大型工程施工涉及大量的设备和多个环节,其过程存在很多复杂、潜在的风险.将模糊理论与失效模式及影响分析(Failure Modes and Effect Analysis,FMEA)结合,以天津港某岸桥加高工程为例,建立模糊语言集和与其对应的模糊数,将不同的专家...大型工程施工涉及大量的设备和多个环节,其过程存在很多复杂、潜在的风险.将模糊理论与失效模式及影响分析(Failure Modes and Effect Analysis,FMEA)结合,以天津港某岸桥加高工程为例,建立模糊语言集和与其对应的模糊数,将不同的专家知识和经验进行有效的应用,尽力消除了不同专家评价时的主观因素对于结果的影响偏差,以提高FMEA的准确性.利用最低合理可行准则,从众多潜在失效模式中,分级确定危险程度,以便在施工过程中监控各危险源.展开更多
In commanding decision-making, the commander usually needs to know a lot of situations（intelligence） on the adversary. Because of the military intelligence with opposability, it is inevitable that intelligence perso...In commanding decision-making, the commander usually needs to know a lot of situations（intelligence） on the adversary. Because of the military intelligence with opposability, it is inevitable that intelligence personnel take some deceptive information released by the rival as intelligence data in the process of intelligence gathering. Since the failure of intelligence is likely to lead to a serious aftereffect, the recognition of intelligence is a very important problem. An elementary research on recognizing military intelligence and puts forward a systematic processing method are made. First, the types and characteristics of military intelligence are briefly discussed, a research thought of recognizing military intelligence by means of recognizing military hypotheses are presented. Next, the reasoning mode and framework for recognizing military hypotheses are presented from the angle of psychology of intelligence analysis and non-monotonic reasoning. Then, a model for recognizing military hypothesis is built on the basis of fuzzy judgement information given by intelligence analysts. A calculative example shows that the model has the characteristics of simple calculation and good maneuverability. Last, the methods that selecting the most likely hypothesis from the survival hypotheses via final recognition are discussed.展开更多
文摘大型工程施工涉及大量的设备和多个环节,其过程存在很多复杂、潜在的风险.将模糊理论与失效模式及影响分析(Failure Modes and Effect Analysis,FMEA)结合,以天津港某岸桥加高工程为例,建立模糊语言集和与其对应的模糊数,将不同的专家知识和经验进行有效的应用,尽力消除了不同专家评价时的主观因素对于结果的影响偏差,以提高FMEA的准确性.利用最低合理可行准则,从众多潜在失效模式中,分级确定危险程度,以便在施工过程中监控各危险源.
文摘In commanding decision-making, the commander usually needs to know a lot of situations（intelligence） on the adversary. Because of the military intelligence with opposability, it is inevitable that intelligence personnel take some deceptive information released by the rival as intelligence data in the process of intelligence gathering. Since the failure of intelligence is likely to lead to a serious aftereffect, the recognition of intelligence is a very important problem. An elementary research on recognizing military intelligence and puts forward a systematic processing method are made. First, the types and characteristics of military intelligence are briefly discussed, a research thought of recognizing military intelligence by means of recognizing military hypotheses are presented. Next, the reasoning mode and framework for recognizing military hypotheses are presented from the angle of psychology of intelligence analysis and non-monotonic reasoning. Then, a model for recognizing military hypothesis is built on the basis of fuzzy judgement information given by intelligence analysts. A calculative example shows that the model has the characteristics of simple calculation and good maneuverability. Last, the methods that selecting the most likely hypothesis from the survival hypotheses via final recognition are discussed.
