期刊文献+
共找到17篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
关节内侧间隙测量对髋关节脱位术后稳定性的预测 被引量:3
1
作者 王彭 吕洪海 杜智军 《临床小儿外科杂志》 CAS 2009年第3期11-13,16,共4页
目的探讨关节内侧间隙测量对髋关节脱位术后稳定性的预测意义。方法分析2004~2007年本院10例髋关节再脱位患儿以及随机抽取的50例术后未发生再脱位患儿的影像学资料,对其术后1d、1周、1.5个月、3个月、4个月、5个月、6个月骨盆平片... 目的探讨关节内侧间隙测量对髋关节脱位术后稳定性的预测意义。方法分析2004~2007年本院10例髋关节再脱位患儿以及随机抽取的50例术后未发生再脱位患儿的影像学资料,对其术后1d、1周、1.5个月、3个月、4个月、5个月、6个月骨盆平片进行患侧髋关节内侧间隙值OA以及泪滴至髋臼外缘的距离OA的测量,并采用D值(D=OA/OA)进行标准化处理。结果无再脱位组D值基本小于0.8。其中30例采用髋关节外展支具,未出现再脱位,D值位于0.66~0.8之间;脱位组在石膏同定期间,D值基本小于0.7,此时股骨头位于髋臼内,未出现脱位;术后6周至3个月拆除石膏后,D值为0.66.0.8,未采取措施,相继出现脱位,此时D值基本大于0.8。结论测量关节内侧间隙对于评价髋关节脱位术后关节的稳定性以及预测早期再脱位有重要意义。D值小于0.66,关节稳定,不会出现再脱位;D值为0.66~0.8,关节稳定性受到影响,可能出现再脱位,需尽早采取干预措施;D值大于0.8,出现再脱位,简单保守治疗措旆失去作用.需再次手术蚕新复位。 展开更多
关键词 髋脱位/并发症 关节不稳定性 预测/方法
在线阅读 下载PDF
AR基因突变雄激素不敏感综合征相关因素在性别分配中的作用分析 被引量:6
2
作者 吴德华 田红娟 +6 位作者 唐达星 傅君芬 董关萍 吴鼎文 袁金娜 杨荣旺 孙莉颖 《临床小儿外科杂志》 CAS 2019年第5期387-394,共8页
目的分析与青春期后AR基因突变雄激素不敏感综合征患儿的临床结局及外生殖器发育相关因素在性别分配中的作用,探讨AR基因突变雄激素不敏感综合症的最佳性别分配方案。方法以2015年11月至2018年10月浙江大学医学院附属儿童医院收治的21... 目的分析与青春期后AR基因突变雄激素不敏感综合征患儿的临床结局及外生殖器发育相关因素在性别分配中的作用,探讨AR基因突变雄激素不敏感综合症的最佳性别分配方案。方法以2015年11月至2018年10月浙江大学医学院附属儿童医院收治的21例出现AR基因突变的雄激素不敏感综合征(androgen insensitivity syndrome,AIS)患儿为研究对象,年龄3个月至13岁5个月,中位数为49.7个月。初诊性别女14例,男7例。外生殖器均表现为不同程度的雄性化不全,其中8例表型为完全女性化、10例为外生殖器模糊、3例为小阴茎。在分子诊断结果的基础上,将外生殖器雄性化评分(external masculinisation score,EMS)、性心理评估结果、外生殖器对雄激素刺激反应情况作为青春期后临床结局和外生殖器发育程度的预测因素,结合社会文化因素、性腺发育特点、患儿及其父母主观层面认知等因素,由本院多学科团队(multidisciplinary team,MDT)作出性别分配。结果8例(38.1%)诊断为完全性雄激素不敏感综合征(complete androgen insensitivity syndrome,CAIS)患儿的Prader评分均为0分,EMS评分为1~2分,性心理量表评估结果均表现为女性优势,雄激素治疗外生殖器无明显反应,性别分配均为女性。10例(42.9%)Prader评分为1~3分的部分性雄激素不敏感综合征(partial androgen insensitivity syndrome,PAIS)患儿EMS评分为2~9分,性心理量表评估结果除1例表现为女性优势外,其余均表现为男性优势,雄激素治疗后阴茎增长明显,性别分配均为男性。3例(14%)小阴茎患儿性心理量表评估结果均表现为男性优势,雄激素治疗后阴茎明显增长,性别分配均为男性。男性性别分配者的Prader评分和EMS评分高于女性性别分配者,且差异有统计学意义(P<0.05),雄激素治疗有效性、性心理评估结果与性别分配结果间均具有良好的关联性(P<0.05)。结论分析AR基因突变情况、EMS评分、性心理评估结果和外生殖器雄激素治疗反应结局等因素对AIS患儿未来性别认同、外生殖器发育程度等青春期后临床结局进行预测具有一定的可行性,在充分考虑社会文化因素、患儿及其父母主观层面认知情况下,由MDT进行性别分配是目前较为适宜的AIS性别分配方法。 展开更多
关键词 雄激素迟钝综合征/诊断 雄激素迟钝综合征/治疗 预测/方法 预后
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于支持向量机的浙江省流感样病例预警模型研究 被引量:5
3
作者 卢汉体 李傅冬 +2 位作者 林君芬 何凡 沈毅 《浙江大学学报(医学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第6期653-658,共6页
目的:建立浙江省流感样病例预警模型,为流感疫情的早期发现提供科学依据。方法:收集整理2012年1月2日至2013年12月29日期间104周浙江省11家哨点医院门急诊中流感相关疾病病例数、各类气象因素以及流感病原阳性率,与同期流感样病例... 目的:建立浙江省流感样病例预警模型,为流感疫情的早期发现提供科学依据。方法:收集整理2012年1月2日至2013年12月29日期间104周浙江省11家哨点医院门急诊中流感相关疾病病例数、各类气象因素以及流感病原阳性率,与同期流感样病例数作相关分析,寻找出流感样病例发生的相关因素。通过交叉检验选取最优参数,采用支持向量机方法建立流感样病例预警模型,并利用历史数据对模型进行验证。结果:相关性分析显示有8个因素与流感样病例相关。模型的最优参数为:C=3,s=0.009,y=0.4,验证结果显示流感样病例预警模型的同级预报正确率为50.0%,相差一级的预报正确率为96.7%。结论:支持向量机方法适用于流感样病例的预警。 展开更多
关键词 流感 人/流行病学 人工智能 模型 统计学 预测/方法
在线阅读 下载PDF
Seismological method for prediction of areal rockbursts in deep mine with seismic source mechanism and unstable failure theory 被引量:23
4
作者 唐礼忠 XIA K W 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第5期947-953,共7页
The research on the rock burst prediction was made on the basis of seismology,rock mechanics and the data from Dongguashan Copper Mine(DCM) ,the deepest metal mine in China.The seismic responses to mining in DCM were ... The research on the rock burst prediction was made on the basis of seismology,rock mechanics and the data from Dongguashan Copper Mine(DCM) ,the deepest metal mine in China.The seismic responses to mining in DCM were investigated through the analyses of the spatio-temporal distribution of hypocenters,apparent stress and displacement of seismic events,and the process of the generation of hazardous seismicity in DCM was studied in the framework of the theory of asperity in the seismic source mechanism.A method of locating areas with hazardous seismicity and a conceptual model of hazardous seismic nucleation in DCM were proposed.A criterion of rockburst prediction was analyzed theoretically in the framework of unstable failure theories,and consequently,the rate of change in the ratio of the seismic stiffness of rock in a seismic nucleation area to that in surrounding area,dS/dt,is defined as an index of the rockburst prediction.The possibility of a rockburst will increase if dS/dt>0,and the possibility of rock burst will decrease if dS/dt<0.The correctness of these methods is demonstrated by analyses of rock failure cases in DCM. 展开更多
关键词 areal rockburst prediction seismic source mechanism unstable failure deep mine seismic stiffness seismic nucleation
在线阅读 下载PDF
Rockburst prediction in hard rock mines developing bagging and boosting tree-based ensemble techniques 被引量:30
5
作者 WANG Shi-ming ZHOU Jian +3 位作者 LI Chuan-qi Danial Jahed ARMAGHANI LI Xi-bing Hani SMITRI 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第2期527-542,共16页
Rockburst prediction is of vital significance to the design and construction of underground hard rock mines.A rockburst database consisting of 102 case histories,i.e.,1998−2011 period data from 14 hard rock mines was ... Rockburst prediction is of vital significance to the design and construction of underground hard rock mines.A rockburst database consisting of 102 case histories,i.e.,1998−2011 period data from 14 hard rock mines was examined for rockburst prediction in burst-prone mines by three tree-based ensemble methods.The dataset was examined with six widely accepted indices which are:the maximum tangential stress around the excavation boundary(MTS),uniaxial compressive strength(UCS)and uniaxial tensile strength(UTS)of the intact rock,stress concentration factor(SCF),rock brittleness index(BI),and strain energy storage index(EEI).Two boosting(AdaBoost.M1,SAMME)and bagging algorithms with classification trees as baseline classifier on ability to learn rockburst were evaluated.The available dataset was randomly divided into training set(2/3 of whole datasets)and testing set(the remaining datasets).Repeated 10-fold cross validation(CV)was applied as the validation method for tuning the hyper-parameters.The margin analysis and the variable relative importance were employed to analyze some characteristics of the ensembles.According to 10-fold CV,the accuracy analysis of rockburst dataset demonstrated that the best prediction method for the potential of rockburst is bagging when compared to AdaBoost.M1,SAMME algorithms and empirical criteria methods. 展开更多
关键词 ROCKBURST hard rock PREDICTION BAGGING BOOSTING ensemble learning
在线阅读 下载PDF
A new grey forecasting model based on BP neural network and Markov chain 被引量:6
6
作者 李存斌 王恪铖 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2007年第5期713-718,共6页
A new grey forecasting model based on BP neural network and Markov chain was proposed. In order to combine the grey forecasting model with neural network, an important theorem that the grey differential equation is eq... A new grey forecasting model based on BP neural network and Markov chain was proposed. In order to combine the grey forecasting model with neural network, an important theorem that the grey differential equation is equivalent to the time response model, was proved by analyzing the features of grey forecasting model(GM(1,1)). Based on this, the differential equation parameters were included in the network when the BP neural network was constructed, and the neural network was trained by extracting samples from grey system's known data. When BP network was converged, the whitened grey differential equation parameters were extracted and then the grey neural network forecasting model (GNNM(1,1)) was built. In order to reduce stochastic phenomenon in GNNM(1,1), the state transition probability between two states was defined and the Markov transition matrix was established by building the residual sequences between grey forecasting and actual value. Thus, the new grey forecasting model(MNNGM(1,1)) was proposed by combining Markov chain with GNNM(1,1). Based on the above discussion, three different approaches were put forward for forecasting China electricity demands. By comparing GM(1, 1) and GNNM(1,1) with the proposed model, the results indicate that the absolute mean error of MNNGM(1,1) is about 0.4 times of GNNM(1,1) and 0.2 times of GM(I, 1), and the mean square error of MNNGM(1,1) is about 0.25 times of GNNM(1,1) and 0.1 times of GM(1,1). 展开更多
关键词 grey forecasting model neural network Markov chain electricity demand forecasting
在线阅读 下载PDF
A novel method to predict static transmission error for spur gear pair based on accuracy grade 被引量:3
7
作者 LIU Chang SHI Wan-kai +1 位作者 Francesca Maria CURÀ Andrea MURA 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第11期3334-3349,共16页
This paper proposes a novel method to predict the spur gear pair’s static transmission error based on the accuracy grade,in which manufacturing errors(MEs),assembly errors(AEs),tooth deflections(TDs)and profile modif... This paper proposes a novel method to predict the spur gear pair’s static transmission error based on the accuracy grade,in which manufacturing errors(MEs),assembly errors(AEs),tooth deflections(TDs)and profile modifications(PMs)are considered.For the prediction,a discrete gear model for generating the error tooth profile based on the ISO accuracy grade is presented.Then,the gear model and a tooth deflection model for calculating the tooth compliance on gear meshing are coupled with the transmission error model to make the prediction by checking the interference status between gear and pinion.The prediction method is validated by comparison with the experimental results from the literature,and a set of cases are simulated to study the effects of MEs,AEs,TDs and PMs on the static transmission error.In addition,the time-varying backlash caused by both MEs and AEs,and the contact ratio under load conditions are also investigated.The results show that the novel method can effectively predict the range of the static transmission error under different accuracy grades.The prediction results can provide references for the selection of gear design parameters and the optimization of transmission performance in the design stage of gear systems. 展开更多
关键词 gear transmission error time-varying backlash prediction method accuracy grade
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multi-UAV surveillance implementation under hierarchical dynamic task scheduling architecture 被引量:4
8
作者 WU Wen-di WU Yun-long +3 位作者 LI Jing-hua REN Xiao-guang SHI Dian-xi TANG Yu-hua 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第9期2614-2627,共14页
In this paper,we consider a multi-UAV surveillance scenario where a team of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)synchronously covers an area for monitoring the ground conditions.In this scenario,we adopt the leader-follower... In this paper,we consider a multi-UAV surveillance scenario where a team of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)synchronously covers an area for monitoring the ground conditions.In this scenario,we adopt the leader-follower control mode and propose a modified Lyapunov guidance vector field(LGVF)approach for improving the precision of surveillance trajectory tracking.Then,in order to adopt to poor communication conditions,we propose a prediction-based synchronization method for keeping the formation consistently.Moreover,in order to adapt the multi-UAV system to dynamic and uncertain environment,this paper proposes a hierarchical dynamic task scheduling architecture.In this architecture,we firstly classify all the algorithms that perform tasks according to their functions,and then modularize the algorithms based on plugin technology.Afterwards,integrating the behavior model and plugin technique,this paper designs a three-layer control flow,which can efficiently achieve dynamic task scheduling.In order to verify the effectiveness of our architecture,we consider a multi-UAV traffic monitoring scenario and design several cases to demonstrate the online adjustment from three levels,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 prediction-based synchronization dynamic task scheduling hierarchical software architecture
在线阅读 下载PDF
Determination of ultimate bearing capacity of uplift piles using intact and non-intact load−displacement curve 被引量:6
9
作者 WANG Qin-ke MAJian-lin +2 位作者 JI Yu-kun ZHANG Jian CHEN Wen-long 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第2期470-485,共16页
Based on the field destructive test of six rock-socketed piles with shallow overburden,three prediction models are used to quantitatively analyze and predict the intact load−displacement curve.The predicted values of ... Based on the field destructive test of six rock-socketed piles with shallow overburden,three prediction models are used to quantitatively analyze and predict the intact load−displacement curve.The predicted values of ultimate uplift capacity were further determined by four methods(displacement controlling method(DCM),reduction coefficient method(RCM),maximum curvature method(MCM),and critical stiffness method(CSM))and compared with the measured value.Through the analysis of the relationship between the change rate of pullout stiffness and displacement,a method used to determine the ultimate uplift capacity via non-intact load−displacement curve was proposed.The results show that the predicted value determined by DCM is more conservative,while the predicted value determined by MCM is larger than the measured value.This suggests that RCM and CSM in engineering applications can be preferentially applied.Moreover,the development law of the change rate of pullout stiffness with displacement agrees well with the attenuation form of power function.The theoretical predicted results of ultimate uplift capacity based on the change rate of pullout stiffness will not be affected by the integrity of the curve.The method is simple and applicable for the piles that are not loaded to failure state,and thus provides new insights into ultimate uplift capacity determination of test piles. 展开更多
关键词 load−displacement curve prediction model determination method of bearing capacity change rate of pullout stiffness
在线阅读 下载PDF
Failure analysis study of railway draw-hook coupler 被引量:3
10
作者 Moharram MOHAMMADI Armin RAHMATFAM +1 位作者 Mohammad ZEHSAZ Soran HASSANIFARD 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第4期916-924,共9页
Failure analysis of railway draw-hook coupler was carried out.The nondestructive testing method was undertaken on some failed couplers in service to designate critical areas of a coupler.Draw-Hook coupler is used to c... Failure analysis of railway draw-hook coupler was carried out.The nondestructive testing method was undertaken on some failed couplers in service to designate critical areas of a coupler.Draw-Hook coupler is used to connect with the same hook coupler or automatic coupler.The influence of each connection types on the coupler strength in this study was discussed.A numerical stress analysis using FEM was performed,and many approaches including critical plane approach were carried out on fatigue life prediction of coupler under different conditions.The results of the proposed fatigue criterion and fatigue life predictions,as well as static numerical analysis,are validated with experimental results. 展开更多
关键词 draw-hook coupler multi-axial fatigue critical plane approach life prediction static fracture force
在线阅读 下载PDF
A two-stage short-term traffic flow prediction method based on AVL and AKNN techniques 被引量:1
11
作者 孟梦 邵春福 +2 位作者 黃育兆 王博彬 李慧轩 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第2期779-786,共8页
Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation systems(ITS). A new two-stage traffic flow prediction method named AKNN-AVL method is presented, which combines an advanc... Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation systems(ITS). A new two-stage traffic flow prediction method named AKNN-AVL method is presented, which combines an advanced k-nearest neighbor(AKNN)method and balanced binary tree(AVL) data structure to improve the prediction accuracy. The AKNN method uses pattern recognition two times in the searching process, which considers the previous sequences of traffic flow to forecast the future traffic state. Clustering method and balanced binary tree technique are introduced to build case database to reduce the searching time. To illustrate the effects of these developments, the accuracies performance of AKNN-AVL method, k-nearest neighbor(KNN) method and the auto-regressive and moving average(ARMA) method are compared. These methods are calibrated and evaluated by the real-time data from a freeway traffic detector near North 3rd Ring Road in Beijing under both normal and incident traffic conditions.The comparisons show that the AKNN-AVL method with the optimal neighbor and pattern size outperforms both KNN method and ARMA method under both normal and incident traffic conditions. In addition, the combinations of clustering method and balanced binary tree technique to the prediction method can increase the searching speed and respond rapidly to case database fluctuations. 展开更多
关键词 engineering of communication and transportation system short-term traffic flow prediction advanced k-nearest neighbor method pattern recognition balanced binary tree technique
在线阅读 下载PDF
Knowledge mining collaborative DESVM correction method in short-term load forecasting 被引量:3
12
作者 牛东晓 王建军 刘金朋 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第4期1211-1216,共6页
Short-term forecasting is a difficult problem because of the influence of non-linear factors and irregular events.A novel short-term forecasting method named TIK was proposed,in which ARMA forecasting model was used t... Short-term forecasting is a difficult problem because of the influence of non-linear factors and irregular events.A novel short-term forecasting method named TIK was proposed,in which ARMA forecasting model was used to consider the load time series trend forecasting,intelligence forecasting DESVR model was applied to estimate the non-linear influence,and knowledge mining methods were applied to correct the errors caused by irregular events.In order to prove the effectiveness of the proposed model,an application of the daily maximum load forecasting was evaluated.The experimental results show that the DESVR model improves the mean absolute percentage error(MAPE) from 2.82% to 2.55%,and the knowledge rules can improve the MAPE from 2.55% to 2.30%.Compared with the single ARMA forecasting method and ARMA combined SVR forecasting method,it can be proved that TIK method gains the best performance in short-term load forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 load forecasting support vector regression knowledge mining ARMA differential evolution
在线阅读 下载PDF
Machine-learning-aided precise prediction of deletions with next-generation sequencing
13
作者 管瑞 髙敬阳 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第12期3239-3247,共9页
When detecting deletions in complex human genomes,split-read approaches using short reads generated with next-generation sequencing still face the challenge that either false discovery rate is high,or sensitivity is l... When detecting deletions in complex human genomes,split-read approaches using short reads generated with next-generation sequencing still face the challenge that either false discovery rate is high,or sensitivity is low.To address the problem,an integrated strategy is proposed.It organically combines the fundamental theories of the three mainstream methods(read-pair approaches,split-read technologies and read-depth analysis) with modern machine learning algorithms,using the recipe of feature extraction as a bridge.Compared with the state-of-art split-read methods for deletion detection in both low and high sequence coverage,the machine-learning-aided strategy shows great ability in intelligently balancing sensitivity and false discovery rate and getting a both more sensitive and more precise call set at single-base-pair resolution.Thus,users do not need to rely on former experience to make an unnecessary trade-off beforehand and adjust parameters over and over again any more.It should be noted that modern machine learning models can play an important role in the field of structural variation prediction. 展开更多
关键词 next-generation sequencing deletion prediction sensitivity false discovery rate feature extraction machine learning
在线阅读 下载PDF
Vari-gram language model based on word clustering
14
作者 袁里驰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第4期1057-1062,共6页
Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with g... Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with good performance and less computation.2) Class-based method always loses the prediction ability to adapt the text in different domains.In order to solve above problems,a definition of word similarity by utilizing mutual information was presented.Based on word similarity,the definition of word set similarity was given.Experiments show that word clustering algorithm based on similarity is better than conventional greedy clustering method in speed and performance,and the perplexity is reduced from 283 to 218.At the same time,an absolute weighted difference method was presented and was used to construct vari-gram language model which has good prediction ability.The perplexity of vari-gram model is reduced from 234.65 to 219.14 on Chinese corpora,and is reduced from 195.56 to 184.25 on English corpora compared with category-based model. 展开更多
关键词 word similarity word clustering statistical language model vari-gram language model
在线阅读 下载PDF
An improved constrained model predictive control approach for Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems 被引量:1
15
作者 李妍 陈雪原 +1 位作者 毛志忠 袁平 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第3期926-932,共7页
Many industry processes can be described as Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems. In this work, an improved constrained model predictive control algorithm is presented for Hammerstein-Wiener systems. In the new approa... Many industry processes can be described as Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems. In this work, an improved constrained model predictive control algorithm is presented for Hammerstein-Wiener systems. In the new approach, the maximum and minimum of partial derivative for input and output nonlinearities are solved in the neighbourhood of the equilibrium. And several parameter-dependent Lyapunov functions, each one corresponding to a different vertex of polytopic descriptions models, are introduced to analyze the stability of Hammerstein-Wiener systems, but only one Lyapunov function is utilized to analyze system stability like the traditional method. Consequently, the conservation of the traditional quadratic stability is removed, and the terminal regions are enlarged. Simulation and field trial results show that the proposed algorithm is valid. It has higher control precision and shorter blowing time than the traditional approach. 展开更多
关键词 Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems model predictive control parameter-dependent Lyapunov functions stability linear matrix inequalities (LMIs)
在线阅读 下载PDF
Quality prediction and control of tube hollow 被引量:1
16
作者 肖冬 王继春 +1 位作者 潘孝礼 毛志忠 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第3期767-772,共6页
The quality prediction of tube hollow model based on the variance staged multiway partial least square (MPLS) method was proposed.The key aspects of staged decomposition of the productive data,calculation of the varia... The quality prediction of tube hollow model based on the variance staged multiway partial least square (MPLS) method was proposed.The key aspects of staged decomposition of the productive data,calculation of the variance value,modeling,and on-lined prediction in the variance-staged MPLS method were introduced.Based on the model,iterative optimal control method was used for quality control of tube hollow.The experimental results show that the obvious benefits of this method are low maintenance cost,good real time function,high reliability precision,and practical application to on-line prediction and optimization on the quality of tube hollow. 展开更多
关键词 seamless tubes cross piercing tube hollow quality control variance-staged multiway partial least square (MPLS) iterative optimal control
在线阅读 下载PDF
Developing energy forecasting model using hybrid artificial intelligence method
17
作者 Shahram Mollaiy-Berneti 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第8期3026-3032,共7页
An important problem in demand planning for energy consumption is developing an accurate energy forecasting model. In fact, it is not possible to allocate the energy resources in an optimal manner without having accur... An important problem in demand planning for energy consumption is developing an accurate energy forecasting model. In fact, it is not possible to allocate the energy resources in an optimal manner without having accurate demand value. A new energy forecasting model was proposed based on the back-propagation(BP) type neural network and imperialist competitive algorithm. The proposed method offers the advantage of local search ability of BP technique and global search ability of imperialist competitive algorithm. Two types of empirical data regarding the energy demand(gross domestic product(GDP), population, import, export and energy demand) in Turkey from 1979 to 2005 and electricity demand(population, GDP, total revenue from exporting industrial products and electricity consumption) in Thailand from 1986 to 2010 were investigated to demonstrate the applicability and merits of the present method. The performance of the proposed model is found to be better than that of conventional back-propagation neural network with low mean absolute error. 展开更多
关键词 energy demand artificial neural network back-propagation algorithm imperialist competitive algorithm
在线阅读 下载PDF
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部