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Is digital transformation boosting green innovation in logistics enterprises?Evidence from listed firms in China’s logistics industry
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作者 Jun Li Xi Chen Liang Wan 《中国科学技术大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期18-30,17,I0001,共15页
In the era of green logistics,digital transformation has become an effective means for the logistics industry’s high-quality development.Using listed companies in China’s logistics industry from 2010 to 2021 as the ... In the era of green logistics,digital transformation has become an effective means for the logistics industry’s high-quality development.Using listed companies in China’s logistics industry from 2010 to 2021 as the research samples,this paper conducts an empirical test on the impact of the digital transformation of logistics enterprises on their green in-novation.Specifically,enterprise digital transformation indicators are constructed through the text analysis method,and the fixed-effects model is applied for analysis.The results indicate that the digital transformation of logistics enterprises has a significant promoting effect on their green innovation;the promoting effect of the digital transformation of logistics enterprises on green innovation is primarily achieved by easing corporate financing constraints and reducing corporate en-vironmental uncertainty;and the impact of digital transformation on green innovation is geographically heterogeneous. 展开更多
关键词 DIGITALIZATION logistics enterprises green innovation
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Development status and prospect of cold chain logistics of fruits,vegetables,and agricultural products based on intelligent technology 被引量:1
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作者 ZHANG Ruizhi LIU Qianyuan +3 位作者 HUANG Yuying LIU Bing CHANG Zhiguang WANG Jiaoling 《智能化农业装备学报(中英文)》 2024年第3期63-74,共12页
The cold chain in the production area of fruits and vegetables is the primary link to reduce product loss and improve product quality,but it is also a weak link.With the application of big data technology in cold chai... The cold chain in the production area of fruits and vegetables is the primary link to reduce product loss and improve product quality,but it is also a weak link.With the application of big data technology in cold chain logistics,intelligent devices,and technologies have become important carriers for improving the efficiency of cold chain logistics in fruit and vegetable production areas,extending the shelf life of fruits and vegetables,and reducing fruit and vegetable losses.They have many advantages in fruit and vegetable pre-cooling,sorting and packaging,testing,warehousing,transportation,and other aspects.This article summarizes the rapidly developing and widely used intelligent technologies at home and abroad in recent years,including automated guided vehicle intelligent handling based on electromagnetic or optical technology,intelligent sorting based on sensors,electronic optics,and other technologies,intelligent detection based on computer vision technology,intelligent transportation based on perspective imaging technology,etc.It analyses and studies the innovative research and achievements of various scholars in applying intelligent technology in fruit and vegetable cold chain storage,sorting,detection,transportation,and other links,and improves the efficiency of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics.However,applying intelligent technology in fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics also faces many problems.The challenges of high cost,difficulty in technological integration,and talent shortages have limited the development of intelligent technology in the field of fruit and vegetable cold chains.To solve the current problems,it is proposed that costs be controlled through independent research and development,technological innovation,and other means to lower the entry threshold for small enterprises.Strengthen integrating intelligent technology and cold chain logistics systems to improve data security and system compatibility.At the same time,the government should introduce relevant policies,provide necessary financial support,and establish talent training mechanisms.Accelerate the development and improvement of intelligent technology standards in the field of cold chain logistics.Through technological innovation,cost control,talent cultivation,and policy guidance,we aim to promote the upgrading of the agricultural industry and provide ideas for improving the quality and efficiency of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics. 展开更多
关键词 fruits and vegetables cold chain logistics automated guided vehicle intelligent handling computer vision spectral detection
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经皮肾镜碎石术后双J管相关严重并发症危险因素的Logistics回归分析 被引量:27
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作者 韦巍 钟羽翔 +4 位作者 黄剑华 麦源 蒲小勇 王怀鹏 徐战平 《南方医科大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第10期1440-1443,共4页
目的探讨经皮肾镜碎石术(percutaneous nephrolithotomy,PCNL)后双J管留置相关严重并发症的危险因素。方法依标准筛选2014年1月~2016年4月泌尿外科PCNL术治疗上尿路结石并留置双J管病例272例,运用SPSS统计软件对可疑危险因素行二分类单... 目的探讨经皮肾镜碎石术(percutaneous nephrolithotomy,PCNL)后双J管留置相关严重并发症的危险因素。方法依标准筛选2014年1月~2016年4月泌尿外科PCNL术治疗上尿路结石并留置双J管病例272例,运用SPSS统计软件对可疑危险因素行二分类单变量Logistics回归筛选,有统计学意义之因素再行多变量Logistics回归逐步分析。结果共63例患者发生较严重的双J管相关并发症(发生率23.1%),筛选后具有统计学意义的危险因素包括:输尿管异常(β=1.735,P=0.000,OR=5.670)、留置时间(β=1.206,P=0.028,OR=3.340)、性别(β=0.895,P=0.016,OR=2.446)、术前控制欠佳的尿路感染(β=0.849,P=0.020,OR=2.338)和粗细型号(β=0.847,P=0.011,OR=2.333)。结论男性是PCNL术后双J管严重并发症的危险人群,为减少其发病率,须积极控制尿路感染,术前术中发现输尿管异常时,谨慎选择双J管粗细型号,术后恢复良好的情况下应尽早拔管,减少留置时间。 展开更多
关键词 经皮肾镜碎石术 双J管 并发症 危险因素 logistics回归
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基于定序logistics回归模型下乌鲁木齐市居民社区卫生服务利用影响因素分析 被引量:10
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作者 姚萱 赵延芳 +2 位作者 杨红 古丽巴哈尔.卡德尔 邓峰 《中国卫生事业管理》 北大核心 2016年第6期413-415,432,共4页
目的:调查分析乌鲁木齐市居民利用社区卫生服务的影响因素,并提出政策性建议。方法:自制问卷,采用随机抽样方法,抽取乌鲁木齐市2所公立性社区卫生服务中心500位居民作为本课题研究对象,对其进行问卷调查,采用多因素Logistic回归分析居... 目的:调查分析乌鲁木齐市居民利用社区卫生服务的影响因素,并提出政策性建议。方法:自制问卷,采用随机抽样方法,抽取乌鲁木齐市2所公立性社区卫生服务中心500位居民作为本课题研究对象,对其进行问卷调查,采用多因素Logistic回归分析居民利用社区卫生服务的影响因素。结果:通过定序logistics回归分析发现社会学人口因素(年龄、文化程度)、健康状况因素(患慢病情况、两周患病情况)及知晓情况是居民利用社区卫生服务的影响因素。结论:加大社区卫生宣传,注重社区基本医疗,提升社区卫生服务质量,提高居民的社区卫生服务利用率。 展开更多
关键词 社区卫生服务 logistics回归模型 影响因素
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马拉松赛事参与者消费偏好及影响因素研究——基于126份调查问卷的多元LOGISTICS模型分析 被引量:6
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作者 王洪兵 陈广 汤卫东 《南京师大学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第3期166-172,共7页
以问卷调查法为基础,研究马拉松经济和赛事参与者之间的关系,通过描述性与实证性分析,得出以下结论:一是参赛者的参赛开支与收入呈正相关,即收入越高、时间较为充沛的中年群体更热衷文化体育消费;二是在"互联网+"时代,马拉松... 以问卷调查法为基础,研究马拉松经济和赛事参与者之间的关系,通过描述性与实证性分析,得出以下结论:一是参赛者的参赛开支与收入呈正相关,即收入越高、时间较为充沛的中年群体更热衷文化体育消费;二是在"互联网+"时代,马拉松赛事经济消费具有极强的社会网络性,呈现渠道化、网络化、社交化发展趋势;三是赛事开支与每年参加参赛次数呈负相关,即每次参赛的花费会随着参赛次数的增加有所挤出. 展开更多
关键词 马拉松 消费偏好 影响因素 多元logistics模型
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基于Logistics模型的邛海水污染经济损失研究 被引量:2
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作者 陈金发 朱海峰 王姗镒 《节水灌溉》 北大核心 2012年第9期26-29,共4页
通过应用Logistics模型对邛海饮用水源、旅游、渔业、农田灌溉等功能在2006-2010年间水污染造成的经济损失进行了估算,结果表明:邛海2006年水污染综合损失率最高,达到99.81%;总体经济损失为44 678.04万元。在此基础上,采用完全均匀混合... 通过应用Logistics模型对邛海饮用水源、旅游、渔业、农田灌溉等功能在2006-2010年间水污染造成的经济损失进行了估算,结果表明:邛海2006年水污染综合损失率最高,达到99.81%;总体经济损失为44 678.04万元。在此基础上,采用完全均匀混合水质模型预测邛海2015水质状态,并通过Logistics模型估算发现:至2015年,邛海水体污染综合损失率为99.99%,综合经济损失达44 832.42万元。通过对邛海水污染经济损失的研究,为邛海的水环境保护和水资源利用提供科学的依据。 展开更多
关键词 邛海 logistics模型 经济损失 预测
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融合改进Logistics混沌和正弦余弦算子的自适应t分布海鸥算法 被引量:21
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作者 毛清华 王迎港 《小型微型计算机系统》 CSCD 北大核心 2022年第11期2271-2277,共7页
针对基本海鸥算法存在的缺陷,提出一种融合改进Logistics混沌和正弦余弦算子的自适应t分布海鸥算法(ISOA).首先,采用改进Logistics混沌映射初始化种群,使海鸥更加均匀地分布于初始解空间;其次,在海鸥位置更新方式中引入正弦余弦算子来... 针对基本海鸥算法存在的缺陷,提出一种融合改进Logistics混沌和正弦余弦算子的自适应t分布海鸥算法(ISOA).首先,采用改进Logistics混沌映射初始化种群,使海鸥更加均匀地分布于初始解空间;其次,在海鸥位置更新方式中引入正弦余弦算子来协调算法的局部搜索和全局搜索,同时加入改进的参数A加快算法收敛速度;然后,引入自适应t分布变异策略,在最优解位置进行扰动变异产生新解,增强算法跳出局部最优的能力;最后,基于8个标准测试函数与3种基本算法进行对比仿真实验,结果表明ISOA与其余3种算法相比,有较强的跳出局部最优能力,收敛速度更快,精度更高. 展开更多
关键词 海鸥算法 改进logistics混沌 正弦余弦算子 自适应t分布变异
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修正Logistics模型在水污染经济损失计算中的应用 被引量:6
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作者 陈金发 《节水灌溉》 北大核心 2015年第5期57-59,共3页
传统的Logistic模型在湖泊水污染经济损失计算上存在较大的偏差。通过对Logistic模型参数A、B值的修正,提高了TN、TP在模型计算中的所占比重。将修正前后的模型运用于邛海的水污染经济损失估算中,并将结果与邛海多年的水质综合污染指数... 传统的Logistic模型在湖泊水污染经济损失计算上存在较大的偏差。通过对Logistic模型参数A、B值的修正,提高了TN、TP在模型计算中的所占比重。将修正前后的模型运用于邛海的水污染经济损失估算中,并将结果与邛海多年的水质综合污染指数的变化趋势进行比较。计算结果表明,修正后的Logistic模型计算的邛海水污染经济损失更符合邛海水污染多年的变化情况。修正后的Logistic模型可推广应用于其他湖泊的水污染经济损失计算中。 展开更多
关键词 logistics模型 邛海水污染 水污染经济损失 水污染
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基于逐步Logistics回归的高铁列车上座率影响因素分析 被引量:1
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作者 徐长安 余娟 《重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第1期128-136,共9页
分析高铁列车上座率的影响因素,对于优化列车运行方案及提高铁路公司经济效益均具有重要意义。以京沪高铁2015年11月份的上座率数据为例,构建了基于逐步Logistics回归的高铁列车上座率影响因素分析框架;运用逐步回归策略筛选出对列车上... 分析高铁列车上座率的影响因素,对于优化列车运行方案及提高铁路公司经济效益均具有重要意义。以京沪高铁2015年11月份的上座率数据为例,构建了基于逐步Logistics回归的高铁列车上座率影响因素分析框架;运用逐步回归策略筛选出对列车上座率有显著影响的因素;再应用Logistic回归模型分析了列车上座率与其影响因素之间的定量关系;最后分别采用Wald统计量和HL指标检验回归系数的显著性和模型的拟合优度。研究结果表明:列车跨线与否、列车类型、列车始发时间、列车终到时间和票价是影响影响京沪高铁列车上座率的主要因素。 展开更多
关键词 交通运输工程 列车上座率 影响因素 逐步回归 logistics回归
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乡村旅游消费需求影响因素的多元顺序Logistics回归分析 被引量:8
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作者 张思源 夏龙 《农业展望》 2020年第1期144-149,共6页
随着国家乡村振兴战略的深入实施,乡村旅游作为带动乡村产业发展、推进精准扶贫和美丽乡村建设等工作的突破口,迎来了新的政策机遇与发展契机。然而,乡村旅游还远不能达到消费者预期的消费需求。以乡村旅游消费者为主要研究对象,运用问... 随着国家乡村振兴战略的深入实施,乡村旅游作为带动乡村产业发展、推进精准扶贫和美丽乡村建设等工作的突破口,迎来了新的政策机遇与发展契机。然而,乡村旅游还远不能达到消费者预期的消费需求。以乡村旅游消费者为主要研究对象,运用问卷调查法,以消费者平均每年乡村旅游的次数为因变量,建立多元顺序logistics回归模型,对影响消费者乡村旅游消费需求的主要因素展开实证分析。结果显示,女性和受教育水平越高的消费者的乡村旅游意愿度更高;不了解乡村旅游模式、迫切想要去乡村旅游和日常运动量较少的消费者是主要潜在消费群体;乡村旅游的最佳时长是2~3 d,消费者更愿意结伴而行;消费者获取信息的方式主要是通过亲人、朋友宣传或在社交平台的相互交流。最后,基于分析结论,有针对性地提出了促进乡村旅游发展的建议。 展开更多
关键词 乡村振兴 美丽乡村建设 乡村旅游 市场需求 多元logistics回归
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基于Logistics概率统计模型的机载气象雷达强风暴快速识别预警算法 被引量:2
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作者 纪奎秀 王磊 刘心刚 《电子测量技术》 2018年第8期13-20,共8页
不同经纬度、季节和下垫面条件下,机载气象雷达探测强风暴的特征识别预警参数阈值是不同的,传统单一的阈值门限判定法不具有普适性。为了提高灾害性强风暴天气的识别预警时效和精度,建立一种基于Logistics多元线性对数概率统计模型。利... 不同经纬度、季节和下垫面条件下,机载气象雷达探测强风暴的特征识别预警参数阈值是不同的,传统单一的阈值门限判定法不具有普适性。为了提高灾害性强风暴天气的识别预警时效和精度,建立一种基于Logistics多元线性对数概率统计模型。利用地基天气雷达和TRMM星载气象雷达观测的大量强风暴天气样本数据,进行Logistics非连续的多元线性回归,获取适用于我国东海和南海地区的机载气象雷达识别预警强风暴天气概率模型。与气象雷达实际观测结果进行对比实验分析表明,在东海和南海地区,该方法建立的模型在识别预警精度上较为精确,有助于飞行员快速、准确判定危险天气,保障飞行安全。 展开更多
关键词 机载气象雷达 logistics概率模型 三维插值 超级单体风暴
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21世纪海上丝绸之路沿线港口体系演化研究——基于Logistics、Lotka-Volterra模型 被引量:15
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作者 赵旭 高苏红 +1 位作者 周巧琳 刘进平 《运筹与管理》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2018年第8期172-181,共10页
港口体系演化研究揭示21世纪海上丝绸之路沿线港口的发展规律,为我国相关企业海外港口投资提供决策支持,进而为我国"海上丝绸之路"战略的具体实施提供理论依据。本文利用生态种群演化相关理论,选取东南亚港口为数据样本来研... 港口体系演化研究揭示21世纪海上丝绸之路沿线港口的发展规律,为我国相关企业海外港口投资提供决策支持,进而为我国"海上丝绸之路"战略的具体实施提供理论依据。本文利用生态种群演化相关理论,选取东南亚港口为数据样本来研究港口体系演化过程,研究发现港口规模演化趋势符合Logistics演化规律,2008年时增长速度达到峰值,2013年海上丝绸之路沿线港口体系进入衰退期,2030年左右港口体系规模将达到极限值;建立双种群增长的Lotka-Volterra模型和多种群增长模型研究新加坡港、巴生港、柔佛、槟城、丹戎帕拉帕斯的相互关系和演化趋势,提出我国在与这些港口合作时需要依据这种关系和演化趋势去统筹协调,才能达到效益最大化。 展开更多
关键词 海丝沿线港口体系 种群演化 logistics模型 LOTKA-VOLTERRA模型
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基于logistics模型的山东省农村汽车消费影响因素分析 被引量:2
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作者 战颖 李建伟 徐静 《安徽农学通报》 2020年第11期161-164,共4页
该文分析了山东省农村汽车消费现状以及存在的性别、文化程度、职业、经销服务与产品质量等主要限制因素,并针对这些限制因素提出了相应的对策建议。
关键词 山东省 农村汽车消费 影响因素 logistics模型
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Discrete logistics network design model under interval hierarchical OD demand based on interval genetic algorithm 被引量:2
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作者 李利华 符卓 +1 位作者 周和平 胡正东 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第9期2625-2634,共10页
Aimed at the uncertain characteristics of discrete logistics network design,an interval hierarchical triangular uncertain OD demand model based on interval demand and network flow is presented.Under consideration of t... Aimed at the uncertain characteristics of discrete logistics network design,an interval hierarchical triangular uncertain OD demand model based on interval demand and network flow is presented.Under consideration of the system profit,the uncertain demand of logistics network is measured by interval variables and interval parameters,and an interval planning model of discrete logistics network is established.The risk coefficient and maximum constrained deviation are defined to realize the certain transformation of the model.By integrating interval algorithm and genetic algorithm,an interval hierarchical optimal genetic algorithm is proposed to solve the model.It is shown by a tested example that in the same scenario condition an interval solution[3275.3,3 603.7]can be obtained by the model and algorithm which is obviously better than the single precise optimal solution by stochastic or fuzzy algorithm,so it can be reflected that the model and algorithm have more stronger operability and the solution result has superiority to scenario decision. 展开更多
关键词 uncertainty interval planning hierarchical OD logistics network design genetic algorithm
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Knowledge-oriented modeling for influencing factors of battle damage in military industrial logistics:An integrated method 被引量:2
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作者 Xiong Li Xiao-dong Zhao Wei Pu 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第3期571-587,共17页
Modeling influencing factors of battle damage is one of essential works in implementing military industrial logistics simulation to explore battle damage laws knowledge.However,one of key challenges in designing the s... Modeling influencing factors of battle damage is one of essential works in implementing military industrial logistics simulation to explore battle damage laws knowledge.However,one of key challenges in designing the simulation system could be how to reasonably determine simulation model input and build a bridge to link battle damage model and battle damage laws knowledge.In this paper,we propose a novel knowledge-oriented modeling method for influencing factors of battle damage in military industrial logistics,integrating conceptual analysis,conceptual modeling,quantitative modeling and simulation implementation.We conceptualize influencing factors of battle damage by using the principle of hierarchical decomposition,thus classifying the related battle damage knowledge logically.Then,we construct the conceptual model of influencing factors of battle damage by using Entity-Relations hip approach,thus describing their interactions reasonably.Subsequently,we extract the important influencing factors by using social network analysis,thus evaluating their importance quantitatively and further clarifying the elements of simulation.Finally,we develop an agent-based military industry logistics simulation system by taking the modeling results on influencing factors of battle damage as simulation model input,and obtain simulation model output,i.e.,new battle damage laws knowledge,thus verifying feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.The results show that this method can be used to support human decision-making and action. 展开更多
关键词 Battle damage Industrial logistics Entity-relationship approach Social network analysis Agent-based simulation
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适用于山地城市的Logistics速度-密度模型 被引量:2
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作者 周约珥 龚华凤 +2 位作者 赵聪霄 黄博亚 徐小童 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2021年第4期1624-1628,共5页
为了计算山地城市不同立交基本段的通行能力,明确交通速度-密度的量化关系,根据Logistics模型的数学描述与连续交通流的一般规律,推导了不同交通流参数间的关系,建立了基于Logistics的速度-密度关系模型,并根据重庆市不同立交基本段与... 为了计算山地城市不同立交基本段的通行能力,明确交通速度-密度的量化关系,根据Logistics模型的数学描述与连续交通流的一般规律,推导了不同交通流参数间的关系,建立了基于Logistics的速度-密度关系模型,并根据重庆市不同立交基本段与交通环境下采集的连续交通流数据,对模型进行了验证与分析。结果表明:在山地城市的复杂道路环境下,本文模型对实际交通流数据拟合精度较高,且标定的参数基本合理;本文模型的表达式简单,且主要标定参数的物理意义相对明确;针对自由流状态的道路,模型仍可标定相对合理的参数;山地城市道路的最佳交通密度明显高于《道路通行能力手册》(Highway Capacity Manual)的建议值,均值为38.55 pcu/(km·ln)。据上述建模结果可知,基于Logistics建立的模型能准确地描述山地城市的速度-密度关系,对于今后交通流研究而言,具有良好的借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 交通工程 速度-密度关系模型 logistics 连续流 最佳交通密度
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Mechanical Parking System Logistics
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作者 CHEN E-xi (Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China) 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期220-,共1页
As the number of motor vehicles increases rapidly in many populated countries, t he shortage of parking space has become a difficult problem to all cities around the world. The contradiction between the shortage of pa... As the number of motor vehicles increases rapidly in many populated countries, t he shortage of parking space has become a difficult problem to all cities around the world. The contradiction between the shortage of parking space and the incr easing number of motor vehicles is still growing in the recent years. The utiliz ation of various kinds of mechanical parking facilities is an effective solution to this problem. How to organize a reasonable logistics system in a mechanical parking lot so that as many parking positions as possible can be constructed wit hin a limited space at the lowest cost is a long challenging subject for enginee ring designers. Obviously, it is of great value to approach this subject theoret ically and systematically. Based on the study of the development of different me chanical parking facilities, the features, definitions, classifications and eval uation indexes of mechanical parking logistics systems are discussed in this pap er. The static and dynamic characteristics of different systems are also analyze d. 展开更多
关键词 TRAFFIC ARCHITECTURE parking systems logistics
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A Positive Analysis for BPR of the Third Party Logistics
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作者 LI Yan-feng 1, WU Xiao-song 2 (1. Management School, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China 2. Information Management School, Yunnan University of Finance and Trade, Kunming 650221, China) 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期231-232,共2页
Facing the opportunities and challenges of China’s en try into WTO, logistics enterprises take BPR as an important way to improve the core competence.But modern logistics is a systematic engineering and its require m... Facing the opportunities and challenges of China’s en try into WTO, logistics enterprises take BPR as an important way to improve the core competence.But modern logistics is a systematic engineering and its require ments are the standardization and normalization for enhancing the Chinese enterp rises’ level of logistic activities.This paper reveal the importance of manageme nt technique,information technique and business model in enterprise’s BPR throug h the positive analysis for business process of the third party logistics as a new system after reengineering businees process. Reorganization of marketing target. The characters of business procedure after N ew Sunshine recomposed include: "the last mile " service systems of logistics; s etting up HUB to control many end-points in big and middle cities, setting up s ingle-points in small cities, the small parts acting delivering system which st yle of "assembly and allot" are made of in. Reorganization of business model. The New Sunshine reorganized has three aspects of business model which set up: HUB, end-point and single-point. Reorganization of business process.The mainly business process of restructure Ne w Sunshine include : standard quote declaring prices to all attendants; on line, timely and exactly declaring prices; The net contract of B2C work on line; Tran smit to attendant; Logistice operating; feedback the working information; User t rack goods condition; Settling information; paying and so on, the different busi ness can separate into kinds of right corresponding to the business process, suc h as the picture of distributing parcel, ordering, moving, picking, transporting , delivering, information, inquiring and settling. Set up standard systems. Aims to execute standard management is to make distribu te and logistics for norm and standard, according to the resources share tog ether with the progresses especially and base on reducing the necessary expenses to reduce the living expenses, while low cost and effectively to ensure the goo d service for satisfy the present and potential needs of the customers. 展开更多
关键词 third party logistics management technique info rmation technique business model
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A Dynamic Forecasting System with Applications in Production Logistics
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作者 CHEUNG Chi-fai LEE Wing-bun LO Victor 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期133-134,共2页
Production logistics involve the co-ordination of ac tivities such as production and materials control (PMC), inventory management, p roduct life cycle management, etc. Those activities demand for an accurate forec as... Production logistics involve the co-ordination of ac tivities such as production and materials control (PMC), inventory management, p roduct life cycle management, etc. Those activities demand for an accurate forec asting model. However, the conventional methods of making sell and buy decision based on human forecast or conventional moving average and exponential smoothing methods is no longer be sufficient to meet the future need. Furthermore, the un derlying statistics of the market information change from time to time due to a number of reasons such as change of global economic environment, government poli cies and business risks. This demands for highly adaptive forecasting model which is robust enough to response and adapt well to the fast changes in the dat a characteristics, in other words, the trajectory of the "dynamic characteristic s" of the data. In this paper, an adaptive time-series modelling method was proposed for short -term dynamic forecasting. The method employs an autoregressive (AR) time-seri es model to carry out the forecasting process. A modified least mean square (MLM S) adaptive filter algorithm was established for adjusting the AR model coeffici ents so as to minimise the sum of squared of forecasting errors. A prototype dyn amic forecasting system was built based on the adaptive time-series modelling m ethod. Basically, the dynamic forecasting system can be divided into two phases, i.e. the Learning Phase and the Application Phase. The learning procedures star t with the determination of upper limit of the adaptation gain based on the conv ergence in the mean square criterion. Hence, the optimum ELMS filter parameters are determined using an iteration algorithm which changes each filter parameter i.e. the order, the adaptation gain andthe values initial coefficient vector on e by one inside a predetermined iteration range. The set of parameters which giv es the minimum value for sum of squared errors within the iteration range is sel ected as the optimum set of filter parameters. In the Application Phase, the sys tem is operated under a real-time environment. The sampled data is processed by the optimised ELMS filter and the forecasted data are calculated based on the a daptive time-series model. The error of forecasting is continuously monitored w ithin the predefined tolerance. When the system detects excessive forecasting er ror, a feedback alarm signal was issued for system re-calibration. Experimental results indicated that the convergence rate and sum of squared erro rs during initial adaptation could be significantly improved using the MLMS algorithm. The performance of the system was verified through a series of experi ments conducted on the forecast of materials demand and costing in productio n logistics. Satisfactory results were achieved with the forecast errors confini ng within in most instances. Further applications of the system can be found i n sales demand forecast, inventory management as well as collaborative planning, forecast and replenishment (CPFR) in logistics engineering. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive time-series model dynamic forecasting production logistics modified least mean square algorithm
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Logistics Management Information System
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作者 WANG Heng-shan, GU Yi-xi (College of Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Techno logy, Shanghai 200093, China) 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期290-291,共2页
The logistics information is the logistics manageme nt ’s inevitable request. The paper introduces several kinds of logistics informat ion system and their functions in the logistics management, such as the warehous ... The logistics information is the logistics manageme nt ’s inevitable request. The paper introduces several kinds of logistics informat ion system and their functions in the logistics management, such as the warehous e management system (WMS) in the delivery center, the control system for transpo rtation and delivery, the supply chain management (SCM), the optimization of th e logistics system, etc. In the author’s opinion, the development of logistics could been divided into four phases. And the logistics information system has s ome special characteristics: automatization, network, intelligence, and regenera tion. The paper also introduces some information technologies that are concerned . The readers can find following technologies in this paper: database and netwo rk technology, bar code and scanning devices, electronic data interchange (EDI), global positioning system (GPS), these technologies develop very fast in recent years. This development makes a great contribution to the growing of logist ics information system. 展开更多
关键词 logistics management information system
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