In this paper, we calculated the seismic pattern of instrumental recorded small and moderate earthquakes near the epicenter of the 1303 Hongtong M=8 earthquake, Shanxi Province. According to the spatial distribution o...In this paper, we calculated the seismic pattern of instrumental recorded small and moderate earthquakes near the epicenter of the 1303 Hongtong M=8 earthquake, Shanxi Province. According to the spatial distribution of small and moderate earthquakes, 6 seismic dense zones are delineated. Temporal distribution of ML2 earthquakes since 1970 in each seismic dense zone has been analyzed. Based on temporal distribution characteristics and historical earthquake activity, three types of seismicities are proposed. The relationship between seismic types and crustal medium is analyzed. The mechanism of three types is discussed. Finity of strong earthquake recurrence is pro-posed. Seismic hazard in mid-long term and diversity of earthquake disaster in Shanxi seismic belt are discussed.展开更多
In the estimation of seismic tendency, using Gutenberg-Richters b-value and using Hurst exponent are two com-monly used methods. Based on the fractal geometry of earthquake time series, we point out that these two met...In the estimation of seismic tendency, using Gutenberg-Richters b-value and using Hurst exponent are two com-monly used methods. Based on the fractal geometry of earthquake time series, we point out that these two methods correlate to each other. In the perspective of fractional Brownian motion (FBM), an earthquake sequence with b>3/4 and that with b<3/4 have different dynamic properties.展开更多
One day,can we foresee earthquakes? This question always comes back from every telluric disaster,and the seismology is well annoyed to answer it.The destructtion of the city of Kobe in Japan,on January 17th 1995,arous...One day,can we foresee earthquakes? This question always comes back from every telluric disaster,and the seismology is well annoyed to answer it.The destructtion of the city of Kobe in Japan,on January 17th 1995,aroused deep debates upon the research policy on earthquakes.This disaster obviously shows our well limited capacity to take up the challenge of the prediction of earthquakes because,finally,it is indeed in Japan where authorities invest most in展开更多
基金Key Science Research Project (100501-05-09) from China Earthquake Administration during the tenth Five-year Plan.
文摘In this paper, we calculated the seismic pattern of instrumental recorded small and moderate earthquakes near the epicenter of the 1303 Hongtong M=8 earthquake, Shanxi Province. According to the spatial distribution of small and moderate earthquakes, 6 seismic dense zones are delineated. Temporal distribution of ML2 earthquakes since 1970 in each seismic dense zone has been analyzed. Based on temporal distribution characteristics and historical earthquake activity, three types of seismicities are proposed. The relationship between seismic types and crustal medium is analyzed. The mechanism of three types is discussed. Finity of strong earthquake recurrence is pro-posed. Seismic hazard in mid-long term and diversity of earthquake disaster in Shanxi seismic belt are discussed.
文摘In the estimation of seismic tendency, using Gutenberg-Richters b-value and using Hurst exponent are two com-monly used methods. Based on the fractal geometry of earthquake time series, we point out that these two methods correlate to each other. In the perspective of fractional Brownian motion (FBM), an earthquake sequence with b>3/4 and that with b<3/4 have different dynamic properties.
文摘One day,can we foresee earthquakes? This question always comes back from every telluric disaster,and the seismology is well annoyed to answer it.The destructtion of the city of Kobe in Japan,on January 17th 1995,aroused deep debates upon the research policy on earthquakes.This disaster obviously shows our well limited capacity to take up the challenge of the prediction of earthquakes because,finally,it is indeed in Japan where authorities invest most in