In presented fuzzy multi-attribute decision-making （FMADM） problems, the information about attribute weights is interval numbers and the decision maker （DM） has fuzzy complementary preference relation on alternati...In presented fuzzy multi-attribute decision-making （FMADM） problems, the information about attribute weights is interval numbers and the decision maker （DM） has fuzzy complementary preference relation on alternatives. Firstly, the decision-making information based on the subjective preference information in the form of the fuzzy complementary judgment matrix is uniform by using a translation function. Then an objective programming model is established. Attribute weights are obtained by solving the model, thus the fuzzy overall values of alternatives are derived by using the additive weighting method. Secondly, the ranking approach of alternatives is proposed based on the degree of similarity between the fuzzy positive ideal solution of alternatives （FPISA） and the fuzzy overall values. The method can sufficiently utilize the objective information of alternatives and meet the subjective requirements of the DM as much as possible. It is easy to be operated and implemented on a computer. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the project evaluation in the venture investment.展开更多
The evaluation of the electricity market is crucial for fostering market construction and development.An accurate assessment of the electricity market reveals developmental trends,identifies operational issues,and con...The evaluation of the electricity market is crucial for fostering market construction and development.An accurate assessment of the electricity market reveals developmental trends,identifies operational issues,and contributes to stable and healthy market growth.This study investigated the characteristics of electricity markets in different provinces and synthesized a comprehensive set of evaluation indicators to assess market effectiveness.The evaluation framework,comprising nine indicators organized into two tiers,was constructed based on three aspects:market design,market efficiency,and developmental coordination.Furthermore,a novel fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making evaluation model for electricity market performance was developed based on the Fuzzy-BWM and fuzzy COPRAS methodologies.This model aimed to ensure both accuracy and comprehensiveness in market operation assessment.Subsequently,empirical analyses were conducted on four typical provincial-level electricity markets in China.The results indicate that Guangdong’s electricity market performed best because of its effective balance of stakeholder interests and adherence to contractual integrity principles.Zhejiang and Shandong ranked second and third,respectively,whereas Sichuan exhibited the poorest market performance.Sichuan’s electricity market must be improved in terms of market design,such that market players can obtain a fairly competitive environment.The sensitivity analysis of the constructed indicators verified the effectiveness of the evaluation model proposed in this study.Finally,policy recommendations were proposed to facilitate the sustainable development of China’s electricity markets with the objective of transforming them into efficient and secure markets adaptable to the evolution of novel power systems.展开更多
Wise healthcare is a typical application of wireless sensor network(WSN), which uses sensors to monitor the physiological state of nursing targets and locate their position in case of an emergency situation. The locat...Wise healthcare is a typical application of wireless sensor network(WSN), which uses sensors to monitor the physiological state of nursing targets and locate their position in case of an emergency situation. The location of targets need to be determined and reported to the control center,and this leads to the localization problem. While localization in healthcare field demands high accuracy and regional adaptability, the information processing mechanism of human thinking has been introduced,which includes knowledge accumulation, knowledge fusion and knowledge expansion. Furthermore, a fuzzy decision based localization approach is proposed. Received signal strength(RSS) at references points are obtained and processed as position relationship indicators, using fuzzy set theory in the knowledge accumulation stage; after that, optimize degree of membership corresponding to each anchor nodes in different environments during knowledge fusion; the matching degree of reference points is further calculated and sorted in decision-making, and the coordinates of several points with the highest matching degree are utilized to estimate the location of unknown nodes while knowledge expansion. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm get better accuracy performance compared to several traditional algorithms under different typical occasions.展开更多
Because of the uncertainty and subjectivity of decision makers in the complex decision-making environment,the evaluation information of alternatives given by decision makers is often fuzzy and uncertain.As a generaliz...Because of the uncertainty and subjectivity of decision makers in the complex decision-making environment,the evaluation information of alternatives given by decision makers is often fuzzy and uncertain.As a generalization of intuitionistic fuzzy set(IFSs)and Pythagoras fuzzy set(PFSs),q-rung orthopair fuzzy set(q-ROFS)is more suitable for expressing fuzzy and uncertain information.But,in actual multiple attribute decision making(MADM)problems,the weights of DMs and attributes are always completely unknown or partly known,to date,the maximizing deviation method is a good tool to deal with such issues.Thus,combine the q-ROFS and conventional maximizing deviation method,we will study the maximizing deviation method under q-ROFSs and q-RIVOFSs in this paper.Firstly,we briefly introduce the basic concept of q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets(q-ROFSs)and q-rung interval-valued orthopair fuzzy sets(q-RIVOFSs).Then,combine the maximizing deviation method with q-rung orthopair fuzzy information,we establish two new decision making models.On this basis,the proposed models are applied to MADM problems with q-rung orthopair fuzzy information.Compared with existing methods,the effectiveness and superiority of the new model are analyzed.This method can effectively solve the MADM problem whose decision information is represented by q-rung orthopair fuzzy numbers(q-ROFNs)and whose attributes are incomplete.展开更多
Digital evidences can be obtained from computers and various kinds of digital devices, such as telephones, mp3/mp4 players, printers, cameras, etc. Telephone Call Detail Records （CDRs） are one important source of di...Digital evidences can be obtained from computers and various kinds of digital devices, such as telephones, mp3/mp4 players, printers, cameras, etc. Telephone Call Detail Records （CDRs） are one important source of digital evidences that can identify suspects and their partners. Law enforcement authorities may intercept and record specific conversations with a court order and CDRs can be obtained from telephone service providers. However, the CDRs of a suspect for a period of time are often fairly large in volume. To obtain useful information and make appropriate decisions automatically from such large amount of CDRs become more and more difficult. Current analysis tools are designed to present only numerical results rather than help us make useful decisions. In this paper, an algorithm based on Fuzzy Decision Tree （FDT） for analyzing CDRs is proposed. We conducted experimental evaluation to verify the proposed algorithm and the result is very promising.展开更多
Based on fuzzy characteristic of dicision-making thought, matrix of priority relation has been introduced and blurrized. A kind of fuzzy method, which is to determine the index weight on multi-objective decision makin...Based on fuzzy characteristic of dicision-making thought, matrix of priority relation has been introduced and blurrized. A kind of fuzzy method, which is to determine the index weight on multi-objective decision making, has been put forward by means of the sequence root method for analysis of hierarchical process (AHP). Using this method an example which is to define the index weigbt on multi-objective decision making in thc scheme optimization of mine design has been given.展开更多
A new fuzzification method for multi-objective decision-making and selective sorting is proposed on the basis of the fuzzy consistent relation, and the specific algorithm is presented. The method is applied to the eva...A new fuzzification method for multi-objective decision-making and selective sorting is proposed on the basis of the fuzzy consistent relation, and the specific algorithm is presented. The method is applied to the evaluation of highway planning of Zhanjiang city. To decrease the subjectivity in the process of decision-making, the LOWA operator is introduced, and a discussion on how to select appropriate weights involved in multi-objective sorting is made. It is concluded that it is feasible to apply the fuzzy consistent relation to multi-objective decision-making analysis, and the improved fuzzication method is workable.展开更多
A grey multi-stage decision making method is proposed for a type of grey multi-index decision problems with weighted values completely unknown and attributes as interval grey numbers. Firstly, a method for compar- ing...A grey multi-stage decision making method is proposed for a type of grey multi-index decision problems with weighted values completely unknown and attributes as interval grey numbers. Firstly, a method for compar- ing two grey numbers based on probability is developed to calculate weighted values of the attributes. Secondly, the experts＇ evaluation scores for attribute values are presented in terms of internal grey numbers. Finally, a weight solving method for multiple-stages evaluation is proposed. An example analysis verifies the availability of the proposed method. The method provides a new way of thinking for solving grey decision problem.展开更多
Stealth security has always been considered as an important guarantee for the vitality and combat effectiveness of submarines.In accordance with the stealth requirements of submarines performing stealth voyage tasks,t...Stealth security has always been considered as an important guarantee for the vitality and combat effectiveness of submarines.In accordance with the stealth requirements of submarines performing stealth voyage tasks,this paper proposes a stealth assistant decision system.Firstly,the submarine stealth posture is acquired.A fuzzy neural network inference engine based on improved simplified particle swarm optimization is designed.The auxiliary decision-making scheme for state control and maneuver avoidance of submarine and its equipment is automatically generated.Secondly,the simulation and deduction of the assistant decision-making scheme are realized by the calculation modules of sound source level,propagation loss,and stealth situation.The assistant decision-making scheme and simulation result provide decision support for the commander.Thirdly,the simulation experiment platform of the submarine stealth assistant decision system is constructed.The submarine stealth assistant decision system described in this paper can quickly and efficiently produce assistant decision-making schemes,including submarine and equipment control and maneuver avoidance.The scheme is in line with the combat experience and the results of the pre-model simulation experiments,whereas the simulation deduction evaluates the rationality and effectiveness of the selected scheme.The submarine stealth assistant decision system can adapt to a complex battlefield environment in addition to rapidly and accurately providing assistance in decision-making.展开更多
Heating by electricity rather than coal is considered one effective way to reduce environmental problems. Thus, the electric heating load is growing rapidly, which may cause undesired problems in distribution grids be...Heating by electricity rather than coal is considered one effective way to reduce environmental problems. Thus, the electric heating load is growing rapidly, which may cause undesired problems in distribution grids because of the randomness and dispersed integration of the load. However, the electric heating load may also function as an energy storage system with optimal operational control. Therefore, the optimal modeling of electric heating load characteristics, considering its randomness, is important for grid planning and construction. In this study, the heating loads of distributed residential users in a certain area are modeled based on the Fanger thermal comfort equation and the predicted mean vote thermal comfort index calculation method. Different temperatures are considered while modeling the users' heating loads. The heat load demand curve is estimated according to the time-varying equation of interior temperature. A multi-objective optimization model for the electric heating load with heat energy storage is then studied considering the demand response(DR), which optimizes economy and the comfort index. A fuzzy decision method is proposed, considering the factors influencing DR behavior. Finally, the validity of the proposed model is verified by simulations. The results show that the proposed model performs better than the traditional method.展开更多
In order to evaluate stock quality scientifically, a synthetic evaluation system of stock quality is proposed on the basis of fuzzy set theory and grey multi-hierarchy decision method. Then the evaluation system is ap...In order to evaluate stock quality scientifically, a synthetic evaluation system of stock quality is proposed on the basis of fuzzy set theory and grey multi-hierarchy decision method. Then the evaluation system is applied to an example. The results show that the evaluation system can overcome the errors of expert＇s subjective judgment.展开更多
地下储气库(以下简称储气库)老井封堵施工,因井况复杂、动态交互性强,存在井筒窜气及封堵失效等高风险隐患。现有封堵井施工风险评价方法多依赖定性分析,难以量化关键因素间的非线性影响,且传统决策试验和评价实验室(DEMATEL)方法存在...地下储气库(以下简称储气库)老井封堵施工,因井况复杂、动态交互性强,存在井筒窜气及封堵失效等高风险隐患。现有封堵井施工风险评价方法多依赖定性分析,难以量化关键因素间的非线性影响,且传统决策试验和评价实验室(DEMATEL)方法存在主观偏差问题。为此,基于模糊集理论改进DEMATEL算法,通过量化专家判断与引入原因度—中心度权重优化机制,构建了从系统级事故到不安全控制行为(UCA)的动态因果路径;然后结合概率阈值判定与多级风险传递分析,实现关键风险因素的定量排序与演化机理解析,最后建立了一种融合模糊逻辑与系统理论过程分析(Systematic Theory Process Analysis, STPA)的多尺度风险评价模型。研究结果表明:(1)融合改进的模糊DEMATEL与系统理论过程分析(STPA)方法能有效量化关键风险因素,通过引入原因度和中心度优化权重计算,显著降低了主观偏差,改进后方法的皮尔逊积矩(Pearson)相关系数优于传统模糊DEMATEL;(2)改进后的多级分析能对多个相互影响的风险因素进行多尺度的风险评价,确定不同风险因素的优化权重、相互间的因果关系、整体概率分布和传递路径;(3)多级风险传递路径分析揭示了不安全控制行为动态演化机制。结论认为,案例验证识别结果与施工现场实际风险高度吻合,该方法可以有效识别关键风险因素,且能够克服专家评价的模糊性与不确定性,为储气库老井封堵施工系统精准风险管控提供了理论和技术支撑。展开更多
文摘In presented fuzzy multi-attribute decision-making （FMADM） problems, the information about attribute weights is interval numbers and the decision maker （DM） has fuzzy complementary preference relation on alternatives. Firstly, the decision-making information based on the subjective preference information in the form of the fuzzy complementary judgment matrix is uniform by using a translation function. Then an objective programming model is established. Attribute weights are obtained by solving the model, thus the fuzzy overall values of alternatives are derived by using the additive weighting method. Secondly, the ranking approach of alternatives is proposed based on the degree of similarity between the fuzzy positive ideal solution of alternatives （FPISA） and the fuzzy overall values. The method can sufficiently utilize the objective information of alternatives and meet the subjective requirements of the DM as much as possible. It is easy to be operated and implemented on a computer. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the project evaluation in the venture investment.
文摘The evaluation of the electricity market is crucial for fostering market construction and development.An accurate assessment of the electricity market reveals developmental trends,identifies operational issues,and contributes to stable and healthy market growth.This study investigated the characteristics of electricity markets in different provinces and synthesized a comprehensive set of evaluation indicators to assess market effectiveness.The evaluation framework,comprising nine indicators organized into two tiers,was constructed based on three aspects:market design,market efficiency,and developmental coordination.Furthermore,a novel fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making evaluation model for electricity market performance was developed based on the Fuzzy-BWM and fuzzy COPRAS methodologies.This model aimed to ensure both accuracy and comprehensiveness in market operation assessment.Subsequently,empirical analyses were conducted on four typical provincial-level electricity markets in China.The results indicate that Guangdong’s electricity market performed best because of its effective balance of stakeholder interests and adherence to contractual integrity principles.Zhejiang and Shandong ranked second and third,respectively,whereas Sichuan exhibited the poorest market performance.Sichuan’s electricity market must be improved in terms of market design,such that market players can obtain a fairly competitive environment.The sensitivity analysis of the constructed indicators verified the effectiveness of the evaluation model proposed in this study.Finally,policy recommendations were proposed to facilitate the sustainable development of China’s electricity markets with the objective of transforming them into efficient and secure markets adaptable to the evolution of novel power systems.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51677065)
文摘Wise healthcare is a typical application of wireless sensor network(WSN), which uses sensors to monitor the physiological state of nursing targets and locate their position in case of an emergency situation. The location of targets need to be determined and reported to the control center,and this leads to the localization problem. While localization in healthcare field demands high accuracy and regional adaptability, the information processing mechanism of human thinking has been introduced,which includes knowledge accumulation, knowledge fusion and knowledge expansion. Furthermore, a fuzzy decision based localization approach is proposed. Received signal strength(RSS) at references points are obtained and processed as position relationship indicators, using fuzzy set theory in the knowledge accumulation stage; after that, optimize degree of membership corresponding to each anchor nodes in different environments during knowledge fusion; the matching degree of reference points is further calculated and sorted in decision-making, and the coordinates of several points with the highest matching degree are utilized to estimate the location of unknown nodes while knowledge expansion. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm get better accuracy performance compared to several traditional algorithms under different typical occasions.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.71571128the Humanities and Social Sciences Foundation of Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China(No.17XJA630003).
文摘Because of the uncertainty and subjectivity of decision makers in the complex decision-making environment,the evaluation information of alternatives given by decision makers is often fuzzy and uncertain.As a generalization of intuitionistic fuzzy set(IFSs)and Pythagoras fuzzy set(PFSs),q-rung orthopair fuzzy set(q-ROFS)is more suitable for expressing fuzzy and uncertain information.But,in actual multiple attribute decision making(MADM)problems,the weights of DMs and attributes are always completely unknown or partly known,to date,the maximizing deviation method is a good tool to deal with such issues.Thus,combine the q-ROFS and conventional maximizing deviation method,we will study the maximizing deviation method under q-ROFSs and q-RIVOFSs in this paper.Firstly,we briefly introduce the basic concept of q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets(q-ROFSs)and q-rung interval-valued orthopair fuzzy sets(q-RIVOFSs).Then,combine the maximizing deviation method with q-rung orthopair fuzzy information,we establish two new decision making models.On this basis,the proposed models are applied to MADM problems with q-rung orthopair fuzzy information.Compared with existing methods,the effectiveness and superiority of the new model are analyzed.This method can effectively solve the MADM problem whose decision information is represented by q-rung orthopair fuzzy numbers(q-ROFNs)and whose attributes are incomplete.
文摘Digital evidences can be obtained from computers and various kinds of digital devices, such as telephones, mp3/mp4 players, printers, cameras, etc. Telephone Call Detail Records （CDRs） are one important source of digital evidences that can identify suspects and their partners. Law enforcement authorities may intercept and record specific conversations with a court order and CDRs can be obtained from telephone service providers. However, the CDRs of a suspect for a period of time are often fairly large in volume. To obtain useful information and make appropriate decisions automatically from such large amount of CDRs become more and more difficult. Current analysis tools are designed to present only numerical results rather than help us make useful decisions. In this paper, an algorithm based on Fuzzy Decision Tree （FDT） for analyzing CDRs is proposed. We conducted experimental evaluation to verify the proposed algorithm and the result is very promising.
文摘Based on fuzzy characteristic of dicision-making thought, matrix of priority relation has been introduced and blurrized. A kind of fuzzy method, which is to determine the index weight on multi-objective decision making, has been put forward by means of the sequence root method for analysis of hierarchical process (AHP). Using this method an example which is to define the index weigbt on multi-objective decision making in thc scheme optimization of mine design has been given.
基金SupportedbytheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina (No .60 1 340 1 0 )
文摘A new fuzzification method for multi-objective decision-making and selective sorting is proposed on the basis of the fuzzy consistent relation, and the specific algorithm is presented. The method is applied to the evaluation of highway planning of Zhanjiang city. To decrease the subjectivity in the process of decision-making, the LOWA operator is introduced, and a discussion on how to select appropriate weights involved in multi-objective sorting is made. It is concluded that it is feasible to apply the fuzzy consistent relation to multi-objective decision-making analysis, and the improved fuzzication method is workable.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(90924022,70901041,71071077,71171113,71171116)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation Funded Project(20100481137)+5 种基金the Humanisticand Social Science Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China(11YJC630032,12YJA630122,11YJC630273,09YJC630129)the Social Science Foundation of the College of Jiangsu Province(2011SJB630004)the Research Project of National Bureau of Statistics(2011LY008)the Jiangsu Planned Projects for Postdoctoral Research Funds(1101094C)the Qing Lan Project of Jiangsu Province(2010)the Educational Science Planning Key Projects of Jiangsu Piovince(B-a/2011/01/008)~~
文摘A grey multi-stage decision making method is proposed for a type of grey multi-index decision problems with weighted values completely unknown and attributes as interval grey numbers. Firstly, a method for compar- ing two grey numbers based on probability is developed to calculate weighted values of the attributes. Secondly, the experts＇ evaluation scores for attribute values are presented in terms of internal grey numbers. Finally, a weight solving method for multiple-stages evaluation is proposed. An example analysis verifies the availability of the proposed method. The method provides a new way of thinking for solving grey decision problem.
基金Funding National Natural Science Foundation of China(51709061,51779057).
文摘Stealth security has always been considered as an important guarantee for the vitality and combat effectiveness of submarines.In accordance with the stealth requirements of submarines performing stealth voyage tasks,this paper proposes a stealth assistant decision system.Firstly,the submarine stealth posture is acquired.A fuzzy neural network inference engine based on improved simplified particle swarm optimization is designed.The auxiliary decision-making scheme for state control and maneuver avoidance of submarine and its equipment is automatically generated.Secondly,the simulation and deduction of the assistant decision-making scheme are realized by the calculation modules of sound source level,propagation loss,and stealth situation.The assistant decision-making scheme and simulation result provide decision support for the commander.Thirdly,the simulation experiment platform of the submarine stealth assistant decision system is constructed.The submarine stealth assistant decision system described in this paper can quickly and efficiently produce assistant decision-making schemes,including submarine and equipment control and maneuver avoidance.The scheme is in line with the combat experience and the results of the pre-model simulation experiments,whereas the simulation deduction evaluates the rationality and effectiveness of the selected scheme.The submarine stealth assistant decision system can adapt to a complex battlefield environment in addition to rapidly and accurately providing assistance in decision-making.
基金supported by the State Grid Science and Technology Project(No.52020118000M)
文摘Heating by electricity rather than coal is considered one effective way to reduce environmental problems. Thus, the electric heating load is growing rapidly, which may cause undesired problems in distribution grids because of the randomness and dispersed integration of the load. However, the electric heating load may also function as an energy storage system with optimal operational control. Therefore, the optimal modeling of electric heating load characteristics, considering its randomness, is important for grid planning and construction. In this study, the heating loads of distributed residential users in a certain area are modeled based on the Fanger thermal comfort equation and the predicted mean vote thermal comfort index calculation method. Different temperatures are considered while modeling the users' heating loads. The heat load demand curve is estimated according to the time-varying equation of interior temperature. A multi-objective optimization model for the electric heating load with heat energy storage is then studied considering the demand response(DR), which optimizes economy and the comfort index. A fuzzy decision method is proposed, considering the factors influencing DR behavior. Finally, the validity of the proposed model is verified by simulations. The results show that the proposed model performs better than the traditional method.
基金The National Natural Science Foundationof China (No.70272033)
文摘In order to evaluate stock quality scientifically, a synthetic evaluation system of stock quality is proposed on the basis of fuzzy set theory and grey multi-hierarchy decision method. Then the evaluation system is applied to an example. The results show that the evaluation system can overcome the errors of expert＇s subjective judgment.
文摘地下储气库(以下简称储气库)老井封堵施工,因井况复杂、动态交互性强,存在井筒窜气及封堵失效等高风险隐患。现有封堵井施工风险评价方法多依赖定性分析,难以量化关键因素间的非线性影响,且传统决策试验和评价实验室(DEMATEL)方法存在主观偏差问题。为此,基于模糊集理论改进DEMATEL算法,通过量化专家判断与引入原因度—中心度权重优化机制,构建了从系统级事故到不安全控制行为(UCA)的动态因果路径;然后结合概率阈值判定与多级风险传递分析,实现关键风险因素的定量排序与演化机理解析,最后建立了一种融合模糊逻辑与系统理论过程分析(Systematic Theory Process Analysis, STPA)的多尺度风险评价模型。研究结果表明:(1)融合改进的模糊DEMATEL与系统理论过程分析(STPA)方法能有效量化关键风险因素,通过引入原因度和中心度优化权重计算,显著降低了主观偏差,改进后方法的皮尔逊积矩(Pearson)相关系数优于传统模糊DEMATEL;(2)改进后的多级分析能对多个相互影响的风险因素进行多尺度的风险评价,确定不同风险因素的优化权重、相互间的因果关系、整体概率分布和传递路径;(3)多级风险传递路径分析揭示了不安全控制行为动态演化机制。结论认为,案例验证识别结果与施工现场实际风险高度吻合,该方法可以有效识别关键风险因素,且能够克服专家评价的模糊性与不确定性,为储气库老井封堵施工系统精准风险管控提供了理论和技术支撑。
