The high-speed development of space defense technology demands a high state estimation capacity for spacecraft tracking methods.However,reentry flight is accompanied by complex flight environments,which brings to the ...The high-speed development of space defense technology demands a high state estimation capacity for spacecraft tracking methods.However,reentry flight is accompanied by complex flight environments,which brings to the uncertain,complex,and strongly coupled non-Gaussian detection noise.As a result,there are several intractable considerations on the problem of state estimation tasks corrupted by complex non-Gaussian outliers for non-linear dynamics systems in practical application.To address these issues,a new iterated rational quadratic(RQ)kernel high-order unscented Kalman filtering(IRQHUKF)algorithm via capturing the statistics to break through the limitations of the Gaussian assumption is proposed.Firstly,the characteristic analysis of the RQ kernel is investigated in detail,which is the first attempt to carry out an exploration of the heavy-tailed characteristic and the ability on capturing highorder moments of the RQ kernel.Subsequently,the RQ kernel method is first introduced into the UKF algorithm as an error optimization criterion,termed the iterated RQ kernel-UKF(RQ-UKF)algorithm by derived analytically,which not only retains the high-order moments propagation process but also enhances the approximation capacity in the non-Gaussian noise problem for its ability in capturing highorder moments and heavy-tailed characteristics.Meanwhile,to tackle the limitations of the Gaussian distribution assumption in the linearization process of the non-linear systems,the high-order Sigma Points(SP)as a subsidiary role in propagating the state high-order statistics is devised by the moments matching method to improve the RQ-UKF.Finally,to further improve the flexibility of the IRQ-HUKF algorithm in practical application,an adaptive kernel parameter is derived analytically grounded in the Kullback-Leibler divergence(KLD)method and parametric sensitivity analysis of the RQ kernel.The simulation results demonstrate that the novel IRQ-HUKF algorithm is more robust and outperforms the existing advanced UKF with respect to the kernel method in reentry vehicle tracking scenarios under various noise environments.展开更多
交叉熵法可显著加速电网可靠性评估,但往往聚焦于独立随机变量,若将其拓展至相关性变量可进一步提升加速性能。为有效获取相关性变量的重要抽样密度函数以实现其重要抽样,针对相关性建模中广泛使用的核密度估计模型(kernel density esti...交叉熵法可显著加速电网可靠性评估,但往往聚焦于独立随机变量,若将其拓展至相关性变量可进一步提升加速性能。为有效获取相关性变量的重要抽样密度函数以实现其重要抽样,针对相关性建模中广泛使用的核密度估计模型(kernel density estimation,KDE)开展了交叉熵优化研究。因KDE模型不属于指数分布家族,传统交叉熵优化难以实施,故利用复合抽样算法特点提出了新颖的直接交叉熵优化方法,推导出KDE模型最优权重参数的解析表达式。因权重参数数量级较小,直接优化易导致准确性退化,故基于子集模拟思想进一步提出间接交叉熵优化方法,将较小的权重参数优化转换成较大的条件概率优化,提升了优化准确性。通过MRTS79和MRTS96可靠性测试系统的评估分析,验证了所提方法在含相关性变量电网可靠性评估中的高效加速性能。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.12072090.
文摘The high-speed development of space defense technology demands a high state estimation capacity for spacecraft tracking methods.However,reentry flight is accompanied by complex flight environments,which brings to the uncertain,complex,and strongly coupled non-Gaussian detection noise.As a result,there are several intractable considerations on the problem of state estimation tasks corrupted by complex non-Gaussian outliers for non-linear dynamics systems in practical application.To address these issues,a new iterated rational quadratic(RQ)kernel high-order unscented Kalman filtering(IRQHUKF)algorithm via capturing the statistics to break through the limitations of the Gaussian assumption is proposed.Firstly,the characteristic analysis of the RQ kernel is investigated in detail,which is the first attempt to carry out an exploration of the heavy-tailed characteristic and the ability on capturing highorder moments of the RQ kernel.Subsequently,the RQ kernel method is first introduced into the UKF algorithm as an error optimization criterion,termed the iterated RQ kernel-UKF(RQ-UKF)algorithm by derived analytically,which not only retains the high-order moments propagation process but also enhances the approximation capacity in the non-Gaussian noise problem for its ability in capturing highorder moments and heavy-tailed characteristics.Meanwhile,to tackle the limitations of the Gaussian distribution assumption in the linearization process of the non-linear systems,the high-order Sigma Points(SP)as a subsidiary role in propagating the state high-order statistics is devised by the moments matching method to improve the RQ-UKF.Finally,to further improve the flexibility of the IRQ-HUKF algorithm in practical application,an adaptive kernel parameter is derived analytically grounded in the Kullback-Leibler divergence(KLD)method and parametric sensitivity analysis of the RQ kernel.The simulation results demonstrate that the novel IRQ-HUKF algorithm is more robust and outperforms the existing advanced UKF with respect to the kernel method in reentry vehicle tracking scenarios under various noise environments.
文摘交叉熵法可显著加速电网可靠性评估,但往往聚焦于独立随机变量,若将其拓展至相关性变量可进一步提升加速性能。为有效获取相关性变量的重要抽样密度函数以实现其重要抽样,针对相关性建模中广泛使用的核密度估计模型(kernel density estimation,KDE)开展了交叉熵优化研究。因KDE模型不属于指数分布家族,传统交叉熵优化难以实施,故利用复合抽样算法特点提出了新颖的直接交叉熵优化方法,推导出KDE模型最优权重参数的解析表达式。因权重参数数量级较小,直接优化易导致准确性退化,故基于子集模拟思想进一步提出间接交叉熵优化方法,将较小的权重参数优化转换成较大的条件概率优化,提升了优化准确性。通过MRTS79和MRTS96可靠性测试系统的评估分析,验证了所提方法在含相关性变量电网可靠性评估中的高效加速性能。
