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RECENT 200 YEARS CLIMATIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL RECORDS FROM THE FAR EAST RONGBUK ICE CORE, MT. QOMOLANGMA (EVEREST)
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作者 Kang Shichang\+1, Qin Dahe\+1,Cameron P. Wake\+2, Paul A. Mayewski\+2(1 Laboratory of Ice core and Cold Regions Environment, LIGG, CAS, Lanzhou 730000,China 2 Climate Change Research Center, Institute for the Study of Earth, Ocean and Space, Univers 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 2000年第S1期442-442,共1页
During the Sino\|American Expedition to Mt. Qomolangma in May 1997, a 41m ice core was recovered from an elevation of 6500m from the northern branch firn basin of the Far East Rongbuk Glacier in Mt. Everest. The ice c... During the Sino\|American Expedition to Mt. Qomolangma in May 1997, a 41m ice core was recovered from an elevation of 6500m from the northern branch firn basin of the Far East Rongbuk Glacier in Mt. Everest. The ice core was dated down to 1814 by counting δ 18 O peaks and referring to the variations of β activity and major ion concentrations. The average annual accumulation is 224mm (ice equivalent). Five cold periods and five warm periods have been reconstructed from the ice core for the last 200 years and the general tendency of climatic change is warming, which is agree with the temperature change in the Northern Hemisphere. Also the climatic records in Far East Rongbuk ice core has good agreement with that in the Guliya ice core. This indicates that the climatic changes are consistent in the northwestern and southern Qinghai—Tibetan Plateau, and the ranges of climatic changes are larger in southern Plateau than that in northwestern Plateau. Though the δ 18 O variations has some negatively correlation with precipitation amount for short time scale, these do not effect δ 18 O changes reflecting temperature for long time scale. 展开更多
关键词 recently 200 YEARS climatic and ENVIRONMENTAL change ICE core Mt. Qomolangma
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PROXY RECORD OF A FIRN-CORE FROM AN ALPINE GLACIER AND ITS IMPLICATION TO RECENT GLACIO-CLIMATIC VARIATIONS ON MT. YULONG, SOUTHEASTERN PART OF TIBETAN PLATEAU
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作者 He Yuanqing, Yang Meixue 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 2000年第S1期391-391,共1页
Mt. Yulong, located in the eastern part of Tibetan Plateau, is the southmost present glaciation area both in China and Europe\|Asia continent,where distributes 19 typical sub\|tropics temperate glaciers. In the summer... Mt. Yulong, located in the eastern part of Tibetan Plateau, is the southmost present glaciation area both in China and Europe\|Asia continent,where distributes 19 typical sub\|tropics temperate glaciers. In the summer of 1999, a firn core, 10 10m long to the glacier ice, was successfully recovered in the accumulation area at the largest glacier (No.1 Baishui) on Mt. Yulong. Annual and seasonal variations of different climatic signals above the depth of 7 8m are apparent and five\|year snow accumulation can be clearly identified by the seasonal changes of isotopic and ionic composition, some higher values of electrical conductivity and pH values. These annual boundaries can be also verified by the positions of dirty refrozen ice layers at summer surface of each year. The mean annual net accumulation between the balance years of 94/95 and 97/98 are calculated to about 900mm water equivalent. The amplitude of isotopic changes becomes smaller with the increasing depth of the core and isotopic homogenization occurred below the depth of 7 8m. Concentrations of Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ are much higher than those of Na + and K +, reflecting that the air masses for precipitation came far from their marine sources and passed over a longer continental route. Cl - and Na + show well corresponding variation patterns in the firn profile,indicating their same genesis. Concentrations of SO 2- 4 and NO - 3 are low, reflecting very slight pollution caused by human activities in this area. According to the sum of net income recovered from the firn core and the estimated ablation amount, the average annual precipitation above the equilibrium line is estimated in the scope of 2250mm and 3200mm but it needed to be verified by long\|term observation of mass balance. As indicated by the trend of local climatic changes in last 50years, climatic signals in the firn core and recent observation at the terminal of glacier No.1 Baishui, the glaciers in Mt. Yulong start to advance in 1998 after continuous retreat from early 1980’s to late 1990’s. 展开更多
关键词 PROXY RECORD FIRN CORE glacio\|climatic variations Mt. Yul ong Tibetan Plateau
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Grain Size Characteristics and Their Paleoenvironmental and Paleoclimatic Significance of Jinsha Site Since 4 ka B.P.
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作者 Liping Luo Lidong Zhu Wenguang Yang 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期113-113,共1页
The excavation of Jinsha Site is very important to study Shu civilization.Based on the grain size characteristics and six AMS 14C data,three phrases of paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic changes can be proposed sinc... The excavation of Jinsha Site is very important to study Shu civilization.Based on the grain size characteristics and six AMS 14C data,three phrases of paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic changes can be proposed since 4 ka B.P.in this area.PhraseⅠ:4200-3800 a B.P.,fluviatile deposit altemated with swamping deposit,climate is damper and warmer;PhraseⅡ:3800-3400 a B.P.,flood plain and bank sand deposit,the precipitation increased. 展开更多
关键词 Jinsha Site grain size climatic changes Chengdu Plain late Holocene
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THE CLIMATIC STUDY OF CHANGBAI MOUNTAIN BY INTEGRATION OF REMOTE SENSING INFORMATION AND GEO-CODED IMAGES
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作者 Yang Meihua Department of Geography, Northeast Normal University Wang Yeqiao Changchun Inst. of Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences 《遥感信息》 CSCD 1990年第A02期39-40,共2页
Ⅰ. INTRODUCTION Changbai Mountain is situated between E127°54′-128°08′, N40°58′-42°06′ about 2700 meters above sea level. It is the typical area of the mountainous climate in the monsoon area ... Ⅰ. INTRODUCTION Changbai Mountain is situated between E127°54′-128°08′, N40°58′-42°06′ about 2700 meters above sea level. It is the typical area of the mountainous climate in the monsoon area of the temperate zone on the globe. The well reserved primeval vertical distribution of natural landscape belts and the Natural Conservation of Changbai Mountains adopted by the UNESCO′s MAB Program cause the worldwide attention of geographers. Beside the complexity of the climatic structure itself, the mechanical effection of the high mountain body also effect the climate in the eastern part of China. In the mountain area where short of meteorological observation data, the climatic study by remote sensing is favorable for discovery and representation of climatic law in large area. 展开更多
关键词 THE climatic STUDY OF CHANGBAI MOUNTAIN BY INTEGRATION OF REMOTE SENSING INFORMATION AND GEO-CODED IMAGES GEO data body
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Crops Responses to Inter-Annual Climate Variability in Agroclimatic Zone of Sub-Saharan Africa
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作者 Ayanlade Ayansina N.O.Adeoye +1 位作者 T.O.Odekunle I.O.Orinmogunje 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期119-119,共1页
Climate variability has become a decisive factor for the crop yields in Sub-Saharan African countries. Inter-annual variability in rainfall has been the key climatic element that determines the success of agriculture ... Climate variability has become a decisive factor for the crop yields in Sub-Saharan African countries. Inter-annual variability in rainfall has been the key climatic element that determines the success of agriculture in this region.From an analysis of recent rainfall conditions in West Africa,FAO(2001) concluded that a long-term change in rainfall has occurred in the semi-arid and sub-humid zones of West Africa.Thus,this study aims at assessing the vulnerability of crop yields to inter-annual variability in rainfall in sub-Saharan African countries taking Nigeria as a case study.A time series of the averaged value of the 12-Month Weighted Anomaly Standardized Precipita- 展开更多
关键词 INTER-ANNUAL climate variability crop yield VULNERABILITY RESPONSES WASP
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Impact of Global Climatic and Environmental Changes on Agricultural Research Challenges and Wheat Productivity in Pakistan
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作者 Ijaz Rasool Noorka Muhammad Afzal 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期100-100,共1页
Food security is a human right,within a global context by aligning the opportunities to eliminate poverty,to attain the peace,the rational and implications of sustainable use and judicious management of natural resour... Food security is a human right,within a global context by aligning the opportunities to eliminate poverty,to attain the peace,the rational and implications of sustainable use and judicious management of natural resources,are the road map,to combat the disasters.The prevailing International tension with respect to climate change suggests that the food security can be achieved by penetrating,in depth,the agricultural research.Pakistan is under threat to 展开更多
关键词 FOOD security POVERTY judicious management SUSTAINABLE CLIMATE change
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Statistical Analysis of Climatic Data:Case of Temperature and Rainfall
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作者 Gabriel Habiyaremye Jiwen Ge +2 位作者 Jean de la Paix Mupenzi Balogun Waheed Oyelola Jean de Dieu Bazimenyera 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期122-122,共1页
Climate is a general weather condition in the air above the Earth such as wind,temperature,humidity, rain...especially at a particular time over a particular area.It is said that there is interdependence between those... Climate is a general weather condition in the air above the Earth such as wind,temperature,humidity, rain...especially at a particular time over a particular area.It is said that there is interdependence between those elements.In order to check out this connectivity, a statistical analysis between rainfall and temperature was carried out by analyzing the correlation and linear regression as well as testing the 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE RAINFALL TEMPERATURE
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Distribution characteristics and paleo-climatic significance of continental climate-sensitive sediments in the Late Cretaceous in China
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作者 XU Bin XIANG Fang LI Shuxia 《煤田地质与勘探》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第5期190-199,共10页
The Cretaceous is a typical period for studying the greenhouse climate and the earth system interactions, and the world’s most extensive terrestrial strata are mainly in East Asia, especially in China. Continental se... The Cretaceous is a typical period for studying the greenhouse climate and the earth system interactions, and the world’s most extensive terrestrial strata are mainly in East Asia, especially in China. Continental sediments can effectively reflect the paleo-climate change, but the previous studies of the Late Cretaceous paleo-climate, based on the combined characteristics of continental climate-sensitive sediments, were barely found in China. To obtain the Late Cretaceous paleo-climate characteristics of China, the distribution characteristics of different continental climate-sensitive sediment types in the early, middle and Late Cretaceous in China were studied in detail. According to the distribution and combination characteristics and types of continental climate-sensitive sediments, seven climate types can be divided: 1) warm-humid and warm-dry climate;2) hot and dry climate;3) hot-dry and arid climate;4) hot-dry and semiarid climate;5) hot-dry and hot-wet climate;6) hot-dry and warm-humid climate;7) hot-dry and warm-dry climate. The results show that in the early Late Cretaceous, the hot and dry climate was the most widespread, followed by warm-humid and warm-dry climate, but the climate was drier than the paleo-climate of the previous study of Early Cretaceous. Hot and dry climate zone became wider in the Coniacian and Maastrichtian;furthermore, it covered Xinjiang to the east of China from east to west after the Santonian Period. The hot-dry and semiarid climate zone was nearly latitudinally distributed from the northwest to the southeast and it shows a further increase in aridification. Global geological events, paleogeographic features and regional tectonic evolution had significant impacts on the paleoclimate of China in the Late Cretaceous, such as global eruptive events of volcanoes led to the temperature increase in China in the early Late Cretaceous;coastal mountain ranges in southeastern China led to the drying of the Late Cretaceous climate in southern China;Xuefeng Mountains, Wuling Mountains, Nanling Mountains and Tai-hang Mountains were the dividing line between the hot and dry climate zone and hot-dry and arid climate zone in the early Late Cretaceous, and Altun Mountains were the dividing line between the southeastern section of the hot and dry climate zone in western China in the middle Late Cretaceous. 展开更多
关键词 Late Cretaceous CONTINENTAL climate-sensitive sediments China climate type influence factor
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Geographical Distribution of Bacillus thuringiensis Strains and vip3 Genes in Different Climatic Zones in China
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作者 Luo Guo-xing Liu Zhi-yang +3 位作者 Li Shuai Zhang Jin-bo Gao Ji-guo Zhang Jie 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2017年第4期61-68,共8页
Vegetative Insecticidal Proteins(VIPs), a large family of insecticidal proteins, are produced from Bacillus thuringiensis(Bt) during the vegetative growth stage. VIPs represent the second generation of bio-insecticide... Vegetative Insecticidal Proteins(VIPs), a large family of insecticidal proteins, are produced from Bacillus thuringiensis(Bt) during the vegetative growth stage. VIPs represent the second generation of bio-insecticides that confer a wider insecticidal spectrum and have stronger activity. This work compared the geographical distribution of Bt strains and their vip3 genes in different climatic zones in China, the tropical(Hainan Province), subtropical(Guangxi Province) and temperate zones(Heilongjiang Province). A total of 156 Bt strains were isolated from 841 soil samples in Hainan Province tropical region, 356 Bt strains from 1 420 soil samples in Guangxi Province and 167 Bt strains from 1 010 soil samples in different geographical regions in Heilongjiang Province. Twenty-two out of 156 strains from tropical Hainan Province and two out of 356 from subtropical Guangxi Province were found to express vip3 genes, while vip3 genes were not expressed from temperate zone in Heilongjiang Province. Restriction Fragment Length Polymorphism(RFLP) was used to identify different types of vip3 genes that were within the same family and three fulllength vip3 genes were isolated. The genes cloned from Bacillus thuringiensis strain SL3 expressed in the transformed E. coli BL21 strain. Through SDS-PAGE, 88.6 ku insecticidal protein was expressed. The bioassays used two-instar larva of Lepidoptera insects(Spodoptera exigua and Agrotis ipsilon) were performed. The results of the bioassays showed that the protein strongly inhibited the body weight increasement on Spodoptera exigua and Agrotis ipsilon in a standard bioassay. Taken together, the results indicated that the distribution of Bt strains and vip3 genes had regional preference. Tropical and subtropical regions were the rich resources of Bt strains and vip3 genes compared with temperate region. These results would undoubtedly facilitate the studies of insecticidal proteins and expand the list of the pest-killing candidates to make fully use of the extremely rich microbial resources. The new vip3 genes isolated in the current study might also help resolve the emerging insecticidal resistance problems. 展开更多
关键词 Bacillus thuringiensis vip3 gene identification CLIMATE insect bioassay
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Biomass crops on marginal lands:Increasing precipitation and mitigating extreme precipitation events
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作者 LU Chunyan HE Yufeng +1 位作者 WANG Suichan LI Zhouyuan 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2026年第4期58-80,共23页
[Objective]With increasing energy demand and growing concerns about climate change,the rational utilization of marginal lands for cultivating biomass energy crops has emerged as a research focus in recent years.Previo... [Objective]With increasing energy demand and growing concerns about climate change,the rational utilization of marginal lands for cultivating biomass energy crops has emerged as a research focus in recent years.Previous studies have demonstrated that cultivating perennial biomass crops on marginal lands significantly impacts regional climate change and food production.However,these investigations did not fully consider the interactive feedback between plant growth and climate change,leading to slightly insufficient reliability of the result.[Methods]To address the limitations of earlier studies,the coupled model CWRF-BioCro was employed to comprehensively consider the interactive feedback between plant growth and climate change,and to analyze changes in regional precipitation patterns and their physical mechanisms under two scenarios in the United States:cultivation of perennial biomass crops on marginal lands and maintenance of existing vegetation cover.[Results]The result showed that after cultivating perennial biomass crops on marginal lands,the regional total average daily precipitation increased by 6.33 mm/day(0.01%),with most of the increase occurring during spring,summer,and autumn in the central and western regions and during autumn and winter in the eastern region.This was primarily due to the significant enhancement of water vapor transport and latent heat flux in the region.The regional maximum daily precipitation decreased by 2.1 mm(4.39%),mainly in the central and eastern regions,Resulting from a significant decrease in sensible heat flux in these regions.Meanwhile,the frequency of precipitation events with an average daily precipitation greater than 50 mm/d decreased in the central and eastern regions,with the most pronounced reduction of 31 days(0.24%)observed in events in the range of 50.0~99.9 mm/day.[Conclusion]In summary,planting perennial biomass crops on marginal lands can increase regional precipitation and reduce extreme precipitation.These findings highlight the critical role of biophysical feedback mechanisms in regulating regional climate and provide a scientific foundation for developing climate-adaptive land management strategies. 展开更多
关键词 biomass crops PRECIPITATION extreme events land use changes climate change grain production vegetation coverage influencing factors
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近70年来影响金华的台风气候特征及降水分布特点 被引量:2
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作者 项素清 黄艳 姜涵 《海洋预报》 北大核心 2025年第5期95-107,共13页
对近70年来影响金华的台风气候特征进行分析。结果表明:1953—2022年对金华有影响的台风共164个,平均每年2.3个;20世纪60年代以及21世纪的最初十来年,台风年均影响个数都在2.7个左右,是台风影响的相对集中期;而20世纪80年代和90年代是... 对近70年来影响金华的台风气候特征进行分析。结果表明:1953—2022年对金华有影响的台风共164个,平均每年2.3个;20世纪60年代以及21世纪的最初十来年,台风年均影响个数都在2.7个左右,是台风影响的相对集中期;而20世纪80年代和90年代是台风影响的相对偏少期,年均只有2个左右。影响金华的台风出现在5—11月,其中7—9月占全年的82.7%,是金华的台风高发期。影响特别严重的台风主要集中在8月和9月,其中8月下旬和9月中旬最多,是台风对金华的高影响时段。10月影响特别严重的台风占比高达44.4%,为比例最高的月份。影响金华的台风中75%为登陆台风,在浙江和福建登陆的影响台风占总数的85.2%,闽中北—浙中南登陆的台风对金华造成严重以上影响的个数最多,占41.7%,其中在浙中南登陆的台风造成严重影响以上级别的占比高达64.2%,是对金华影响最大的台风路径。125°E以东转向类台风对金华均为轻微影响,紧擦沿海北上的台风对金华东部地区影响较大,如6910号台风、1509号台风“灿鸿”。将2010—2022年影响金华地区的台风按不同路径分类,统计每类台风下区域自动气象站的降水分布后发现,台风降水分布和金华的地形分布一致,说明地形的降水增幅作用显著。 展开更多
关键词 影响台风 气候特征 路径分类 降水分布
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Layout configuration and joint scheduling optimization of green-grey-blue integrated system for urban stormwater management:Current status and future directions 被引量:1
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作者 DUAN Tingting LI Pengfeng +4 位作者 KHU Soonthiam HUANG Peng TIAN Tengfei LIU Qian ZHANG Yuting 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第7期77-108,共32页
[Objective]Under the combined impact of climate change and urbanization,urban rainstorm flood disasters occur frequently,seriously restricting urban safety and sustainable development.Relying on traditional grey infra... [Objective]Under the combined impact of climate change and urbanization,urban rainstorm flood disasters occur frequently,seriously restricting urban safety and sustainable development.Relying on traditional grey infrastructure such as pipe networks for urban stormwater management is not enough to deal with urban rainstorm flood disasters under extreme rainfall events.The integration of green,grey and blue systems(GGB-integrated system)is gradually gaining recognition in the field of global flood prevention.It is necessary to further clarify the connotation,technical and engineering implementation strategies of the GGB-integrated system,to provide support for the resilient city construction.[Methods]Through literature retrieval and analysis,the relevant research and progress related to the layout optimization and joint scheduling optimization of the GGBintegrated system were systematically reviewed.In response to existing limitations and future engineering application requirements,key supporting technologies including the utilization of overground emergency storage spaces,safety protection of underground important infrastructure and multi-departmental collaboration,were proposed.A layout optimization framework and a joint scheduling framework for the GGB-integrated system were also developed.[Results]Current research on layout optimization predominantly focuses on the integration of green system and grey system,with relatively fewer studies incorporating blue system infrastructure into the optimization process.Moreover,these studies tend to be on a smaller scale with simpler scenarios,which do not fully capture the complexity of real-world systems.Additionally,optimization objective tend to prioritize environmental and economic goals,while social and ecological factors are less frequently considered.Current research on joint scheduling optimization is often limited to small-scale plots,with insufficient attention paid to the entire system.There is a deficiency in method for real-time,automated determination of optimal control strategies for combinations of multiple system facilities based on actual rainfall-runoff processes.Additionally,the application of emergency facilities during extreme conditions is not sufficiently addressed.Furthermore,both layout optimization and joint scheduling optimization lack consideration of the mute feed effect of flood and waterlogging in urban,watershed and regional scales.[Conclusion]Future research needs to improve the theoretical framework for layout optimization and joint scheduling optimization of GGB-integrated system.Through the comprehensive application of the Internet of things,artificial intelligence,coupling model development,multi-scale analysis,multi-scenario simulation,and the establishment of multi-departmental collaboration mechanisms,it can enhance the flood resilience of urban areas in response to rainfall events of varying intensities,particularly extreme rainfall events. 展开更多
关键词 excessive rainfall runoff green-grey-blue integrated system emergency response intelligent control optimization framework multi-departmental collaboration climate change flood
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Impacts of climate change on cotton production and advancements in genomic approaches for stress resilience enhancement 被引量:1
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作者 KHAN Muhammad Aamir ANWAR Saeed +5 位作者 ABBAS Mubashir ANEEQ Muhammad DE JONG Fokke AYAZ Muhammad WEI Yunxiao ZHANG Rui 《Journal of Cotton Research》 2025年第2期270-289,共20页
Cotton is an essential agricultural commodity,but its global yield is greatly affected by climate change,which poses a serious threat to the agriculture sector.This review aims to provide an overview of the impact of ... Cotton is an essential agricultural commodity,but its global yield is greatly affected by climate change,which poses a serious threat to the agriculture sector.This review aims to provide an overview of the impact of climate change on cotton production and the use of genomic approaches to increase stress tolerance in cotton.This paper discusses the effects of rising temperatures,changing precipitation patterns,and extreme weather events on cotton yield.It then explores various genomic strategies,such as genomic selection and marker-assisted selection,which can be used to develop stress-tolerant cotton varieties.The review emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary research efforts and policy interventions to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on cotton production.Furthermore,this paper presents advanced prospects,including genomic selection,gene editing,multi-omics integration,highthroughput phenotyping,genomic data sharing,climate-informed breeding,and phenomics-assisted genomic selection,for enhancing stress resilience in cotton.Those innovative approaches can assist cotton researchers and breeders in developing highly resilient cotton varieties capable of withstanding the challenges posed by climate change,ensuring the sustainable and prosperous future of cotton production. 展开更多
关键词 COTTON Climate Change Stress tolerance Genomic selection Gene editing QTLS Fiber
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1901~2013年GPCC和CRU降水资料在中国大陆的适用性评估 被引量:52
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作者 王丹 王爱慧 《气候与环境研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期446-462,共17页
利用1901~2013年中国大陆地区的气象台站实测降水资料,对东英吉利(East Anglia)大学气候研究中心(Climatic Research Unit,CRU)和全球降水气候中心(Global Precipitation Climatology Centre,GPCC)的降水资料分别从季节、年际和年代际... 利用1901~2013年中国大陆地区的气象台站实测降水资料,对东英吉利(East Anglia)大学气候研究中心(Climatic Research Unit,CRU)和全球降水气候中心(Global Precipitation Climatology Centre,GPCC)的降水资料分别从季节、年际和年代际尺度上进行了评估。结果表明:1961~2013年CRU与GPCC降水资料均能较准确地描述中国大陆地区的降水特征,且在东部较西部地区、夏季较冬季与站点实测降水情况更为一致。将中国大陆划分为不同区域并在其季节、年际和年代际时间尺度上通过比较降水偏差绝对值的百分比、均方根误差和相关系数等统计量后发现:CRU在青藏高原和其它较大的山脉附近与站点实测降水的差别较大,且年均降水趋势在西北一带的阿尔金山脉、黄土高原、东南地区和长江下游地区,比实测降水的年均趋势小、甚至出现趋势相反的情况。此外,CRU降水的年代际变化趋势也偏小。而GPCC数据不论是降水量还是降水趋势都更接近实际情况。在1901~1961年,通过与65个长期气象观测站点的降水时间序列比较发现,CRU在110°E以西地区与站点观测的降水资料间的差别较大,而GPCC与站点观测资料的吻合较好。最后,利用1961~2013年两套降水资料和站点实测资料分别计算了标准化降水指数(SPI),简单分析了中国大陆地区的干旱变化,发现GPCC对旱涝的时空变化特征的描述比CRU更接近站点实际观测;并且CRU也没有反映出1997年夏季中国地区出现的严重干旱情况,而GPCC较为准确地反映出了这一干旱事件特征。因此,本文的研究结果认为,就中国大陆地区长时期降水资料而言,GPCC的适用性优于CRU。 展开更多
关键词 中国区域 观测降水 GPCC(Global PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGY Centre) CRU(climatic Research Unit) 资料评估
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WRF simulation of typhoon precipitation:A case study of Typhoon Doksuri in Fujian Province,China
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作者 WU Jingwen YAN Youyi +5 位作者 YIN Fangxu YOU Jiewen ZHUANG Yao GUAN Xiaojun JIANG Lizhi GAO Lu 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第11期1-20,共20页
[Objective]Precipitation events caused by Super Typhoon Doksuri in Fujian Province were simulated and evaluated based on the WRF model to provide a reference for typhoon precipitation simulation and forecasting in sou... [Objective]Precipitation events caused by Super Typhoon Doksuri in Fujian Province were simulated and evaluated based on the WRF model to provide a reference for typhoon precipitation simulation and forecasting in southeast coastal areas of China.[Methods]The next-generation mesoscale numerical weather prediction model WRF V4.3(The Weather Research and Forecasting Model)was used to simulate the precipitation caused by Typhoon Doksuri in Fujian Province in 2023.Observations from 86 meteorological stations with hourly rainfall records were used to evaluate the model’s performance.Six evaluation indices were used,including the correlation coefficient(R),root mean square error(RMSE),mean absolute error(MAE),equitable threat score(ETS),probability of detection(POD),and false alarm ratio(FAR).[Results](1)The temporal and spatial evolution of precipitation during Typhoon Doksuri was effectively captured by the WRF model.Precipitation intensity increased gradually from July 27 to 29,2023,with the heaviest rainfall concentrated in the northern and eastern coastal areas of Fujian Province.(2)Significant differences in model performance were observed in terms of R,RMSE,and MAE.The largest errors occurred in Putian City,while smaller errors were found in southwestern Fujian Province.The evaluation result of all six indices showed that the WRF model performed best in simulating daily precipitation compared to hourly,three-hourly,six-hourly,and twelve-hourly precipitation.(3)The R95p index indicated that the WRF model successfully captured the overall spatial distribution of extreme precipitation.However,extreme precipitation intensity was overestimated in certain coastal areas.(4)Despite accurately identifying the coastal regions of Fujian as being most affected,the WRF model failed to accurately simulate the spatial distribution and intensity of precipitation.The simulated precipitation centers showed discrepancies when compared with the observed centers.[Conclusion]Although the WRF model underestimated hourly precipitation,it successfully captured the temporal evolution and spatial distribution of rainfall caused by Typhoon Doksuri in Fujian Province.It reproduced the heavy rainfall centers in central Fujian Province,with daily precipitation peaks reaching up to 350 mm.This highlighted the severity of extreme rainfall caused by Typhoon Doksuri. 展开更多
关键词 WRF model typhoon precipitation Typhoon Doksuri Fujian Province China numerical simulation RAINFALL extreme precipitation climate change
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探明玉米品种应对高温环境时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值
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《南方农业》 2025年第11期F0003-F0003,共1页
首次系统解析了现代玉米育种过程中雄穗、雌穗、产量特征及其耐热性的选择规律,明确了应对高温时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值(约700小穗/雄穗),并基于全球玉米种植区域花期高温发生程度,推测目前全球约23.7%的玉米种植区可能已不再适合种植雄... 首次系统解析了现代玉米育种过程中雄穗、雌穗、产量特征及其耐热性的选择规律,明确了应对高温时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值(约700小穗/雄穗),并基于全球玉米种植区域花期高温发生程度,推测目前全球约23.7%的玉米种植区可能已不再适合种植雄穗小穗数低于700小穗/雄穗的品种。相关成果已于2024年10月11日发表在《Nature Climate Change》(IF=29.6)上。 展开更多
关键词 Nature Climate Change 玉米品种
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探明玉米品种应对高温环境时 雄穗小穗数的关键阈值YUMI
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《南方农业》 2025年第12期F0003-F0003,共1页
首次系统解析了现代玉米育种过程中雄穗、雌穗、产量特征及其耐热性的选择规律,明确了应对高温时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值(约700小穗/雄穗),并基于全球玉米种植区域花期高温发生程度,推测目前全球约23.7%的玉米种植区可能已不再适合种植雄... 首次系统解析了现代玉米育种过程中雄穗、雌穗、产量特征及其耐热性的选择规律,明确了应对高温时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值(约700小穗/雄穗),并基于全球玉米种植区域花期高温发生程度,推测目前全球约23.7%的玉米种植区可能已不再适合种植雄穗小穗数低于700小穗/雄穗的品种。相关成果已于2024年10月11日发表在《Nature Climate Change》(IF=29.6)上。 展开更多
关键词 Nature Climate Change 玉米品种
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探明玉米品种应对高温环境时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值
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《南方农业》 2025年第14期F0003-F0003,共1页
首次系统解析了现代玉米育种过程中雄穗、雌穗、产量特征及其耐热性的选择规律,明确了应对高温时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值(约700小穗/雄穗),并基于全球玉米种植区域花期高温发生程度,推测目前全球约23.7%的玉米种植区可能已不再适合种植雄... 首次系统解析了现代玉米育种过程中雄穗、雌穗、产量特征及其耐热性的选择规律,明确了应对高温时雄穗小穗数的关键阈值(约700小穗/雄穗),并基于全球玉米种植区域花期高温发生程度,推测目前全球约23.7%的玉米种植区可能已不再适合种植雄穗小穗数低于700小穗/雄穗的品种。相关成果已于2024年10月11日发表在《Nature Climate Change》(IF=29.6)上。 展开更多
关键词 Nature Climate Change 玉米品种
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基于国际大气化学—气候模式比较计划模式数据评估未来气候变化对中国东部气溶胶浓度的影响 被引量:5
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作者 刘瑞金 廖宏 +2 位作者 常文渊 张天航 靳少非 《大气科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期739-751,共13页
气候变化引起的地面气溶胶浓度变化与区域空气质量密切相关。本文利用"国际大气化学—气候模式比较计划"(Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project,ACCMIP)中4个模式的试验数据分析了RCP8.5情景下20... 气候变化引起的地面气溶胶浓度变化与区域空气质量密切相关。本文利用"国际大气化学—气候模式比较计划"(Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project,ACCMIP)中4个模式的试验数据分析了RCP8.5情景下2000~2100年气候变化对中国气溶胶浓度的影响。结果显示,在人为气溶胶排放固定在2000年、仅考虑气候变化的影响时,2000~2100年气候变化导致中国北部地区(31°N^45°N,105°E^122°E)硫酸盐、有机碳和黑碳气溶胶分别增加28%、21%和9%,硝酸盐气溶胶在中国东部地区减少30%。气候变化对细颗粒物(PM_(2.5))浓度的影响有显著的季节变化特征,冬季PM_(2.5)浓度在中国东部减少15%,这主要是由硝酸盐气溶胶在冬季的显著减少造成的;夏季PM_(2.5)浓度在中国北部地区增加16%,而长江以南地区减少为9%,这可能与模式模拟的未来东亚夏季风环流的增强有关。 展开更多
关键词 ACCMIP(Atmospheric CHEMISTRY and CLIMATE Model Intercomparison Project) 气候变化 人为气溶胶 PM2.5
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Community Climate Model 3模拟夏季极端降水的初步分析 被引量:16
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作者 黄丹青 钱永甫 《南京大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2007年第3期238-248,共11页
采用累积频率的统计方法和Community Climate Model 3(CCM3)模拟的10年逐日降水结果,分析了模拟的夏季极端降水事件的时空分布特征.结果表明,CCM3模拟的极端降水阈值的大值区主要在我国黄河和长江流域的上游、印度半岛及其邻近海域和孟... 采用累积频率的统计方法和Community Climate Model 3(CCM3)模拟的10年逐日降水结果,分析了模拟的夏季极端降水事件的时空分布特征.结果表明,CCM3模拟的极端降水阈值的大值区主要在我国黄河和长江流域的上游、印度半岛及其邻近海域和孟加拉湾及其北部地区.CCM3能够模拟出我国长江流域极端降水量与极端降水日数显著增加的趋势.对极端降水平均强度、降水日数以及极端降水量与总降水量比值的经验正交函数(EOF)分析可知,我国大部分地区的极端降水基本呈现同相变化,且以长江和黄河中游地区较为显著.CCM3模式基本能够模拟出观测到的极端降水阈值与总降水、极端降水日数及其距平的高空间相关性. 展开更多
关键词 COMMUNITY CLIMATE MODEL 3(CCM3) 数值模拟 累积频率 夏季极端降水 趋势 经验正交函数(EOF)分析 相关分析
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