An accelerated proportional degradation hazards-odds model is proposed. It is a non-parametric model and thus has path- free and distribution-free properties, avoiding the errors caused by faulty assumptions of degrad...An accelerated proportional degradation hazards-odds model is proposed. It is a non-parametric model and thus has path- free and distribution-free properties, avoiding the errors caused by faulty assumptions of degradation paths or distribution of degra- dation measurements. It is established based on a link function which combines the degradation cumulative hazard rate function and the degradation odds function through a transformation pa- rameter, and this makes the accelerated proportional degradation hazards model and the accelerated proportional degradation odds model special cases of it. Hypothesis tests are discussed, and the proposed model is applicable when some model assumptions are satisfied. This model is utilized to estimate the reliability of minia- ture bulbs under low stress levels based on the degradation data obtained under high stress levels to validate the effectiveness of this model.展开更多
Hazards and risks assessment of dangerous geocryological processes is an actual problem in connection with climate change.Permafrost is widespread in Russia,Canada,the USA(Alaska),China,Mongolia and in mountain region...Hazards and risks assessment of dangerous geocryological processes is an actual problem in connection with climate change.Permafrost is widespread in Russia,Canada,the USA(Alaska),China,Mongolia and in mountain regions.Currently there are many papers concerning permafrost-related hazards,but the conceptual and basic techniques are not available. Different approaches for solving this problem are considered in the paper.The generally accessible techniques of geocryological processes quantitative risk assessment are not available.The problem lies展开更多
Hazards and risks assessment of dangerous geocryological processes is actual problem in connection with climate change.Permafrost is widespread in Russia,Canada,the USA(Alaska), China,Mongolia and in mountain regions....Hazards and risks assessment of dangerous geocryological processes is actual problem in connection with climate change.Permafrost is widespread in Russia,Canada,the USA(Alaska), China,Mongolia and in mountain regions.Currently there are many papers concerning permafrost-related hazards,but the conceptual and based techniques are not available.Different approaches for solving this problem are considered in the paper.The generally accessible techniques of geocryological processes quantitative risk assessment are not available.The problem lies in uncertainty appearing from展开更多
Mount Bambouto is a polygenic stratovolcano of the Cameroon Volcanic Line,built between 21 Ma and 4.5 Ma(Nkouathio et al.,2008).It is situated at about 200 km NE of mount Cameroon,at 09°55′and 10°15′East a...Mount Bambouto is a polygenic stratovolcano of the Cameroon Volcanic Line,built between 21 Ma and 4.5 Ma(Nkouathio et al.,2008).It is situated at about 200 km NE of mount Cameroon,at 09°55′and 10°15′East and,05°25′and 05°50′North.This volcano covers an area of 500 Km^2 and culminates at 2740 m at Meletan hill and bears a collapsed elliptical caldera at the summit(13×8 km).Mount展开更多
The rapid expansion of urban systems,particularly in the third world also means a considerable challenge for the health of city residents.Owing to this expansion and a variant of social,economic and environmental forc...The rapid expansion of urban systems,particularly in the third world also means a considerable challenge for the health of city residents.Owing to this expansion and a variant of social,economic and environmental forces,the city becomes a‘basket’of health hazards to which people and neighbourhoods are exposed to,albeit,differently.These hazards are various relating to housing,occupation,transport展开更多
The formation and development of geological hazards are extremely complex,depending on factors such as the topography,geology,meteorology, project,human activity,and so on;the geological hazards data include remarkabl...The formation and development of geological hazards are extremely complex,depending on factors such as the topography,geology,meteorology, project,human activity,and so on;the geological hazards data include remarkable spatial characteristics and complex attribute information.As the amount of geological hazards data is rapidly growing,it has become an urgent demand for geologists to展开更多
Landslide hazard mapping is a fundamental tool for disaster management activities in Loess terrains. Aiming at major issues with these landslide hazard assessment methods based on Naive Bayesian classification techniq...Landslide hazard mapping is a fundamental tool for disaster management activities in Loess terrains. Aiming at major issues with these landslide hazard assessment methods based on Naive Bayesian classification technique, which is difficult in quantifying those uncertain triggering factors, the main purpose of this work is to evaluate the predictive power of landslide spatial models based on uncertain Naive Bayesian classification method in Baota district of Yan＇an city in Shaanxi province, China. Firstly, thematic maps representing various factors that are related to landslide activity were generated. Secondly, by using field data and GIS techniques, a landslide hazard map was performed. To improve the accuracy of the resulting landslide hazard map, the strategies were designed, which quantified the uncertain triggering factor to design landslide spatial models based on uncertain Naive Bayesian classification method named NBU algorithm. The accuracies of the area under relative operating characteristics curves（AUC） in NBU and Naive Bayesian algorithm are 87.29% and 82.47% respectively. Thus, NBU algorithm can be used efficiently for landslide hazard analysis and might be widely used for the prediction of various spatial events based on uncertain classification technique.展开更多
Accidents and injuries related to work are major occupational health problems in most of the industrialized countries.Traditional approaches to manage workplace safety in mines have mainly focused on job redesign and ...Accidents and injuries related to work are major occupational health problems in most of the industrialized countries.Traditional approaches to manage workplace safety in mines have mainly focused on job redesign and technical aspects of engineering systems.It is being realized that compliance to rules and regulations of mines is a prerequisite;however,it is not sufficient to achieve further reduction in accident and injury rates in mines.Proactive approaches are necessary to further improve the safety standards in mines.Unsafe conditions and practices in mines lead to a number of accidents,which in turn may cause loss and injury to human lives,damages to property,and loss of production.Hazard identification and risk assessment is an important task for the mining industry which needs to consider all the risk factors at workplaces.Applications of risk management approaches in mines are necessary to identify and quantify potential hazards and to suggest effective solutions.In this paper,the following risk estimation techniques were discussed:(i)DGMS(Directorate General of Mines Safety,India)risk rating criterion,and(ii)a matrix based approach.The proposed tools were demonstrated through an application in an opencast coal mine in India.It was inferred that the risk assessment approach can be used as an effective tool to indentify and control hazards in mines.展开更多
Granites are hard and sound rock at relatively fresh or unweathered condition. Steep rocky slopes are the characteristic features in the area occupied by granites of the Lesser Himalaya including Kathmandu nappe. Almo...Granites are hard and sound rock at relatively fresh or unweathered condition. Steep rocky slopes are the characteristic features in the area occupied by granites of the Lesser Himalaya including Kathmandu nappe. Almost vertical to sometimes overhanging slopes in granites look stable in dry season, but the steeper slopes in the areas occupied by granitic rocks are metastable to unstable. The instabilities are related to: variation in texture and mineral composition of granite, nature and intensity of weathering (mechanical and chemical), altitude of the area, orientation of natural slope with reference to the predominant joint sets, quality of rock mass, stress release and activity of subsurface water during monsoon. The study is supposed to be an example for the study of the slope instabilities in the other part of the Himalaya occupied by granitic bodies.展开更多
Hazards refer to situations with harmful effects on people’s lives,property,health and the environment. Examples include:fire outbreaks,hailstorms,smoke and haze,volcanic eruptions,earthquakes,landslides, drought,flo...Hazards refer to situations with harmful effects on people’s lives,property,health and the environment. Examples include:fire outbreaks,hailstorms,smoke and haze,volcanic eruptions,earthquakes,landslides, drought,floods,dust storm,global warming.Their remedies are:(1)sensitization of masses to take precaution;(2)resettlement of people based around hazardous areas;(3)instructing workers about the展开更多
This paper proposes a health evaluation method for degrading systems subject to competing risks of dependent soft and hard failures. To characterize the time-varying degradation rate, the degradation process is determ...This paper proposes a health evaluation method for degrading systems subject to competing risks of dependent soft and hard failures. To characterize the time-varying degradation rate, the degradation process is determined by a non-stationary Gamma process and the soft failure is encountered when it exceeds a predefined critical level. For the hard failure, a Cox’s proportional hazard model is applied to describe the hazard rate of the time to system failure. The dependent relationship is modeled by incorporating the degradation process as a time-varying covariate into the Cox’s proportional hazard model. To facilitate the health characteristics evaluation, a discretization technique is applied both to the degradation process and the monitoring time.All health characteristics can be obtained in the explicit form using the transition probability matrix, which is computationally attractive for practical applications. Finally, a numerical analysis is carried out to show the effectiveness and the performance of the proposed health evaluation method.展开更多
In 12th February 2008 UN launched IYPE,and some of the missions were;to demonstrate the great potential of Earth Sciences in the building of a safer, wealthier and safer society,as the Earth and Life are origins of di...In 12th February 2008 UN launched IYPE,and some of the missions were;to demonstrate the great potential of Earth Sciences in the building of a safer, wealthier and safer society,as the Earth and Life are origins of diversity.Currently we experience human activities posing impacts such as climate variability and huge diseases burden due to exploring of Geo resources.The paper describes potential health risks such as ionizing radiation,Geo hazards,chemicals展开更多
This research paper was carried out specifically to examine the indiscriminate waste disposal and its effects on water quality of a nearby stream.The study witnessed two seasons(dry and rainy seasons).Field survey as ...This research paper was carried out specifically to examine the indiscriminate waste disposal and its effects on water quality of a nearby stream.The study witnessed two seasons(dry and rainy seasons).Field survey as well as laboratory analysis of collected samples were carried out.The results obtained indicated that River Ndongo has an important role in the activities of the inhabitants of Molyko.It is used as disposal site for waste,water is used for household activities and agricultural practices.This provides the inhabitants with the efficient site for waste disposal and a source of water for their activities.However,展开更多
Landslide is one of the most frequently occurring natural hazards in Manipur which is a tectonically active area.Rainfall-induced landslides are studied along NH-39 to find out the impact of rainfall.Though rainfall-i...Landslide is one of the most frequently occurring natural hazards in Manipur which is a tectonically active area.Rainfall-induced landslides are studied along NH-39 to find out the impact of rainfall.Though rainfall-induced landslides are usually shallow slips in nature and the volume of slip mass is not very large, the damage caused to the properties and infrastructures can be quite serious due to their highly frequent occurrences.NH-39,which is one of the life lines of Manipur,is regularly affected by frequent landslides during rainy season and the frequency is increasing at present as compared to the recent past.Several lands-展开更多
On the eve of the occurrence of geological hazards,part of the rock and soil body begins to burst,rub,and fracture,generating infrasound signals propagating outward.3D advanced positioning of the landslide has remaine...On the eve of the occurrence of geological hazards,part of the rock and soil body begins to burst,rub,and fracture,generating infrasound signals propagating outward.3D advanced positioning of the landslide has remained unsolved,which is important for disaster prevention.Through the Fourier transform and Hankel transform of the wave equation in cylindrical coordinates,this work established a three-dimensional axisymmetric sound field model based on normal waves,and designed a 4-element helix triangular pyramid array with vertical and horizontal sampling capabilities.Based on this,the three-dimensional matching localization algorithm of infrasound for geological hazards is proposed.Applying the algorithm to the infrasound signal localization of rock and soil layers,it was found that the helix triangular pyramid array can achieve accurate estimation of depth and distance with a smaller number of array elements than the traditional array,and may overcome the azimuth symmetry ambiguity.This study shows the application prospects of this method for predicting geohazards position several hours in advance.展开更多
采用原子吸收光谱法测定北京市10个郊区县25种蔬菜154个样品中Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn重金属含量,并与中国食品中污染物限量标准进行比较;运用目标危害系数方法 (the target hazard quotient,THQ)评价当地居民摄食蔬菜导致的健康风险,比较成人和...采用原子吸收光谱法测定北京市10个郊区县25种蔬菜154个样品中Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn重金属含量,并与中国食品中污染物限量标准进行比较;运用目标危害系数方法 (the target hazard quotient,THQ)评价当地居民摄食蔬菜导致的健康风险,比较成人和儿童居民THQ值大小。结果显示,蔬菜中Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn的平均含量分别是0.210,0.0123,1.034,3.343mg/kg,均未超过中国食品中污染物限量标准,但根茎类蔬菜Cr含量均值超过限量标准,在根菜类中其超标率为41.2%;部分生菜样品的Cr含量有超标,在叶菜类蔬菜中的超标率为2.22%;蔬菜重金属综合污染指数的评价结果属于优良,在安全级别之列,其中Cr为轻污染,Cd,Cu和Zn为优良。成人摄食蔬菜导致的Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn的THQ值分别为1.134,0.199,0.419和0.181,儿童为1.490,0.262,0.550和0.237,两者均存在因摄食蔬菜导致的Cr潜在健康风险。成人和儿童重金属复合风险系数分别为1.932和2.539,复合风险主要由Cr引起。各单一重金属的复合风险对成人和对儿童贡献率基本上一致,儿童因为摄取蔬菜而引起的重金属健康风险相对大于成人。展开更多
Rock burst is one of the most catastrophic dynamic hazards in coal mining. A static and dynamic stresses superposition-based(SDSS-based) risk evaluation method of rock burst was proposed to pre-evaluate rock burst ris...Rock burst is one of the most catastrophic dynamic hazards in coal mining. A static and dynamic stresses superposition-based(SDSS-based) risk evaluation method of rock burst was proposed to pre-evaluate rock burst risk. Theoretical basis of this method is the stress criterion incurring rock burst and rock burst risk is evaluated according to the closeness degree of the total stress(due to the superposition of static stress in the coal and dynamic stress induced by tremors) with the critical stress. In addition, risk evaluation criterion of rock burst was established by defining the "Satisfaction Degree" of static stress. Furthermore,the method was used to pre-evaluate rock burst risk degree and prejudge endangered area of an insular longwall face in Nanshan Coal Mine in China. Results show that rock burst risk is moderate at advance extent of 97 m, strong at advance extent of 97-131 m,and extremely strong(i.e. inevitable to occur) when advance extent exceeds 131 m(mining is prohibited in this case). The section of two gateways whose floor abuts 15-3 coal seam is a susceptible area prone to rock burst. Evaluation results were further compared with rock bursts and tremors detected by microseismic monitoring. Comparison results indicate that evaluation results are consistent with microseismic monitoring, which proves the method's feasibility.展开更多
基金supported by the postdoctoral funding at Tsinghua University
文摘An accelerated proportional degradation hazards-odds model is proposed. It is a non-parametric model and thus has path- free and distribution-free properties, avoiding the errors caused by faulty assumptions of degradation paths or distribution of degra- dation measurements. It is established based on a link function which combines the degradation cumulative hazard rate function and the degradation odds function through a transformation pa- rameter, and this makes the accelerated proportional degradation hazards model and the accelerated proportional degradation odds model special cases of it. Hypothesis tests are discussed, and the proposed model is applicable when some model assumptions are satisfied. This model is utilized to estimate the reliability of minia- ture bulbs under low stress levels based on the degradation data obtained under high stress levels to validate the effectiveness of this model.
文摘Hazards and risks assessment of dangerous geocryological processes is an actual problem in connection with climate change.Permafrost is widespread in Russia,Canada,the USA(Alaska),China,Mongolia and in mountain regions.Currently there are many papers concerning permafrost-related hazards,but the conceptual and basic techniques are not available. Different approaches for solving this problem are considered in the paper.The generally accessible techniques of geocryological processes quantitative risk assessment are not available.The problem lies
文摘Hazards and risks assessment of dangerous geocryological processes is actual problem in connection with climate change.Permafrost is widespread in Russia,Canada,the USA(Alaska), China,Mongolia and in mountain regions.Currently there are many papers concerning permafrost-related hazards,but the conceptual and based techniques are not available.Different approaches for solving this problem are considered in the paper.The generally accessible techniques of geocryological processes quantitative risk assessment are not available.The problem lies in uncertainty appearing from
文摘Mount Bambouto is a polygenic stratovolcano of the Cameroon Volcanic Line,built between 21 Ma and 4.5 Ma(Nkouathio et al.,2008).It is situated at about 200 km NE of mount Cameroon,at 09°55′and 10°15′East and,05°25′and 05°50′North.This volcano covers an area of 500 Km^2 and culminates at 2740 m at Meletan hill and bears a collapsed elliptical caldera at the summit(13×8 km).Mount
文摘The rapid expansion of urban systems,particularly in the third world also means a considerable challenge for the health of city residents.Owing to this expansion and a variant of social,economic and environmental forces,the city becomes a‘basket’of health hazards to which people and neighbourhoods are exposed to,albeit,differently.These hazards are various relating to housing,occupation,transport
文摘The formation and development of geological hazards are extremely complex,depending on factors such as the topography,geology,meteorology, project,human activity,and so on;the geological hazards data include remarkable spatial characteristics and complex attribute information.As the amount of geological hazards data is rapidly growing,it has become an urgent demand for geologists to
基金Projects(41362015,51164012) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2012AA061901) supported by the National High-tech Research and Development Program of China
文摘Landslide hazard mapping is a fundamental tool for disaster management activities in Loess terrains. Aiming at major issues with these landslide hazard assessment methods based on Naive Bayesian classification technique, which is difficult in quantifying those uncertain triggering factors, the main purpose of this work is to evaluate the predictive power of landslide spatial models based on uncertain Naive Bayesian classification method in Baota district of Yan＇an city in Shaanxi province, China. Firstly, thematic maps representing various factors that are related to landslide activity were generated. Secondly, by using field data and GIS techniques, a landslide hazard map was performed. To improve the accuracy of the resulting landslide hazard map, the strategies were designed, which quantified the uncertain triggering factor to design landslide spatial models based on uncertain Naive Bayesian classification method named NBU algorithm. The accuracies of the area under relative operating characteristics curves（AUC） in NBU and Naive Bayesian algorithm are 87.29% and 82.47% respectively. Thus, NBU algorithm can be used efficiently for landslide hazard analysis and might be widely used for the prediction of various spatial events based on uncertain classification technique.
文摘Accidents and injuries related to work are major occupational health problems in most of the industrialized countries.Traditional approaches to manage workplace safety in mines have mainly focused on job redesign and technical aspects of engineering systems.It is being realized that compliance to rules and regulations of mines is a prerequisite;however,it is not sufficient to achieve further reduction in accident and injury rates in mines.Proactive approaches are necessary to further improve the safety standards in mines.Unsafe conditions and practices in mines lead to a number of accidents,which in turn may cause loss and injury to human lives,damages to property,and loss of production.Hazard identification and risk assessment is an important task for the mining industry which needs to consider all the risk factors at workplaces.Applications of risk management approaches in mines are necessary to identify and quantify potential hazards and to suggest effective solutions.In this paper,the following risk estimation techniques were discussed:(i)DGMS(Directorate General of Mines Safety,India)risk rating criterion,and(ii)a matrix based approach.The proposed tools were demonstrated through an application in an opencast coal mine in India.It was inferred that the risk assessment approach can be used as an effective tool to indentify and control hazards in mines.
文摘Granites are hard and sound rock at relatively fresh or unweathered condition. Steep rocky slopes are the characteristic features in the area occupied by granites of the Lesser Himalaya including Kathmandu nappe. Almost vertical to sometimes overhanging slopes in granites look stable in dry season, but the steeper slopes in the areas occupied by granitic rocks are metastable to unstable. The instabilities are related to: variation in texture and mineral composition of granite, nature and intensity of weathering (mechanical and chemical), altitude of the area, orientation of natural slope with reference to the predominant joint sets, quality of rock mass, stress release and activity of subsurface water during monsoon. The study is supposed to be an example for the study of the slope instabilities in the other part of the Himalaya occupied by granitic bodies.
文摘Hazards refer to situations with harmful effects on people’s lives,property,health and the environment. Examples include:fire outbreaks,hailstorms,smoke and haze,volcanic eruptions,earthquakes,landslides, drought,floods,dust storm,global warming.Their remedies are:(1)sensitization of masses to take precaution;(2)resettlement of people based around hazardous areas;(3)instructing workers about the
基金supported by the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(20155553039)the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada(RGPIN 121384-11)
文摘This paper proposes a health evaluation method for degrading systems subject to competing risks of dependent soft and hard failures. To characterize the time-varying degradation rate, the degradation process is determined by a non-stationary Gamma process and the soft failure is encountered when it exceeds a predefined critical level. For the hard failure, a Cox’s proportional hazard model is applied to describe the hazard rate of the time to system failure. The dependent relationship is modeled by incorporating the degradation process as a time-varying covariate into the Cox’s proportional hazard model. To facilitate the health characteristics evaluation, a discretization technique is applied both to the degradation process and the monitoring time.All health characteristics can be obtained in the explicit form using the transition probability matrix, which is computationally attractive for practical applications. Finally, a numerical analysis is carried out to show the effectiveness and the performance of the proposed health evaluation method.
文摘In 12th February 2008 UN launched IYPE,and some of the missions were;to demonstrate the great potential of Earth Sciences in the building of a safer, wealthier and safer society,as the Earth and Life are origins of diversity.Currently we experience human activities posing impacts such as climate variability and huge diseases burden due to exploring of Geo resources.The paper describes potential health risks such as ionizing radiation,Geo hazards,chemicals
文摘This research paper was carried out specifically to examine the indiscriminate waste disposal and its effects on water quality of a nearby stream.The study witnessed two seasons(dry and rainy seasons).Field survey as well as laboratory analysis of collected samples were carried out.The results obtained indicated that River Ndongo has an important role in the activities of the inhabitants of Molyko.It is used as disposal site for waste,water is used for household activities and agricultural practices.This provides the inhabitants with the efficient site for waste disposal and a source of water for their activities.However,
文摘Landslide is one of the most frequently occurring natural hazards in Manipur which is a tectonically active area.Rainfall-induced landslides are studied along NH-39 to find out the impact of rainfall.Though rainfall-induced landslides are usually shallow slips in nature and the volume of slip mass is not very large, the damage caused to the properties and infrastructures can be quite serious due to their highly frequent occurrences.NH-39,which is one of the life lines of Manipur,is regularly affected by frequent landslides during rainy season and the frequency is increasing at present as compared to the recent past.Several lands-
基金Project(41877219)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(cstc2019jcyj-msxmX0585)supported by Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing,ChinaProject(KJ-2018016)supported by Science and Technology Project of Planning and Natural Resources Bureau of Chongqing Government,China。
文摘On the eve of the occurrence of geological hazards,part of the rock and soil body begins to burst,rub,and fracture,generating infrasound signals propagating outward.3D advanced positioning of the landslide has remained unsolved,which is important for disaster prevention.Through the Fourier transform and Hankel transform of the wave equation in cylindrical coordinates,this work established a three-dimensional axisymmetric sound field model based on normal waves,and designed a 4-element helix triangular pyramid array with vertical and horizontal sampling capabilities.Based on this,the three-dimensional matching localization algorithm of infrasound for geological hazards is proposed.Applying the algorithm to the infrasound signal localization of rock and soil layers,it was found that the helix triangular pyramid array can achieve accurate estimation of depth and distance with a smaller number of array elements than the traditional array,and may overcome the azimuth symmetry ambiguity.This study shows the application prospects of this method for predicting geohazards position several hours in advance.
文摘采用原子吸收光谱法测定北京市10个郊区县25种蔬菜154个样品中Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn重金属含量,并与中国食品中污染物限量标准进行比较;运用目标危害系数方法 (the target hazard quotient,THQ)评价当地居民摄食蔬菜导致的健康风险,比较成人和儿童居民THQ值大小。结果显示,蔬菜中Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn的平均含量分别是0.210,0.0123,1.034,3.343mg/kg,均未超过中国食品中污染物限量标准,但根茎类蔬菜Cr含量均值超过限量标准,在根菜类中其超标率为41.2%;部分生菜样品的Cr含量有超标,在叶菜类蔬菜中的超标率为2.22%;蔬菜重金属综合污染指数的评价结果属于优良,在安全级别之列,其中Cr为轻污染,Cd,Cu和Zn为优良。成人摄食蔬菜导致的Cr,Cd,Cu和Zn的THQ值分别为1.134,0.199,0.419和0.181,儿童为1.490,0.262,0.550和0.237,两者均存在因摄食蔬菜导致的Cr潜在健康风险。成人和儿童重金属复合风险系数分别为1.932和2.539,复合风险主要由Cr引起。各单一重金属的复合风险对成人和对儿童贡献率基本上一致,儿童因为摄取蔬菜而引起的重金属健康风险相对大于成人。
基金Project(51174285)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Shenhua Group Corporation Limited,ChinaProject(CXZZ12_0949)supported by the Research and Innovation Project for College Graduates of Jiangsu Province,ChinaProject(SZBF2011-6-B35)supported by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions,China
文摘Rock burst is one of the most catastrophic dynamic hazards in coal mining. A static and dynamic stresses superposition-based(SDSS-based) risk evaluation method of rock burst was proposed to pre-evaluate rock burst risk. Theoretical basis of this method is the stress criterion incurring rock burst and rock burst risk is evaluated according to the closeness degree of the total stress(due to the superposition of static stress in the coal and dynamic stress induced by tremors) with the critical stress. In addition, risk evaluation criterion of rock burst was established by defining the "Satisfaction Degree" of static stress. Furthermore,the method was used to pre-evaluate rock burst risk degree and prejudge endangered area of an insular longwall face in Nanshan Coal Mine in China. Results show that rock burst risk is moderate at advance extent of 97 m, strong at advance extent of 97-131 m,and extremely strong(i.e. inevitable to occur) when advance extent exceeds 131 m(mining is prohibited in this case). The section of two gateways whose floor abuts 15-3 coal seam is a susceptible area prone to rock burst. Evaluation results were further compared with rock bursts and tremors detected by microseismic monitoring. Comparison results indicate that evaluation results are consistent with microseismic monitoring, which proves the method's feasibility.
