Rock bursts are serious natural disasters encountered worldwide in coal mining and rock engineering.In order to forecast rock bursts more effectively,a new rock burst forecasting index E,consisting of intensity and th...Rock bursts are serious natural disasters encountered worldwide in coal mining and rock engineering.In order to forecast rock bursts more effectively,a new rock burst forecasting index E,consisting of intensity and the number of pulses,is proposed,on the basis of abnormal characteristic symptoms of electromagnetic radiation(EMR) generated before rock bursts,combined with statistical theory.The index is distributed as a χ2 distribution with 2 degrees of freedom,i.e.,E～χ 2(2).Via this index,a quantitative comprehensive forecasting criterion of EMR was initially established.E values were calculated when the occurrence probability of the occurrence of a rock burst was 50%,70% and 90%.Appropriate measures should be taken when using these values on the scene.Using EMR data collected in the Nanshan Mine of the Hegang mining area,we verified that the analytical result were consistent with actual situations.This index is of theoretical importance and as a reference for forecasting rock bursts in coal mines.展开更多
To realize real-time monitoring and short-term forecasting and forewarning of coalmine ventilation systems(CVS), in this paper, we first established a joint surface and underground CVS safety management system consist...To realize real-time monitoring and short-term forecasting and forewarning of coalmine ventilation systems(CVS), in this paper, we first established a joint surface and underground CVS safety management system consisting of main ventilation fan, safety-partition linked passageways, and air-required locations. We then applied chaos theory to identify the air quantity and gas concentration of underground partition boundaries, and adopted a fixed data quantity, multi-step progressive, weighted first-order local-domain method to setup a chaos prediction model and a CVS safety forecasting and forewarning system formed by the normal change level, orange forewarning level, and red alarm level. We next conduct the on-field application of the system in a coalmine in Jining, Shandong, China. The results showed that (1) in the statistical scale of 5 min, the changes in both air quantity and gas concentration along CVS partition airflow boundaries were characteristic of chaos and could be used for short-term chaos prediction, and the latter was more chaotic than the former;(2) the setup chaos prediction model had a higher prediction precision and the established safety prediction system could not only predict the variation in CVS stability but also reflect the rationality of underground mining intensity. Thus, this CVS safety forecasting and forewarning system is of better application value.展开更多
基金supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (No.2006AA06Z119)the Ministry of Education Support Program for New Century Excellent Talent (No.NCET-06-0477)
文摘Rock bursts are serious natural disasters encountered worldwide in coal mining and rock engineering.In order to forecast rock bursts more effectively,a new rock burst forecasting index E,consisting of intensity and the number of pulses,is proposed,on the basis of abnormal characteristic symptoms of electromagnetic radiation(EMR) generated before rock bursts,combined with statistical theory.The index is distributed as a χ2 distribution with 2 degrees of freedom,i.e.,E～χ 2(2).Via this index,a quantitative comprehensive forecasting criterion of EMR was initially established.E values were calculated when the occurrence probability of the occurrence of a rock burst was 50%,70% and 90%.Appropriate measures should be taken when using these values on the scene.Using EMR data collected in the Nanshan Mine of the Hegang mining area,we verified that the analytical result were consistent with actual situations.This index is of theoretical importance and as a reference for forecasting rock bursts in coal mines.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51304128 and 51674158)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(No.ZR2013EEQ015)
文摘To realize real-time monitoring and short-term forecasting and forewarning of coalmine ventilation systems(CVS), in this paper, we first established a joint surface and underground CVS safety management system consisting of main ventilation fan, safety-partition linked passageways, and air-required locations. We then applied chaos theory to identify the air quantity and gas concentration of underground partition boundaries, and adopted a fixed data quantity, multi-step progressive, weighted first-order local-domain method to setup a chaos prediction model and a CVS safety forecasting and forewarning system formed by the normal change level, orange forewarning level, and red alarm level. We next conduct the on-field application of the system in a coalmine in Jining, Shandong, China. The results showed that (1) in the statistical scale of 5 min, the changes in both air quantity and gas concentration along CVS partition airflow boundaries were characteristic of chaos and could be used for short-term chaos prediction, and the latter was more chaotic than the former;(2) the setup chaos prediction model had a higher prediction precision and the established safety prediction system could not only predict the variation in CVS stability but also reflect the rationality of underground mining intensity. Thus, this CVS safety forecasting and forewarning system is of better application value.
