It is not reasonable that one can only use the adjoint of model in data assimilation. The simulated numerical experiment shows that for the tidal model, the result of the adjoint of equation is almost the same as that...It is not reasonable that one can only use the adjoint of model in data assimilation. The simulated numerical experiment shows that for the tidal model, the result of the adjoint of equation is almost the same as that of the adjoint of model: the averaged absolute difference of the amplitude between observations and simulation is less than 5.0 cm and that of the phase-lag is less than 5.0°. The results are both in good agreement with the observed M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. For comparison, the traditional methods also have been used to simulate M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. The initial guess values of the boundary conditions are given first, and then are adjusted to acquire the simulated results that are as close as possible to the observations. As the boundary conditions contain 72 values, which should be adjusted and how to adjust them can only be partially solved by adjusting them many times. The satisfied results are hard to acquire even gigantic efforts are done. Here, the automation of the treatment of the open boundary conditions is realized. The method is unique and superior to the traditional methods. It is emphasized that if the adjoint of equation is used, tedious and complicated mathematical deduction can be avoided. Therefore the adjoint of equation should attract much attention.展开更多
The first Chinese gold diggers arrived in Australia in 1850s as the first generation immigrants.As time goes by,so many immigrants from China settled down in Australia as permanent residents or citizens.I will analyse...The first Chinese gold diggers arrived in Australia in 1850s as the first generation immigrants.As time goes by,so many immigrants from China settled down in Australia as permanent residents or citizens.I will analyse Chinese immigrants of Australia in language,values,social life and the social altitude towards them through their identity shift.I will also put forward the point of view that integrating different cultures rather than only be assimilated by the other culture is a sensible choice for Chinese immigrants to reshape their identity.Chinese immigrants in Australia will reinvent their distinctive identity to organize their internal sense of cohesion and membership successfully and find their social belongingness and sense of security in Australia.展开更多
数值天气预报是天气预报业务和防灾减灾的核心科技。中国数值天气预报研究和业务应用一直受到高度重视,在基础理论研究、关键技术突破和业务系统研制方面取得了有广泛国际影响力的研究成果。在回顾中国数值天气预报技术及业务系统发展...数值天气预报是天气预报业务和防灾减灾的核心科技。中国数值天气预报研究和业务应用一直受到高度重视,在基础理论研究、关键技术突破和业务系统研制方面取得了有广泛国际影响力的研究成果。在回顾中国数值天气预报技术及业务系统发展基础上,重点综述中国自主发展的GRAPES(Global Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System)和YHGSM(YinHe Global Spectral Model)两大业务预报系统的重要科技进展。GRAPES在模式动力框架、四维变分资料同化、卫星资料同化技术、雷达资料同化应用、集合预报和云物理过程等方面实现了技术突破,建立了无缝隙的、包含确定性预报和集合预报系统的中国气象局数值天气预报业务体系。YHGSM持续走谱模式发展路线,突破了干空气质量守恒全球大气谱模式、集合四维变分资料同化、海-陆-气耦合集合预报等技术,建立了以高分辨率全球中期和月延伸数值预报系统为核心的数值预报体系。军队和地方自主研发的数值天气预报系统是长期坚持既定科学技术方向、学术研究和业务研制紧密结合的结果。展开更多
文摘It is not reasonable that one can only use the adjoint of model in data assimilation. The simulated numerical experiment shows that for the tidal model, the result of the adjoint of equation is almost the same as that of the adjoint of model: the averaged absolute difference of the amplitude between observations and simulation is less than 5.0 cm and that of the phase-lag is less than 5.0°. The results are both in good agreement with the observed M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. For comparison, the traditional methods also have been used to simulate M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. The initial guess values of the boundary conditions are given first, and then are adjusted to acquire the simulated results that are as close as possible to the observations. As the boundary conditions contain 72 values, which should be adjusted and how to adjust them can only be partially solved by adjusting them many times. The satisfied results are hard to acquire even gigantic efforts are done. Here, the automation of the treatment of the open boundary conditions is realized. The method is unique and superior to the traditional methods. It is emphasized that if the adjoint of equation is used, tedious and complicated mathematical deduction can be avoided. Therefore the adjoint of equation should attract much attention.
文摘The first Chinese gold diggers arrived in Australia in 1850s as the first generation immigrants.As time goes by,so many immigrants from China settled down in Australia as permanent residents or citizens.I will analyse Chinese immigrants of Australia in language,values,social life and the social altitude towards them through their identity shift.I will also put forward the point of view that integrating different cultures rather than only be assimilated by the other culture is a sensible choice for Chinese immigrants to reshape their identity.Chinese immigrants in Australia will reinvent their distinctive identity to organize their internal sense of cohesion and membership successfully and find their social belongingness and sense of security in Australia.
文摘数值天气预报是天气预报业务和防灾减灾的核心科技。中国数值天气预报研究和业务应用一直受到高度重视,在基础理论研究、关键技术突破和业务系统研制方面取得了有广泛国际影响力的研究成果。在回顾中国数值天气预报技术及业务系统发展基础上,重点综述中国自主发展的GRAPES(Global Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System)和YHGSM(YinHe Global Spectral Model)两大业务预报系统的重要科技进展。GRAPES在模式动力框架、四维变分资料同化、卫星资料同化技术、雷达资料同化应用、集合预报和云物理过程等方面实现了技术突破,建立了无缝隙的、包含确定性预报和集合预报系统的中国气象局数值天气预报业务体系。YHGSM持续走谱模式发展路线,突破了干空气质量守恒全球大气谱模式、集合四维变分资料同化、海-陆-气耦合集合预报等技术,建立了以高分辨率全球中期和月延伸数值预报系统为核心的数值预报体系。军队和地方自主研发的数值天气预报系统是长期坚持既定科学技术方向、学术研究和业务研制紧密结合的结果。
文摘【目的】针对烤烟产量预测精度低、机理性不强等问题,提出了一种耦合无人机高光谱影像和WOFOST作物生长模型的烤烟产量预测方法。【方法】使用集合卡尔曼滤波(Ensemble Kalman Filter,EnKF)作为数据同化算法,比较使用数据同化前后WOFOST模型对烤烟生产力预测的结果,构建遥感与生长模型耦合的烟草产量预测模型。【结果】使用EnKF算法将状态变量叶面积指数(Leaf area index,LAI)进行数据同化后,红花大金元、云烟87和K326的叶干重NRMSE从27.58%、23.63%和27.99%降低为21.32%、15.43%和12.18%,产量预测精度得到了明显提升。【结论】研究结果将为烟草的产量预测、氮素管理调控以及烟草智慧生产等提供技术支持。
