional neural network(CNN)and an adaptive particle swarm optimization-least squares support vector machine(APSO-LSSVM).This model adopts an end-to-end algorithm structure to directly extract features from sensitive multicomponent seismic attributes,considerably simplifying the feature optimization.A CNN was used for feature optimization to highlight sensitive gas reservoir information.APSO-LSSVM was used to fully learn the relationship between the features extracted by the CNN to obtain the prediction results.The constructed hybrid fusion model improves gas-bearing prediction accuracy through two processes of feature optimization and intelligent prediction,giving full play to the advantages of DL and CML methods.The prediction results obtained are better than those of a single CNN model or APSO-LSSVM model.In the feature optimization process of multicomponent seismic attribute data,CNN has demonstrated better gas reservoir feature extraction capabilities than commonly used attribute optimization methods.In the prediction process,the APSO-LSSVM model can learn the gas reservoir characteristics better than the LSSVM model and has a higher prediction accuracy.The constructed CNN-APSO-LSSVM model had lower errors and a better fit on the test dataset than the other individual models.This method proves the effectiveness of DL technology for the feature extraction of gas reservoirs and provides a feasible way to combine DL and CML technologies to predict gas reservoirs.
文摘基于Wi-Fi感知的室内入侵检测系统是一种无需在移动实体上附加任何设备即可检测移动实体的系统。针对目前检测方法忽略复杂的幅度变化和相位变化引起的潜在影响,提出了融合长短期记忆网络和支持向量机的室内入侵检测新方法LSID(Long Short-Term Memory and Support Vector Machine Intrusion Detection)。LSID方法采用一种新的特征值建模方式,利用长短期记忆网络可以学习到时序特征并且能捕捉时序信号长期的依赖关系,将信道状态信息真实值与长短期记忆神经网络的预测值之差作为特征值,能更准确地捕捉入侵者对信号状态信息的影响。该检测方法在学校实验室环境下经过多次实验验证,最终检测准确率达到99.21%,通过多组实验比对,结果显示LSID方法具有有效性和可行性,相比于其他入侵检测方法准确率明显提升。
文摘随着电网中新能源渗透率的增加,传统火电机组调频已无法满足电能质量需求。针对多源场景中传统自动发电控制系统区域控制误差较大的问题,提出一种基于Stackelberg博弈与改进深度神经网络(Stackelberg game and improved deep neural network,S-DNN)的多源调频协调策略。首先,设计一种改进多层次深度神经网络(deep neural network,DNN),由DNN层、自然梯度提升层、最小二乘支持向量机层顺序递进完成预测、评价、执行动作,输出总调频功率指令。该多层次总调频功率输出模型考虑新能源渗透率对调频系统的动态影响,充分学习历史信息与实时状态中更多的特征,提高了时序调频指令精度。然后基于Stackelberg博弈理论,考虑多源调频特征与协同作用,优化各调频源间的功率分配,提高系统二次调频的经济性。最后,通过算例分析验证了提出的多源调频协调策略的有效性。与传统调频方法相比,所提出的S-DNN多源调频协调策略可有效降低区域控制误差与频率偏差,并降低调频成本。
文摘目的采用4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良的临床风险预测模型,探讨其预测价值。方法回顾性收集2023年1月—2024年5月在新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院胃肠外科就诊的412例结直肠癌患者的术前资料;按7∶3的比例随机分为训练集(n=288)和验证集(n=124),采用单因素分析及二元logistic回归分析筛选出术前营养不良的预测因子;基于逻辑回归(LR)、支持向量机(SVM)、轻量级梯度提升(LightGBM)、多层感知机(MLP)4种机器学习算法分别构建结直肠癌患者术前营养不良风险预测模型,绘制ROC曲线评价4种算法模型预测效能,通过Delong检验比较4种模型的AUC差异。选择最优算法模型,采用校准曲线和临床决策曲线(DCA曲线)进行验证。结果(1)结直肠癌患者术前营养不良发生率为33.7%,年龄、Braden评分是其独立危险因素;(2)训练集中LightGBM算法模型预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的AUC高于LR、SVM、MLP算法模型(0.941 VS 0.874、0.830、0.831);(3)ROC曲线结果提示,LightGBM算法模型验证集中预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的AUC为0.926(95%CI:0.882~0.969);校准曲线显示,LightGBM算法模型预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良的曲线与实际发生营养不良一致性良好;DCA曲线结果显示,LightGBM算法模型在阈值概率区间为0.16~0.79可以提供显著临床净收益。结论基于LightGBM算法构建的临床预测模型在预测结直肠癌患者术前发生营养不良中有较高价值,可以为临床人员实施营养管理提供参考。