A dynamic parallel forecasting model is proposed, which is based on the problem of current forecasting models and their combined model. According to the process of the model, the fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is ...A dynamic parallel forecasting model is proposed, which is based on the problem of current forecasting models and their combined model. According to the process of the model, the fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is improved in outliers operation and distance in the clusters and among the clusters. Firstly, the input data sets are optimized and their coherence is ensured, the region scale algorithm is modified and non-isometric multi scale region fuzzy time series model is built. At the same time, the particle swarm optimization algorithm about the particle speed, location and inertia weight value is improved, this method is used to optimize the parameters of support vector machine, construct the combined forecast model, build the dynamic parallel forecast model, and calculate the dynamic weight values and regard the product of the weight value and forecast value to be the final forecast values. At last, the example shows the improved forecast model is effective and accurate.展开更多
Input variables selection(IVS) is proved to be pivotal in nonlinear dynamic system modeling. In order to optimize the model of the nonlinear dynamic system, a fuzzy modeling method for determining the premise structur...Input variables selection(IVS) is proved to be pivotal in nonlinear dynamic system modeling. In order to optimize the model of the nonlinear dynamic system, a fuzzy modeling method for determining the premise structure by selecting important inputs of the system is studied. Firstly, a simplified two stage fuzzy curves method is proposed, which is employed to sort all possible inputs by their relevance with outputs, select the important input variables of the system and identify the structure.Secondly, in order to reduce the complexity of the model, the standard fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm and the recursive least squares algorithm are used to identify the premise parameters and conclusion parameters, respectively. Then, the effectiveness of IVS is verified by two well-known issues. Finally, the proposed identification method is applied to a realistic variable load pneumatic system. The simulation experiments indi cate that the IVS method in this paper has a positive influence on the approximation performance of the Takagi-Sugeno(T-S) fuzzy modeling.展开更多
针对不同个性化需求的燃料电池测试台(fuel cell test bench,FCTB)难以评价和量化评估的问题,提出一种基于改进和声搜索算法的FCTB价值评估方法.针对不同FCTB的个性化需求,建立了FCTB综合评估指标体系;结合用户的个性化需求,采用模糊层...针对不同个性化需求的燃料电池测试台(fuel cell test bench,FCTB)难以评价和量化评估的问题,提出一种基于改进和声搜索算法的FCTB价值评估方法.针对不同FCTB的个性化需求,建立了FCTB综合评估指标体系;结合用户的个性化需求,采用模糊层次分析法分配指标权重,构建价值定量评估模型,将权重求取问题转换为约束优化问题;提出一种改进和声搜索算法对问题进行求解,通过设计解向量生成机制和参数自适应调整策略,用于提高传统和声搜索算法的求解效率和搜索能力.仿真结果表明,本文方法在计算效率和精度方面具有优势,并能够根据不同的需求特性实现对FCTB方案做出定量的价值评估.展开更多
为了提高纯电动汽车再生制动能量回收效率,同时保证车辆制动效果,提出了运用改进鲸鱼算法优化纯电动汽车再生制动模糊控制策略。引入电池荷电状态(State of Charge,SOC)、车速和制动强度作为模糊控制输入,以再生制动比例系数K作为输出,...为了提高纯电动汽车再生制动能量回收效率,同时保证车辆制动效果,提出了运用改进鲸鱼算法优化纯电动汽车再生制动模糊控制策略。引入电池荷电状态(State of Charge,SOC)、车速和制动强度作为模糊控制输入,以再生制动比例系数K作为输出,利用改进鲸鱼算法优化控制参数,从而提高前轴电机制动力占比。同时,改进鲸鱼算法的自适应权重避免了算法迭代过程中陷入局部最优。通过仿真分析验证了在NEDC工况下,优化后的模糊控制策略相比优化前和传统控制策略在提高能量回收效果的同时,也满足了制动的有效性。展开更多
基金supported by the National Defense Preliminary Research Program of China(A157167)the National Defense Fundamental of China(9140A19030314JB35275)
文摘A dynamic parallel forecasting model is proposed, which is based on the problem of current forecasting models and their combined model. According to the process of the model, the fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is improved in outliers operation and distance in the clusters and among the clusters. Firstly, the input data sets are optimized and their coherence is ensured, the region scale algorithm is modified and non-isometric multi scale region fuzzy time series model is built. At the same time, the particle swarm optimization algorithm about the particle speed, location and inertia weight value is improved, this method is used to optimize the parameters of support vector machine, construct the combined forecast model, build the dynamic parallel forecast model, and calculate the dynamic weight values and regard the product of the weight value and forecast value to be the final forecast values. At last, the example shows the improved forecast model is effective and accurate.
基金This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(F2019203505).
文摘Input variables selection(IVS) is proved to be pivotal in nonlinear dynamic system modeling. In order to optimize the model of the nonlinear dynamic system, a fuzzy modeling method for determining the premise structure by selecting important inputs of the system is studied. Firstly, a simplified two stage fuzzy curves method is proposed, which is employed to sort all possible inputs by their relevance with outputs, select the important input variables of the system and identify the structure.Secondly, in order to reduce the complexity of the model, the standard fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm and the recursive least squares algorithm are used to identify the premise parameters and conclusion parameters, respectively. Then, the effectiveness of IVS is verified by two well-known issues. Finally, the proposed identification method is applied to a realistic variable load pneumatic system. The simulation experiments indi cate that the IVS method in this paper has a positive influence on the approximation performance of the Takagi-Sugeno(T-S) fuzzy modeling.
文摘针对不同个性化需求的燃料电池测试台(fuel cell test bench,FCTB)难以评价和量化评估的问题,提出一种基于改进和声搜索算法的FCTB价值评估方法.针对不同FCTB的个性化需求,建立了FCTB综合评估指标体系;结合用户的个性化需求,采用模糊层次分析法分配指标权重,构建价值定量评估模型,将权重求取问题转换为约束优化问题;提出一种改进和声搜索算法对问题进行求解,通过设计解向量生成机制和参数自适应调整策略,用于提高传统和声搜索算法的求解效率和搜索能力.仿真结果表明,本文方法在计算效率和精度方面具有优势,并能够根据不同的需求特性实现对FCTB方案做出定量的价值评估.
文摘为了提高纯电动汽车再生制动能量回收效率,同时保证车辆制动效果,提出了运用改进鲸鱼算法优化纯电动汽车再生制动模糊控制策略。引入电池荷电状态(State of Charge,SOC)、车速和制动强度作为模糊控制输入,以再生制动比例系数K作为输出,利用改进鲸鱼算法优化控制参数,从而提高前轴电机制动力占比。同时,改进鲸鱼算法的自适应权重避免了算法迭代过程中陷入局部最优。通过仿真分析验证了在NEDC工况下,优化后的模糊控制策略相比优化前和传统控制策略在提高能量回收效果的同时,也满足了制动的有效性。
