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Bayesian-based ant colony optimization algorithm for edge detection
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作者 YU Yongbin ZHONG Yuanjingyang +6 位作者 FENG Xiao WANG Xiangxiang FAVOUR Ekong ZHOU Chen CHENG Man WANG Hao WANG Jingya 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2025年第4期892-902,共11页
Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of t... Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of the searched point to determine the next search point during the search process,reducing the uncertainty in the random search process.Due to the ability of the Bayesian algorithm to reduce uncertainty,a Bayesian ACO algorithm is proposed in this paper to increase the convergence speed of the conventional ACO algorithm for image edge detection.In addition,this paper has the following two innovations on the basis of the classical algorithm,one of which is to add random perturbations after completing the pheromone update.The second is the use of adaptive pheromone heuristics.Experimental results illustrate that the proposed Bayesian ACO algorithm has faster convergence and higher precision and recall than the traditional ant colony algorithm,due to the improvement of the pheromone utilization rate.Moreover,Bayesian ACO algorithm outperforms the other comparative methods in edge detection task. 展开更多
关键词 ant colony optimization(ACO) bayesian algorithm edge detection transfer function.
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Prediction on compression indicators of clay soils using XGBoost with Bayesian optimization
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作者 WU Hong-tao ZHANG Zi-long Daniel DIAS 《Journal of Central South University》 CSCD 2024年第11期3914-3929,共16页
The determination of the compressibility of clay soils is a major concern during the design and construction of geotechnical engineering projects.Directly acquiring precise values of compression indicators from consol... The determination of the compressibility of clay soils is a major concern during the design and construction of geotechnical engineering projects.Directly acquiring precise values of compression indicators from consolidation tests is cumbersome and time-consuming.Based on experimental results from a series of index tests,this study presents a hybrid method that combines the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)model with the Bayesian optimization strategy to show the potential for achieving higher accuracy in predicting the compressibility indicators of clay soils.The results show that the proposed XGBoost model selected by Bayesian optimization can predict compression indicators more accurately and reliably than the artificial neural network(ANN)and support vector machine(SVM)models.In addition to the lowest prediction error,the proposed XGBoost-based method enhances the interpretability by feature importance analysis,which indicates that the void ratio is the most important factor when predicting the compressibility of clay soils.This paper highlights the promising prospect of the XGBoost model with Bayesian optimization for predicting unknown property parameters of clay soils and its capability to benefit the entire life cycle of engineering projects. 展开更多
关键词 machine learning clay soils compression indicators XGBoost bayesian optimization
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Intelligent evaluation of mean cutting force of conical pick by boosting trees and Bayesian optimization
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作者 LIU Zi-da LIU Yong-ping +3 位作者 SUN Jing YANG Jia-ming YANG Bo LI Di-yuan 《Journal of Central South University》 CSCD 2024年第11期3948-3964,共17页
Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important f... Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important for pick design and rock cutting.This study proposed hybrid methods composed of boosting trees and Bayesian optimization(BO)for accurate evaluation of MCF.220 datasets including uniaxial compression strength,tensile strength,tip angle(θ),attack angle,and cutting depth,were collected.Four boosting trees were developed based on the database to predict MCF.BO optimized the hyper-parameters of these boosting trees.Model evaluation suggested that the proposed hybrid models outperformed many commonly utilized machine learning models.The hybrid model composed of BO and categorical boosting(BO-CatBoost)was the best.Its outstanding performance was attributed to its advantages in dealing with categorical features(θincluded 6 types of angles and could be considered as categorical features).A graphical user interface was developed to facilitate the application of BO-CatBoost for the estimation of MCF.Moreover,the influences of the input parameters on the model and their relationship with MCF were analyzed.Whenθincreased from 80°to 90°,it had a significant contribution to the increase of MCF. 展开更多
关键词 rock cutting conical pick mean cutting force boosting trees bayesian optimization
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Autonomous air combat maneuver decision using Bayesian inference and moving horizon optimization 被引量:68
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作者 HUANG Changqiang DONG Kangsheng +2 位作者 HUANG Hanqiao TANG Shangqin ZHANG Zhuoran 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第1期86-97,共12页
To reach a higher level of autonomy for unmanned combat aerial vehicle(UCAV) in air combat games, this paper builds an autonomous maneuver decision system. In this system,the air combat game is regarded as a Markov pr... To reach a higher level of autonomy for unmanned combat aerial vehicle(UCAV) in air combat games, this paper builds an autonomous maneuver decision system. In this system,the air combat game is regarded as a Markov process, so that the air combat situation can be effectively calculated via Bayesian inference theory. According to the situation assessment result,adaptively adjusts the weights of maneuver decision factors, which makes the objective function more reasonable and ensures the superiority situation for UCAV. As the air combat game is characterized by highly dynamic and a significant amount of uncertainty,to enhance the robustness and effectiveness of maneuver decision results, fuzzy logic is used to build the functions of four maneuver decision factors. Accuracy prediction of opponent aircraft is also essential to ensure making a good decision; therefore, a prediction model of opponent aircraft is designed based on the elementary maneuver method. Finally, the moving horizon optimization strategy is used to effectively model the whole air combat maneuver decision process. Various simulations are performed on typical scenario test and close-in dogfight, the results sufficiently demonstrate the superiority of the designed maneuver decision method. 展开更多
关键词 autonomous air combat maneuver decision bayesian inference moving horizon optimization situation assessment fuzzy logic
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Target distribution in cooperative combat based on Bayesian optimization algorithm 被引量:6
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作者 Shi Zhi fu Zhang An Wang Anli 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第2期339-342,共4页
Target distribution in cooperative combat is a difficult and emphases. We build up the optimization model according to the rule of fire distribution. We have researched on the optimization model with BOA. The BOA can ... Target distribution in cooperative combat is a difficult and emphases. We build up the optimization model according to the rule of fire distribution. We have researched on the optimization model with BOA. The BOA can estimate the joint probability distribution of the variables with Bayesian network, and the new candidate solutions also can be generated by the joint distribution. The simulation example verified that the method could be used to solve the complex question, the operation was quickly and the solution was best. 展开更多
关键词 target distribution bayesian network bayesian optimization algorithm cooperative air combat.
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Bayesian network learning algorithm based on unconstrained optimization and ant colony optimization 被引量:3
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作者 Chunfeng Wang Sanyang Liu Mingmin Zhu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第5期784-790,共7页
Structure learning of Bayesian networks is a wellresearched but computationally hard task.For learning Bayesian networks,this paper proposes an improved algorithm based on unconstrained optimization and ant colony opt... Structure learning of Bayesian networks is a wellresearched but computationally hard task.For learning Bayesian networks,this paper proposes an improved algorithm based on unconstrained optimization and ant colony optimization(U-ACO-B) to solve the drawbacks of the ant colony optimization(ACO-B).In this algorithm,firstly,an unconstrained optimization problem is solved to obtain an undirected skeleton,and then the ACO algorithm is used to orientate the edges,thus returning the final structure.In the experimental part of the paper,we compare the performance of the proposed algorithm with ACO-B algorithm.The experimental results show that our method is effective and greatly enhance convergence speed than ACO-B algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 bayesian network structure learning ant colony optimization unconstrained optimization
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Multi-fidelity Bayesian algorithm for antenna optimization 被引量:2
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作者 LI Jianxing YANG An +2 位作者 TIAN Chunming YE Le CHEN Badong 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第6期1119-1126,共8页
In this work,the multi-fidelity(MF)simulation driven Bayesian optimization(BO)and its advanced form are proposed to optimize antennas.Firstly,the multiple objective targets and the constraints are fused into one compr... In this work,the multi-fidelity(MF)simulation driven Bayesian optimization(BO)and its advanced form are proposed to optimize antennas.Firstly,the multiple objective targets and the constraints are fused into one comprehensive objective function,which facilitates an end-to-end way for optimization.Then,to increase the efficiency of surrogate construction,we propose the MF simulation-based BO(MFBO),of which the surrogate model using MF simulation is introduced based on the theory of multi-output Gaussian process.To further use the low-fidelity(LF)simulation data,the modified MFBO(M-MFBO)is subsequently proposed.By picking out the most potential points from the LF simulation data and re-simulating them in a high-fidelity(HF)way,the M-MFBO has a possibility to obtain a better result with negligible overhead compared to the MFBO.Finally,two antennas are used to testify the proposed algorithms.It shows that the HF simulation-based BO(HFBO)outperforms the traditional algorithms,the MFBO performs more effectively than the HFBO,and sometimes a superior optimization result can be achieved by reusing the LF simulation data. 展开更多
关键词 antenna optimization bayesian optimization(BO) multiple-output Gaussian process multi-fidelity(MF) low-fidelity(LF)simulation reuse
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基于Bayesian期望改进控制和Kriging模型的并行代理优化方法 被引量:1
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作者 杜晨 林成龙 +1 位作者 马义中 石雨葳 《计算机集成制造系统》 北大核心 2025年第4期1190-1204,共15页
针对经典期望改进策略因过于贪婪而易于陷入局部最优,以及Kriging模型十分适用于并行优化的特点,提出了基于Kriging模型和Bayesian期望改进控制的并行代理优化方法。实现过程中,Kriging模型在小样本条件下,建立输入与输出见的近似函数... 针对经典期望改进策略因过于贪婪而易于陷入局部最优,以及Kriging模型十分适用于并行优化的特点,提出了基于Kriging模型和Bayesian期望改进控制的并行代理优化方法。实现过程中,Kriging模型在小样本条件下,建立输入与输出见的近似函数关系。所提出的Bayesian期望改进控制策略充分利用Kriging模型对未试验点预测不确定性的度量能力,首先利用经典期望改进策略选取第一个试验点,并将其作为控制参考点;然后,借助所构造的控制函数更新贝叶斯期望改进控制策略,并将新增加试验点作为下个试验点选取的控制参考点。所提策略可以在提升全局探索能力的同时,使新试验点具有良好的空间分布特性。此外,借助控制函数调整方法,构建了两种拓展的Bayesian期望改进控制策略。数值算例及仿真案例结果表明:相比单点填充,Bayesian期望改进控制策略更高效;所提并行代理优化方法在同等精度条件下具有更好的稳健性及更快的收敛速度。 展开更多
关键词 期望改进策略 bayesian期望改进控制 控制函数 KRIGING模型 并行代理优化方法
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uTPI-Comb: an optimal Bayesian dose-allocation method in two-agent phase Ⅰ/Ⅱ clinical trials
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作者 Hao Liang Yaning Yang Min Yuan 《中国科学技术大学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第12期39-49,I0006,I0009,共13页
Finding the optimal dose combination in two-agent dose-finding trials is challenging due to limited sample sizes and the extensive range of potential doses.Unlike traditional chemotherapy or radiotherapy,which primari... Finding the optimal dose combination in two-agent dose-finding trials is challenging due to limited sample sizes and the extensive range of potential doses.Unlike traditional chemotherapy or radiotherapy,which primarily focuses on identifying the maximum tolerated dose(MTD),therapies involving targeted and immune agents facilitate the identifica-tion of an optimal biological dose combination(OBDC)by simultaneously evaluating both toxicity and efficacy.Cur-rently,most approaches to determining the OBDC in the literature are model-based and require complex model fittings,making them cumbersome and challenging to implement.To address these challenges,we developed a novel model-as-sisted approach called uTPI-Comb.This approach refines the established utility-based toxicity probability interval design by integrating a strategically devised zone-based local and global candidate set searching strategy,which can effectively optimize the decision-making process for two-agent dose escalation or de-escalation in drug combination trials.Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that the uTPI-Comb design speeds up the dose-searching process and provides substantial improvements over existing model-based methods in determining the optimal biological dose combinations. 展开更多
关键词 bayesian adaptive design optimal biological dose combination utility-based toxicity probability interval design zone-based candidate sets
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A Bayesian Network Learning Algorithm Based on Independence Test and Ant Colony Optimization 被引量:21
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作者 JI Jun-Zhong ZHANG Hong-Xun HU Ren-Bing LIU Chun-Nian 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2009年第3期281-288,共8页
关键词 最优化 随机系统 自动化 BN
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基于Bayesian-Bagging-XGBoost算法的GFRP增强混凝土柱轴向承载力预测
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作者 唐培根 李小亮 +2 位作者 何鑫 马国辉 张祥 《复合材料科学与工程》 北大核心 2025年第9期98-109,共12页
由于钢筋与玻璃纤维增强聚合物(Glass Fiber Reinforced Polymer,GFRP)筋力学特性的差异,GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力计算不能简单套用钢筋混凝土柱计算方法。为提高GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力预测模型的准确性,以253组试验数据作... 由于钢筋与玻璃纤维增强聚合物(Glass Fiber Reinforced Polymer,GFRP)筋力学特性的差异,GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力计算不能简单套用钢筋混凝土柱计算方法。为提高GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力预测模型的准确性,以253组试验数据作为极限梯度提升(XGBoost)算法建模的数据基础,并采用Bayesian优化算法、Bagging算法对XGBoost算法进行了优化,以提高模型的预测精度、稳定性和训练效率。采用决定系数(R^(2))、平均绝对误差(MAE)和相对根均方误差(RRSE)等指标对模型进行评价,并将其与现有预测模型进行对比分析。研究发现,Bayesian优化算法和Bagging算法可有效提高模型的训练效率、预测精度。所提出的Bayesian-Bagging-XGBoost模型的R^(2),MAE,RRSE值分别为0.6916,418.1629,0.5553,远优于现有预测模型指标,可为GFRP筋增强混凝土柱的工程应用提供更加准确的参考。 展开更多
关键词 bayesian优化 XGBoost算法 GFRP增强混凝土柱 轴向承载力 预测
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Bayesian optimal design of step stress accelerated degradation testing 被引量:2
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作者 Xiaoyang Li Mohammad Rezvanizaniani +2 位作者 Zhengzheng Ge Mohamed Abuali Jay Lee 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第3期502-513,共12页
This study presents a Bayesian methodology for de- signing step stress accelerated degradation testing (SSADT) and its application to batteries. First, the simulation-based Bayesian de- sign framework for SSADT is p... This study presents a Bayesian methodology for de- signing step stress accelerated degradation testing (SSADT) and its application to batteries. First, the simulation-based Bayesian de- sign framework for SSADT is presented. Then, by considering his- torical data, specific optimal objectives oriented Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is established. A numerical example is discussed to illustrate the design approach. It is assumed that the degrada- tion model (or process) follows a drift Brownian motion; the accele- ration model follows Arrhenius equation; and the corresponding parameters follow normal and Gamma prior distributions. Using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and WinBUGS software, the comparison shows that KL divergence is better than quadratic loss for optimal criteria. Further, the effect of simulation outiiers on the optimization plan is analyzed and the preferred sur- face fitting algorithm is chosen. At the end of the paper, a NASA lithium-ion battery dataset is used as historical information and the KL divergence oriented Bayesian design is compared with maxi- mum likelihood theory oriented locally optimal design. The results show that the proposed method can provide a much better testing plan for this engineering application. 展开更多
关键词 accelerated testing bayesian theory KL divergence degradation optimal design battery.
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Multi-source Fuzzy Information Fusion Method Based on Bayesian Optimal Classifier 被引量:8
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作者 SU Hong-Sheng 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2008年第3期282-287,共6页
为了做常规贝叶斯的最佳的分类器,拥有处理模糊信息并且认识到推理过程的自动化的能力,一个新贝叶斯的最佳的分类器被建议,模糊信息嵌入。它不能仅仅有效地处理模糊信息,而且保留贝叶斯的最佳的分类器的学习性质。另外根据模糊集合... 为了做常规贝叶斯的最佳的分类器,拥有处理模糊信息并且认识到推理过程的自动化的能力,一个新贝叶斯的最佳的分类器被建议,模糊信息嵌入。它不能仅仅有效地处理模糊信息,而且保留贝叶斯的最佳的分类器的学习性质。另外根据模糊集合理论的进化,含糊的集合也是嵌入的进它产生含糊的贝叶斯的最佳的分类器。它能同时从积极、反向的方向模仿模糊信息的双重的特征。进一步,贝叶斯的最佳的分类器也是的集合对从积极、反向、不确定的方面就模糊信息的三方面的特征而言求婚了。最后,一个知识库的人工的神经网络(KBANN ) 被介绍认识到贝叶斯的最佳的分类器的自动推理。它不仅减少贝叶斯的最佳的分类器的计算费用而且改进它学习质量的分类。 展开更多
关键词 模糊信息 混合方法 贝叶斯最佳分类器 自动推理 神经网络
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Finding optimal Bayesian networks by a layered learning method 被引量:4
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作者 YANG Yu GAO Xiaoguang GUO Zhigao 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第5期946-958,共13页
It is unpractical to learn the optimal structure of a big Bayesian network(BN)by exhausting the feasible structures,since the number of feasible structures is super exponential on the number of nodes.This paper propos... It is unpractical to learn the optimal structure of a big Bayesian network(BN)by exhausting the feasible structures,since the number of feasible structures is super exponential on the number of nodes.This paper proposes an approach to layer nodes of a BN by using the conditional independence testing.The parents of a node layer only belong to the layer,or layers who have priority over the layer.When a set of nodes has been layered,the number of feasible structures over the nodes can be remarkably reduced,which makes it possible to learn optimal BN structures for bigger sizes of nodes by accurate algorithms.Integrating the dynamic programming(DP)algorithm with the layering approach,we propose a hybrid algorithm—layered optimal learning(LOL)to learn BN structures.Benefitted by the layering approach,the complexity of the DP algorithm reduces to O(ρ2^n?1)from O(n2^n?1),whereρ<n.Meanwhile,the memory requirements for storing intermediate results are limited to O(C k#/k#^2 )from O(Cn/n^2 ),where k#<n.A case study on learning a standard BN with 50 nodes is conducted.The results demonstrate the superiority of the LOL algorithm,with respect to the Bayesian information criterion(BIC)score criterion,over the hill-climbing,max-min hill-climbing,PC,and three-phrase dependency analysis algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 bayesian network (BN) structure LEARNING layeredoptimal LEARNING (LOL)
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基于BayesianOpt-XGBoost的煤电机组碳排放因子预测 被引量:7
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作者 赵敬皓 王娜娜 +1 位作者 蒋嘉铭 田亚峻 《中国环境科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期417-426,共10页
以贝叶斯参数优化的XGBoost算法为基础,基于机组特征和煤炭特性建立BayesianOpt-XGBoost预测模型,其发电、供热碳排放因子预测的相关系数R^(2)分别为0.91和0.87,绝对误差百分比为2.51%和2.91%.进一步,通过特征标准化方法减少对煤炭特性... 以贝叶斯参数优化的XGBoost算法为基础,基于机组特征和煤炭特性建立BayesianOpt-XGBoost预测模型,其发电、供热碳排放因子预测的相关系数R^(2)分别为0.91和0.87,绝对误差百分比为2.51%和2.91%.进一步,通过特征标准化方法减少对煤炭特性的依赖,模型预测R2分别为0.79和0.77,绝对误差百分比为3.94%和2.75%,精度仍可得到保障.基于该模型分析全国各省区煤电机组碳排放因子并与公布数据进行比较,证明了该模型的有效性.对机组预测结果的分析表明对现存的低容量机组进行改造、对新建造电机组采用大容量高参数可以减少碳排放强度. 展开更多
关键词 碳核算 煤电碳排放因子预测 贝叶斯参数优化 XGBoost 特征标准化
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Coordinated Bayesian optimal approach for the integrated decision between electronic countermeasure and firepower attack
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作者 Zheng Tang Xiaoguang Gao Chao Sun 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2010年第3期449-454,共6页
The coordinated Bayesian optimization algorithm(CBOA) is proposed according to the characteristics of the function independence,conformity and supplementary between the electronic countermeasure(ECM) and the firep... The coordinated Bayesian optimization algorithm(CBOA) is proposed according to the characteristics of the function independence,conformity and supplementary between the electronic countermeasure(ECM) and the firepower attack systems.The selection criteria are combinations of probabilities of individual fitness and coordinated degree and can select choiceness individual to construct Bayesian network that manifest population evolution by producing the new chromosome.Thus the CBOA cannot only guarantee the effective pattern coordinated decision-making mechanism between the populations,but also maintain the population multiplicity,and enhance the algorithm performance.The simulation result confirms the algorithm validity. 展开更多
关键词 electronic countermeasure firepower attack coordinated bayesian optimization algorithm(CBOA).
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基于Bayesian-LightGBM模型的粮食产量预测研究 被引量:5
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作者 陈晓玲 张聪 黄晓宇 《中国农机化学报》 北大核心 2024年第6期163-169,共7页
目前用于粮食产量预测模型如灰色关联模型普遍存在训练速度较慢、预测精度较低等问题。为解决该问题,以轻量级梯度提升机(LightGBM)模型为基础,将其损失函数修正为Huber损失函数,同时引入贝叶斯优化算法确定出最优超参数组合并输入该模... 目前用于粮食产量预测模型如灰色关联模型普遍存在训练速度较慢、预测精度较低等问题。为解决该问题,以轻量级梯度提升机(LightGBM)模型为基础,将其损失函数修正为Huber损失函数,同时引入贝叶斯优化算法确定出最优超参数组合并输入该模型。以广西的早、晚水稻产量及16个粮食产量影响因素为数据集进行仿真试验,结果表明:基于线性回归的预测模型的平均绝对值误差为1.255,基于决策树的预测模型的平均绝对值误差为0.426,基于随机森林的预测模型的平均值误差为0.315,基于Bayesian-LightGBM的预测模型的平均绝对值误差为0.049。相比其他预测模型,Bayesian-LightGBM粮食产量预测模型能够更有效地实现粮食产量预测,预测精度更高。 展开更多
关键词 粮食产量预测 粮食安全 轻量级梯度提升机 贝叶斯优化
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基于BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost的阶跃式滑坡位移预测 被引量:1
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作者 周伟 李景娟 +3 位作者 李炎隆 蔡咏东 郑州 温立峰 《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第3期703-714,共12页
为精准预测阶跃式滑坡位移,建立贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization,BO)、变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)、极限梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)和多项式(polynomial,P)的滑坡位移预测混合模型BOVMD-P... 为精准预测阶跃式滑坡位移,建立贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization,BO)、变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)、极限梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)和多项式(polynomial,P)的滑坡位移预测混合模型BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost。采用BO优化VMD和K-means分解并重构监测位移为趋势位移和周期位移,轮廓系数用于确定K-means最佳簇数。考虑趋势位移和周期位移各自变化特性,利用多项式和BO优化XGBoost分别预测趋势位移和周期位移,将二者预测值的和作为最终预测值并进行精度评价。周期位移预测考虑了库水位、累积降雨、前期位移影响,并通过相关性矩阵和构造动态输入特征获得BOXGBoost模型的输入数据。基于白水河滑坡实例,验证BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost预测阶跃式滑坡位移的有效性和准确性。结果表明:BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost预测值和滑坡位移真实值相似度较高,表现出较高准确性和优异的泛化性能。因此,采用BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost能够精准预测阶跃式滑坡潜在位移,为滑坡风险防控提供参考借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 阶跃式滑坡 位移预测 贝叶斯优化 XGBoost VMD
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基于组合分解和横向联邦学习的分布式超短期风电功率预测 被引量:1
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作者 臧海祥 李叶阳 +4 位作者 张越 高革命 刘亚楠 卫志农 孙国强 《电力自动化设备》 北大核心 2025年第4期45-52,共8页
针对现有风电功率预测精度较低且未考虑多风电场数据安全的问题,提出一种基于组合分解和横向联邦学习的多风电场分布式超短期风电功率预测方法。利用自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解获得风电功率的多模态分量,利用奇异谱分析对高频非线... 针对现有风电功率预测精度较低且未考虑多风电场数据安全的问题,提出一种基于组合分解和横向联邦学习的多风电场分布式超短期风电功率预测方法。利用自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解获得风电功率的多模态分量,利用奇异谱分析对高频非线性分量进行二次分解,并基于近似熵复杂度量化结果对多模态分量进行重构;在横向联邦学习框架下,采用随机控制平均算法实现深度置信网络参数的更新与聚合,以获得各重构分量的预测结果;利用贝叶斯优化算法确定重构分量的叠加系数,获得最终的风电功率预测值。基于5座风电场数据进行的算例测试结果表明,该方法在考虑多风电场数据安全问题的基础上获得了更好的预测结果。 展开更多
关键词 风电功率预测 组合分解 横向联邦学习 深度置信网络 贝叶斯优化
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一种锂离子电池组智能PID双层主动均衡控制方法 被引量:1
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作者 武小兰 马彭杰 +3 位作者 白志峰 刘成龙 郭桂芳 张锦华 《储能科学与技术》 北大核心 2025年第3期1150-1159,共10页
针对电池组的性能和寿命会因单体电池荷电状态的不一致而显著降低的问题,提出了一种基于智能PID控制的锂离子电池组双层主动均衡控制方法。该方法提出了一种电池组双层均衡拓扑,组内采用扩展性好的Buck-Boost电路,组间采用均衡效率高的... 针对电池组的性能和寿命会因单体电池荷电状态的不一致而显著降低的问题,提出了一种基于智能PID控制的锂离子电池组双层主动均衡控制方法。该方法提出了一种电池组双层均衡拓扑,组内采用扩展性好的Buck-Boost电路,组间采用均衡效率高的反激变压器。在此基础上,提出采用贝叶斯算法优化的PID控制器来控制输出可变占空比进而控制均衡电流来实现电池组内、组间均衡。仿真结果表明,针对初始SOC差异设置在4%~55%的情况,对比基于Buck-Boost电路的传统均衡,静置模式和充电模式下均衡时间分别减少了503 s、515 s,均衡效率分别提高了65.7%、66.5%,静置模式下能量转移效率提高了4.4%。实验结果表明,均衡电流小于1.5A的条件下,本文提出的均衡方法在1110 s时实现了均衡,相较于模糊PID算法均衡时间缩短了616 s,证明了所提出均衡控制方法的先进性。 展开更多
关键词 锂离子电池 PID控制 贝叶斯优化 双层均衡拓扑 Buck-Boost电路
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