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Pricing Catastrophe Options with Credit Risk in a Regime-Switching Model
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作者 XU Yajuan WANG Guojing 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期572-587,共16页
In this paper,we consider the price of catastrophe options with credit risk in a regime-switching model.We assume that the macroeconomic states are described by a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite state space... In this paper,we consider the price of catastrophe options with credit risk in a regime-switching model.We assume that the macroeconomic states are described by a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite state space.By using the measure change technique,we derive the price expressions of catastrophe put options.Moreover,we conduct some numerical analysis to demonstrate how the parameters of the model affect the price of the catastrophe put option. 展开更多
关键词 PRICING catastrophe option credit risk REGIME-SWITCHING measure change
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Application of Catastrophe Theory in 3D Seismic Data Interpretation of Coal Mine 被引量:4
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作者 ZHAO Mu-hua YANG Wen-qiang CUI Hui-xia 《Journal of China University of Mining and Technology》 EI 2005年第4期339-343,共5页
In order to detect fault exactly and quickly, cusp catastrophe theory is used to interpret 3D coal seismic data in this paper. By establishing a cusp model, seismic signal is transformed into standard form of cusp cat... In order to detect fault exactly and quickly, cusp catastrophe theory is used to interpret 3D coal seismic data in this paper. By establishing a cusp model, seismic signal is transformed into standard form of cusp catastrophe and catastrophe parameters, including time-domain catastrophe potential, time-domain catastrophe time, frequency-domain catastrophe potential and frequency- domain degree, are calculated. Catastrophe theory is used in 3D seismic structural interpretation in coal mine. The results show that the position of abnormality of the catastrophe parameter profile or curve is related to the location of fault, and the cusp catastrophe theory is effective to automatically pick up geology information and improve the interpretation precision in 3D seismic data. 展开更多
关键词 catastrophe theory cusp catastrophe cusp model seismic data interpretation
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Application of cusp catastrophe theory to reliability analysis of slopes in open-pit mines 被引量:17
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作者 YANG Kun, WANG Tongxu, MA Zhitao Key Laboratory of Mine Disaster Prevention and Control, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266510, China 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第1期71-75,共5页
A method of slope reliability analysis was developed by imposing a state equation on the limit equilibrium theory, given the basis of a fixed safety factor technique. Among the many problems of reliability analysis, t... A method of slope reliability analysis was developed by imposing a state equation on the limit equilibrium theory, given the basis of a fixed safety factor technique. Among the many problems of reliability analysis, the most important problem is to find a performance function. We have created a new method of building a limit state equation for planar slip surfaces by applying the mathematical cusp catastrophe theory. This new technique overcomes the defects in the traditional rigid limit equilibrium theory and offers a new way for studying the reliability problem of planar slip surfaces. Consequently, we applied the technique to a case of an open-pit mine and compared our results with that of the traditional approach. From the results we conclude that both methods are essentially consistent, but the reliability index calculated by the traditional model is lower than that from the catastrophic model. The catastrophe model takes into consideration two possible situations of a slope being in the limit equilibrium condition, i.e., it may or may not slip. In the traditional method, however, a slope is definitely considered as slipping when it meets the condition of a limit equilibrium. We conclude that the catastrophe model has more actual and instructive importance compared to the traditional model. 展开更多
关键词 slope engineering UNCERTAINTY cusp catastrophe reliability analysis
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Application of the catastrophe progression method in predicting coal and gas outburst 被引量:18
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作者 ZHANG Tian-jun REN Shu-xin +2 位作者 LI Shu-gang ZHANG Tian-cai XU Hong-jie 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第4期430-434,共5页
Based on catastrophe theory,we used the catastrophe progression method to predict the risk of coal and gas outbursts in coal mines.According to the major factors affecting coal and gas outbursts,we built a comprehensi... Based on catastrophe theory,we used the catastrophe progression method to predict the risk of coal and gas outbursts in coal mines.According to the major factors affecting coal and gas outbursts,we built a comprehensive evaluation index system and a coal and gas outburst prediction model.In addition,we performed a standard transformation for each index system;based on the degree the various indices affect the risk of an outburst,to make the data dimensionless.Based on the outburst data from eight mines,we determined catastrophe progression values and verified these values.The results show that:1) converting multi-dimensional problems into one-dimensional problems using this catastrophe progression method can simplify the steps of predicting coal and gas outbursts;2) when pre-determined catastrophe progression values are used to predict coal and gas outbursts,the predicting accuracy rate can be as high as 87.5%;3) the various coal mines have different factors inducing outbursts with varying importance of these factors and 4) the catastrophe progression values,calculated based on these factors,can be used effectively to predict the risk of outbursts in coal mines. 展开更多
关键词 standard transformation catastrophe progression method coal and gas outburst
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Fold catastrophe model of dynamic pillar failure in asymmetric mining 被引量:6
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作者 PAN Yue LI Ai-wu QI Yun-song 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第1期49-57,共9页
A rock burst disaster not only destroys the pit facilities and results in economic loss but it also threatens the life of the miners. Pillar rock burst has a higher frequency of occurrence in the pit compared to other... A rock burst disaster not only destroys the pit facilities and results in economic loss but it also threatens the life of the miners. Pillar rock burst has a higher frequency of occurrence in the pit compared to other kinds of rock burst. Understanding the cause, magnitude and prevention of pillar rock burst is a significant undertaking. Equations describing the bending moment and displacement of the rock beam in asymmetric mining have been deduced for simplified asymmetric beam-pillar systems. Using the symbolic operation software MAPLE 9.5 a catastrophe model of the dynamic failure of an asymmetric rock-beam pillar system has been established. The differential form of the total potential function deduced from the law of conservation of energy was used for this deduction. The critical conditions and the initial and final positions of the pillar during failure have been given in analytical form. The amount of elastic energy released by the rock beam at the instant of failure is determined as well as. A diagrammatic form showing the pillar failure was plotted using MATLAB software. This plot contains a wealth of information and is important for understanding the behavior during each deformation phase of the rock-beam pillar system. The graphic also aids in distinguishing the equivalent stiffness of the rock beam in different directions. 展开更多
关键词 PILLAR fold catastrophe asymmetric mining energy importing rate energy releasing amount.
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Bifurcation and catastrophe of seepage flow system in broken rock 被引量:5
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作者 MIAO Xie-xing LI Shun-cai CHEN Zhan-qing 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第1期1-7,共7页
The study of dynamical behavior of water or gas flows in broken rock is a basic research topic among a series of key projects about stability control of the surrounding rocks in mines and the prevention of some disast... The study of dynamical behavior of water or gas flows in broken rock is a basic research topic among a series of key projects about stability control of the surrounding rocks in mines and the prevention of some disasters such as water inrush or gas outburst and the protection of the groundwater resource. It is of great theoretical and engineering importance in respect of promo- tion of security in mine production and sustainable development of the coal industry. According to the non-Darcy property of seepage flow in broken rock dynamic equations of non-Darcy and non-steady flows in broken rock are established. By dimensionless transformation, the solution diagram of steady-states satisfying the given boundary conditions is obtained. By numerical analysis of low relaxation iteration, the dynamic responses corresponding to the different flow parameters have been obtained. The stability analysis of the steady-states indicate that a saddle-node bifurcaton exists in the seepage flow system of broken rock. Consequently, using catastrophe theory, the fold catastrophe model of seepage flow instability has been obtained. As a result, the bifurcation curves of the seepage flow systems with different control parameters are presented and the standard potential function is also given with respect to the generalized state variable for the fold catastrophe of a dynamic system of seepage flow in broken rock. 展开更多
关键词 broken rock non-Darcy flow STABILITY saddle-node bifurcation fold catastrophe
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PRICING CATASTROPHE OPTIONS WITH COUNTERPARTY CREDIT RISK IN A REDUCED FORM MODEL 被引量:2
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作者 徐亚娟 王过京 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第1期347-360,共14页
In this paper, we study the price of catastrophe Options with counterparty credit risk in a reduced form model. We assume that the loss process is generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process, the share price proc... In this paper, we study the price of catastrophe Options with counterparty credit risk in a reduced form model. We assume that the loss process is generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process, the share price process is modeled through a jump-diffusion process which is correlated to the loss process, the interest rate process and the default intensity process are modeled through the Vasicek model: We derive the closed form formulae for pricing catastrophe options in a reduced form model. Furthermore, we make some numerical analysis on the explicit formulae. 展开更多
关键词 PRICING catastrophe option counterparty risk measure change reduced form model
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Catastrophe mechanism and disaster countermeasure for soft rock roadway surrounding rock in Meihe mine 被引量:5
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作者 Yu Yang Zhu Caikun +2 位作者 Chong Deyu Liu Yang Li Sichao 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第3期407-413,共7页
The soft rock's heterogeneity and nonlinear mechanical behavior cause extremely difficult maintenance on the soft rock roadway. Aiming at the asymmetric deformation and destruction phenomenon appearing after excav... The soft rock's heterogeneity and nonlinear mechanical behavior cause extremely difficult maintenance on the soft rock roadway. Aiming at the asymmetric deformation and destruction phenomenon appearing after excavating and supporting the 7101 air return way in Meihe mine, this paper comprehensively adopted a variety of methods to analyze the roadway surrounding rock deformation rule, obtaining the roadway surrounding rock stress and plastic zone distribution rule under no supporting condition and the roadway surrounding rock deformation features under original symmetric supporting condition.Furthermore, this paper revealed the catastrophe mechanism, and proposed the concept of ‘‘weak structure'' and the disaster countermeasure of ‘‘overall stabilizing the roadway and strengthening the support of weak structure''. The industrial test shows that the disaster control technology can realize the coordination deformation of the supporting structure and roadway surrounding rock, thus significantly controlling the deformation of roadway surrounding rock. 展开更多
关键词 Soft rockAsymmetric catastrophe Theoretical analysis Numerical simulation Weak structure
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Roll stability catastrophe mechanism of a flooded ship on regular sea waves 被引量:1
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作者 刘玉良 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第4期396-399,共4页
Based on a typical one-free-degree ship roll motion equation, the cusp catastrophe model is built including the bifurca- tion set equation, splitting factor 'u' and regular factor 'v', where both 'u' and 'v' a... Based on a typical one-free-degree ship roll motion equation, the cusp catastrophe model is built including the bifurca- tion set equation, splitting factor 'u' and regular factor 'v', where both 'u' and 'v' are further expressed with typical flooded ship parameters. Then, the roll catastrophe mechanism is analyzed mainly by means of 'u', under the given parameters of a typical trawler boat. The aim of this research is to reveal the mutagenic mechanism of the roll stability and provide a reference for improving ship roll stability. 展开更多
关键词 flooded ship roll stability catastrophe mechanism splitting factor
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Research on catastrophe control in 1-D system
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作者 Yao Sun Li-ping Tang and Xue-lian Li 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2003年第2期82-86,共5页
A new method of catastrophe control is described in one dimension nonlinear system. Catastrophe control based on catastrophe theory is a brand new area for control theory. A certain catastrophe is created at a desired... A new method of catastrophe control is described in one dimension nonlinear system. Catastrophe control based on catastrophe theory is a brand new area for control theory. A certain catastrophe is created at a desired location by appropriate control, which has preferred properties. Washout filter is presented and applied to preserve the original equilibrium of a system. Washout filter aided dynamic feedback controller is developed for the creation of catastrophe, and an example is given to illustrate the process. Catastrophe control may provide a new way of designing warning signals of impending collapse or catastrophe for monitoring and control purposes. 展开更多
关键词 catastrophe control Washout filter nonlinear system
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Assessing forest cover changes and fragmentation in the Himalayan temperate region: implications for forest conservation and management
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作者 Kaleem Mehmood Shoaib Ahmad Anees +6 位作者 Akhtar Rehman Aqil Tariq Qijing Liu Sultan Muhammad Fazli Rabbi Shao’an Pan Wesam Atef Hatamleh 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期128-141,共14页
This study comprehensively assessed long-term vegetation changes and forest fragmentation dynamics in the Himalayan temperate region of Pakistan from 1989 to 2019.Four satellite images,including Landsat-5 TM and Lands... This study comprehensively assessed long-term vegetation changes and forest fragmentation dynamics in the Himalayan temperate region of Pakistan from 1989 to 2019.Four satellite images,including Landsat-5 TM and Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager(OLI),were chosen for subsequent assessments in October 1989,2001,2011 and 2019.The classified maps of 1989,2001,2011 and 2019 were created using the maximum likelihood classifier.Post-classification comparison showed an overall accuracy of 82.5%and a Kappa coefficient of 0.79 for the 2019 map.Results revealed a drastic decrease in closed-canopy and open-canopy forests by 117.4 and 271.6 km^(2),respectively,and an increase in agriculture/farm cultivation by 1512.8 km^(2).The two-way ANOVA test showed statistically significant differences in the area of various cover classes.Forest fragmentation was evaluated using the Landscape Fragmentation Tool(LFT v2.0)between 1989 and 2019.The large forest core(>2.00 km^(2))decreased from 149.4 to 296.7 km^(2),and a similar pattern was observed in medium forest core(1.00-2.00 km^(2))forests.On the contrary,the small core(<1.00 km^(2))forest increased from 124.8 to 145.3 km^(2) in 2019.The perforation area increased by 296.9 km^(2),and the edge effect decreased from 458.9 to 431.7 km^(2).The frequency of patches also increased by 119.1 km^(2).The closed and open canopy classes showed a decreasing trend with an annual rate of 0.58%and 1.35%,respectively.The broad implications of these findings can be seen in the studied region as well as other global ecological areas.They serve as an imperative baseline for afforestation and reforestation operations,highlighting the urgent need for efficient management,conservation,and restoration efforts.Based on these findings,sustainable land-use policies may be put into place that support local livelihoods,protect ecosystem services,and conserve biodiversity. 展开更多
关键词 Natural catastrophes Landsat Change detection Forest fragmentation Landscape fragmentation tool(LFT) AFFORESTATION REFORESTATION
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Cusp Model for Risk Analysis
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作者 钱新明 乔士平 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 1999年第2期108-113,共6页
Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods\ Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as two control variables and the function of the system is... Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods\ Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as two control variables and the function of the system is used as the state variable for analysis. Results and Conclusion\ A risk analysis model named the cusp model is presented. Various states regarding the safety of the system such as the accident state, no accident state and miss state can be represented at will on the cusp model. 展开更多
关键词 cusp catastrophe risk analysis catastrophe fuzzy theory
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Optical facet coatings for high-performance LWIR quantum cascade lasers atλ∼8.5μm
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作者 MA Yuan LIN Yu-Zhe +5 位作者 WAN Chen-Yang WANG Zi-Xian ZHOU Xu-Yan ZHANG Jin-Chuan LIU Feng-Qi ZHENG Wan-Hua 《红外与毫米波学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期497-502,共6页
We report on the performance improvement of long-wave infrared quantum cascade lasers(LWIR QCLs)by studying and optimizing the anti-reflection(AR)optical facet coating.Compared to the Al2O3 AR coat⁃ing,the Y_(2)O_(3)A... We report on the performance improvement of long-wave infrared quantum cascade lasers(LWIR QCLs)by studying and optimizing the anti-reflection(AR)optical facet coating.Compared to the Al2O3 AR coat⁃ing,the Y_(2)O_(3)AR coating exhibits higher catastrophic optical mirror damage(COMD)level,and the optical facet coatings of both material systems have no beam steering effect.A 3-mm-long,9.5-μm-wide buried-heterostruc⁃ture(BH)LWIR QCL ofλ~8.5μm with Y_(2)O_(3)metallic high-reflection(HR)and AR of~0.2%reflectivity coating demonstrates a maximum pulsed peak power of 2.19 W at 298 K,which is 149%higher than that of the uncoated device.For continuous-wave(CW)operation,by optimizing the reflectivity of the Y_(2)O_(3)AR coating,the maximum output power reaches 0.73 W,which is 91%higher than that of the uncoated device. 展开更多
关键词 quantum cascade lasers long-wave infrared optical facet coatings catastrophic optical mirror damage
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Deep learning algorithm featuring continuous learning for modulation classifications in wireless networks
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作者 WU Nan SUN Yu WANG Xudong 《太赫兹科学与电子信息学报》 2024年第2期209-218,共10页
Although modulation classification based on deep neural network can achieve high Modulation Classification(MC)accuracies,catastrophic forgetting will occur when the neural network model continues to learn new tasks.In... Although modulation classification based on deep neural network can achieve high Modulation Classification(MC)accuracies,catastrophic forgetting will occur when the neural network model continues to learn new tasks.In this paper,we simulate the dynamic wireless communication environment and focus on breaking the learning paradigm of isolated automatic MC.We innovate a research algorithm for continuous automatic MC.Firstly,a memory for storing representative old task modulation signals is built,which is employed to limit the gradient update direction of new tasks in the continuous learning stage to ensure that the loss of old tasks is also in a downward trend.Secondly,in order to better simulate the dynamic wireless communication environment,we employ the mini-batch gradient algorithm which is more suitable for continuous learning.Finally,the signal in the memory can be replayed to further strengthen the characteristics of the old task signal in the model.Simulation results verify the effectiveness of the method. 展开更多
关键词 Deep Learning(DL) modulation classification continuous learning catastrophic forgetting cognitive radio communications
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Research on basic characteristics of complex system brittleness 被引量:10
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作者 JINHong-zhang GUOJian WEIQi LINDe-ming LIQi 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2004年第1期57-63,共7页
The goal of this paper is to research one new characteristic of complex system. Brittleness, which is one new characteritic of complex system, is presented in this paper. The linguistic and qualitative descriptions of... The goal of this paper is to research one new characteristic of complex system. Brittleness, which is one new characteritic of complex system, is presented in this paper. The linguistic and qualitative descriptions of complex system are also given in this paper. Otherwise, the qualitative description of complex system is presented at first. On the basis of analyzing the existing brittleness problems, linguistic description and mathematic description of brittleness are given as well. Three kinds of phenomena to judge brittleness of complex system are also given, based on catastrophe theory. Basic characteristics of brittleness are given on the basis of its mathematic description. Two critical point sets are defined by using catastrophe theory. The definition of brittleness and its related theory can serve the control of complex system, and provide theoretical basis for the design and control of complex system. 展开更多
关键词 BRITTLENESS complex system CRITERION basic characteristic catastrophe theory
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Catastrophic mechanism of coal and gas outbursts and their prevention and control 被引量:10
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作者 LI, Shugang ZHANG, Tianjun 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第2期209-214,共6页
Based on the engineering observations of coal and gas outbursts during mining processes and the experimental results,we built a thin plate mechanical model for layered and spalled coal bodies.We studied the mechanical... Based on the engineering observations of coal and gas outbursts during mining processes and the experimental results,we built a thin plate mechanical model for layered and spalled coal bodies.We studied the mechanical mechanism of outbursts,due to instability,of thin plates of coal rocks under the action of in-plane load and normal load,by using the catastrophe theory.The total potential function is derived for the layered rock system,the cusp catastrophe model for the system is established,the bifurcation set that makes the system unstable is given,the process in which gradual change of action forces leads to catastrophic change of state is analyzed,and the effect of movement path of point(P,q) in the control space on the stability of rock plate is analyzed.The study results show that during the process of coal mining,the stability of the layered coal bodies depends not only on its physical properties and dimensions but also on the magnitudes and changing paths of the in-plane load and the normal load.When the gas in the coal bodies ahead of the mining face is pre-drained,the gas pressure can be reduced and the normal load q can be lowered.Consequently,disasters such as coal and gas outbursts can be effectively prevented. 展开更多
关键词 coal and gas outbursts catastrophe theory INSTABILITY
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Criterion of local energy release rate of gob instability in deep mines considering unloading stress path 被引量:2
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作者 Fu Jianxin Song Weidong Tan Yuye 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第6期1011-1017,共7页
The stress path characteristics of surrounding rock in the formation of gob were analyzed and the unloading was solved. Taking Chengchao Iron Mine as the engineering background, the model for analyzing the instability... The stress path characteristics of surrounding rock in the formation of gob were analyzed and the unloading was solved. Taking Chengchao Iron Mine as the engineering background, the model for analyzing the instability of deep gob was established based on the mechanism of stress relief in deep mining.The energy evolution law was analyzed by introducing the local energy release rate index(LERR), and the energy criterion of the instability of surrounding rock was established based on the cusp catastrophe theory. The results show that the evolution equation of the local energy release of the surrounding rock is a quartic function with one unknown and the release rate increases gradually during the mining process.The calculation results show that the gob is stable. The LERR per unit volume of the bottom structure is relatively smaller which means that the stability is better. The LERR distribution showed that there was main energy release in the horizontal direction and energy concentration in the vertical direction which meets the characteristics of deep mining. In summary, this model could effectively calculate the stability of surrounding rock in the formation of gob. The LERR could reflect the dynamic process of energy release,transfer and dissipation and that provided an important reference for the study of the stability of deep mined out area. 展开更多
关键词 Deep mine Gob UNLOADING Local energy release rate CUSP catastrophe
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Effect of turbulent atmosphere on the on-axis average intensity of Pearcey–Gaussian beam 被引量:1
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作者 F Boufalah L Dalil-Essakali +1 位作者 H Nebdi A Belafhal 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第6期264-269,共6页
The propagation characteristics of the Pearcey–Gaussian(PG) beam in turbulent atmosphere are investigated in this paper.The Pearcey beam is a new kind of paraxial beam,based on the Pearcey function of catastrophe t... The propagation characteristics of the Pearcey–Gaussian(PG) beam in turbulent atmosphere are investigated in this paper.The Pearcey beam is a new kind of paraxial beam,based on the Pearcey function of catastrophe theory,which describes diffraction about a cusp caustic.By using the extended Huygens–Fresnel integral formula in the paraxial approximation and the Rytov theory,an analytical expression of axial intensity for the considered beam family is derived.Some numerical results for PG beam propagating in atmospheric turbulence are given by studying the influences of some factors,including incident beam parameters and turbulence strengths. 展开更多
关键词 turbulent atmosphere Pearcey–Gaussian beam catastrophe theory Rytov theory
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突发事件与应急管理的相关概念辨析 被引量:3
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作者 龚鹏飞 《城市与减灾》 2015年第4期26-29,共4页
自美国"9·11"事件后,应对突发事件的应急管理逐渐成为各国政府全面履行社会管理和公共服务职能的重要内容。与此同时,在理论研究方面,各国研究者对突发事件与应急管理也开展了不同角度的深入研究。虽然国内关于突发事件及应急管... 自美国"9·11"事件后,应对突发事件的应急管理逐渐成为各国政府全面履行社会管理和公共服务职能的重要内容。与此同时,在理论研究方面,各国研究者对突发事件与应急管理也开展了不同角度的深入研究。虽然国内关于突发事件及应急管理的相关研究起步较晚,但自SARS疫情、2008年冰雪灾害、汶川大地震等重大突发事件发生后,国内各界对突发事件的应急管理越来越重视,相关的研究也进入一个高潮期。在突发事件及应急管理的研究初期,相关的概念、 展开更多
关键词 冰雪灾害 高潮期 汶川大地震 概念辨析 严重社会危害 社会管理 服务职能 disaster CATASTROPHIC 公共管理领域
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MULTISTABILITY PHENOMENA IN DISCHARGE PLASMA
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作者 JIANG Yong WANG Haida YU Changxuan 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS 1988年第5期201-204,共4页
Multistability phenomena in V-I characteristic of discharge plasma have been observed in a Double Plasma device.These effects are explained using catastrophe theory together with the consideration of the negative resi... Multistability phenomena in V-I characteristic of discharge plasma have been observed in a Double Plasma device.These effects are explained using catastrophe theory together with the consideration of the negative resistance of plasma. 展开更多
关键词 catastrophe PLASMA CHARGE
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