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Stress-Deformed State of Geological Environment and Prognosis of Antropogenic-Tectonic Earthquakes
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作者 Svitlana Demianets 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期63-63,共1页
The highest priorities of any civilized country are in providing interests of social safety.The anthropogenic influence on geological environment is becoming greater because of the human activities increase. That’s w... The highest priorities of any civilized country are in providing interests of social safety.The anthropogenic influence on geological environment is becoming greater because of the human activities increase. That’s why anthropogenic-tectonic earthquake problem has become important recently.It appeared as a hypothesis in the 30 s and became much clearer in 60 s.The anthropogenic-tectonic earthquake epiceneters are located not far from the surface and,as a rule。 展开更多
关键词 stress-deformed STATE geoisostasy anthropogenic-tectonic earthquakes PROGNOSIS fault-block models Earth
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Inundation Studies Along the East Coast of India due to Tsunamigenic Earthquakes in North-Andaman and Car Nicobar Subduction zone
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作者 R.Krishna Kumar Kirti Srivastava +1 位作者 V.Swaroopa Rani V.P.Dimri 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期65-65,共1页
The Sumatra-Andaman arc is an active subduction zone and had generated several destructive Tsunamis in the past.In this paper we have analyzed two historical Tsunamigenic earthquakes from this region. One of the histo... The Sumatra-Andaman arc is an active subduction zone and had generated several destructive Tsunamis in the past.In this paper we have analyzed two historical Tsunamigenic earthquakes from this region. One of the historical earthquake is the earthquake of 26th June 1941 in the North Andaman region,which was one of the strongest in the Andaman Sea and Bay of Bengal of magnitude M_w=7.7.This earthquake had triggered tsunami which affected the east coast of India.The other is the earthquake in Car Nicobar region on 31 st December 1881 of magnitude M_w=7.9. This submarine earthquake beneath the 展开更多
关键词 INUNDATION tsunamigenic earthquakes TSUNAMI wave propagation run-ups
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Does the Analysis of Earthquakes Insure a Better Risk Prevention to Occur?
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作者 Romain Bruno Desport 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期44-44,共1页
One day,can we foresee earthquakes? This question always comes back from every telluric disaster,and the seismology is well annoyed to answer it.The destructtion of the city of Kobe in Japan,on January 17th 1995,arous... One day,can we foresee earthquakes? This question always comes back from every telluric disaster,and the seismology is well annoyed to answer it.The destructtion of the city of Kobe in Japan,on January 17th 1995,aroused deep debates upon the research policy on earthquakes.This disaster obviously shows our well limited capacity to take up the challenge of the prediction of earthquakes because,finally,it is indeed in Japan where authorities invest most in 展开更多
关键词 GEOHAZARDS earthquakes prevision prediction RISK solution
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THE ANALYSIS OF REMOTE SENSING IMAGES FOR ACTIVE FAULTS AND EARTHQUAKES IN CHINA
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作者 Zhang Shiliang (Institute of Geology, State Seismological Bureau) 《遥感信息》 CSCD 1990年第A02期7-8,共2页
The Landsat image information has recently been widely applied to structural geology, especially to the analysis of lineaments, owing to their macroscopic, visual and comprehensive features. The images will be more ef... The Landsat image information has recently been widely applied to structural geology, especially to the analysis of lineaments, owing to their macroscopic, visual and comprehensive features. The images will be more effective when applied to the interpretation of active faults. Active faults are widely ditributed in China. Much attention has been paid to the study of active faults both in China and abroad. There is certain controversy concerning the implication of the term "active fault". Strictly speaking, the term should refer only to the faults that are still active in the present day. However, the term also usually refers to the faults which have been active continually or intermittently from the Quaternary (or the end of Tertiary) to the present day. We propose that the tones and the configurations of features on Landsat images are the principal keys to the interpretation of active faults. The faults, which display the most prominent 展开更多
关键词 NNE THE ANALYSIS OF REMOTE SENSING IMAGES FOR ACTIVE FAULTS AND earthquakes IN CHINA
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Centrifuge modeling of dynamic behavior of pile-reinforced slopes during earthquakes 被引量:5
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作者 于玉贞 邓丽军 +1 位作者 孙逊 吕禾 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第5期1070-1078,共9页
A series of centrifuge model tests of sandy slopes were conducted to study the dynamic behavior of pile-reinforced slopes subjected to various motions.Time histories of accelerations,bending moments and pile earth pre... A series of centrifuge model tests of sandy slopes were conducted to study the dynamic behavior of pile-reinforced slopes subjected to various motions.Time histories of accelerations,bending moments and pile earth pressures were obtained during excitation of the adjusted El Centro earthquake and a cyclic motion.Under a realistic earthquake,the overall response of the pile-reinforced slope is lower than that of the non-reinforced slope.The histories of bending moments and dynamic earth pressures reach their maximums soon after shaking started and then remain roughly stable until the end of shaking.Maximum moments occur at the height of 3.5 m,which is the deeper section of the pile,indicating the interface between the active loading and passive resistance regions.The dynamic earth pressures above the slope base steadily increase with the increase of height of pile.For the model under cyclic input motion,response amplitudes at different locations in the slope are almost the same,indicating no significant response amplification.Both the bending moment and earth pressure increase gradually over a long period. 展开更多
关键词 EARTHQUAKE SLOPE stabilizing pile dynamic behavior centrifuge modeling earth pressure ACCELERATION bending moment
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Performance of viscous fluid dampers coupling adjacent inelastic structures under near-fault earthquakes 被引量:1
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作者 阁东东 朱宏平 +1 位作者 张俊兵 陈晓强 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第6期1336-1343,共8页
The behavior of viscous fluid damper applied in coupling structures subjected to near-fault earthquake was studied.The structural nonlinearity was characterized by Bouc-Wen model and several near-fault ground motions ... The behavior of viscous fluid damper applied in coupling structures subjected to near-fault earthquake was studied.The structural nonlinearity was characterized by Bouc-Wen model and several near-fault ground motions were simulated by the combination of a recorded earthquake(background ground motion) with equivalent velocity pulses that possess near-fault features.Extensive parametric studies were carried out to find the appropriate damping coefficient.Performances of viscous fluid dampers were demonstrated by the relationship between the force and displacement,the maximal damper force and stroke.The control performances were demonstrated in terms of the response reductions of adjacent structures.The results show that the dynamic responses of adjacent structures are mitigated greatly.Proper damping coefficients of connecting fluid dampers have a small difference,while adjacent structures under different near-fault ground motions with the same peak acceleration.The maximum force of damper is about 0.8 MN,and the maximum damper stroke is about ±550 mm.Satisfied viscous fluid dampers can be produced according to the current manufacturing skills. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear viscous fluid DAMPER adjacent structure near-fault earthquake seismic response
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Seismicity in the Bengal Basin:Threat for Future Massive Earthquakes
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作者 Eahsanul Haque Akm 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期46-46,共1页
The 26 December 2004 earthquake off Sumatra coast focused world attention on the Sunda arc subduction zone.Bangladesh is along the strike of and within a rupture-distance from that enormous M-9.3 earthquake. This coun... The 26 December 2004 earthquake off Sumatra coast focused world attention on the Sunda arc subduction zone.Bangladesh is along the strike of and within a rupture-distance from that enormous M-9.3 earthquake. This country is situated where the India-Sunda subduction zone rises from oceanic depths to subaerial exposure as a result of incipient continent collision where the trench meets the huge sediment 展开更多
关键词 earthquake delta basin SUBDUCTION zone SEISMICITY plate boundary ACCRETIONARY PRISM
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Earthquake Nowcasting方法在云南地区的应用研究
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作者 张欣乐 缪淼 +2 位作者 韩鹏 王蕤 常莹 《地球物理学报》 北大核心 2025年第8期3149-3161,共13页
在过去的10年中,基于统计模型的Nowcasting方法被引入地震危险性评估工作中,形成了一种新的评价方法:Earthquake Nowcasting.该方法计算简便,可以快速给出对应时间点的地震危险性,目前已在全世界多个地震频发地区开展应用.为了探索该方... 在过去的10年中,基于统计模型的Nowcasting方法被引入地震危险性评估工作中,形成了一种新的评价方法:Earthquake Nowcasting.该方法计算简便,可以快速给出对应时间点的地震危险性,目前已在全世界多个地震频发地区开展应用.为了探索该方法在中国地震科学实验场的适用性,本文将Earthquake Nowcasting应用于云南地区,基于高频的“小地震”数目,定义“自然周期”并构建地震复发模型,估算自上一次破坏性地震发生至今该地区的应力累积水平,实现大地震发震风险的定量评估.结果表明:(1)2021漾濞M_(S)6.4地震前,震中所在区域有较高的大地震风险;(2)云南省西北部、东北部、南部以及中部的城市和地区存在较高的破坏性地震可能性,后续地震事件与预测结果具有较好一致性;(3)震级相对较高的前震可能会影响主震的危险性评价.因此,Earthquake Nowcasting具有一定的使用价值,可为云南地区的地震危险性评价工作提供参考,但因Earthquake Nowcasting方法未考虑地震的丛集性特征,在实际使用时还必须结合前震、余震的发震规律才能给出更科学、准确的地震危险性评价. 展开更多
关键词 Earthquake Nowcasting 云南省 自然周期 Earthquake potential score
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Passive earth pressure of narrow backfill considering seismic-unsaturated seepage multi-field coupling effect
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作者 WANG Ze-yue LIN Hang 《Journal of Central South University》 2025年第4期1447-1467,共21页
Narrow backfill earth pressure estimation is applied to study the stability of supporting structures in the vicinity of existing buildings.Previous narrow backfill earth pressure studies have neglected seismic-unsatur... Narrow backfill earth pressure estimation is applied to study the stability of supporting structures in the vicinity of existing buildings.Previous narrow backfill earth pressure studies have neglected seismic-unsaturated seepage multi-field coupling,resulting in inaccurate estimates.To address these deficiencies,this paper proposed a calculation method for seismic passive earth pressure in unsaturated narrow backfill,based on inclined thin-layer units.It considers the interlayer shear stress,arching effect,and the multi-field coupling of seismic-unsaturated seepage.Additionally,this paper includes a parametric sensitivity analysis.The outcomes indicate that the earthquake passive ground pressure of unsaturated narrow backfill can be reduced by increasing the aspect ratio,seismic acceleration coefficient,and unsaturation parameterα.It can also be reduced by decreasing the effective interior friction angle,soil cohesion,wallearth friction angle,and vertical discharge.Furthermore,for any width soil,lowering the elevation of the action point of passive thrust can be attained by raising the effective interior friction angle,wall-earth friction angle,and unsaturation parameterα.Reducing soil cohesion,seismic acceleration coefficient,and vertical discharge can also lower the height of the application point of passive thrust. 展开更多
关键词 passive earth pressure unsaturated steady seepage arching effect narrow backfill EARTHQUAKE
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Kinematic analysis of geosynthetics-reinforced steep slopes with curved sloping surfaces and under earthquake regions 被引量:3
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作者 ZHOU Jian-feng QIN Chang-bing +1 位作者 PAN Qiu-jing WANG Cheng-yang 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第7期1755-1768,共14页
A procedure of kinematic analysis is presented in this study to assess the reinforcement force of geosynthetics required under seismic loadings, particularly for steep slopes which are hardly able to maintain its stab... A procedure of kinematic analysis is presented in this study to assess the reinforcement force of geosynthetics required under seismic loadings, particularly for steep slopes which are hardly able to maintain its stability. Note that curved sloping surfaces widely exist in natural slopes, but existing literatures were mainly focusing on a planar surface in theoretical derivation, due to complicated calculations. Moreover, the non-uniform soil properties cannot be accounted for in conventional upper bound analysis. Pseudo-dynamic approach is used to represent horizontal and vertical accelerations which vary with time and space. In an effort to resolve the above problems, the discretization technique is developed to generate a discretized failure mechanism, decomposing the whole failure block into various components. An elementary analysis permits calculations of rates of work done by external and internal forces. Finally, the upper bound solution of the required reinforcement force is formulated based on the work rate-based balance equation. A parametric study is carried out to give insights on the implication of influential factors on the performance of geosynthetic-reinforced steep slopes. 展开更多
关键词 earthquakes pseudo-dynamic approach discretization-based kinematic analysis GEOSYNTHETICS steep slopes
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Nested Newmark model to estimate permanent displacement of seismic slopes with tensile strength cut-off 被引量:2
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作者 ZHOU Zheng ZHANG Fei +1 位作者 GAO Yu-feng SHU Shuang 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第7期1830-1839,共10页
Nested Newmark model(NNM) is a conceptual framework to assessing post-earthquake movements including dispersed shear movements. The original NNM omits that the tensile stresses would be encountered in slopes induced b... Nested Newmark model(NNM) is a conceptual framework to assessing post-earthquake movements including dispersed shear movements. The original NNM omits that the tensile stresses would be encountered in slopes induced by earthquakes. The purpose of this study is to introduce the tensile strength cut-off and the relevant failure mechanism into NNM and conduct the limit analysis to determine the seismic displacement. Parametric studies are carried out to further investigate the influence of the tensile strength and input ground motions on permanent displacement. Neglecting the tensile strength can underestimate the permanent displacements of slopes. As the peak acceleration increases, the underestimation becomes more significant. With the reduction of tensile strength, much larger deformation occurs next to the slope crest. Although the present results are limited to an example, the method is of value in practice to predict the post-earthquake profile of slope. 展开更多
关键词 SLOPES limit analysis earthquakes permanent displacement NEWMARK tensile strength
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Geohazards and Risk in Developing Nations
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作者 Gregory De Pascale 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期61-61,共1页
Geohazards,such as earthquakes,landslides, tsunamis,volcanic eruptions,floods,melting permafrost, and metastable soils impact people’s lives worldwide.Population growth is forcing people to live in areas that have cl... Geohazards,such as earthquakes,landslides, tsunamis,volcanic eruptions,floods,melting permafrost, and metastable soils impact people’s lives worldwide.Population growth is forcing people to live in areas that have classically supported low population densities including steep slopes,low-lying coasts,and along floodplains and currently climate change is exacerbating risk in these regions. 展开更多
关键词 GEOHAZARDS RISK LANDSLIDES earthquakes tsunamis soils PERMAFROST mitigation VOLCANOS
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Seismic response of tunnel under normal fault slips by shaking table test technique 被引量:17
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作者 FAN Ling CHEN Jie-ling +3 位作者 PENG Shu-quan QI Bin-xi ZHOU Qi-wen WANG Fan 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第4期1306-1319,共14页
Mountain tunnel crossing a normal fault in seismically active zone is easily affected by normal fault slip and earthquake. It is necessary to study tunnel dynamic response under action of normal fault slip and earthqu... Mountain tunnel crossing a normal fault in seismically active zone is easily affected by normal fault slip and earthquake. It is necessary to study tunnel dynamic response under action of normal fault slip and earthquake. In this paper, a three-dimensional normal fault sliding device was designed, and a shaking table test was carried out to study tunnel seismic performance under normal fault slip. The results show that peak acceleration of lining is dominated by an existence of fault and direction of seismic excitation, not normal fault slip. And the incremental strains of lining in critical zone with 1.7 times fault thickness and centered in faults induced by normal fault slip and seismic excitation are larger than ones only by seismic excitation. And the incremental strains in critical zone increase with the increase of normal fault slip magnitude ranging from 0 to 2 mm. And normal fault slip results in a significant reduction of overall tunnel stiffness subjected to an earthquake. These experimental results provide a scientific reference for prevention and control measurement of tunnel damage under earthquake and normal fault slip. 展开更多
关键词 TUNNEL normal fault EARTHQUAKE fault slip shaking table test peak acceleration
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Influences of pre-existing fracture on ground deformation induced by normal faulting in mixed ground conditions 被引量:9
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作者 蔡奇鹏 吴宏伟 +1 位作者 骆冠勇 胡平 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第2期501-509,共9页
Physical model tests have been conducted by various researchers to investigate fault rupture propagation and ground deformation induced by bedrock faulting. However, the effects of pre-existing fracture on ground defo... Physical model tests have been conducted by various researchers to investigate fault rupture propagation and ground deformation induced by bedrock faulting. However, the effects of pre-existing fracture on ground deformation are not fully understood. In this work, six centrifuge tests are reported to investigate the influence of pre-existing fracture on ground deformation induced by normal faulting in sand, clay and nine-layered soil with interbedded sand and clay layers. Shear box tests were conducted to develop a filter paper technique, which was adopted in soil model preparation to simulate the effects of pre-existing fracture in centrifuge tests. Centrifuge test results show that ground deformation mechanism in clay, sand and nine-layered soil strata is classified as a stationary zone, a shearing zone and a rigid body zone. Inclination of the strain localization is governed by the dilatancy of soil material. Moreover, the pre-existing fracture provides a preferential path for ground deformation and results in a scarp at the ground surface in sand. On the contrary, fault ruptures are observed at the ground surface in clay and nine-layered soil strata. 展开更多
关键词 centrifuge modeling pre-existing fracture ground deformation normal faulting EARTHQUAKE
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Near-fault directivity pulse-like ground motion effect on high-speed railway bridge 被引量:10
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作者 陈令坤 张楠 +3 位作者 蒋丽忠 曾志平 陈格威 国巍 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第6期2425-2436,共12页
The vehicle-track-bridge(VTB)element was used to investigate how a high-speed railway bridge reacted when it was subjected to near-fault directivity pulse-like ground motions.Based on the PEER NAG Strong Ground Motion... The vehicle-track-bridge(VTB)element was used to investigate how a high-speed railway bridge reacted when it was subjected to near-fault directivity pulse-like ground motions.Based on the PEER NAG Strong Ground Motion Database,the spatial analysis model of a vehicle-bridge system was developed,the VTB element was derived to simulate the interaction of train and bridge,and the elasto-plastic seismic responses of the bridge were calculated.The calculation results show that girder and pier top displacement,and bending moment of the pier base increase subjected to near-fault directivity pulse-like ground motion compared to far-field earthquakes,and the greater deformation responses in near-fault shaking are associated with fewer reversed cycles of loading.The hysteretic characteristics of the pier subjected to a near-fault directivity pulse-like earthquake should be explicitly expressed as the bending moment-rotation relationship of the pier base,which is characterized by the centrally strengthened hysteretic cycles at some point of the loading time-history curve.The results show that there is an amplification of the vertical deflection in the girder's mid-span owing to the high vertical ground motion.In light of these findings,the effect of the vertical ground motion should be used to adjust the unconservative amplification constant 2/3 of the vertical-to-horizontal peak ground motion ratio in the seismic design of bridge. 展开更多
关键词 ELEMENT near-fault ground motion directivity pulse high-speed railway bridge earthquake response
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Seismic failure mechanisms for loaded slopes with associated and nonassociated flow rules 被引量:13
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作者 杨小礼 眭志荣 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2008年第2期276-279,共4页
Seismic failure mechanisms were investigated for soil slopes subjected to strip load with upper bound method of limit analysis and finite difference method of numerical simulation,considering the influence of associat... Seismic failure mechanisms were investigated for soil slopes subjected to strip load with upper bound method of limit analysis and finite difference method of numerical simulation,considering the influence of associated and nonassociated flow rules.Quasi-static representation of soil inertia effects using a seismic coefficient concept was adopted for seismic failure analysis.Numerical study was conducted to investigate the influences of dilative angle and earthquake on the seismic failure mechanisms for the loaded slope,and the failure mechanisms for different dilation angles were compared.The results show that dilation angle has influences on the seismic failure surfaces,that seismic maximum displacement vector decreases as the dilation angle increases,and that seismic maximum shear strain rate decreases as the dilation angle increases. 展开更多
关键词 EARTHQUAKE seismic failure mechanism soil slope nonassociated flow rule
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Dynamic effect of heavy-haul train on seismic response of railway cable-stayed bridge 被引量:7
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作者 ZHU Zhi-hui GONG Wei +3 位作者 WANG Kun LIU Yu DAVIDSON Michael T JIANG Li-zhong 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第7期1939-1955,共17页
This paper focuses on understanding and evaluating the dynamic effect of the heavy-haul train system on the seismic performance of a long-span railway bridge. A systematic study on the effect of heavy-haul trains on b... This paper focuses on understanding and evaluating the dynamic effect of the heavy-haul train system on the seismic performance of a long-span railway bridge. A systematic study on the effect of heavy-haul trains on bridge seismic response has been conducted, considering the influence of vehicle modeling strategies and dynamic characteristics of the seismic waves. For this purpose, the performance of a long-span cable-stayed railway bridge is assessed with stationary trains atop it, where the heavy-haul vehicles are modeled in two different ways: the multi-rigid body model with suspension system and additional mass model. Comparison of the bridge response in the presence or absence of the train system has been conducted, and the vehicle loading situation, which includes full-load and no-load, is also discussed. The result shows that during the earthquake, the peak moment of the main girder and peak stress of stay cables increase by 80% and by 40% in the presence of fully loaded heavy-haul trains, respectively. At the same time, a considerable decrease appears in the peak acceleration of the main girder. This proves the existence of the damping effect of the heavy-haul train system, and this effect is more obvious for the fully loaded vehicles. Finally, this paper proposes an efficient vehicle modeling method with 2 degrees of freedom(DOF) for simplifying the treatment of the train system in bridge seismic checking. 展开更多
关键词 train-bridge interaction heavy-haul train cable-stayed bridge EARTHQUAKE live load
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Influences of nonassociated flow rules on seismic bearing capacity factors of strip footing on soil slope by energy dissipation method 被引量:15
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作者 杨小礼 郭乃正 +1 位作者 赵炼恒 邹金锋 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2007年第6期842-847,共6页
Seismic bearing capacity factors of a strip footing placed on soil slope were determined with both associated and nonassociated flow rules. Quasi-static representation of earthquake effects using a seismic coefficient... Seismic bearing capacity factors of a strip footing placed on soil slope were determined with both associated and nonassociated flow rules. Quasi-static representation of earthquake effects using a seismic coefficient concept was adopted for seismic bearing capacity calculations. A multi-wedge translational failure mechanism was used to obtain the seismic bearing capacity factors for different seismic coefficients and various inclined angles. Employing the associated flow rule, numerical results were compared with the published solutions. For bearing capacity factors related to cohesion and equivalent surcharge load, the maximum difference approximates 0.1%. However, the difference of bearing capacity factor related to unit weight is larger. With the two flow rules, the seismic bearing capacity factors were presented in the form of design charts for practical use. The results show that seismic bearing capacity factors related to the cohesion, the equivalent surcharge load and the unit weight increase greatly as the dilatancy angle increases, and that the nonassociated flow rule has important influences on the seismic bearing capacity. 展开更多
关键词 nonassociated flow rule seismic bearing capacity factor EARTHQUAKE
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Back analysis of general slope under earthquake forces using upper bound theorem 被引量:7
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作者 孙志彬 梁桥 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第11期3274-3281,共8页
Long time monitoring is acquired to obtain the displacement data for displacement-based geotechnical material back analysis, and these data are hard to be measured under some special condition, such as earthquake. For... Long time monitoring is acquired to obtain the displacement data for displacement-based geotechnical material back analysis, and these data are hard to be measured under some special condition, such as earthquake. For a simple homogeneous slope, the position of a critical failure surface is determined by value of c/tan ~b. Utilizing upper bound theorem of limit analysis, the external work rate and internal energy for normal slope under earthquake forces are given, and the formula for minimum safety factor is derived. On this basis, the equation of slip surface and the surface depth of a given position are solved. In this way, the strength parameter can be analyzed by known slip surface depth. For practical use, the surface depth for a given slope under varying strength parameter is presented. Finally, two examples are given to show its simplicity and effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 back analysis limit analysis critical slip surface earthquake force
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A framework for train derailment risk analysis 被引量:5
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作者 CHUNG Ming-hwa CHANG Che-hao +3 位作者 CHANG Kuan-yuan WU Yu-shiang GAO Shih-feng SHEN Zhe-ping 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第7期1874-1885,共12页
This study aims to develop a framework based on the Nadal formula to assess train derailment risk. Monte Carlo simulation was adopted to develop 10000 sets of random parameters to assess train derailment risk subject ... This study aims to develop a framework based on the Nadal formula to assess train derailment risk. Monte Carlo simulation was adopted to develop 10000 sets of random parameters to assess train derailment risk subject to the curvature radius of the track, the difference between the flange angle and the equivalent conicity, and accelerations from 250 to 989.22 gal during horizontal earthquake. The results indicated that railway in Taiwan, China has no derailment risk under normal conditions. However, when earthquakes occur, the derailment risk increases with the unloading factor which is caused by seismic force. The results also show that equivalent conicity increases derailment risk;as a result, equivalent conicity should be listed as one of maintenance priorities. In addition, among all train derailment factors, flange angle, equivalent conicity and unload factors are the most significant ones. 展开更多
关键词 DERAILMENT performance flange angle equivalent conicity RELIABILITY RISK EARTHQUAKE
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