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基于机器学习的铜电解精炼电积过程电压及出液铜离子浓度预测模型研究
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作者 闫哲祯 卢金成 +3 位作者 程寒 廖嘉琪 徐夫元 段宁 《有色金属(冶炼部分)》 北大核心 2025年第9期13-24,共12页
电积是目前最为常用的铜电解液净化工艺,其出口铜离子浓度波动大、人工调控难度高,易造成后续硫化单元处理负荷剧增及铜砷共沉淀产废量增大,而传统预测模型存在不可解释、稳态限制、低泛化能力等缺陷。为此,构建了企业电积生产过程电压... 电积是目前最为常用的铜电解液净化工艺,其出口铜离子浓度波动大、人工调控难度高,易造成后续硫化单元处理负荷剧增及铜砷共沉淀产废量增大,而传统预测模型存在不可解释、稳态限制、低泛化能力等缺陷。为此,构建了企业电积生产过程电压及出液铜离子浓度准确预测的多参数模型。通过对比研究10种机器学习模型,发现GBR在电压预测中表现最优(决定系数R^(2)=0.79,均方误差MSE=1.25),XGBoost对出液铜离子浓度的预测准确度最高(R^(2)=0.87,MSE=5.58)。SHAP解释性分析表明,电流和时间分别是影响电压和出液铜离子浓度变化的主控因素。模型决策机制与电化学原理及质量守恒定律一致,突破了传统模型对非线性关系的表征局限,为异常工况的预警诊断、关键参数动态优化控制及减少污染物产生提供依据。 展开更多
关键词 铜电积 机器学习 gradient boosting Regression(GBR) eXtreme gradient boosting(XGBoost) 解释性分析 Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)
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基于机器学习方法预测3D打印零件的性能
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作者 洪学银 高尚 《中国塑料》 北大核心 2025年第7期72-79,共8页
采用拉丁超立方实验设计,研究了层高、壁厚、顶底厚、顶底线条方向、填充密度、填充线条方向、打印速度、挤出温度、床温、工作空间温度10种熔融沉积建模(FDM)工艺参数对丙烯腈-丁二烯-苯乙烯共聚物(ABS)零件拉伸性能的影响,对比了人工... 采用拉丁超立方实验设计,研究了层高、壁厚、顶底厚、顶底线条方向、填充密度、填充线条方向、打印速度、挤出温度、床温、工作空间温度10种熔融沉积建模(FDM)工艺参数对丙烯腈-丁二烯-苯乙烯共聚物(ABS)零件拉伸性能的影响,对比了人工神经元网络(ANN)、随机森林(RF)和梯度提升算法(GB)3种机器学习方法预测拉伸性能的准确性。结果表明,ANN预测拉伸强度和断裂伸长率的相关系数R仅为0.883 5和0.892 4,在训练和测试数据集上,预测的均方误差(MSE)在5~10和20~24之间;RF预测的R值为0.913 6和0.924 0,MSE在3~8和15~20之间;GB预测准确性最高,R值为0.975 9和0.981 2,MSE最低,在1~4和8~10之间。在10种工艺参数中,在采用RF模型时,拉伸性能的显著影响因素为填充密度、壁厚、填充线条方向和顶底厚,在采用GB模型时,拉伸性能的显著影响因素为填充密度、壁厚、层高和填充线条方向。填充密度是影响拉伸性能最显著的因素,对GB预测结果的影响显著性达到80%左右,远大于RF模型中的40%。 展开更多
关键词 熔融沉积建模 人工神经元网络 随机森林 gradient boosting 拉伸性能
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考虑环境因素的电动汽车充电站实时负荷预测模型 被引量:5
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作者 李波 王宁 +1 位作者 吕叶林 陈宇 《同济大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第6期962-969,共8页
为了减少电动汽车大规模集成到电网造成的不利影响,提出了一种能够实现充电站充电负荷精准预测的方法。该方法利用LightGBM(light gradient boosting machine)与XGBoost(eXtreme gradient boosting)模型构建线下-线上组合模型。考虑充... 为了减少电动汽车大规模集成到电网造成的不利影响,提出了一种能够实现充电站充电负荷精准预测的方法。该方法利用LightGBM(light gradient boosting machine)与XGBoost(eXtreme gradient boosting)模型构建线下-线上组合模型。考虑充电负荷、时间、温度、天气等历史数据,利用LightGBM模型初步建立充电负荷线下预测模型;基于XGBoost模型,以线下预测模型输出负荷和实际负荷的误差为优化目标,实时变化的交通流量为协变量,建立线上预测模型,并对初步预测结果进行误差修正。某市实际充电站预测结果表明,相比于随机森林(RF)、LightGBM模型、XGBoost模型、多层感知机(MLP)以及LightGBM-RF组合模型,该组合模型具有更高的预测精度,同时可以准确预测不同充电站的实时充电负荷。 展开更多
关键词 电动汽车 充电负荷预测 LightGBM(light gradient boosting machine) XGBoost(eXtreme gradient boosting) 在线学习
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基于机器学习的透水混凝土耐磨性能预测 被引量:1
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作者 白涛 罗小宝 邢国华 《硅酸盐通报》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第1期138-146,共9页
本研究旨在利用机器学习模型进行透水混凝土耐磨性能预测。收集了150组透水混凝土耐磨性能试验数据并构建了数据库,采用特征相关性分析确定了6个输入参数,分别为骨料最大粒径、水胶比、砂率、骨胶比、粉煤灰掺量和旋转圈数。利用多种机... 本研究旨在利用机器学习模型进行透水混凝土耐磨性能预测。收集了150组透水混凝土耐磨性能试验数据并构建了数据库,采用特征相关性分析确定了6个输入参数,分别为骨料最大粒径、水胶比、砂率、骨胶比、粉煤灰掺量和旋转圈数。利用多种机器学习算法(XGBoost、Gradient Boosting、AdaBoost、Decision Tree和Random Forest)建立了透水混凝土磨损率预测模型,通过决定系数(R^(2))、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)对模型性能进行表征。研究结果表明,Gradient Boosting模型在训练集和测试集上均具有较高的准确性和较小的预测误差,与现有理论模型的比较分析也证实了Gradient Boosting模型在预测透水混凝土磨损率方面的优势。研究成果可为透水混凝土的设计和应用提供参考,并有望降低相关工程的维护成本。 展开更多
关键词 透水混凝土 耐磨性能 磨损率 机器学习 gradient boosting模型
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结合机器学习的SA湍流模型闭合系数修正
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作者 徐向阳 胡冠男 +2 位作者 王良军 朱文浩 张武 《上海大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期341-351,共11页
将修正Morris分类筛选法与极端梯度提升(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)相结合,在计算流体动力学(computational fluid dynamics,CFD)数据驱动下,用于SA(Spalart-Allmaras)湍流模型闭合系数的修正.利用分类筛选法有效缩小闭合系数... 将修正Morris分类筛选法与极端梯度提升(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)相结合,在计算流体动力学(computational fluid dynamics,CFD)数据驱动下,用于SA(Spalart-Allmaras)湍流模型闭合系数的修正.利用分类筛选法有效缩小闭合系数研究范围,同时依据XGBoost方法在小规模数据集下取得精度较高的拟合模型,有效提升系数修正效率.在三维DLR-F6-WB构型下进行了数值实验,实验结果显示利用本方法能够在三维复杂模型上基于小样本数据进行系数修正,修正后的升阻力系数计算精度得到了显著提升. 展开更多
关键词 SA(Spalart-Allmaras)湍流模型 敏感度 极端梯度提升(extreme gradient boosting XGBoost) 线性回归 系数修正
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基于机器学习的热带气旋灾害等级评估模型构建及其活动特征分析 被引量:4
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作者 刘淑贤 张立生 +3 位作者 刘扬 王维国 杨琨 张源达 《气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期331-343,共13页
在全球变暖的背景下,热带气旋(TC)作为影响我国最严重的自然灾害之一,其活动特征及灾害损失评估研究受到了广泛关注。采用组合赋权和k-means等方法,分析了2000年以来登陆我国的TC及灾害损失特征,并构建了基于机器学习的TC灾害等级评估... 在全球变暖的背景下,热带气旋(TC)作为影响我国最严重的自然灾害之一,其活动特征及灾害损失评估研究受到了广泛关注。采用组合赋权和k-means等方法,分析了2000年以来登陆我国的TC及灾害损失特征,并构建了基于机器学习的TC灾害等级评估模型。结果表明:从总体趋势来看,登陆我国的TC频数在逐年减少,但登陆风速的最大值却在缓慢增加;广东、浙江、福建、广西受灾较为严重,但整体上全国综合灾情指数呈下降趋势;与传统的随机森林、支持向量机、朴素贝叶斯算法相比,LightGBM(Light Gradient Boosting Machine)在TC灾害评估中效果最佳,准确率值为0.91,其中致灾因子是模型中最关键的因素,其次是防灾减灾能力、暴露度和脆弱性指标。 展开更多
关键词 热带气旋 灾害等级评估 机器学习 LightGBM(Light gradient boosting Machine)
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Classification of aviation incident causes using LGBM with improved cross-validation 被引量:1
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作者 NI Xiaomei WANG Huawei +1 位作者 CHEN Lingzi LIN Ruiguan 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期396-405,共10页
Aviation accidents are currently one of the leading causes of significant injuries and deaths worldwide. This entices researchers to investigate aircraft safety using data analysis approaches based on an advanced mach... Aviation accidents are currently one of the leading causes of significant injuries and deaths worldwide. This entices researchers to investigate aircraft safety using data analysis approaches based on an advanced machine learning algorithm.To assess aviation safety and identify the causes of incidents, a classification model with light gradient boosting machine (LGBM)based on the aviation safety reporting system (ASRS) has been developed. It is improved by k-fold cross-validation with hybrid sampling model (HSCV), which may boost classification performance and maintain data balance. The results show that employing the LGBM-HSCV model can significantly improve accuracy while alleviating data imbalance. Vertical comparison with other cross-validation (CV) methods and lateral comparison with different fold times comprise the comparative approach. Aside from the comparison, two further CV approaches based on the improved method in this study are discussed:one with a different sampling and folding order, and the other with more CV. According to the assessment indices with different methods, the LGBMHSCV model proposed here is effective at detecting incident causes. The improved model for imbalanced data categorization proposed may serve as a point of reference for similar data processing, and the model’s accurate identification of civil aviation incident causes can assist to improve civil aviation safety. 展开更多
关键词 aviation safety imbalance data light gradient boosting machine(LGBM) cross-validation(CV)
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Thickness of excavation damaged zone estimation using four novel hybrid ensemble learning models : A case study of Xiangxi Gold Mine and Fankou Lead-zinc Mine in China
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作者 LIU Lei-lei HONG Zhi-xian +1 位作者 ZHAO Guo-yan LIANG Wei-zhang 《Journal of Central South University》 CSCD 2024年第11期3965-3982,共18页
Underground excavation can lead to stress redistribution and result in an excavation damaged zone(EDZ),which is an important factor affecting the excavation stability and support design.Accurately estimating the thick... Underground excavation can lead to stress redistribution and result in an excavation damaged zone(EDZ),which is an important factor affecting the excavation stability and support design.Accurately estimating the thickness of EDZ is essential to ensure the safety of the underground excavation.In this study,four novel hybrid ensemble learning models were developed by optimizing the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)and random forest(RF)algorithms through simulated annealing(SA)and Bayesian optimization(BO)approaches,namely SA-XGBoost,SA-RF,BO XGBoost and BO-RF models.A total of 210 cases were collected from Xiangxi Gold Mine in Hunan Province and Fankou Lead-zinc Mine in Guangdong Province,China,including seven input indicators:embedding depth,drift span,uniaxial compressive strength of rock,rock mass rating,unit weight of rock,lateral pressure coefficient of roadway and unit consumption of blasting explosive.The performance of the proposed models was evaluated by the coefficient of determination,root mean squared error,mean absolute error and variance accounted for.The results indicated that the SA-XGBoost model performed best.The Shapley additive explanations method revealed that the embedding depth was the most important indicator.Moreover,the convergence curves suggested that the SA-XGBoost model can reduce the generalization error and avoid overfitting. 展开更多
关键词 excavation damaged zone machine learning simulated annealing Bayesian optimization extreme gradient boosting random forest
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Data-driven methods for predicting the representative temperature of bridge cable based on limited measured data
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作者 WANG Fen DAI Gong-lian +2 位作者 HE Chang-lin GE Hao RAO Hui-ming 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第9期3168-3186,共19页
Cable-stayed bridges have been widely used in high-speed railway infrastructure.The accurate determination of cable’s representative temperatures is vital during the intricate processes of design,construction,and mai... Cable-stayed bridges have been widely used in high-speed railway infrastructure.The accurate determination of cable’s representative temperatures is vital during the intricate processes of design,construction,and maintenance of cable-stayed bridges.However,the representative temperatures of stayed cables are not specified in the existing design codes.To address this issue,this study investigates the distribution of the cable temperature and determinates its representative temperature.First,an experimental investigation,spanning over a period of one year,was carried out near the bridge site to obtain the temperature data.According to the statistical analysis of the measured data,it reveals that the temperature distribution is generally uniform along the cable cross-section without significant temperature gradient.Then,based on the limited data,the Monte Carlo,the gradient boosted regression trees(GBRT),and univariate linear regression(ULR)methods are employed to predict the cable’s representative temperature throughout the service life.These methods effectively overcome the limitations of insufficient monitoring data and accurately predict the representative temperature of the cables.However,each method has its own advantages and limitations in terms of applicability and accuracy.A comprehensive evaluation of the performance of these methods is conducted,and practical recommendations are provided for their application.The proposed methods and representative temperatures provide a good basis for the operation and maintenance of in-service long-span cable-stayed bridges. 展开更多
关键词 cable-stayed bridges representative temperature gradient boosted regression trees(GBRT)method field test limited measured data
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基于优化XGBoost的风电机组发电机前轴承故障预警 被引量:24
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作者 魏乐 胡晓东 尹诗 《系统仿真学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第10期2335-2343,共9页
为了及时有效地识别发电机的异常运行状态,提出了基于贝叶斯优化极限梯度提升算法的风电机组发电机前轴承故障预警方法:利用有效的数据预处理方法处理数据采集与监视控制系统历史数据;基于贝叶斯优化的XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosti... 为了及时有效地识别发电机的异常运行状态,提出了基于贝叶斯优化极限梯度提升算法的风电机组发电机前轴承故障预警方法:利用有效的数据预处理方法处理数据采集与监视控制系统历史数据;基于贝叶斯优化的XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting)算法构建风电机组发电机前轴承温度预测模型;基于3σ准则,确定风电机组发电机前轴承故障预警阈值。实验结果表明所提方法能提前监测到风电机组发电机前轴承异常信号。通过与采用随机搜索和网格搜索所建立的模型进行对比分析,验证了贝叶斯优化模型在泛化性能和预测精度上具有优势。 展开更多
关键词 XGBoost(eXtreme gradient boosting)算法 风电机组 故障预警 贝叶斯优化
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Detection of artificial pornographic pictures based on multiple features and tree mode 被引量:3
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作者 MAO Xing-liang LI Fang-fang +1 位作者 LIU Xi-yao ZOU Bei-ji 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第7期1651-1664,共14页
It is easy for teenagers to view pornographic pictures on social networks. Many researchers have studied the detection of real pornographic pictures, but there are few studies on those that are artificial. In this wor... It is easy for teenagers to view pornographic pictures on social networks. Many researchers have studied the detection of real pornographic pictures, but there are few studies on those that are artificial. In this work, we studied how to detect artificial pornographic pictures, especially when they are on social networks. The whole detection process can be divided into two stages: feature selection and picture detection. In the feature selection stage, seven types of features that favour picture detection were selected. In the picture detection stage, three steps were included. 1) In order to alleviate the imbalance in the number of artificial pornographic pictures and normal ones, the training dataset of artificial pornographic pictures was expanded. Therefore, the features which were extracted from the training dataset can also be expanded too. 2) In order to reduce the time of feature extraction, a fast method which extracted features based on the proportionally scaled picture rather than the original one was proposed. 3) Three tree models were compared and a gradient boost decision tree (GBDT) was selected for the final picture detection. Three sets of experimental results show that the proposed method can achieve better recognition precision and drastically reduce the time cost of the method. 展开更多
关键词 multiple feature artificial pornographic pictures picture detection gradient boost decision tree
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