In this paper, we consider a Markov switching Lévy process model in which the underlying risky assets are driven by the stochastic exponential of Markov switching Lévy process and then apply the model to opt...In this paper, we consider a Markov switching Lévy process model in which the underlying risky assets are driven by the stochastic exponential of Markov switching Lévy process and then apply the model to option pricing and hedging. In this model, the market interest rate, the volatility of the underlying risky assets and the N-state compensator,depend on unobservable states of the economy which are modeled by a continuous-time Hidden Markov process. We use the MEMM(minimal entropy martingale measure) as the equivalent martingale measure. The option price using this model is obtained by the Fourier transform method. We obtain a closed-form solution for the hedge ratio by applying the local risk minimizing hedging.展开更多
A new method using nonlinear regression to approximate the option price based on approximate dynamic programming is proposed. As a result a representation of the American option price is obtained as a solution to the ...A new method using nonlinear regression to approximate the option price based on approximate dynamic programming is proposed. As a result a representation of the American option price is obtained as a solution to the dual minimization problem. In addition, an available Q-value iteration algorithm in practice is given.展开更多
Deepwater oil and gas projects embody high risks from geology and engineering aspects, which exert substantial influence on project valuation. But the uncer- tainties may be converted to additional value to the projec...Deepwater oil and gas projects embody high risks from geology and engineering aspects, which exert substantial influence on project valuation. But the uncer- tainties may be converted to additional value to the projects in the case of flexible management. Given the flexibility of project management, this paper extends the classical real options model to a multi-factor model which contains oil price, geology, and engineering uncertainties. It then gives an application example of the new model to evaluate deepwater oil and gas projects with a numerical analytical method. Compared with other methods and models, this multi-factor real options model contains more project information. It reflects the potential value deriving not only from oil price variation but also from geology and engi- neering uncertainties, which provides more accurate and reliable valuation information for decision makers.展开更多
We proposed a new model to price employee stock options （ESOs）. The model is based on nonparametric statistical methods with market data. It incorporates the kernel estimator and employs a three-step method to modif...We proposed a new model to price employee stock options （ESOs）. The model is based on nonparametric statistical methods with market data. It incorporates the kernel estimator and employs a three-step method to modify Black- Scholes formula. The model overcomes the limits of Black-Scholes formula in handling option prices with varied volatility. It disposes the effects of ESOs self-characteristics such as non-tradability, the longer term for expiration, the eady exercise feature, the restriction on shorting selling and the employee＇s risk aversion on risk neutral pricing condition, and can be applied to ESOs valuation with the explanatory variable in no matter the certainty case or random case.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11201221)Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(BK2012468)
文摘In this paper, we consider a Markov switching Lévy process model in which the underlying risky assets are driven by the stochastic exponential of Markov switching Lévy process and then apply the model to option pricing and hedging. In this model, the market interest rate, the volatility of the underlying risky assets and the N-state compensator,depend on unobservable states of the economy which are modeled by a continuous-time Hidden Markov process. We use the MEMM(minimal entropy martingale measure) as the equivalent martingale measure. The option price using this model is obtained by the Fourier transform method. We obtain a closed-form solution for the hedge ratio by applying the local risk minimizing hedging.
文摘A new method using nonlinear regression to approximate the option price based on approximate dynamic programming is proposed. As a result a representation of the American option price is obtained as a solution to the dual minimization problem. In addition, an available Q-value iteration algorithm in practice is given.
基金supported from the National Science and Technology Major Project under Grant No.2011ZX05030
文摘Deepwater oil and gas projects embody high risks from geology and engineering aspects, which exert substantial influence on project valuation. But the uncer- tainties may be converted to additional value to the projects in the case of flexible management. Given the flexibility of project management, this paper extends the classical real options model to a multi-factor model which contains oil price, geology, and engineering uncertainties. It then gives an application example of the new model to evaluate deepwater oil and gas projects with a numerical analytical method. Compared with other methods and models, this multi-factor real options model contains more project information. It reflects the potential value deriving not only from oil price variation but also from geology and engi- neering uncertainties, which provides more accurate and reliable valuation information for decision makers.
基金Funded by the No. 12 Project of Joint Research Projects of Shanghai Stock Exchange with Chongqing University.
文摘We proposed a new model to price employee stock options （ESOs）. The model is based on nonparametric statistical methods with market data. It incorporates the kernel estimator and employs a three-step method to modify Black- Scholes formula. The model overcomes the limits of Black-Scholes formula in handling option prices with varied volatility. It disposes the effects of ESOs self-characteristics such as non-tradability, the longer term for expiration, the eady exercise feature, the restriction on shorting selling and the employee＇s risk aversion on risk neutral pricing condition, and can be applied to ESOs valuation with the explanatory variable in no matter the certainty case or random case.
