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Cloud removal of remote sensing image based on multi-output support vector regression 被引量:3
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作者 Gensheng Hu Xiaoqi Sun +1 位作者 Dong Liang Yingying Sun 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第6期1082-1088,共7页
Removal of cloud cover on the satellite remote sensing image can effectively improve the availability of remote sensing images. For thin cloud cover, support vector value contourlet transform is used to achieve multi-... Removal of cloud cover on the satellite remote sensing image can effectively improve the availability of remote sensing images. For thin cloud cover, support vector value contourlet transform is used to achieve multi-scale decomposition of the area of thin cloud cover on remote sensing images. Through enhancing coefficients of high frequency and suppressing coefficients of low frequency, the thin cloud is removed. For thick cloud cover, if the areas of thick cloud cover on multi-source or multi-temporal remote sensing images do not overlap, the multi-output support vector regression learning method is used to remove this kind of thick clouds. If the thick cloud cover areas overlap, by using the multi-output learning of the surrounding areas to predict the surface features of the overlapped thick cloud cover areas, this kind of thick cloud is removed. Experimental results show that the proposed cloud removal method can effectively solve the problems of the cloud overlapping and radiation difference among multi-source images. The cloud removal image is clear and smooth. 展开更多
关键词 remote sensing image cloud removal support vector regression MULTI-OUTPUT
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Improved adaptive pruning algorithm for least squares support vector regression 被引量:4
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作者 Runpeng Gao Ye San 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第3期438-444,共7页
As the solutions of the least squares support vector regression machine (LS-SVRM) are not sparse, it leads to slow prediction speed and limits its applications. The defects of the ex- isting adaptive pruning algorit... As the solutions of the least squares support vector regression machine (LS-SVRM) are not sparse, it leads to slow prediction speed and limits its applications. The defects of the ex- isting adaptive pruning algorithm for LS-SVRM are that the training speed is slow, and the generalization performance is not satis- factory, especially for large scale problems. Hence an improved algorithm is proposed. In order to accelerate the training speed, the pruned data point and fast leave-one-out error are employed to validate the temporary model obtained after decremental learning. The novel objective function in the termination condition which in- volves the whole constraints generated by all training data points and three pruning strategies are employed to improve the generali- zation performance. The effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is tested on six benchmark datasets. The sparse LS-SVRM model has a faster training speed and better generalization performance. 展开更多
关键词 least squares support vector regression machine (LS- SVRM) PRUNING leave-one-out (LOO) error incremental learning decremental learning.
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Flatness intelligent control via improved least squares support vector regression algorithm 被引量:2
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作者 张秀玲 张少宇 +1 位作者 赵文保 徐腾 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第3期688-695,共8页
To overcome the disadvantage that the standard least squares support vector regression(LS-SVR) algorithm is not suitable to multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) system modelling directly,an improved LS-SVR algorithm w... To overcome the disadvantage that the standard least squares support vector regression(LS-SVR) algorithm is not suitable to multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) system modelling directly,an improved LS-SVR algorithm which was defined as multi-output least squares support vector regression(MLSSVR) was put forward by adding samples' absolute errors in objective function and applied to flatness intelligent control.To solve the poor-precision problem of the control scheme based on effective matrix in flatness control,the predictive control was introduced into the control system and the effective matrix-predictive flatness control method was proposed by combining the merits of the two methods.Simulation experiment was conducted on 900HC reversible cold roll.The performance of effective matrix method and the effective matrix-predictive control method were compared,and the results demonstrate the validity of the effective matrix-predictive control method. 展开更多
关键词 least squares support vector regression multi-output least squares support vector regression FLATNESS effective matrix predictive control
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Forecasting model of residential load based on general regression neural network and PSO-Bayes least squares support vector machine 被引量:5
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作者 何永秀 何海英 +1 位作者 王跃锦 罗涛 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第4期1184-1192,共9页
Firstly,general regression neural network(GRNN) was used for variable selection of key influencing factors of residential load(RL) forecasting.Secondly,the key influencing factors chosen by GRNN were used as the input... Firstly,general regression neural network(GRNN) was used for variable selection of key influencing factors of residential load(RL) forecasting.Secondly,the key influencing factors chosen by GRNN were used as the input and output terminals of urban and rural RL for simulating and learning.In addition,the suitable parameters of final model were obtained through applying the evidence theory to combine the optimization results which were calculated with the PSO method and the Bayes theory.Then,the model of PSO-Bayes least squares support vector machine(PSO-Bayes-LS-SVM) was established.A case study was then provided for the learning and testing.The empirical analysis results show that the mean square errors of urban and rural RL forecast are 0.02% and 0.04%,respectively.At last,taking a specific province RL in China as an example,the forecast results of RL from 2011 to 2015 were obtained. 展开更多
关键词 residential load load forecasting general regression neural network (GRNN) evidence theory PSO-Bayes least squaressupport vector machine
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Improved scheme to accelerate support vector regression 被引量:1
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作者 Zhao Yongping Sun Jianguo 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第5期1086-1090,共5页
The computational cost of support vector regression in the training phase is O (N^3), which is very expensive for a large scale problem. In addition, the solution of support vector regression is of parsimoniousness,... The computational cost of support vector regression in the training phase is O (N^3), which is very expensive for a large scale problem. In addition, the solution of support vector regression is of parsimoniousness, which has relation to a part of the whole training data set. Hence, it is reasonable to reduce the training data set. Aiming at the scheme based on k-nearest neighbors to reduce the training data set with the computational complexity O (kMN^2), an improved scheme is proposed to accelerate the reducing phase, which cuts down the computational complexity from O (kMN^2) to O (MN^2). Finally, experimental results on benchmark data sets validate the effectiveness of the improved scheme. 展开更多
关键词 support vector regression parsimoniousness k-nearest neighbors computational complexity.
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Prediction of dust fall concentrations in urban atmospheric environment through support vector regression 被引量:2
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作者 焦胜 曾光明 +3 位作者 何理 黄国和 卢宏玮 高青 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第2期307-315,共9页
Support vector regression (SVR) method is a novel type of learning machine algorithms, which is seldom applied to the development of urban atmospheric quality models under multiple socio-economic factors. This study... Support vector regression (SVR) method is a novel type of learning machine algorithms, which is seldom applied to the development of urban atmospheric quality models under multiple socio-economic factors. This study presents four SVR models by selecting linear, radial basis, spline, and polynomial functions as kernels, respectively for the prediction of urban dust fall levels. The inputs of the models are identified as industrial coal consumption, population density, traffic flow coefficient, and shopping density coefficient. The training and testing results show that the SVR model with radial basis kernel performs better than the other three both in the training and testing processes. In addition, a number of scenario analyses reveal that the most suitable parameters (insensitive loss function e, the parameter to reduce the influence of error C, and discrete level or average distribution of parameters σ) are 0.001, 0.5, and 2 000, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 support vector regression urban air quality dust fall soeio-economic factors radial basis function
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Soft sensor design for hydrodesulfurization process using support vector regression based on WT and PCA 被引量:2
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作者 Saeid Shokri Mohammad Taghi Sadeghi +1 位作者 Mahdi Ahmadi Marvast Shankar Narasimhan 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第2期511-521,共11页
A novel method for developing a reliable data driven soft sensor to improve the prediction accuracy of sulfur content in hydrodesulfurization(HDS) process was proposed. Therefore, an integrated approach using support ... A novel method for developing a reliable data driven soft sensor to improve the prediction accuracy of sulfur content in hydrodesulfurization(HDS) process was proposed. Therefore, an integrated approach using support vector regression(SVR) based on wavelet transform(WT) and principal component analysis(PCA) was used. Experimental data from the HDS setup were employed to validate the proposed model. The results reveal that the integrated WT-PCA with SVR model was able to increase the prediction accuracy of SVR model. Implementation of the proposed model delivers the best satisfactory predicting performance(EAARE=0.058 and R2=0.97) in comparison with SVR. The obtained results indicate that the proposed model is more reliable and more precise than the multiple linear regression(MLR), SVR and PCA-SVR. 展开更多
关键词 soft sensor support vector regression principal component analysis wavelet transform hydrodesulfurization process
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A sparse algorithm for adaptive pruning least square support vector regression machine based on global representative point ranking 被引量:2
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作者 HU Lei YI Guoxing HUANG Chao 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第1期151-162,共12页
Least square support vector regression(LSSVR)is a method for function approximation,whose solutions are typically non-sparse,which limits its application especially in some occasions of fast prediction.In this paper,a... Least square support vector regression(LSSVR)is a method for function approximation,whose solutions are typically non-sparse,which limits its application especially in some occasions of fast prediction.In this paper,a sparse algorithm for adaptive pruning LSSVR algorithm based on global representative point ranking(GRPR-AP-LSSVR)is proposed.At first,the global representative point ranking(GRPR)algorithm is given,and relevant data analysis experiment is implemented which depicts the importance ranking of data points.Furthermore,the pruning strategy of removing two samples in the decremental learning procedure is designed to accelerate the training speed and ensure the sparsity.The removed data points are utilized to test the temporary learning model which ensures the regression accuracy.Finally,the proposed algorithm is verified on artificial datasets and UCI regression datasets,and experimental results indicate that,compared with several benchmark algorithms,the GRPR-AP-LSSVR algorithm has excellent sparsity and prediction speed without impairing the generalization performance. 展开更多
关键词 least square support vector regression(LSSVR) global representative point ranking(GRPR) initial training dataset pruning strategy SPARSITY regression accuracy
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Improved IMM algorithm based on support vector regression for UAV tracking 被引量:4
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作者 ZENG Yuan LU Wenbin +3 位作者 YU Bo TAO Shifei ZHOU Haosu CHEN Yu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第4期867-876,共10页
With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirement... With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable. 展开更多
关键词 interacting multiple model(IMM)filter constant acceleration(CA) unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) support vector regression(SVR)
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Support vector regression-based operational effectiveness evaluation approach to reconnaissance satellite system 被引量:2
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作者 HAN Chi XIONG Wei +1 位作者 XIONG Minghui LIU Zhen 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第6期1626-1644,共19页
As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonl... As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation. 展开更多
关键词 reconnaissance satellite system(RSS) support vector regression(SVR) gray wolf optimizer opposition-based learning parameter optimization effectiveness evaluation
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A Support Vector Regression Approach for Recursive Simultaneous Data Reconciliation and Gross Error Detection in Nonlinear Dynamical Systems 被引量:3
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作者 MIAO Yu SU Hong-Ye CHU Jian 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2009年第6期707-716,共10页
关键词 数据分析 自动化系统 智能系统 质量数据
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Support vector regression model for complex target RCS predicting
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作者 Wang Gu Chen Weishi Miao Jungang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第1期65-68,共4页
The electromagnetic scattering computation has developed rapidly for many years; some computing problems for complex and coated targets cannot be solved by using the existing theory and computing models. A computing m... The electromagnetic scattering computation has developed rapidly for many years; some computing problems for complex and coated targets cannot be solved by using the existing theory and computing models. A computing model based on data is established for making up the insufficiency of theoretic models. Based on the "support vector regression method", which is formulated on the principle of minimizing a structural risk, a data model to predicate the unknown radar cross section of some appointed targets is given. Comparison between the actual data and the results of this predicting model based on support vector regression method proved that the support vector regression method is workable and with a comparative precision. 展开更多
关键词 radar cross section complex target coated target support vector regression.
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Improved scheme to accelerate sparse least squares support vector regression
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作者 Yongping Zhao Jianguo Sun 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2010年第2期312-317,共6页
The pruning algorithms for sparse least squares support vector regression machine are common methods, and easily com- prehensible, but the computational burden in the training phase is heavy due to the retraining in p... The pruning algorithms for sparse least squares support vector regression machine are common methods, and easily com- prehensible, but the computational burden in the training phase is heavy due to the retraining in performing the pruning process, which is not favorable for their applications. To this end, an im- proved scheme is proposed to accelerate sparse least squares support vector regression machine. A major advantage of this new scheme is based on the iterative methodology, which uses the previous training results instead of retraining, and its feasibility is strictly verified theoretically. Finally, experiments on bench- mark data sets corroborate a significant saving of the training time with the same number of support vectors and predictive accuracy compared with the original pruning algorithms, and this speedup scheme is also extended to classification problem. 展开更多
关键词 least squares support vector regression machine pruning algorithm iterative methodology classification.
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On-line forecasting model for zinc output based on self-tuning support vector regression and its application
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作者 胡志坤 桂卫华 彭小奇 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 2004年第4期461-464,共4页
An on-line forecasting model based on self-tuning support vectors regression for zinc output was put forward to maximize zinc output by adjusting operational parameters in the process of imperial smelting furnace. In ... An on-line forecasting model based on self-tuning support vectors regression for zinc output was put forward to maximize zinc output by adjusting operational parameters in the process of imperial smelting furnace. In this model, the mathematical model of support vector regression was converted into the same format as support vector machine for classification. Then a simplified sequential minimal optimization for classification was applied to train the regression coefficient vector α- α* and threshold b. Sequentially penalty parameter C was tuned dynamically through forecasting result during the training process. Finally, an on-line forecasting algorithm for zinc output was proposed. The simulation result shows that in spite of a relatively small industrial data set, the effective error is less than 10% with a remarkable performance of real time. The model was applied to the optimization operation and fault diagnosis system for imperial smelting furnace. 展开更多
关键词 imperial smelting furnace support vectors regression sequential minimal optimization zinc output on-line forecasting
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A Nu-support Vector Regression Based System for Grid Resource Monitoring and Prediction
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作者 HU Liang CHE Xi-Long 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2010年第1期139-146,共8页
关键词 智能调度系统 建模方法 网格资源 计算方法
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基于PSO−SVR的掘进工作面风温预测 被引量:1
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作者 李延河 万志军 +6 位作者 于振子 苟红 赵万里 周嘉乐 师鹏 甄正 张源 《煤炭科学技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期183-191,共9页
随着我国浅部煤炭资源的逐渐枯竭,矿井开采深度日益增大,热害问题也随之加剧。采掘作业空间是井下的主要热害场所,对其进行热害防治是矿井安全高效生产的重要基础。矿井热害治理的前提是明确其冷负荷,因此对采掘作业空间风温进行精准预... 随着我国浅部煤炭资源的逐渐枯竭,矿井开采深度日益增大,热害问题也随之加剧。采掘作业空间是井下的主要热害场所,对其进行热害防治是矿井安全高效生产的重要基础。矿井热害治理的前提是明确其冷负荷,因此对采掘作业空间风温进行精准预测意义重大。建立了基于PSO-SVR(基于粒子群的支持向量回归)的掘进工作面风温预测模型,利用模型中的惩罚因子C和核函数参数g对模型进行了寻优。通过现场实测及文献调研,建立了掘进工作面风温预测训练样本集。通过与最小二乘法估计MLR模型和经“试错法”标定参数的常规SVR模型进行对比,分析了PSO-SVR算法的优势。将PSO-SVR算法模型应用于平煤十矿己-24120保护层风巷风温预测,并依据风温预测结果,指导了制冷机组的选型和降温方案设计。结果表明:PSO-SVR模型预测性能最优,模型绝对误差百分比仅为1.85%,较常规SVR模型减小了55.9%,可见PSO优化模型参数对于提高SVR拟合度、泛化性及预测精度具有重要作用。巷道每掘进100m,工作面风流平均温升0.16℃,掘进至2000m时巷道迎头风温升至35.8℃。己-24120保护层风巷需冷量为1083.28kW,设计制冷机组总制冷量为1085 kW。己-24120保护层风巷实施降温后,工作面平均温降8.6℃,降温效果显著,表明了PSO-SVR掘进工作面风温预测模型的可靠性和可行性。 展开更多
关键词 掘进工作面 风温预测 粒子群 支持向量回归 矿井降温
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基于机器学习的30%TBP/煤油-硝酸体系中主要组分的分配比预测研究 被引量:1
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作者 于婷 张音音 +6 位作者 张睿志 金文蕾 罗应婷 朱升峰 何辉 叶国安 龚禾林 《原子能科学技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期14-23,共10页
为最优化后处理过程的实验条件、优化工艺、降低实验成本和时间,并提高后处理流程数学模拟的准确性,本文基于随机森林、支持向量回归和K近邻这3种经典的机器学习算法建立了30%TBP/煤油-硝酸体系中主要组分铀、钚、硝酸的分配比数学模型... 为最优化后处理过程的实验条件、优化工艺、降低实验成本和时间,并提高后处理流程数学模拟的准确性,本文基于随机森林、支持向量回归和K近邻这3种经典的机器学习算法建立了30%TBP/煤油-硝酸体系中主要组分铀、钚、硝酸的分配比数学模型,并基于不同数据集进行了超参数优化和模型训练。通过对模型进行验证和测试,发现采用随机森林算法建立的分配比模型准确度最高,其对铀预测的平均绝对相对误差达7.73%,较传统方法提高了约7%。与传统建模方法相比,机器学习方法建立模型的准确度更高。 展开更多
关键词 分配比数学模型 随机森林 支持向量回归 K近邻
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深埋长大隧道地温预测的机器学习算法对比研究 被引量:1
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作者 周权 罗锋 +1 位作者 柴波 周爱国 《安全与环境工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期137-147,共11页
地热对隧道施工、工程结构及运营安全等均有较大的危害,随着我国基础设施建设布局西移,隧道建设的地质条件愈发复杂,隧道埋深和长度不断增加,隧道施工期高温热害问题频发。针对传统地温预测方法中预测精度不高、数据运用不充分,单一机... 地热对隧道施工、工程结构及运营安全等均有较大的危害,随着我国基础设施建设布局西移,隧道建设的地质条件愈发复杂,隧道埋深和长度不断增加,隧道施工期高温热害问题频发。针对传统地温预测方法中预测精度不高、数据运用不充分,单一机器学习模型解译性差等问题,以A隧道为研究对象,将决策树(decision tree,DT)、支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)、随机森林(random forest,RF)进行耦合,提出了基于DT-SVM-RF模型的深埋长大隧道地温预测方法。在分析隧道综合测井、地应力及岩石热物理试验、航空物探数据后,选取深度、声波波速等10个影响因子作为模型的输入,采用随机交叉验证和空间交叉验证对模型的鲁棒性、泛化能力进行检验,构建LASSO回归、随机森林、互信息3种回归模型,分析10个影响因子的特征重要性排序。结果表明:在测试集上多元线性回归、支持向量机、人工神经网络和决策树-支持向量机-随机森林(decision tree-support vector machinerandom forest,DT-SVM-RF)模型决定系数(R^(2))分别为0.76、0.91、0.88、0.93,均方误差MSE分别为17.64、6.25、8.46、5.20,DT-SVM-RF模型具有相对更优的预测性能,深度、岩石导温系数、岩石导热系数、最大水平主应力特征较为重要,说明DT-SVM-RF模型能有效地提高地温预测的准确率。研究结果可为类似隧道地温预测提供一种精度更高的可行新思路。 展开更多
关键词 隧道热害 隧道安全 多元线性回归 支持向量机(SVM) 随机森林(RF) 人工神经网络(ANN) 特征选择
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航空高光谱图像的湖泊富营养化评价方法
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作者 黄岩 方彦奇 +5 位作者 徐明钻 石剑龙 杨奎 祁超 梁森 季岩 《红外与激光工程》 北大核心 2025年第5期84-91,共8页
针对目前湖泊水体富营养化评价中水质参数定量反演困难、数据多以地面或低空间分辨率数据为主的现状,采用0.5 m空间分辨率的航空高光谱遥感数据,结合地面实测数据开展水质参数定量反演研究,并基于反演结果进行湖泊水体富营养化评价。首... 针对目前湖泊水体富营养化评价中水质参数定量反演困难、数据多以地面或低空间分辨率数据为主的现状,采用0.5 m空间分辨率的航空高光谱遥感数据,结合地面实测数据开展水质参数定量反演研究,并基于反演结果进行湖泊水体富营养化评价。首先,对预处理后的水体表面离水反射率进行4种数学变换并与水质参数进行相关性分析,选择相关性较高的一阶微分,使用竞争性自适应重加权算法进行特征提取。然后采用基于量子粒子群(QPSO)参数优化的最小二乘支持向量回归(LSSVR)算法进行水质参数反演模型的构建,使用决定系数(R^(2))和均方根误差评价模型精度,并进行对比分析。最后进行综合营养状态指数计算,与实测值进行比较分析,并基于航空高光谱数据开展研究区湖泊水体富营养化评价。结果表明:1)基于QPSO-LSSVR方法的水质参数反演模型精度最高(R^(2)>0.8);2)综合营养指数结果准确,反演值与实测值的平均相对误差为0.91%,均方根误差为0.50;3)研究区水体富营养化评价结果空间分辨率高,能从面上精确、细致地反应湖水营养状态分布情况。该方法实现了水体富营养化的高精度快速评价。 展开更多
关键词 航空高光谱图像 湖泊富营养化 最小二乘支持向量回归 综合营养状态指数法
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基于线性回归和灰狼优化的电力工程成本及工期预测方法
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作者 徐宁 李维嘉 +2 位作者 洪崇 刘云 周波 《沈阳工业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期295-301,共7页
【目的】电力工程项目通常具有成本高和工期长的特点,且施工过程中受到多种因素的影响,如气候条件、原材料成本等。传统的成本和工期预测主要依赖经验,容易导致成本估算不足或冗余,进而造成工期延误或资源浪费。随着机器学习技术的快速... 【目的】电力工程项目通常具有成本高和工期长的特点,且施工过程中受到多种因素的影响,如气候条件、原材料成本等。传统的成本和工期预测主要依赖经验,容易导致成本估算不足或冗余,进而造成工期延误或资源浪费。随着机器学习技术的快速发展,基于数据驱动的方法被引入成本和工期预测中,但由于电力工程领域的数据集规模较小,传统机器学习模型易出现过拟合问题,预测性能受限。基于该背景提出了一种结合支持向量回归(SVR)、分类与回归决策树(CART)、多变量线性回归模型(MLR)和灰狼优化算法(GWO)的混合模型,通过改进更新策略和参数搜索方法,以提升模型在小数据集上的预测精度和泛化能力。【方法】方案结合机器学习模型和改进的灰狼优化算法,搭建了一个高效的电力工程成本和工期预测框架。采用支持向量回归、分类与回归决策树和多变量线性回归模型作为基线机器学习方法,并利用灰狼优化算法对上述模型的参数进行搜索以防止过拟合,同时提出两项改进措施:采用混沌序列初始化狼群位置,确保种群多样性;优化灰狼位置的更新策略,通过周围群体信息共享提升搜索能力。【结果】实验结果表明,与传统方法相比,所提出的混合模型在成本和工期预测上具有较明显的优势。在训练和测试集上的性能结果对比显示,传统机器学习模型容易产生过拟合问题,导致泛化能力不足,而结合GWO的模型改善了该问题。其中,MLR+GWO混合模型在训练集和测试集上的表现均优于其他模型。进一步实验结果表明,通过改进灰狼优化算法(iGWO),混合模型的收敛速度显著加快,仅需6~8次迭代即可达到较优的适应度,而传统GWO算法需迭代11~12次才能达到类似效果。此外,改进算法有效避免了传统GWO算法容易陷入局部最优的问题。【结论】所提出基于线性回归和改进灰狼优化算法的混合模型在电力工程成本和工期预测领域展现出较为明显的性能优势。改进的灰狼优化算法通过优化初始化序列及更新策略,提升了算法的全局搜索能力和收敛速度。提出的混合模型泛化性能优于传统的机器学习模型,与传统方法相比,该方法在预测精度和训练效率方面均表现良好。 展开更多
关键词 电力工程 成本预测 工期预测 支持向量回归 决策树 线性回归 灰狼优化算法 混沌序列
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