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Convergence Diagnostics for Gibbs Sampler via Maximum Likelihood Estimation
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作者 程杞元 林秀光 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2003年第2期212-215,共4页
A diagnostic procedure based on maximum likelihood estimation, to study the convergence of the Markov chain produced by Gibbs sampler, is presented. The unbiasedness, consistent and asymptotic normality are considered... A diagnostic procedure based on maximum likelihood estimation, to study the convergence of the Markov chain produced by Gibbs sampler, is presented. The unbiasedness, consistent and asymptotic normality are considered for the estimation of the parameters produced by the procedure. An example is provided to illustrate the procedure, and the numerical result is consistent with the theoretical one. 展开更多
关键词 Markov chain Monte Carlo Gibbs sampler maximum likelihood estimation
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Heuristic techniques for maximum likelihood localization of radioactive sources via a sensor network 被引量:1
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作者 Assem Abdelhakim 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第8期174-193,共20页
Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)is an effective method for localizing radioactive sources in a given area.However,it requires an exhaustive search for parameter estimation,which is time-consuming.In this study,heuri... Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)is an effective method for localizing radioactive sources in a given area.However,it requires an exhaustive search for parameter estimation,which is time-consuming.In this study,heuristic techniques were employed to search for radiation source parameters that provide the maximum likelihood by using a network of sensors.Hence,the time consumption of MLE would be effectively reduced.First,the radiation source was detected using the k-sigma method.Subsequently,the MLE was applied for parameter estimation using the readings and positions of the detectors that have detected the radiation source.A comparative study was performed in which the estimation accuracy and time consump-tion of the MLE were evaluated for traditional methods and heuristic techniques.The traditional MLE was performed via a grid search method using fixed and multiple resolutions.Additionally,four commonly used heuristic algorithms were applied:the firefly algorithm(FFA),particle swarm optimization(PSO),ant colony optimization(ACO),and artificial bee colony(ABC).The experiment was conducted using real data collected by the Low Scatter Irradiator facility at the Savannah River National Laboratory as part of the Intelligent Radiation Sensing System program.The comparative study showed that the estimation time was 3.27 s using fixed resolution MLE and 0.59 s using multi-resolution MLE.The time consumption for the heuristic-based MLE was 0.75,0.03,0.02,and 0.059 s for FFA,PSO,ACO,and ABC,respectively.The location estimation error was approximately 0.4 m using either the grid search-based MLE or the heuristic-based MLE.Hence,heuristic-based MLE can provide comparable estimation accuracy through a less time-consuming process than traditional MLE. 展开更多
关键词 Radioactive source maximum likelihood estimation Multi-resolution MLE k-sigma Firefly algorithm Particle swarm optimization Ant colony optimization Artificial bee colony
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Parameter Interval Estimation for Yule-Simon Distribution
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作者 DENG Wenli WANG Liming WANG Jinglong 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第6期1000-1015,共16页
Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or h... Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or how to estimate the parameter. There are still some open problems,such as the error analysis of parameter estimation, the theoretical proof of the convergence of theiterative algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of parameters. The Yule-Simon distributionis a heavy-tailed distribution and the parameter is usually less than 2, so the variance does notexist. This makes it difficult to give an interval estimation of the parameter. Using the compressiontransformation, this paper proposes a method of interval estimation based on the centrallimit theorem. This method can be applied to many heavy-tailed distributions. The other twoasymptotic confidence intervals of the parameter are obtained based on the maximum likelihoodand the mode method. These estimation methods are compared in simulations and applications toempirical data. 展开更多
关键词 Yule-Simon distribution maximum likelihood estimation confidence interval compression transformation
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EXACT MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR FOR DRIFT FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION AT DISCRETE OBSERVATION 被引量:5
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作者 胡耀忠 Nualart David +1 位作者 肖炜麟 张卫国 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第5期1851-1859,共9页
This paper deals with the problems of consistency and strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. Both ... This paper deals with the problems of consistency and strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. Both the central limit theorem and the Berry-Ess′een bounds for these estimators are obtained by using the Stein’s method via Malliavin calculus. 展开更多
关键词 maximum likelihood estimator fractional Brownian motions strong consistency central limit theorem Berry-Ess′een bounds Stein’s method Malliavin calculus
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Improving Accuracy of Estimating Two-Qubit States with Hedged Maximum Likelihood 被引量:1
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作者 殷琪 项国勇 +1 位作者 李传锋 郭光灿 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第3期1-5,共5页
As a widely used reconstruction algorithm in quantum state tomography, maximum likelihood estimation tends to assign a rank-deficient matrix, which decreases estimation accuracy for certain quantum states. Fortunately... As a widely used reconstruction algorithm in quantum state tomography, maximum likelihood estimation tends to assign a rank-deficient matrix, which decreases estimation accuracy for certain quantum states. Fortunately, hedged maximum likelihood estimation (HMLE) [Phys. Rev. Lett. 105 (2010)200504] was proposed to avoid this problem. Here we study more details about this proposal in the two-qubit case and further improve its performance. We ameliorate the HMLE method by updating the hedging function based on the purity of the estimated state. Both performances of HMLE and ameliorated HMLE are demonstrated by numerical simulation and experimental implementation on the Werner states of polarization-entangled photons. 展开更多
关键词 MLE Improving Accuracy of Estimating Two-Qubit States with Hedged maximum likelihood
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Comparisons of Maximum Likelihood Estimates and Bayesian Estimates for the Discretized Discovery Process Model
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作者 GaoChunwen XuJingzhen RichardSinding-Larsen 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第2期45-56,共12页
A Bayesian approach using Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms has been developed to analyze Smith’s discretized version of the discovery process model. It avoids the problems involved in the maximum likelihood method... A Bayesian approach using Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms has been developed to analyze Smith’s discretized version of the discovery process model. It avoids the problems involved in the maximum likelihood method by effectively making use of the information from the prior distribution and that from the discovery sequence according to posterior probabilities. All statistical inferences about the parameters of the model and total resources can be quantified by drawing samples directly from the joint posterior distribution. In addition, statistical errors of the samples can be easily assessed and the convergence properties can be monitored during the sampling. Because the information contained in a discovery sequence is not enough to estimate all parameters, especially the number of fields, geologically justified prior information is crucial to the estimation. The Bayesian approach allows the analyst to specify his subjective estimates of the required parameters and his degree of uncertainty about the estimates in a clearly identified fashion throughout the analysis. As an example, this approach is applied to the same data of the North Sea on which Smith demonstrated his maximum likelihood method. For this case, the Bayesian approach has really improved the overly pessimistic results and downward bias of the maximum likelihood procedure. 展开更多
关键词 Bayesian estimate maximum likelihood estimate discovery process model Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) North Sea
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Percentiles Estimation for a Response Distribution 被引量:1
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作者 田玉斌 牟可典 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2002年第4期424-428,共5页
To estimate percentiles of a response distribution, the transformed response rule of Wetherill and Robbins-Monro sequential design were proposed under Log-Logistic model. Based on responses data, a necessary and suffi... To estimate percentiles of a response distribution, the transformed response rule of Wetherill and Robbins-Monro sequential design were proposed under Log-Logistic model. Based on responses data, a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of maximum likelihood estimators and then the calculating formula were presented. After a simulation study, the proposed approach was applied to 65# detonator. Numerical results showed that estimators of percentiles from the proposed approach are robust to the parametric models lacking information on the original response distribution. 展开更多
关键词 PERCENTILES maximum likelihood estimator sensitivity test transformed response
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Real-Time Frequency Estimation of Complex GMSK Signal of Green Communications Devices 被引量:1
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作者 Umar Suleiman Dauda NikNoordini NikAbdMalik +3 位作者 Mazlina Esa Kamaludin Mohd Yusof Mohd Fairus Mohd Yusoff Mohamed Rijal Hamid 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS CSCD 2016年第2期126-132,共7页
Parameter estimation of signals of universal software radio peripheral (USRP) devices is crucial to solve the problem of phase offsets of received signals in distributed beamforming. For systems that will utilize th... Parameter estimation of signals of universal software radio peripheral (USRP) devices is crucial to solve the problem of phase offsets of received signals in distributed beamforming. For systems that will utilize the closed loop feedback algorithm where the receiver needs to send the received signal strength (RSS) values periodically to the beamforming node so as to take advantage of energy conservation, the frequency and phase of these signals should be estimated before smoothening by nonlinear filters. This article presents the estimation of the frequency offsets of a Gaussian minimum shift keying (GMSK) signal from N210 USRP devices in real time by using the Radix-2 fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm in GNURadio. For these green communications devices, most of the needed hardware parts have been software defined, thereby reducing the supposed energy consumption. The frequency offsets from reference carrier frequencies of 900 MHz and 2.4 GHz are less than 3 kHz each before the estimation, but the average offsets are 45 Hz and 100 Hz after the estimation, respectively. The high offset value experienced with the 2.4 GHz carrier was due to consistent interference from devices on that same frequency. 展开更多
关键词 Cramer-Rao lower bound Gaussianminimum shift keying maximum likelihood estimation universal software radio peripheral.
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PARAMETER ESTIMATION OF PATH-DEPENDENT MCKEAN-VLASOV STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS
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作者 Meiqi LIU Huijie QIAO 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第3期876-886,共11页
This work concerns a class of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with unknown parameters.First,we prove the existence and uniqueness of these equations under non-Lipschitz conditions.Second... This work concerns a class of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with unknown parameters.First,we prove the existence and uniqueness of these equations under non-Lipschitz conditions.Second,we construct maximum likelihood estimators of these parameters and then discuss their strong consistency.Third,a numerical simulation method for the class of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations is offered.Finally,we estimate the errors between solutions of these equations and that of their numerical equations. 展开更多
关键词 Path-dependent McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations maximum likelihood estimation the strong consistency numerical simulation
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Novel Channel Estimation Method Based on Decision-Directed in OFDM
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作者 卜祥元 张建康 杨静 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第1期65-69,共5页
Based on the analysis of decision-directed (DD) channel estimation by using training symbols, a novel DD channel estimation method is proposed for orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) system. The prop... Based on the analysis of decision-directed (DD) channel estimation by using training symbols, a novel DD channel estimation method is proposed for orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) system. The proposed algorithm takes the impact of decision error into account, and calculates the impact to next symbol duration channel state information. Analysis shows that the error propagation can be effectively restrained and the channel variation is tracked well. Simulation results demonstrate that both the signal error rate (SER) and the normalized mean square error (NMSE) performance of the proposed method are better than the traditional DD (DD+ LS) and the maximum likelihood estimate (DD+ MLE) method. 展开更多
关键词 channel estimation training symbols decision-directed maximum likelihood estimate
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基于信道短化和圆球译码的水声通信迭代序列检测
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作者 瞿逢重 方浩 +3 位作者 涂星滨 魏艳 章旻昊 杨劭坚 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 CSCD 2024年第1期238-246,共9页
The demand for high-data-rate underwater acoustic communications(UACs)in marine development is increasing;however,severe multipaths make demodulation a challenge.The decision feedback equalizer(DFE)is one of the most ... The demand for high-data-rate underwater acoustic communications(UACs)in marine development is increasing;however,severe multipaths make demodulation a challenge.The decision feedback equalizer(DFE)is one of the most popular equalizers in UAC;however,it is not the optimal algorithm.Although maximum likelihood sequence estimation(MLSE)is the optimal algorithm,its complexity increases exponentially with the number of channel taps,making it challenging to apply to UAC.Therefore,this paper proposes a complexity-reduced MLSE to improve the bit error rate(BER)performance in multipath channels.In the proposed algorithm,the original channel is first shortened using a channel-shortening method,and several dominant channel taps are selected for MLSE.Subsequently,sphere decoding(SD)is performed in the following MLSE.Iterations are applied to eliminate inter-symbol interference caused by weak channel taps.The simulation and sea experiment demonstrate the superiority of the proposed algorithm.The simulation results show that channel shortening combined with SD can drastically reduce computational complexity,and iterative SD performs better than DFE based on recursive least squares(RLS-DFE),DFE based on improved proportionate normalized least mean squares(IPNLMS-DFE),and channel estimation-based DFE(CE-DFE).Moreover,the sea experimental results at Zhairuoshan Island in Zhoushan show that the proposed receiver scheme has improved BER performance over RLSDFE,IPNLMS-DFE,and CE-DFE.Compared with the RLS-DFE,the BER,after five iterations,is reduced from 0.0076 to 0.0037 in the 8–12 k Hz band and from 0.1516 to 0.1145 in the 13–17 k Hz band at a distance of 2000 m.Thus,the proposed algorithm makes it possible to apply MLSE in UAC in practical scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 Underwater acoustic communications(UACs) maximum likelihood sequence estimation(MLSE) Channel shortening Sphere decoding(SD) Iterative detection
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Statistical Analysis for the Birnbaum-Saunders Fatigue Life Distribution under Multiply Type-ⅡCensoring 被引量:5
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作者 WANG Rong-hua FEI He-liang 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第1期15-27,共13页
In present paper, we derive the quasi-least squares estimation(QLSE) and approximate maximum likelihood estimation(AMLE) for the Birnbaum-Saunders fatigue life distribution under multiply Type-Ⅱcensoring. Furthermore... In present paper, we derive the quasi-least squares estimation(QLSE) and approximate maximum likelihood estimation(AMLE) for the Birnbaum-Saunders fatigue life distribution under multiply Type-Ⅱcensoring. Furthermore, we get the variance and covariance of the approximate maximum likelihood estimation. 展开更多
关键词 Birnbaum-Saunders fatigue life distribution multiply Type-Ⅱ censoring quasi-least squares estimation approximate maximum likelihood estimation
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An Improved Kalman Filter Positioning Method in NLOS Environment 被引量:4
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作者 Zhanjun Hao Beibei Li Xiaochao Dang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第12期84-99,共16页
In the precision positioning system, NLOS(Non Line of Sight) propagation and clock synchronization error caused by multiple base stations are the main reasons for reducing the reliability of communication and position... In the precision positioning system, NLOS(Non Line of Sight) propagation and clock synchronization error caused by multiple base stations are the main reasons for reducing the reliability of communication and positioning accuracy. So, in the NLOS environment, it has an important role to eliminate the clock synchronization problem in the positioning system. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes an improved Kalman filter localization method NLOS-K(Non Line of Sight-Kalman filter). First, the maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is used to iterate. Then, the Kalman filter algorithm is implemented and the Kalman gain matrix is redefined. The clock drift is compensated so that the clock between the master and slave base stations remains synchronized. The experimental results show that in the non-lineof-sight environment, compared with other algorithms, the positioning accuracy error of the improved algorithm is about 5 cm, and the accuracy compared with other algorithms is 97%. In addition, the influence of bandwidth and spectral density on the method is analyzed, and the accuracy and stability of positioning are improved as a whole. 展开更多
关键词 NLOS clock synchronization Kalman filtering maximum likelihood estimation spectral density
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Statistical Properties and Confidence Limits about the Mean Time between the Failures (MTBF) in Failure-free Period Life Test (FFPLT)
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作者 王庆成 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2001年第1期9-19,共11页
On the basis of strict mathematical description about Failure_Free Period Life Test (FFPLT), the statistical properties of the tests and optimal confidence limit of the parameter are discussed in detail and correspond... On the basis of strict mathematical description about Failure_Free Period Life Test (FFPLT), the statistical properties of the tests and optimal confidence limit of the parameter are discussed in detail and corresponding calculating formulae are found out. 展开更多
关键词 FFPLT MTBF operating characteristic (OC) function expected test time (ETT) maximum likelihood estimation lower confidence limit
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A plotless density estimator with a Norton-Rice distribution for ordered distances
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作者 Steen Magnussen 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第6期2385-2401,共17页
A Norton-Rice distribution(NRD)is a versatile,flexible distribution for k ordered distances from a random location to the k nearest objects.In a context of plotless density estimation(PDE)with n randomly chosen sample... A Norton-Rice distribution(NRD)is a versatile,flexible distribution for k ordered distances from a random location to the k nearest objects.In a context of plotless density estimation(PDE)with n randomly chosen sample locations,and distances measured to the k=6 nearest objects,the NRD provided a good fit to distance data from seven populations with a census of forest tree stem locations.More importantly,the three parameters of a NRD followed a simple trend with the order(1,…,6)of observed distances.The trend is quantified and exploited in a proposed new PDE through a joint maximum likelihood estimation of the NRD parameters expressed as a functions of distance order.In simulated probability sampling from the seven populations,the proposed PDE had the lowest overall bias with a good performance potential when compared to three alternative PDEs.However,absolute bias increased by 0.8 percentage points when sample size decreased from 20 to 10.In terms of root mean squared error(RMSE),the new proposed estimator was at par with an estimator published in Ecology when this study was wrapping up,but otherwise superior to the remaining two investigated PDEs.Coverage of nominal 95%confidence intervals averaged 0.94 for the new proposed estimators and 0.90,0.96,and 0.90 for the comparison PDEs.Despite tangible improvements in PDEs over the last decades,a globally least biased PDE remains elusive. 展开更多
关键词 Fixed-count sampling Spatial point pattern Distance distributions Forest inventory Joint maximum likelihood estimation BIAS Root mean squared error COVERAGE
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ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION IN DIRECTED FINITE WEIGHTED RANDOM GRAPHS WITH AN INCREASING BI-DEGREE SEQUENCE 被引量:2
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作者 Jing LUO Hong QIN Zhenghong WANG 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期355-368,共14页
The asymptotic normality of the fixed number of the maximum likelihood estimators(MLEs)in the directed finite weighted network models with an increasing bi-degree sequence has been established recently.In this article... The asymptotic normality of the fixed number of the maximum likelihood estimators(MLEs)in the directed finite weighted network models with an increasing bi-degree sequence has been established recently.In this article,we further derive the central limit theorem for linear combinations of all the MLEs with an increasing dimension when the edges take finite discrete weight.Simulation studies are provided to illustrate the asymptotic results. 展开更多
关键词 Central limit theorem finite discrete network increasing number of parameters maximum likelihood estimator
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A LAW OF ITERATED LOGARITHM FOR THE MLE IN A RANDOM CENSORING MODEL WITH INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 被引量:2
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作者 宋凤丽 刘禄勤 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第3期501-512,共12页
In this article, a law of iterated logarithm for the maximum likelihood estimator in a random censoring model with incomplete information under certain regular conditions is obtained.
关键词 Random censoring model maximum likelihood estimator law of iterated logarithm
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A Linear Immigration-Birth-Death Model and Its Statistical Inference
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作者 ZHANG Shu-lin WEI Zheng-hong BI Qiu-xiang 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2014年第3期356-362,共7页
formula of simulation proccss by In this paper, we employ monmnt generating function to obtain some exact transition probability of inlmigration-birth-death(IBD) model and discuss the of sample path and statistical ... formula of simulation proccss by In this paper, we employ monmnt generating function to obtain some exact transition probability of inlmigration-birth-death(IBD) model and discuss the of sample path and statistical inference with complete observations of the IBD the exact transition density formula. 展开更多
关键词 immigration-birth-death process transition density moment generating function maximum likelihood estimator
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Ⅰ型左删失下Topp-Leone分布的参数及可靠度函数的估计
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作者 龙沁怡 徐丽平 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 2023年第1期97-110,共14页
Firstly, the maximum likelihood estimate and asymptotic confidence interval of the unkown parameter for the Topp-Leone distribution are obtained under Type-I left censored samples, furthermore, the asymptotic confiden... Firstly, the maximum likelihood estimate and asymptotic confidence interval of the unkown parameter for the Topp-Leone distribution are obtained under Type-I left censored samples, furthermore, the asymptotic confidence interval of reliability function is obtained based on monotonicity. Secondly, under different loss functions, the Bayesian estimates of the unkown parameter and reliability function are obtained, and the expected mean square errors of Bayesian estimates are calculated. Monte-Carlo method is used to calculate the mean values and relative errors of the estimates. Finally, an example of life data is analyzed by using the statistical method in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 Topp-Leone distribution Type-I left censored samples maximum likelihood estimate Bayesian estimate
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