为更精确地预测航班过站时间,将全国机场按照规模差异及不同地理位置所导致的客流量差异和天气差异对航班过站时间造成的不同影响进行分类,基于各类机场航班数据,构建混合轻量级梯度提升机算法(LightGBM)模型对航班过站时间分类预测。...为更精确地预测航班过站时间,将全国机场按照规模差异及不同地理位置所导致的客流量差异和天气差异对航班过站时间造成的不同影响进行分类,基于各类机场航班数据,构建混合轻量级梯度提升机算法(LightGBM)模型对航班过站时间分类预测。引入自适应鲁棒损失函数(adaptive robust loss function,ARLF)改进LightGBM模型损失函数,降低航班数据中存在离群值的影响;通过改进的麻雀搜索算法对改进后的LightGBM模型进行参数寻优,形成混合LightGBM模型。采用全国2019年全年航班数据进行验证,实验结果验证了方法的可行性。展开更多
The class of bi-directional optimal velocity models can describe the bi-directional looking effect that usually exists in the reality and is even enhanced with the development of the connected vehicle technologies. It...The class of bi-directional optimal velocity models can describe the bi-directional looking effect that usually exists in the reality and is even enhanced with the development of the connected vehicle technologies. Its combined string stability condition can be obtained through the method of the ring-road based string stability analysis. However, the partial string stability about traffic fluctuation propagated backward or forward was neglected, which will be analyzed in detail in this work by the method of transfer function and its H∞ norm from the viewpoint of control theory. Then, through comparing the conditions of combined and partial string stabilities, their relationships can make traffic flow be divided into three distinguishable regions, displaying various combined and partial string stability performance. Finally, the numerical experiments verify the theoretical results and find that the final displaying string stability or instability performance results from the accumulated and offset effects of traffic fluctuations propagated from different directions.展开更多
文摘为更精确地预测航班过站时间,将全国机场按照规模差异及不同地理位置所导致的客流量差异和天气差异对航班过站时间造成的不同影响进行分类,基于各类机场航班数据,构建混合轻量级梯度提升机算法(LightGBM)模型对航班过站时间分类预测。引入自适应鲁棒损失函数(adaptive robust loss function,ARLF)改进LightGBM模型损失函数,降低航班数据中存在离群值的影响;通过改进的麻雀搜索算法对改进后的LightGBM模型进行参数寻优,形成混合LightGBM模型。采用全国2019年全年航班数据进行验证,实验结果验证了方法的可行性。
基金Projects(51108465,71371192)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2014M552165)supported by China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProject(20113187851460)supported by Technology Project of the Ministry of Transport of China
文摘The class of bi-directional optimal velocity models can describe the bi-directional looking effect that usually exists in the reality and is even enhanced with the development of the connected vehicle technologies. Its combined string stability condition can be obtained through the method of the ring-road based string stability analysis. However, the partial string stability about traffic fluctuation propagated backward or forward was neglected, which will be analyzed in detail in this work by the method of transfer function and its H∞ norm from the viewpoint of control theory. Then, through comparing the conditions of combined and partial string stabilities, their relationships can make traffic flow be divided into three distinguishable regions, displaying various combined and partial string stability performance. Finally, the numerical experiments verify the theoretical results and find that the final displaying string stability or instability performance results from the accumulated and offset effects of traffic fluctuations propagated from different directions.
