In order to solve existing problems about the method of establishing traditional system structure of decision support system(DSS), O S chart is applied to describe object oriented system structure of general DSS, an...In order to solve existing problems about the method of establishing traditional system structure of decision support system(DSS), O S chart is applied to describe object oriented system structure of general DSS, and a new method of eight specific steps is proposed to establish object oriented system structure of DSS by using the method of O S chart, which is applied successfully to the development of the DSS for the energy system ecology engineering research of the Wangheqiu country. Supplying many scientific effective computing models, decision support ways and a lot of accurate reliable decision data, the DSS plays a critical part in helping engineering researchers to make correct decisions. Because the period for developing the DSS is relatively shorter, the new way improves the efficiency of establishing DSS greatly. It also makes the DSS of system structure more flexible and easy to expand.展开更多
An expert decision support system (EDSS) for multi-bins balance and contro1 of orequality in production ore bins of some large-scale open pit iron mine in China has been developed byexpert svitem tool software VP-EXPE...An expert decision support system (EDSS) for multi-bins balance and contro1 of orequality in production ore bins of some large-scale open pit iron mine in China has been developed byexpert svitem tool software VP-EXPERT and integration software LOTUS 1-2-3 in this paper. Itis known by practicing that a medium-scale EDSS constructed on microcomputer is completcly, feaasible by means of VP-EXEPERT to construct knowledge base system (KBS), LOTUS 1-2-3 tomake decision support system (DSS) and link them with BAT.展开更多
Forest ecosystems are our priceless natural resource and are a key component of the global carbon budget. Forest fires can be a hazard to the viability and sustainable management of forests with consequences for natur...Forest ecosystems are our priceless natural resource and are a key component of the global carbon budget. Forest fires can be a hazard to the viability and sustainable management of forests with consequences for natural and cultural environments, economies, and the life quality of local and regional populations. Thus, the selection of strategies to manage forest fires, while considering both functional and economic efficiency, is of primary importance. The use of decision support systems(DSSs) by managers of forest fires has rapidly increased. This has strengthened capacity to prevent and suppress forest fires while protecting human lives and property. DSSs are a tool that can benefit incident management and decision making and policy, especially for emergencies such as natural disasters. In this study we reviewed state-of-the-art DSSs that use: database management systems and mathematical/economic algorithms for spatial optimization of firefighting forces; forest fire simulators and satellite technology for immediate detection and prediction of evolution of forest fires; GIS platforms that incorporate several tools to manipulate, process and analyze geographic data and develop strategic and operational plans.展开更多
Attention is concentrated on how to perform the innovative design during the process of pumping unit conceptual design, and how to enhance design efficiency and inspire creativity. Aiming at the shortages of conceptua...Attention is concentrated on how to perform the innovative design during the process of pumping unit conceptual design, and how to enhance design efficiency and inspire creativity. Aiming at the shortages of conceptual design, introducing the theory of inventive problem solving （TRIZ） into the mechanical product design for producing innovative ideas, and using the advanced computer-aided technique, the intelligent decision support system （IDSS） based on TRIZ （TRIZ-IDSS） has been constructed. The construction method, system structure, conceptual production, decisionmaking and evaluation of the problem solving subsystem are discussed. The innovative conceptual design of pumping units indicates that the system can help the engineers open up a new space of thinking, overcome the thinking inertia, and put forward innovative design concepts. This system also can offer the scientific instructions for the innovative design of mechanical products.展开更多
Tourism is rapidly becoming a sustainable pathway toward economic prosperity for host countries and communities. Recent advances in information and communications technology, the smartphone, the Internet and Wi-Fi hav...Tourism is rapidly becoming a sustainable pathway toward economic prosperity for host countries and communities. Recent advances in information and communications technology, the smartphone, the Internet and Wi-Fi have given a boost to the tourism industry. The city bus tour （CBT） service is one of the most successful businesses in the tourism industry. However, there exists no smart decision support system determining the most efficient way to plan the itinerary of a CBT. In this research, we report on the ongoing development of a mobile application （app） and a website for tourists, hoteliers and travel agents to connect with city bus operators and book/purchase the best CBT both in terms of cost and time. Firstly, the CBT problem is formulated as an asymmetric sequential three-stage arc routing problem. All places of interest （PoI） and pickup/dropout points are identified with arcs of the network （instead of nodes）, each of which can be visited at least once （instead of exactly once）. Secondly, the resulting pure integer programming （IP） problem is solved using a leading optimization soft- ware known as General Algebraic Modeling System （GAMS）. The GAMS code developed for this project returns： （1） the exact optimal solution identifying the footprints of the city bus relative to all the arcs forming the minimal cost network; （2） the augmenting paths corre- sponding to the pickup stage, the PoI visiting stage and the drop-off stage. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the mobile app/website via a pilot study in the city of Melbourne （Australia）. All the computations relative to the initial tests show that the ability of the app to answer users＇ inquiries in a fraction of a minute.展开更多
Multiple objects decision is used widely in many complex fields. In this paper an idea is provided to construct a train diagram intelligent multiple objects decision support system (TDIMODSS). And the reference point ...Multiple objects decision is used widely in many complex fields. In this paper an idea is provided to construct a train diagram intelligent multiple objects decision support system (TDIMODSS). And the reference point method is used to solve the complicated and large scale problems of making and adjusting train schedule. This paper focuses on the principle and framework of the model base, knowledge base of train diagram. It is shown that the TDIMODSS can solve the problems and their uncertainty in making train diagram, and can combine the expert knowledge, experience and judgement of a decision maker into the system. In addition to that, a friendly working environment is also presented, which brings together the human judgement, the adaptability to environment and the computerised information.展开更多
Demarcating distribution area of goods is often guided by the rule of thumb by business proprietors. However, this method seems to be unsuitable when the demand points increase to a certain large extent. The present w...Demarcating distribution area of goods is often guided by the rule of thumb by business proprietors. However, this method seems to be unsuitable when the demand points increase to a certain large extent. The present work attempted to convert the problem of distribution area demarcation into a localized problem of warehouseing and networking, and tried to establish district-based planning mode based on location based heuristic (LBH). Two methods were used in this study: 1) the manual method to construct the mathematical model and conduct simulation; 2) the automatic method using TransCAD software of geographical information system (GIS) for simulation. By comparing the effects of the two methods, the research provides theoretical support for business proprietors to demarcate the distribution area rationally with the application of GIS system. The results show that GIS has very good graphics construction function to replace complex text, and the automatic demarcating mode with human-machine interaction provides a good business decision-making support.展开更多
Objective:To expound geographical information system (GIS) technology is a very important tool when it was employed to assist to present the distribution by time and place and the model of transmission of infectious d...Objective:To expound geographical information system (GIS) technology is a very important tool when it was employed to assist to present the distribution by time and place and the model of transmission of infectious disease. Methods: We illustrated the assistant decision-making support function of GIS with an example of the spatial decision support system for SARS controlling in Shaanxi province of China which was developed by us. Results: The spatial decision support system established by applying GIS technology fulfilled the needs of real-time collection and management and dissemination SARS information and of surveillance and analysis the epidemic situation of SARS. Conclusion: Occurrence and epidemic of diseases, implement prevention and intervention measures and collocation hygienic resources are all with the characteristic of the variation of time and space, therefore, GIS technology has become a powerful tool for identifying risk factors of diseases, providing clues of causation of diseases , evaluating the effects of intervention measures and drawing a health management plan.展开更多
Restoring degraded forests and agricultural lands has become a global conservation priority. A growing number of tools can quantify ecosystem service tradeoffs associated with forest restoration. This evolving ＂tools...Restoring degraded forests and agricultural lands has become a global conservation priority. A growing number of tools can quantify ecosystem service tradeoffs associated with forest restoration. This evolving ＂tools landscape＂ presents a dilemma： more tools are available, but selecting appropriate tools has become more challenging. We present a Restoration Ecosystem Service Tool Selector （RESTS） framework that describes key characteristics of 13 ecosystem service assessment tools. Analysts enter information about their decision context, services to be analyzed, and desired outputs. Tools are filtered and presented based on five evaluative criteria： scalability, cost, time requirements, handling of uncertainty, and applicability to benefit-cost analysis. RESTS uses a spreadsheet interface but a web-based interface is planned. Given the rapid evolution of ecosystem services science, RESTS provides an adaptable framework to guide forest restoration decision makers toward tools that can help quantify ecosystem services in support of restoration.展开更多
BACKGROUND:Rapid and accurate identification of high-risk patients in the emergency departments(EDs)is crucial for optimizing resource allocation and improving patient outcomes.This study aimed to develop an early pre...BACKGROUND:Rapid and accurate identification of high-risk patients in the emergency departments(EDs)is crucial for optimizing resource allocation and improving patient outcomes.This study aimed to develop an early prediction model for identifying high-risk patients in EDs using initial vital sign measurements.METHODS:This retrospective cohort study analyzed initial vital signs from the Chinese Emergency Triage,Assessment,and Treatment(CETAT)database,which was collected between January 1^(st),2020,and June 25^(th),2023.The primary outcome was the identification of high-risk patients needing immediate treatment.Various machine learning methods,including a deep-learningbased multilayer perceptron(MLP)classifier were evaluated.Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC-ROC).AUC-ROC values were reported for three scenarios:a default case,a scenario requiring sensitivity greater than 0.8(Scenario I),and a scenario requiring specificity greater than 0.8(Scenario II).SHAP values were calculated to determine the importance of each predictor within the MLP model.RESULTS:A total of 38,797 patients were analyzed,of whom 18.2%were identified as high-risk.Comparative analysis of the predictive models for high-risk patients showed AUC-ROC values ranging from 0.717 to 0.738,with the MLP model outperforming logistic regression(LR),Gaussian Naive Bayes(GNB),and the National Early Warning Score(NEWS).SHAP value analysis identified coma state,peripheral capillary oxygen saturation(SpO_(2)),and systolic blood pressure as the top three predictive factors in the MLP model,with coma state exerting the most contribution.CONCLUSION:Compared with other methods,the MLP model with initial vital signs demonstrated optimal prediction accuracy,highlighting its potential to enhance clinical decision-making in triage in the EDs.展开更多
A general multi-agent architecture is proposed for intelligent decision support system (MAIDSS). The agent in MAIDSS is built based on an extension of BDI framework. Several agents form a team working together on a de...A general multi-agent architecture is proposed for intelligent decision support system (MAIDSS). The agent in MAIDSS is built based on an extension of BDI framework. Several agents form a team working together on a decision problem; several agent teams are defined to stand for the benefits of different people in the real world. The decision making process is based on multi-agent cooperation, and a logical framework for a team of agents cooperating to create the solution for the decision problem is discussed in detail.展开更多
A new meta-heuristic approach is proposed in this paper based on a new composite dispatching rule to tackle the aircraft landing problem(ALP).First,the ALP is modeled as a machine scheduling problem with the objective...A new meta-heuristic approach is proposed in this paper based on a new composite dispatching rule to tackle the aircraft landing problem(ALP).First,the ALP is modeled as a machine scheduling problem with the objective of minimizing the total penalty,i.e.,total weighted earliness plus total weighted tardiness.Second,a composite dispatching rule,minimized penalty with due dates and set-ups(MPDS),is presented to determine the landing sequence.Then,an efficient heuristic approach is proposed to solve the problem by integrating the MPDS rule and CPLEX solver.In the first stage,the landing sequence is established based on the proposed MPDS rule.In the second stage,landing time is optimized using CPLEX solver.Next,a new meta-heuristic strategy is introduced into the heuristic approach by conducting the local search from the potential landing sequences,which are generated by the proposed MPDS rule.Finally,the performance of the proposed approach is evaluated using a set of benchmark instances taken from the OR library.The results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approaches.展开更多
The rapid development of the social economy strongly promotes the urbanization and motorization.Meanwhile,parking problems become serious due to the long-term imbalance between parking demands and facility constructio...The rapid development of the social economy strongly promotes the urbanization and motorization.Meanwhile,parking problems become serious due to the long-term imbalance between parking demands and facility constructions.Thus there is an increasing urgency in finding solutions for parking problems.Based on the methodology framework of geographic information system（GIS）,the metropolis parking problems are discussed in this paper.The characteristics of parking demand and the reasons for parking problems are investigated in detail.Then,the basic parking principle and strategies for solving parking problems are suggested with the example of Beijing.The results are hoped to improve the parking environment in metropolis.展开更多
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment（VA） tools for forest ecosystems and forest-dependent communities are important for making decisions and understanding the impact of climate change on both social and natural s...Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment（VA） tools for forest ecosystems and forest-dependent communities are important for making decisions and understanding the impact of climate change on both social and natural systems.However,the tools are poorly coordinated,making it difficult for policymakers to carry out VAs properly.The aim of this study was to analyze VA literature worldwide to find representative case studies in terms of methods and tools applied and which have been successful in performing VAs on forests and forest-dependent communities.All successful VA studies analyzed had common characteristics such as significant funding,data availability and technical capacity.An additional characteristic was the development of an integrated approach that considered the vulnerability of both ecosystems and communities by combining qualitative and quantitative methods.Community members and relevant stakeholders were significantly involved in a participatory process that concluded with the identification of adaptation measures.The case studies also revealed how policymakers need to choose suitable methods and tools to undertake efficient assessment of vulnerabilities.They need to consider several aspects of the VA process such as subject matter,availability of resources,time and scale.展开更多
A data-driven method for arrival pattern recognition and prediction is proposed to provide air traffic controllers(ATCOs)with decision support. For arrival pattern recognition,a clustering-based method is proposed to ...A data-driven method for arrival pattern recognition and prediction is proposed to provide air traffic controllers(ATCOs)with decision support. For arrival pattern recognition,a clustering-based method is proposed to cluster arrival patterns by control intentions. For arrival pattern prediction,two predictors are trained to estimate the most possible command issued by the ATCOs in a particular traffic situation. Training the arrival pattern predictor could be regarded as building an ATCOs simulator. The simulator can assign an appropriate arrival pattern for each arrival aircraft,just like real ATCOs do. Therefore,the simulator is considered to be able to provide effective advice for part of the work of ATCOs. Finally,a case study is carried out and demonstrates that the convolutional neural network(CNN)-based predictor performs better than the radom forest(RF)-based one.展开更多
During architectural conception phase,building maintenance problematic is mostly a result of the unintentional use of preconceived architectonical solutions rather than a consequence of a specific influence of mainten...During architectural conception phase,building maintenance problematic is mostly a result of the unintentional use of preconceived architectonical solutions rather than a consequence of a specific influence of maintenance requirements.Hardly the architect in the act of design understands the importance of these solutions in the service life span of a building.Being aware of this,is it possible for the architect to be supplied with a decision support system that allows him to consider the implications of building maintenance since the early design phases? Having awareness of this problem and its consequences in the early design phases a research project was started at the Faculty Engineering of the University of Oporto(FEUP),under which the implications of building maintenance in the act of architectural design is studied.This article presents the methodology developed to identify the needs of maintenance of buildings based on a DSS-decision support system that provides simple tools the architect can use in design phase.This methodology is based on decomposition of building parts-Elements Source of Maintenance ESM-,and subsequently,a set of functional requirements that determine the performance regarding building maintenance on account of architectural decisions.Relevant maintenance actions are defined: Inspection,Pro-action,Cleaning,Correction,Replacement,Legal enforcement,Limits of use.One can thus set up a relationship between the act of design and its performance framework based on behavior,intervention and the ownership of the work of architecture.Using a Multicriteria Analysis(MCA) a qualitative evaluation of different options based on maintenance requirements accomplishment.Conclusions on the importance of architectural conception concerning the building maintenance were clearly arrived at and the utility of the developed decision support tool was also highlighted.展开更多
The sustainable use of renewable resources has become an important issue worldwide in the move towards a less fossil-fuel-intensive future.Mainstream method for fulfilling this aim is to increase the share of renewabl...The sustainable use of renewable resources has become an important issue worldwide in the move towards a less fossil-fuel-intensive future.Mainstream method for fulfilling this aim is to increase the share of renewable energy and materials to substitute fossil fuels and to become fully independent from fossil fuels over the long-term.However, the environmental sustainability of this endeavor has been questioned.In addition,economic and social sustainability issues are also much debated topics in this particular context.Forest resources are often thought to contribute partially to achieving a so-called ＂carbon-neutral society＂.In this review, we discuss sustainability issues of using forest biomass.We present several sustainability indicators for ecological,economic and social dimensions and discuss the issues in applying them in sustainability impact assessments（SIAs）.We also present a number of tools and methods previously used in conducting SIAs.We approach our study from the perspective of the Finnish forestry; in addition, various aspects regarding the application of SIAs in a broader context are also presented.One of the key conclusions of the study is that although sufficient data are available to measure many indicators accurately, the impacts may be very difficult to assess（e.g.impact of greenhouse gases on biodiversity） for conducting a holistic SIA.Furthermore, some indicators, such as ＂biodiversity＂, are difficult to quantify in the first place.Therefore, a mix of different methods, such as Multi-criteria Assessment, Life-cycle Assessment or Cost-Benefit Analysis, as well as different approaches（e.g.thresholds and strong/weak sustainability） are needed in aggregating the results of the impacts.SIAs are important in supporting and improving the acceptability of decision-making, but a certain degree of uncertainty will always have to be tolerated.展开更多
文摘In order to solve existing problems about the method of establishing traditional system structure of decision support system(DSS), O S chart is applied to describe object oriented system structure of general DSS, and a new method of eight specific steps is proposed to establish object oriented system structure of DSS by using the method of O S chart, which is applied successfully to the development of the DSS for the energy system ecology engineering research of the Wangheqiu country. Supplying many scientific effective computing models, decision support ways and a lot of accurate reliable decision data, the DSS plays a critical part in helping engineering researchers to make correct decisions. Because the period for developing the DSS is relatively shorter, the new way improves the efficiency of establishing DSS greatly. It also makes the DSS of system structure more flexible and easy to expand.
文摘An expert decision support system (EDSS) for multi-bins balance and contro1 of orequality in production ore bins of some large-scale open pit iron mine in China has been developed byexpert svitem tool software VP-EXPERT and integration software LOTUS 1-2-3 in this paper. Itis known by practicing that a medium-scale EDSS constructed on microcomputer is completcly, feaasible by means of VP-EXEPERT to construct knowledge base system (KBS), LOTUS 1-2-3 tomake decision support system (DSS) and link them with BAT.
基金co-financed by the European Union(European Social Fund-ESF)and Greek national funds through the Operational Program‘‘Education and Lifelong Learning’’of the National Strategic Reference Framework(NSRF)-Research Funding Program:Thales.Investing in knowledge society through the European Social Fund
文摘Forest ecosystems are our priceless natural resource and are a key component of the global carbon budget. Forest fires can be a hazard to the viability and sustainable management of forests with consequences for natural and cultural environments, economies, and the life quality of local and regional populations. Thus, the selection of strategies to manage forest fires, while considering both functional and economic efficiency, is of primary importance. The use of decision support systems(DSSs) by managers of forest fires has rapidly increased. This has strengthened capacity to prevent and suppress forest fires while protecting human lives and property. DSSs are a tool that can benefit incident management and decision making and policy, especially for emergencies such as natural disasters. In this study we reviewed state-of-the-art DSSs that use: database management systems and mathematical/economic algorithms for spatial optimization of firefighting forces; forest fire simulators and satellite technology for immediate detection and prediction of evolution of forest fires; GIS platforms that incorporate several tools to manipulate, process and analyze geographic data and develop strategic and operational plans.
文摘Attention is concentrated on how to perform the innovative design during the process of pumping unit conceptual design, and how to enhance design efficiency and inspire creativity. Aiming at the shortages of conceptual design, introducing the theory of inventive problem solving （TRIZ） into the mechanical product design for producing innovative ideas, and using the advanced computer-aided technique, the intelligent decision support system （IDSS） based on TRIZ （TRIZ-IDSS） has been constructed. The construction method, system structure, conceptual production, decisionmaking and evaluation of the problem solving subsystem are discussed. The innovative conceptual design of pumping units indicates that the system can help the engineers open up a new space of thinking, overcome the thinking inertia, and put forward innovative design concepts. This system also can offer the scientific instructions for the innovative design of mechanical products.
文摘Tourism is rapidly becoming a sustainable pathway toward economic prosperity for host countries and communities. Recent advances in information and communications technology, the smartphone, the Internet and Wi-Fi have given a boost to the tourism industry. The city bus tour （CBT） service is one of the most successful businesses in the tourism industry. However, there exists no smart decision support system determining the most efficient way to plan the itinerary of a CBT. In this research, we report on the ongoing development of a mobile application （app） and a website for tourists, hoteliers and travel agents to connect with city bus operators and book/purchase the best CBT both in terms of cost and time. Firstly, the CBT problem is formulated as an asymmetric sequential three-stage arc routing problem. All places of interest （PoI） and pickup/dropout points are identified with arcs of the network （instead of nodes）, each of which can be visited at least once （instead of exactly once）. Secondly, the resulting pure integer programming （IP） problem is solved using a leading optimization soft- ware known as General Algebraic Modeling System （GAMS）. The GAMS code developed for this project returns： （1） the exact optimal solution identifying the footprints of the city bus relative to all the arcs forming the minimal cost network; （2） the augmenting paths corre- sponding to the pickup stage, the PoI visiting stage and the drop-off stage. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the mobile app/website via a pilot study in the city of Melbourne （Australia）. All the computations relative to the initial tests show that the ability of the app to answer users＇ inquiries in a fraction of a minute.
文摘Multiple objects decision is used widely in many complex fields. In this paper an idea is provided to construct a train diagram intelligent multiple objects decision support system (TDIMODSS). And the reference point method is used to solve the complicated and large scale problems of making and adjusting train schedule. This paper focuses on the principle and framework of the model base, knowledge base of train diagram. It is shown that the TDIMODSS can solve the problems and their uncertainty in making train diagram, and can combine the expert knowledge, experience and judgement of a decision maker into the system. In addition to that, a friendly working environment is also presented, which brings together the human judgement, the adaptability to environment and the computerised information.
基金Funded by Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province of China (No. Y6090417)Social Sciences Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China (No. 09YJA630143)
文摘Demarcating distribution area of goods is often guided by the rule of thumb by business proprietors. However, this method seems to be unsuitable when the demand points increase to a certain large extent. The present work attempted to convert the problem of distribution area demarcation into a localized problem of warehouseing and networking, and tried to establish district-based planning mode based on location based heuristic (LBH). Two methods were used in this study: 1) the manual method to construct the mathematical model and conduct simulation; 2) the automatic method using TransCAD software of geographical information system (GIS) for simulation. By comparing the effects of the two methods, the research provides theoretical support for business proprietors to demarcate the distribution area rationally with the application of GIS system. The results show that GIS has very good graphics construction function to replace complex text, and the automatic demarcating mode with human-machine interaction provides a good business decision-making support.
基金Supported by the Sci & Tech Development Foundation of Shaanxi province(2003K10G61)
文摘Objective:To expound geographical information system (GIS) technology is a very important tool when it was employed to assist to present the distribution by time and place and the model of transmission of infectious disease. Methods: We illustrated the assistant decision-making support function of GIS with an example of the spatial decision support system for SARS controlling in Shaanxi province of China which was developed by us. Results: The spatial decision support system established by applying GIS technology fulfilled the needs of real-time collection and management and dissemination SARS information and of surveillance and analysis the epidemic situation of SARS. Conclusion: Occurrence and epidemic of diseases, implement prevention and intervention measures and collocation hygienic resources are all with the characteristic of the variation of time and space, therefore, GIS technology has become a powerful tool for identifying risk factors of diseases, providing clues of causation of diseases , evaluating the effects of intervention measures and drawing a health management plan.
文摘Restoring degraded forests and agricultural lands has become a global conservation priority. A growing number of tools can quantify ecosystem service tradeoffs associated with forest restoration. This evolving ＂tools landscape＂ presents a dilemma： more tools are available, but selecting appropriate tools has become more challenging. We present a Restoration Ecosystem Service Tool Selector （RESTS） framework that describes key characteristics of 13 ecosystem service assessment tools. Analysts enter information about their decision context, services to be analyzed, and desired outputs. Tools are filtered and presented based on five evaluative criteria： scalability, cost, time requirements, handling of uncertainty, and applicability to benefit-cost analysis. RESTS uses a spreadsheet interface but a web-based interface is planned. Given the rapid evolution of ecosystem services science, RESTS provides an adaptable framework to guide forest restoration decision makers toward tools that can help quantify ecosystem services in support of restoration.
基金Applicable Funding Source University of Science and Technology of China(to YLL)National Natural Science Foundation of China(12126604)(to MPZ)+1 种基金R&D project of Pazhou Lab(Huangpu)(2023K0609)(to MPZ)Anhui Provincial Natural Science(grant number 2208085MH235)(to KJ)。
文摘BACKGROUND:Rapid and accurate identification of high-risk patients in the emergency departments(EDs)is crucial for optimizing resource allocation and improving patient outcomes.This study aimed to develop an early prediction model for identifying high-risk patients in EDs using initial vital sign measurements.METHODS:This retrospective cohort study analyzed initial vital signs from the Chinese Emergency Triage,Assessment,and Treatment(CETAT)database,which was collected between January 1^(st),2020,and June 25^(th),2023.The primary outcome was the identification of high-risk patients needing immediate treatment.Various machine learning methods,including a deep-learningbased multilayer perceptron(MLP)classifier were evaluated.Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC-ROC).AUC-ROC values were reported for three scenarios:a default case,a scenario requiring sensitivity greater than 0.8(Scenario I),and a scenario requiring specificity greater than 0.8(Scenario II).SHAP values were calculated to determine the importance of each predictor within the MLP model.RESULTS:A total of 38,797 patients were analyzed,of whom 18.2%were identified as high-risk.Comparative analysis of the predictive models for high-risk patients showed AUC-ROC values ranging from 0.717 to 0.738,with the MLP model outperforming logistic regression(LR),Gaussian Naive Bayes(GNB),and the National Early Warning Score(NEWS).SHAP value analysis identified coma state,peripheral capillary oxygen saturation(SpO_(2)),and systolic blood pressure as the top three predictive factors in the MLP model,with coma state exerting the most contribution.CONCLUSION:Compared with other methods,the MLP model with initial vital signs demonstrated optimal prediction accuracy,highlighting its potential to enhance clinical decision-making in triage in the EDs.
文摘A general multi-agent architecture is proposed for intelligent decision support system (MAIDSS). The agent in MAIDSS is built based on an extension of BDI framework. Several agents form a team working together on a decision problem; several agent teams are defined to stand for the benefits of different people in the real world. The decision making process is based on multi-agent cooperation, and a logical framework for a team of agents cooperating to create the solution for the decision problem is discussed in detail.
基金This work was supported by the Joint Fund of National Natural Science Foundation of China and Civil Aviation Administration of China(No.U1933117)。
文摘A new meta-heuristic approach is proposed in this paper based on a new composite dispatching rule to tackle the aircraft landing problem(ALP).First,the ALP is modeled as a machine scheduling problem with the objective of minimizing the total penalty,i.e.,total weighted earliness plus total weighted tardiness.Second,a composite dispatching rule,minimized penalty with due dates and set-ups(MPDS),is presented to determine the landing sequence.Then,an efficient heuristic approach is proposed to solve the problem by integrating the MPDS rule and CPLEX solver.In the first stage,the landing sequence is established based on the proposed MPDS rule.In the second stage,landing time is optimized using CPLEX solver.Next,a new meta-heuristic strategy is introduced into the heuristic approach by conducting the local search from the potential landing sequences,which are generated by the proposed MPDS rule.Finally,the performance of the proposed approach is evaluated using a set of benchmark instances taken from the OR library.The results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approaches.
基金Supported by the Programme of Introducing Talents of Discipline to Universities(B12022)
文摘The rapid development of the social economy strongly promotes the urbanization and motorization.Meanwhile,parking problems become serious due to the long-term imbalance between parking demands and facility constructions.Thus there is an increasing urgency in finding solutions for parking problems.Based on the methodology framework of geographic information system（GIS）,the metropolis parking problems are discussed in this paper.The characteristics of parking demand and the reasons for parking problems are investigated in detail.Then,the basic parking principle and strategies for solving parking problems are suggested with the example of Beijing.The results are hoped to improve the parking environment in metropolis.
基金the FAO Forestry Department for the opportunity to conduct the research and for their support
文摘Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment（VA） tools for forest ecosystems and forest-dependent communities are important for making decisions and understanding the impact of climate change on both social and natural systems.However,the tools are poorly coordinated,making it difficult for policymakers to carry out VAs properly.The aim of this study was to analyze VA literature worldwide to find representative case studies in terms of methods and tools applied and which have been successful in performing VAs on forests and forest-dependent communities.All successful VA studies analyzed had common characteristics such as significant funding,data availability and technical capacity.An additional characteristic was the development of an integrated approach that considered the vulnerability of both ecosystems and communities by combining qualitative and quantitative methods.Community members and relevant stakeholders were significantly involved in a participatory process that concluded with the identification of adaptation measures.The case studies also revealed how policymakers need to choose suitable methods and tools to undertake efficient assessment of vulnerabilities.They need to consider several aspects of the VA process such as subject matter,availability of resources,time and scale.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. U1933117,61773202,52072174)。
文摘A data-driven method for arrival pattern recognition and prediction is proposed to provide air traffic controllers(ATCOs)with decision support. For arrival pattern recognition,a clustering-based method is proposed to cluster arrival patterns by control intentions. For arrival pattern prediction,two predictors are trained to estimate the most possible command issued by the ATCOs in a particular traffic situation. Training the arrival pattern predictor could be regarded as building an ATCOs simulator. The simulator can assign an appropriate arrival pattern for each arrival aircraft,just like real ATCOs do. Therefore,the simulator is considered to be able to provide effective advice for part of the work of ATCOs. Finally,a case study is carried out and demonstrates that the convolutional neural network(CNN)-based predictor performs better than the radom forest(RF)-based one.
文摘During architectural conception phase,building maintenance problematic is mostly a result of the unintentional use of preconceived architectonical solutions rather than a consequence of a specific influence of maintenance requirements.Hardly the architect in the act of design understands the importance of these solutions in the service life span of a building.Being aware of this,is it possible for the architect to be supplied with a decision support system that allows him to consider the implications of building maintenance since the early design phases? Having awareness of this problem and its consequences in the early design phases a research project was started at the Faculty Engineering of the University of Oporto(FEUP),under which the implications of building maintenance in the act of architectural design is studied.This article presents the methodology developed to identify the needs of maintenance of buildings based on a DSS-decision support system that provides simple tools the architect can use in design phase.This methodology is based on decomposition of building parts-Elements Source of Maintenance ESM-,and subsequently,a set of functional requirements that determine the performance regarding building maintenance on account of architectural decisions.Relevant maintenance actions are defined: Inspection,Pro-action,Cleaning,Correction,Replacement,Legal enforcement,Limits of use.One can thus set up a relationship between the act of design and its performance framework based on behavior,intervention and the ownership of the work of architecture.Using a Multicriteria Analysis(MCA) a qualitative evaluation of different options based on maintenance requirements accomplishment.Conclusions on the importance of architectural conception concerning the building maintenance were clearly arrived at and the utility of the developed decision support tool was also highlighted.
基金supported by the research project“Sustainable,climate-neutral and resource-efficient forest-based bioeconomy”funded by the Strategic Research Council at the Academy of Finland(Council(Decision No.293380)
文摘The sustainable use of renewable resources has become an important issue worldwide in the move towards a less fossil-fuel-intensive future.Mainstream method for fulfilling this aim is to increase the share of renewable energy and materials to substitute fossil fuels and to become fully independent from fossil fuels over the long-term.However, the environmental sustainability of this endeavor has been questioned.In addition,economic and social sustainability issues are also much debated topics in this particular context.Forest resources are often thought to contribute partially to achieving a so-called ＂carbon-neutral society＂.In this review, we discuss sustainability issues of using forest biomass.We present several sustainability indicators for ecological,economic and social dimensions and discuss the issues in applying them in sustainability impact assessments（SIAs）.We also present a number of tools and methods previously used in conducting SIAs.We approach our study from the perspective of the Finnish forestry; in addition, various aspects regarding the application of SIAs in a broader context are also presented.One of the key conclusions of the study is that although sufficient data are available to measure many indicators accurately, the impacts may be very difficult to assess（e.g.impact of greenhouse gases on biodiversity） for conducting a holistic SIA.Furthermore, some indicators, such as ＂biodiversity＂, are difficult to quantify in the first place.Therefore, a mix of different methods, such as Multi-criteria Assessment, Life-cycle Assessment or Cost-Benefit Analysis, as well as different approaches（e.g.thresholds and strong/weak sustainability） are needed in aggregating the results of the impacts.SIAs are important in supporting and improving the acceptability of decision-making, but a certain degree of uncertainty will always have to be tolerated.
