Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devi...Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devices have made power load data increasingly complex and volatile.This places higher demands on the prediction and analysis of power loads.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term power load,a CNN-BiLSTMTPA short-term power prediction model based on the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm(IWOA)with mixed strategies was proposed.Firstly,the model combined the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network(BiLSTM)to fully extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of the load data itself.Then,the Temporal Pattern Attention(TPA)mechanism was introduced into the CNN-BiLSTM model to automatically assign corresponding weights to the hidden states of the BiLSTM.This allowed the model to differentiate the importance of load sequences at different time intervals.At the same time,in order to solve the problem of the difficulties of selecting the parameters of the temporal model,and the poor global search ability of the whale algorithm,which is easy to fall into the local optimization,the whale algorithm(IWOA)was optimized by using the hybrid strategy of Tent chaos mapping and Levy flight strategy,so as to better search the parameters of the model.In this experiment,the real load data of a region in Zhejiang was taken as an example to analyze,and the prediction accuracy(R2)of the proposed method reached 98.83%.Compared with the prediction models such as BP,WOA-CNN-BiLSTM,SSA-CNN-BiLSTM,CNN-BiGRU-Attention,etc.,the experimental results showed that the model proposed in this study has a higher prediction accuracy.展开更多
滚动轴承作为机械设备的重要部件,对其进行剩余使用寿命预测在企业的生产过程中变得越来越重要。目前,虽然主流的卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network, CNN)可以自动地从轴承的振动信号中提取特征,却不能给特征分配不同的权重来...滚动轴承作为机械设备的重要部件,对其进行剩余使用寿命预测在企业的生产过程中变得越来越重要。目前,虽然主流的卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network, CNN)可以自动地从轴承的振动信号中提取特征,却不能给特征分配不同的权重来提高模型对重要特征的关注程度,对于长时间序列容易丢失重要信息。另外,神经网络中隐藏层神经元个数、学习率以及正则化参数等超参数还需要依靠人工经验设置。为了解决上述问题,提出基于灰狼优化(grey wolf optimizer, GWO)算法、优化集合CNN、双向长短期记忆(bidirectional long short term memory, BiLSTM)网络和注意力机制(Attention)轴承剩余使用寿命预测方法。首先,从原始振动信号中提取时域、频域以及时频域特征指标构建可选特征集;然后,通过构建考虑特征相关性、鲁棒性和单调性的综合评价指标筛选出高于设定阈值的轴承退化敏感特征集,作为预测模型的输入;最后,将预测值和真实值的均方误差作为GWO算法的适应度函数,优化预测模型获得最优隐藏层神经元个数、学习率和正则化参数,利用优化后模型进行剩余使用寿命预测,并在公开数据集上进行验证。结果表明,所提方法可在非经验指导下获得最优的超参数组合,优化后的预测模型与未进行优化模型相比,平均绝对误差与均方根误差分别降低了28.8%和24.3%。展开更多
文章提出一种基于小波变换和卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆(Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory,CNN-BiLSTM)的电力电缆故障定位算法,结合小波变换的时频局部化特性和CNN与BiLSTM的深度学习能力,以提升...文章提出一种基于小波变换和卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆(Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory,CNN-BiLSTM)的电力电缆故障定位算法,结合小波变换的时频局部化特性和CNN与BiLSTM的深度学习能力,以提升故障定位的精准性。为验证提出算法的有效性,将True、BiLSTM、极值域均值模式分解(Extremum field Mean Mode Decomposition,EMMD)+小波变换算法与本文算法进行对比实验分析。实验结果表明,基于小波变换和CNN-BiLSTM的电力电缆故障定位算法能够将定位误差控制在0.02 km以内,显著提高了故障定位的精度。展开更多
To supplement missing logging information without increasing economic cost, a machine learning method to generate synthetic well logs from the existing log data was presented, and the experimental verification and app...To supplement missing logging information without increasing economic cost, a machine learning method to generate synthetic well logs from the existing log data was presented, and the experimental verification and application effect analysis were carried out. Since the traditional Fully Connected Neural Network(FCNN) is incapable of preserving spatial dependency, the Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) network, which is a kind of Recurrent Neural Network(RNN), was utilized to establish a method for log reconstruction. By this method, synthetic logs can be generated from series of input log data with consideration of variation trend and context information with depth. Besides, a cascaded LSTM was proposed by combining the standard LSTM with a cascade system. Testing through real well log data shows that: the results from the LSTM are of higher accuracy than the traditional FCNN; the cascaded LSTM is more suitable for the problem with multiple series data; the machine learning method proposed provides an accurate and cost effective way for synthetic well log generation.展开更多
安全是民航业的核心主题。针对目前民航非计划事件分析严重依赖专家经验及分析效率低下的问题,文章提出一种结合Word2vec和双向长短期记忆(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)神经网络模型的民航非计划事件分析方法。首先采...安全是民航业的核心主题。针对目前民航非计划事件分析严重依赖专家经验及分析效率低下的问题,文章提出一种结合Word2vec和双向长短期记忆(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)神经网络模型的民航非计划事件分析方法。首先采用Word2vec模型针对事件文本语料进行词向量训练,缩小空间向量维度;然后通过BiLSTM模型自动提取特征,获取事件文本的完整序列信息和上下文特征向量;最后采用softmax函数对民航非计划事件进行分类。实验结果表明,所提出的方法分类效果更好,能达到更优的准确率和F 1值,对不平衡数据样本同样具有较稳定的分类性能,证明了该方法在民航非计划事件分析上的适用性和有效性。展开更多
空调负荷的精准预测对建筑空调系统优化控制具有重要意义。为提高空调负荷预测精度,提出了一种基于奇异谱分析(SSA,Singular Spectrum Analysis)的卷积神经网络(CNN,Convolutional Neural Network)和双向长短时记忆网络(BiLSTM,Bidirect...空调负荷的精准预测对建筑空调系统优化控制具有重要意义。为提高空调负荷预测精度,提出了一种基于奇异谱分析(SSA,Singular Spectrum Analysis)的卷积神经网络(CNN,Convolutional Neural Network)和双向长短时记忆网络(BiLSTM,Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory)短期空调负荷预测模型。使用皮尔森相关系数选取与空调负荷高相关性特征。针对空调负荷的波动性和随机性,采用SSA将空调负荷分解为多个分量,同时将各个分量带入CNN-BiLSTM模型进行预测,该模型利用了CNN的特征提取和BiLSTM的双向学习能力,并将各个分量预测结果进行重构。通过不同建筑类型的空调数据对该模型进行验证分析,发现所提出模型在预测办公建筑空调负荷中RMSE、MAPE和MAE为19.47RT、14.72RT和2.33%,在预测商业建筑空调负荷中RMSE、MAPE和MAE为82.5RT、34.21RT和0.87%。结果表明,所提出的模型具有普适性且精度较高,可进行推广应用。展开更多
文摘Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devices have made power load data increasingly complex and volatile.This places higher demands on the prediction and analysis of power loads.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term power load,a CNN-BiLSTMTPA short-term power prediction model based on the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm(IWOA)with mixed strategies was proposed.Firstly,the model combined the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network(BiLSTM)to fully extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of the load data itself.Then,the Temporal Pattern Attention(TPA)mechanism was introduced into the CNN-BiLSTM model to automatically assign corresponding weights to the hidden states of the BiLSTM.This allowed the model to differentiate the importance of load sequences at different time intervals.At the same time,in order to solve the problem of the difficulties of selecting the parameters of the temporal model,and the poor global search ability of the whale algorithm,which is easy to fall into the local optimization,the whale algorithm(IWOA)was optimized by using the hybrid strategy of Tent chaos mapping and Levy flight strategy,so as to better search the parameters of the model.In this experiment,the real load data of a region in Zhejiang was taken as an example to analyze,and the prediction accuracy(R2)of the proposed method reached 98.83%.Compared with the prediction models such as BP,WOA-CNN-BiLSTM,SSA-CNN-BiLSTM,CNN-BiGRU-Attention,etc.,the experimental results showed that the model proposed in this study has a higher prediction accuracy.
文摘滚动轴承作为机械设备的重要部件,对其进行剩余使用寿命预测在企业的生产过程中变得越来越重要。目前,虽然主流的卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network, CNN)可以自动地从轴承的振动信号中提取特征,却不能给特征分配不同的权重来提高模型对重要特征的关注程度,对于长时间序列容易丢失重要信息。另外,神经网络中隐藏层神经元个数、学习率以及正则化参数等超参数还需要依靠人工经验设置。为了解决上述问题,提出基于灰狼优化(grey wolf optimizer, GWO)算法、优化集合CNN、双向长短期记忆(bidirectional long short term memory, BiLSTM)网络和注意力机制(Attention)轴承剩余使用寿命预测方法。首先,从原始振动信号中提取时域、频域以及时频域特征指标构建可选特征集;然后,通过构建考虑特征相关性、鲁棒性和单调性的综合评价指标筛选出高于设定阈值的轴承退化敏感特征集,作为预测模型的输入;最后,将预测值和真实值的均方误差作为GWO算法的适应度函数,优化预测模型获得最优隐藏层神经元个数、学习率和正则化参数,利用优化后模型进行剩余使用寿命预测,并在公开数据集上进行验证。结果表明,所提方法可在非经验指导下获得最优的超参数组合,优化后的预测模型与未进行优化模型相比,平均绝对误差与均方根误差分别降低了28.8%和24.3%。
文摘文章提出一种基于小波变换和卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆(Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory,CNN-BiLSTM)的电力电缆故障定位算法,结合小波变换的时频局部化特性和CNN与BiLSTM的深度学习能力,以提升故障定位的精准性。为验证提出算法的有效性,将True、BiLSTM、极值域均值模式分解(Extremum field Mean Mode Decomposition,EMMD)+小波变换算法与本文算法进行对比实验分析。实验结果表明,基于小波变换和CNN-BiLSTM的电力电缆故障定位算法能够将定位误差控制在0.02 km以内,显著提高了故障定位的精度。
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1663208,51520105005)the National Science and Technology Major Project of China(2017ZX05009-005,2016ZX05037-003)
文摘To supplement missing logging information without increasing economic cost, a machine learning method to generate synthetic well logs from the existing log data was presented, and the experimental verification and application effect analysis were carried out. Since the traditional Fully Connected Neural Network(FCNN) is incapable of preserving spatial dependency, the Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) network, which is a kind of Recurrent Neural Network(RNN), was utilized to establish a method for log reconstruction. By this method, synthetic logs can be generated from series of input log data with consideration of variation trend and context information with depth. Besides, a cascaded LSTM was proposed by combining the standard LSTM with a cascade system. Testing through real well log data shows that: the results from the LSTM are of higher accuracy than the traditional FCNN; the cascaded LSTM is more suitable for the problem with multiple series data; the machine learning method proposed provides an accurate and cost effective way for synthetic well log generation.
文摘安全是民航业的核心主题。针对目前民航非计划事件分析严重依赖专家经验及分析效率低下的问题,文章提出一种结合Word2vec和双向长短期记忆(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)神经网络模型的民航非计划事件分析方法。首先采用Word2vec模型针对事件文本语料进行词向量训练,缩小空间向量维度;然后通过BiLSTM模型自动提取特征,获取事件文本的完整序列信息和上下文特征向量;最后采用softmax函数对民航非计划事件进行分类。实验结果表明,所提出的方法分类效果更好,能达到更优的准确率和F 1值,对不平衡数据样本同样具有较稳定的分类性能,证明了该方法在民航非计划事件分析上的适用性和有效性。
文摘空调负荷的精准预测对建筑空调系统优化控制具有重要意义。为提高空调负荷预测精度,提出了一种基于奇异谱分析(SSA,Singular Spectrum Analysis)的卷积神经网络(CNN,Convolutional Neural Network)和双向长短时记忆网络(BiLSTM,Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory)短期空调负荷预测模型。使用皮尔森相关系数选取与空调负荷高相关性特征。针对空调负荷的波动性和随机性,采用SSA将空调负荷分解为多个分量,同时将各个分量带入CNN-BiLSTM模型进行预测,该模型利用了CNN的特征提取和BiLSTM的双向学习能力,并将各个分量预测结果进行重构。通过不同建筑类型的空调数据对该模型进行验证分析,发现所提出模型在预测办公建筑空调负荷中RMSE、MAPE和MAE为19.47RT、14.72RT和2.33%,在预测商业建筑空调负荷中RMSE、MAPE和MAE为82.5RT、34.21RT和0.87%。结果表明,所提出的模型具有普适性且精度较高,可进行推广应用。
