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社会对极端冰雪灾害响应程度的定量评估研究 被引量:10
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作者 陈正洪 《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2010年第3期119-122,共4页
为了定量评估社会对极端冰雪灾害响应的速度和程度,以湖北省影响较大的媒体《楚天金报》2008年1月9日至2月5日每天刊载相关文章的版面位置、版面数、专版数为基础数据构成一个综合指标,研究其动态变化及与气象因子的关系,建立了综合指... 为了定量评估社会对极端冰雪灾害响应的速度和程度,以湖北省影响较大的媒体《楚天金报》2008年1月9日至2月5日每天刊载相关文章的版面位置、版面数、专版数为基础数据构成一个综合指标,研究其动态变化及与气象因子的关系,建立了综合指标的气象评估(预测)方程和社会应急响应程度的气象因子预测(评估)模型,划分了灾害等级及对应的气象指标,可供今后防灾工作借鉴。结果表明:(1)该指标能较好反映社会对冰雪灾害应急响应的速度和程度,其峰谷变化与积雪深度变化一致,并能反映灾害逐步加重以及认识逐步加深的3次过程;(2)该指标与积雪深度正相关且最显著,与低温负相关、与日雨雪量或雪量不相关,但与前2-3天的雪量正相关,与雪量累积以及低温累积的相关性显著提高,说明短期的降雪和低温对社会危害有限,只有持续较长时的降雪、深厚积雪、低温才会对社会产生严重危害;(3)当积雪深度超过8.0(19.0)cm,或者累积最低气温低于-7.0(-43.0)℃,或者累积雪量超过24.0(54.0)cm时,就会开始产生严重(极其严重)危害,社会关注度和响应度就会开始(明显)提高。 展开更多
关键词 低温雨雪冰冻灾害 社会应急响应度 综合指数 相关性 预测(评估)模型 灾害等级划分
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Analytical models for evaluating buoyancy-driven ventilation due to stack effect in a shaft considering heat transfer from shaft interior boundaries 被引量:1
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作者 阳东 李百战 +1 位作者 杜涛 李楠 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第3期651-656,共6页
Stack effect is a dominant driving force for building natural ventilation.Analytical models were developed for the evaluation of stack effect in a shaft,accounting for the heat transfer from shaft interior boundaries.... Stack effect is a dominant driving force for building natural ventilation.Analytical models were developed for the evaluation of stack effect in a shaft,accounting for the heat transfer from shaft interior boundaries.Both the conditions with constant heat flux from boundaries to the airflow and the ones with constant boundary temperature were considered.The prediction capabilities of these analytical models were evaluated by using large eddy simulation(LES) for a hypothetical shaft.The results show that there are fairly good agreements between the predictions of the analytical models and the LES predictions in mass flow rate,vertical temperatures profile and pressure difference as well.Both the results of analytical models and LES show that the neutral plane could locate higher than one half of the shaft height when the upper opening area is identical with the lower opening area.Further,it is also shown that the analytical models perform better than KLOTE's model does in the mass flow rate prediction. 展开更多
关键词 stack effect theoretical analysis large eddy simulation vertical temperature distribution heat transfer
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Error assessment of laser cutting predictions by semi-supervised learning
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作者 Mustafa Zaidi Imran Amin +1 位作者 Ahmad Hussain Nukman Yusoff 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第10期3736-3745,共10页
Experimentation data of perspex glass sheet cutting, using CO2 laser, with missing values were modelled with semi-supervised artificial neural networks. Factorial design of experiment was selected for the verification... Experimentation data of perspex glass sheet cutting, using CO2 laser, with missing values were modelled with semi-supervised artificial neural networks. Factorial design of experiment was selected for the verification of orthogonal array based model prediction. It shows improvement in modelling of edge quality and kerf width by applying semi-supervised learning algorithm, based on novel error assessment on simulations. The results are expected to depict better prediction on average by utilizing the systematic randomized techniques to initialize the neural network weights and increase the number of initialization. Missing values handling is difficult with statistical tools and supervised learning techniques; on the other hand, semi-supervised learning generates better results with the smallest datasets even with missing values. 展开更多
关键词 semi-supervised learning training algorithm kerf width edge quality laser cutting process artificial neural network(ANN)
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