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Prediction Method of Polar Navigation Window Period Based on Risk Evaluation
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作者 JIANG Jia−qi SHI Gui−jie WANG De−yu 《船舶力学》 北大核心 2025年第6期986-999,共14页
With the increase of international trade activities and the gradual melting of the polar ice cap,the importance of the Arctic route for marine transportation has been emphasized.Prediction of the polar navigation wind... With the increase of international trade activities and the gradual melting of the polar ice cap,the importance of the Arctic route for marine transportation has been emphasized.Prediction of the polar navigation window period is crucial for navigating in the Arctic route,which is of great significance to the selection of the route and the optimization of navigation.This paper introduces the establishment of a risk index system,determination of risk index weight,establishment of a risk evaluation model,and prediction algorithm for the window period.In addition,data sources of both environmental factors and ship factors are introducted,and their shortcomings are analyzed,followed by introduction of various methods involved in window prediction and analysis of their advantages and disadvantages.The quantitative risk evaluation and window period algorithm can provide a reference for the research of polar navigation window period prediction. 展开更多
关键词 window period risk evaluation polar navigation risk index
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Evaluation of restoration effects for city walls based on terahertz-infrared integrated technology
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作者 MENG Tian-hua ZHAO Guo-zhong +3 位作者 XU Shi-xiang ZHANG Hai-jiao LI Bang-quan HU Wei-dong 《中国光学(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第4期954-967,共14页
To scientifically evaluate the restoration performance of ancient city walls,Terahertz time-domain spectroscopy(THz-TDS)and infrared thermal imaging technology were applied to assess the Desheng Fortress(Ming Dynasty)... To scientifically evaluate the restoration performance of ancient city walls,Terahertz time-domain spectroscopy(THz-TDS)and infrared thermal imaging technology were applied to assess the Desheng Fortress(Ming Dynasty).Three representative sections were examined:adobe brick masonry repaired(Area 1),well-preserved original(Area 2),and layer-by-layer ramming repaired(Area 3).THz spectral data revealed significant differences between Area 1(time delay:3.72 ps;refractive index:2.224)and Area 2(time delay:3.02 ps;refractive index:2.107),while Area 3(time delay:3.12 ps;refractive index:2.098)demonstrated nearly identical THz spectral data to Area 2.Infrared thermal imaging also showed that the Area 3 restored by layer-by-layer ramming exhibited greater uniformity with fewer instances of cracks,capillary phenomena,or biological diseases.The proposed point-surface integrated evaluation methodology synergistically combines infrared thermography mapping of heritage surfaces with THz spectral datasets acquired through in-situ micro-sampling,enabling quantitative restoration assessment and providing a novel approach for scientifically validating traditional conservation techniques. 展开更多
关键词 nondestructive testing cultural relic restoration performance evaluation high sensitivity
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Evaluation of transgenic cotton lines expressing an insecticidal fern protein against whitefly,Bemisia tabaci(Gennadius)
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作者 KUMAR Rishi NAGRARE V.S. +14 位作者 SHAH Vivek SINGH Satnam PANDHER Suneet SINGH Satpal VERMA S.K. PAUL Debashis RATHORE Pankaj SHUKLA Anoop Kumar SINGH Mithlesh Kumar SAURABH Sharad KUMAR Harish KAUR Rupinderjeet SINGH Pradhyumna Kumar WAGHMARE V.N. PRASAD Y.G. 《Journal of Cotton Research》 2025年第2期163-177,共15页
Background Transgenic research in crops involves using genetic engineering techniques to introduce specific genes of interest from other organisms,or even entirely new genes into plant genomes to create crops with des... Background Transgenic research in crops involves using genetic engineering techniques to introduce specific genes of interest from other organisms,or even entirely new genes into plant genomes to create crops with desirable traits that wouldn’t be possible through conventional breeding methods.Transgenic crops have been developed for various traits globally.Whitefly,Bemisia tabaci(Gennadius)is one of the major sucking pests of cotton that cause significant damage to the cotton production.To combat whitefly infestations,researchers have developed four transgenic cotton lines expressing the fern protein.And those transgenic lines need to be evaluated for their performance against the target pest—whitefly.The evaluation was designed as controlled trials in polyhouse or muslin cloth cages under open-choice and no-choice conditions by comparing four transgenic cotton lines(A,B,C,and D)with three control groups,including untransformed cotton plants with a same genetic background of the transgenic line,conventionally bred whitefly-resistant cotton,and whitefly-susceptible cotton.In order to study the generational effect,the evaluation also involved studies on whitefly development in laboratory,muslin cloth cage,and polyhouse conditions.Results Both open-choice and no-choice experiments had shown that all the four transgenic cotton lines(A,B,C,and D)expressing the fern protein reduced adult whitefly numbers significantly compared with the control lines,except for the no-choice conditions in 2021,where the transgenic line C was non-significant different from the resistant control line.Notably,the nymphal population on the resistant control line was relatively low and nonsignificant different from the transgenic line C in 2021;and the transgenic lines A and C in 2022 under open-choice conditions.Under no-choice condition,the nymphal counts in the resistant control line was non-significant different from transgenic lines C and D in 2021;and transgenic line D in 2022.All transgenic lines showed significant decrease in egg hatching in 2021 and nymphal development in 2022,except for the transgenic line C which had no significant different in the nymphal development comparing with non-transgenic control lines in 2022.Adult emergence rates in both years of evaluation showed significant decrease in transgenic lines A and B comparing with the control lines.Additionally,the results showed a significant reduction in cotton leaf curl disease and sooty mold development in all the four transgenic lines compared with susceptible control under open-choice conditions,indicating potential benefits of transgenic lines beyond direct effect on whitefly control.Furthermore,the research explored the generational effects of the fern protein on whitefly which revealed the lowest fecundity in the transgenic line C across F0,F1 and F3 generations,lower egg hatching in F1 and F2 generations in transgenic lines A and B,shorter nymphal duration in F1 and F2 generations in transgenic line B,and the least total adult emergence in the transgenic line C in F0 and F3 generations.Conclusions These findings suggest that the transgenic cotton lines expressing fern protein disrupts whitefly populations and the life cycle to a certain extent.However,results are not consistent over generations and years of study,indicating these transgenic lines were not superior over control lines and need to be improved in future breeding. 展开更多
关键词 evaluation Fern protein Transgenic cotton lines WHITEFLY
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Brittleness evaluation of gas-bearing coal based on statistical damage constitution model and energy evolution mechanism
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作者 XUE Yi WANG Lin-chao +5 位作者 LIU Yong RANJITH P G CAO Zheng-zheng SHI Xu-yang GAO Feng KONG Hai-ling 《Journal of Central South University》 2025年第2期566-581,共16页
Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a ... Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a statistical damage constitutive model and energy evolution mechanisms.Initially,integrating the principle of effective stress and the Hoek-Brown criterion,a statistical damage constitutive model for gas-bearing coal is established and validated through triaxial compression tests under different gas pressures to verify its accuracy and applicability.Subsequently,employing energy evolution mechanism,two energy characteristic parameters(elastic energy proportion and dissipated energy proportion)are analyzed.Based on the damage stress thresholds,the damage evolution characteristics of gas bearing coal were explored.Finally,by integrating energy characteristic parameters with damage parameters,a novel brittleness index is proposed.The results demonstrate that the theoretical curves derived from the statistical damage constitutive model closely align with the test curves,accurately reflecting the stress−strain characteristics of gas-bearing coal and revealing the stress drop and softening characteristics of coal in the post-peak stage.The shape parameter and scale parameter represent the brittleness and macroscopic strength of the coal,respectively.As gas pressure increases from 1 to 5 MPa,the shape parameter and the scale parameter decrease by 22.18%and 60.45%,respectively,indicating a reduction in both brittleness and strength of the coal.Parameters such as maximum damage rate and peak elastic energy storage limit positively correlate with coal brittleness.The brittleness index effectively captures the brittleness characteristics and reveals a decrease in brittleness and an increase in sensitivity to plastic deformation under higher gas pressure conditions. 展开更多
关键词 gas pressure statistical damage constitutive model energy evolution mechanism brittleness evaluation gas bearing coal
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Ballistic response mechanism and resistance-driven evaluation method of UHMWPE composite
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作者 Yemao He Johnny Qing Zhou +3 位作者 Yanan Jiao Hongshuai Lei Zeang Zhao Daining Fang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第2期1-16,共16页
The use of ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene(UHMWPE)composite in the design of lightweight protective equipment,has gained a lot of interest.However,there is an urgent need to understand the ballistic response ... The use of ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene(UHMWPE)composite in the design of lightweight protective equipment,has gained a lot of interest.However,there is an urgent need to understand the ballistic response mechanism and theoretical prediction model of performance.This paper explores the ballistic response mechanism of UHMWPE composite through experimental and simulation analyses.Then,a resistance-driven modeling method was proposed to establish a theoretical model for predicting the bulletproof performance.The ballistic response mechanism of UHMWPE composite encompassed three fundamental modes:local response,structural response,and coupled response.The occurrence ratio of these fundamental response modes during impact was dependent on the projectile velocity and laminate thickness.The bulletproof performance of laminate under different response modes was assessed based on the penetration depth of the projectile,the bulging height on the rear face of the laminate,the thickness of remaining sub-laminate,and residual velocity of the projectile.The absolute deviations of bulletproof performance indicator between theoretical value and experimental value were well within 11.13%,demonstrating that the established evaluation model possessed high degree of prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 UHMWPE composite Ballistic response mechanism Theoretical model Performance evaluation
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Construction mechanism of whitenization weight function and its application in grey clustering evaluation 被引量:7
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作者 XIE Naiming SU Bentao CHEN Nanlei 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第1期121-131,共11页
The clustering evaluation can be used to scientifically classify the objects to be evaluated according to the information aggregation of various evaluation rules. In grey weighted clustering evaluation, the index clus... The clustering evaluation can be used to scientifically classify the objects to be evaluated according to the information aggregation of various evaluation rules. In grey weighted clustering evaluation, the index clustering rule relies on the construction of the whitenization weight function, while the existing construction method of the linear function lacks the construction mechanism analysis and validity explanation. A normative construction principle is put forward by analyzing the construction mechanism of the function. Through proving the normative principle of the function,the basic modal function(BMF) is proposed and characterized by different function forms. Then, a new type of the whitenization weight function and its grey clustering evaluation model algorithm are given by studying the mechanism and nature of the construction of different forms of the function. Finally, the comparative study for self-innovation capability of defense science and technology industry(DSTI) is taken as an example. The results show that the different construction ways of the function have an effect on the clustering result. The proposed construction mechanism can better explain the index clustering rules and evaluation effectiveness,which will perfect the theoretical system of grey clustering evaluation and be applied to practice effectively. 展开更多
关键词 whitenization WEIGHT FUNCTION GREY system THEORY GREY CLUSTERING evaluation.
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Hierarchical hybrid testability modeling and evaluation method based on information fusion 被引量:4
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作者 Xishan Zhang Kaoli Huang +1 位作者 Pengcheng Yan Guangyao Lian 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第3期523-532,共10页
In order to meet the demand of testability analysis and evaluation for complex equipment under a small sample test in the equipment life cycle, the hierarchical hybrid testability model- ing and evaluation method (HH... In order to meet the demand of testability analysis and evaluation for complex equipment under a small sample test in the equipment life cycle, the hierarchical hybrid testability model- ing and evaluation method (HHTME), which combines the testabi- lity structure model (TSM) with the testability Bayesian networks model (TBNM), is presented. Firstly, the testability network topo- logy of complex equipment is built by using the hierarchical hybrid testability modeling method. Secondly, the prior conditional prob- ability distribution between network nodes is determined through expert experience. Then the Bayesian method is used to update the conditional probability distribution, according to history test information, virtual simulation information and similar product in- formation. Finally, the learned hierarchical hybrid testability model (HHTM) is used to estimate the testability of equipment. Compared with the results of other modeling methods, the relative deviation of the HHTM is only 0.52%, and the evaluation result is the most accu rate. 展开更多
关键词 small sample complex equipment hierarchical hybrid information fusion testability modeling and evaluation.
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An Application of Grey Clustering Method in the Sporting Clothing Style Evaluation 被引量:4
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作者 Chen Zhixiang School of Management, Zhongshan University, Guangzhou 510275, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2001年第2期19-22,共4页
In this paper, a Grey clustering method is applied to the evaluation research of sporting clothing style, the result shows that the methods proposed in the paper is feasible and effective.
关键词 Grey clustering Sporting clothing STYLE Multi-criterion evaluation.
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The Synthetic Evaluation of Warhead Overall Efficiency 被引量:3
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作者 Gu Xiaohui & Cao Bing College of Mechanics, Nanjing University of Science & Technology, Nanjing 210094, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2003年第1期12-17,共6页
The evaluation system of smart ammunition warhead overall efficiency has been established in this paper. Allkinds of evaluation methods have been analyzed. Having led the concept of hierarchical structure into techniq... The evaluation system of smart ammunition warhead overall efficiency has been established in this paper. Allkinds of evaluation methods have been analyzed. Having led the concept of hierarchical structure into technique for orderpreference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method, we put forward the step TOPSIS method which is suitable forevaluating the overall efficiency of smart ammunition warheads. In the calculation of index weight, the graded weight cal-culus is put forward which hardly relies on the subjectivity of decision-makers and can reflect the sensitivity and compatibili-ty of the index. In the graded weight calculation, the proportional-arithmetic weight value calculus and sensitivity-compati-bility weight value calculus are given respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Step analysis TOPSIS method WARHEAD Efficiency evaluation.
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A general evaluation system for optimal selection performance of radar clutter model 被引量:3
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作者 YANG Wei ZHANG Liang +2 位作者 YANG Liru ZHANG Wenpeng SHEN Qinmu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第6期1520-1525,共6页
The optimal selection of radar clutter model is the premise of target detection,tracking,recognition,and cognitive waveform design in clutter background.Clutter characterization models are usually derived by mathemati... The optimal selection of radar clutter model is the premise of target detection,tracking,recognition,and cognitive waveform design in clutter background.Clutter characterization models are usually derived by mathematical simplification or empirical data fitting.However,the lack of standard model labels is a challenge in the optimal selection process.To solve this problem,a general three-level evaluation system for the model selection performance is proposed,including model selection accuracy index based on simulation data,fit goodness indexs based on the optimally selected model,and evaluation index based on the supporting performance to its third-party.The three-level evaluation system can more comprehensively and accurately describe the selection performance of the radar clutter model in different ways,and can be popularized and applied to the evaluation of other similar characterization model selection. 展开更多
关键词 radar clutter clutter characterization model model selection performance evaluation.
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Determining winner in multi-attribute procurement auction:a method based on technical and business experts' evaluation information
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作者 Guangxin Gao Zhiping Fan Yang Liu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第6期1244-1253,共10页
A method for solving the winner determination problem (WDP) in multi-attribute procurement auctions is proposed, based on technical and business experts' evaluation information. Firstly, on the background of procur... A method for solving the winner determination problem (WDP) in multi-attribute procurement auctions is proposed, based on technical and business experts' evaluation information. Firstly, on the background of procurements in China, a multi-attribute pro- curement auction mechanism is presented, where technical and business experts participate in the bid evaluation. Then, the concept of TOPSIS is used to determine the positive and negative ideal points of the WDP according to bid prices, the technical and business experts' evaluation information. Further, the closeness coefficient of each bidder (candidate supplier) is obtained by calculating the distances to the positive and negative ideal points. Thus, the winning supplier can be determined according to the closeness coefficients. Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the use of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 multi-attribute auction winner determination technical and business experts bid evaluation.
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NCEES:An Expert System To Nuclear Calamity Evaluation
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作者 Yuan Zaijiang Shi LiankeSystem Department of Yansnan Computer Research CentreGu Jif aInstitue of System Science Academia Sinica 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1994年第4期65-70,共6页
This paper introduces a nuclear calamity evaluation expert system which is applied to comprehensive evaluation of damage effects of nuclear calamities. It contains hardware environment, overall structure, logical step... This paper introduces a nuclear calamity evaluation expert system which is applied to comprehensive evaluation of damage effects of nuclear calamities. It contains hardware environment, overall structure, logical steps and reasoning models, concerning the expert system. 展开更多
关键词 Nuclear calamity Expert system Damage effects evaluation.
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Multiple-Attribute and Multilevel Synthetic Evaluation Model and Its Application
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作者 Wang Jianqiang & Gao Yang School of Business, Central South University, Changsha 410083, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2003年第4期95-98,105,共5页
On the basis of analyzing the flaws of present multiple-attribute and multilevel evaluation methods, concerning the problem of characteristics of the multiple-attribute and multilevel system s appraisal and the partic... On the basis of analyzing the flaws of present multiple-attribute and multilevel evaluation methods, concerning the problem of characteristics of the multiple-attribute and multilevel system s appraisal and the particular emphasis on the respective attributes in the evaluation process, as well as its relevance to the environment, an optimal attribute system is proposed, and the multiplicative analytic hierarchy process (MAHP) is used to obtain subjective weight coefficients and the objective weight coefficient evaluating method is given. The deviation between the index value of each level and the values of the same index of other levels are formulated, and an optimal model is gained, thus establishing the weight coefficients of the whole optimal attribute system. Furthermore, the detailed implementation procedure of this method is introduced. Besides, favorable results have been gained by applying the model to the practical problems of economic evaluation. 展开更多
关键词 synthetic evaluation MODEL multiple-attribute and multilevel evaluation.
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Study on the evaluation of aerospace microelectronic industry
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作者 江帆 陈荣秋 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2004年第3期241-247,共7页
Aerospace microelectronic technology has become the core competence of aerospace technology. For evaluating the aerospace microelectronic industry, it is necessary to change descriptive language of goal to quantitativ... Aerospace microelectronic technology has become the core competence of aerospace technology. For evaluating the aerospace microelectronic industry, it is necessary to change descriptive language of goal to quantitative index that can be measured. Knowing quantified goals or tree structure and array of general goal system, with certain algorithm and processing each corresponding list or array, we can bring out a quantified general goal value. The multi-objective (multi-attribute) evaluation method and the relevant weight sum algorithm have been adopted to quantitatively evaluate and forecast the developing state of the industry. A practical example illustrates that the applied decision technique and the algorithm are feasible and effective. 展开更多
关键词 aerospace microelectronic industry decision technique multi-objective evaluation.
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Distribution characteristics and risk evaluation of heavy metals in sediment of Yalu River estuary and its adjacent shallow sea area 被引量:8
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作者 刘月 程岩 +3 位作者 李富祥 刘敬伟 张亮 高建华 《环境污染与防治》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第7期I0002-I0007,9,共6页
采用重金属的富集系数和多金属污染度分析鸭绿江口及毗邻浅海沉积物重金属的分布特征。结果表明:鸭绿江口及毗邻浅海沉积物Cu、Hg和Cd属于重要的污染因子;多金属污染度高强度分布区与高含沙量区存在对应关系,但对重金属富集影响更大的... 采用重金属的富集系数和多金属污染度分析鸭绿江口及毗邻浅海沉积物重金属的分布特征。结果表明:鸭绿江口及毗邻浅海沉积物Cu、Hg和Cd属于重要的污染因子;多金属污染度高强度分布区与高含沙量区存在对应关系,但对重金属富集影响更大的是人类活动。采用潜在生态风险指数法与生物效应阈值浓度法2种评价方法进行研究区的生态风险评价,结果显示,参比工业化前全球沉积物重金属最高值为背景值进行的潜在生态风险指数法评价结果与生物效应阈值浓度法的评价结果一致,即研究区的生态风险评价结果属于轻微级,并具有更大范围内的可比性,但研究区沉积物中重金属的相对污染程度偏高。 展开更多
关键词 英文摘要 内容介绍 编辑工作 期刊
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Study on effectiveness evaluation of weapon systems based on grey relational analysis and TOPSIS 被引量:54
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作者 Gu Hui Song Bifeng 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第1期106-111,共6页
To evaluate the effectiveness of weapon systems, the advantages and disadvantages of grey relational analysis and TOPSIS for multiattribute decision-making is pointed out, and an effectiveness evaluation model of weap... To evaluate the effectiveness of weapon systems, the advantages and disadvantages of grey relational analysis and TOPSIS for multiattribute decision-making is pointed out, and an effectiveness evaluation model of weapon systems by combining grey relational analysis and TOPSIS is proposed. The model aggregates the grey relational grade and the distance to a new integrated closeness and reflects not only the trend but also the situation of the alternative. The example illuminates that the model is effective for the effectiveness evaluation of weapon systems. 展开更多
关键词 multiattribute decision-making effectiveness evaluation grey relational analysis TOPSIS integratedcloseness.
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Risk evaluation of rock burst through theory of static and dynamic stresses superposition 被引量:30
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作者 李振雷 窦林名 +3 位作者 王桂峰 蔡武 何江 丁言露 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第2期676-683,共8页
Rock burst is one of the most catastrophic dynamic hazards in coal mining. A static and dynamic stresses superposition-based(SDSS-based) risk evaluation method of rock burst was proposed to pre-evaluate rock burst ris... Rock burst is one of the most catastrophic dynamic hazards in coal mining. A static and dynamic stresses superposition-based(SDSS-based) risk evaluation method of rock burst was proposed to pre-evaluate rock burst risk. Theoretical basis of this method is the stress criterion incurring rock burst and rock burst risk is evaluated according to the closeness degree of the total stress(due to the superposition of static stress in the coal and dynamic stress induced by tremors) with the critical stress. In addition, risk evaluation criterion of rock burst was established by defining the "Satisfaction Degree" of static stress. Furthermore,the method was used to pre-evaluate rock burst risk degree and prejudge endangered area of an insular longwall face in Nanshan Coal Mine in China. Results show that rock burst risk is moderate at advance extent of 97 m, strong at advance extent of 97-131 m,and extremely strong(i.e. inevitable to occur) when advance extent exceeds 131 m(mining is prohibited in this case). The section of two gateways whose floor abuts 15-3 coal seam is a susceptible area prone to rock burst. Evaluation results were further compared with rock bursts and tremors detected by microseismic monitoring. Comparison results indicate that evaluation results are consistent with microseismic monitoring, which proves the method's feasibility. 展开更多
关键词 rock burst HAZARD MINING STRESS risk evaluation microseismic monitoring
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Multi-attribute decision making method for air target threat evaluation based on intuitionistic fuzzy sets 被引量:47
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作者 Yongjie XU YongchunWang Xudong Miu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第6期891-897,共7页
The function of the air target threat evaluation (TE) is the foundation for weapons allocation and senor resources management within the surface air defense. The multi-attribute evaluation methodology is utilized to... The function of the air target threat evaluation (TE) is the foundation for weapons allocation and senor resources management within the surface air defense. The multi-attribute evaluation methodology is utilized to address the issue of the TE in which the tactic features of the detected target are treated as evaluation attributes. Meanwhile, the intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) is employed to deal with information uncertainty in the TE process. Furthermore, on the basis of the entropy weight and inclusion-comparison probability, a hybrid TE method is developed. In order to accommodate the demands of naturalistic decision making, the proposed method allows air defense commanders to express their intuitive opinions besides incorporating into the threat features of the detected target. An illustrative example is provided to indicate the feasibility and advantage of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 threat evaluation (TE) intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) multi-attribute evaluation intuitive opinions entropy weight inclusion-comparison probability (ICP).
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Weapons system portfolio selection based on the contribution rate evaluation of system of systems 被引量:15
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作者 DOU Yajie ZHOU Zhexuan +1 位作者 ZHAO Danling WEI Yong 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第5期905-919,共15页
The weapons system portfolio selection problem arises at the equipment demonstration stage and deals with the military application requirements.Further,the contribution rate of the system is one of the important indic... The weapons system portfolio selection problem arises at the equipment demonstration stage and deals with the military application requirements.Further,the contribution rate of the system is one of the important indicators to evaluate the role of a system,which can facilitate the weapons system portfolio selection.Therefore,combining the system contribution rate with system portfolio selection is the focus of this study.It also focuses on calculating the contribution rates of multiple equipment systems with various types of capabilities.The contribution rate is measured by establishing a hierarchical multi-criteria value model from three dimensions.Based on the value model,the feasible portfolios are developed under certain cost constraints and the optimal weapons system portfolios are obtained by using the classification optimization selection strategy.Finally,an illustrative example is presented to verify the feasibility of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 WEAPON SYSTEM SYSTEM of systems (SoS) portfolioselection CONTRIBUTION rate evaluation DECISION analysis
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Catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model for water and mud inrush and its application in karst tunnels 被引量:24
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作者 ZHU Jian-qun LI Tian-zheng 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1587-1598,共12页
This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the ... This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the dangerousness of this geological disaster.The losses that are caused by water and mud inrush are taken into consideration to account for its harmfulness.Then a risk evaluation model based on the dangerousness-harmfulness evaluation indicator system is constructed,which is more convincing in comparison with the traditional methods.The catastrophe theory is used to evaluate the risk level of water and mud inrush and it has great advantage in handling problems involving discontinuous catastrophe processes.To validate the proposed approach,the Qiyueshan tunnel of Yichang-Wanzhou Railway is taken as an example in which four target segments are evaluated using the risk evaluation model.Finally,the evaluation results are compared with the excavation data,which shows that the risk levels predicted by the proposed approach are in good agreements with that observed in engineering.In conclusion,the catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model is an efficient and effective approach for water and mud inrush in karst tunnels. 展开更多
关键词 risk evaluation model water and mud inrush catastrophe theory karst area TUNNELING
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