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An Early Stage Detecting Method against SYN Flooding Attacks 被引量:1
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作者 Sun Qibo Wang Shangguang Yan Danfeng Yang Fangchun 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第4期108-115,共8页
Existing detection methods against SYN flooding attacks are effective only at the later stages when attacking signatures are obvious.In this paper an early stage detecting method(ESDM) is proposed.The ESDM is a simple... Existing detection methods against SYN flooding attacks are effective only at the later stages when attacking signatures are obvious.In this paper an early stage detecting method(ESDM) is proposed.The ESDM is a simple but effective method to detect SYN flooding attacks at the early stage.In the ESDM the SYN traffic is forecasted by autoregressive integrated moving average model, and non-parametric cumulative sum algorithm is used to find the SYN flooding attacks according to the forecasted traffic.Trace-driven simulations show that ESDM is accurate and efficient to detect the SYN flooding attacks. 展开更多
关键词 denial-of-service attacks autoregressive integrated moving average model non-parametric cumulative sum algorithm
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云南省总人口预测模型的比较研究 被引量:3
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作者 郭靖 张银香 《楚雄师范学院学报》 2021年第3期8-15,共8页
本文以1973~2018年云南省总人口为例,分别建立Holt两参数指数平滑模型、ARIMA模型和三次多项式模型,利用最小AIC准则从ARIMA模型中选出了ARIMA(4,3,1)模型,与Holt两参数指数平滑模型和三次多项式模型做比较。通过模型预测值的平均误差... 本文以1973~2018年云南省总人口为例,分别建立Holt两参数指数平滑模型、ARIMA模型和三次多项式模型,利用最小AIC准则从ARIMA模型中选出了ARIMA(4,3,1)模型,与Holt两参数指数平滑模型和三次多项式模型做比较。通过模型预测值的平均误差率和残差的波动幅度的比较后,发现ARIMA(4,3,1)模型的拟合精度较高,适合用来预测短期的总人口数。基于此分析对云南省总人口进行了8期数的预测,发现云南省总人口数量呈现不断增加的趋势,但总人口数增长速率下降,总人口数量趋向饱和状态。 展开更多
关键词 ARIMA模型(autoregressive integrated moving average model) Holt两参数指数平滑模型 三次多项式模型 人口预测 模型比较
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