Based on MATLAB/SIMULINK, the paper has proposed cost risk simulation models separately in accor-dance with the circumstances of correlation and independence between the influential factors of cost risk. The mean,vari...Based on MATLAB/SIMULINK, the paper has proposed cost risk simulation models separately in accor-dance with the circumstances of correlation and independence between the influential factors of cost risk. The mean,variance and the risk level under the above-mentioned two circumstances have also been compared with a case study.Also the sensitivity analysis of cost risk has been probed into. The result indicates that the model which takes into ac-count correlation is more objective, and the model which ignores the circumstance of correlation normally underes-timates the risk level of project cost.展开更多
文摘Based on MATLAB/SIMULINK, the paper has proposed cost risk simulation models separately in accor-dance with the circumstances of correlation and independence between the influential factors of cost risk. The mean,variance and the risk level under the above-mentioned two circumstances have also been compared with a case study.Also the sensitivity analysis of cost risk has been probed into. The result indicates that the model which takes into ac-count correlation is more objective, and the model which ignores the circumstance of correlation normally underes-timates the risk level of project cost.
