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基于蒙特·卡罗方法的可靠性仿真过程模型研究 被引量:21
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作者 张玉涛 唐俊 +1 位作者 张明清 林长春 《系统工程与电子技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2008年第7期1374-1377,1385,共5页
针对传统可靠性仿真过程缺乏准确度以及仿真结果缺乏可信度等问题,通过嵌入验证模块和反馈模块,给出了改进的可靠性仿真过程模型。深入分析了改进后的仿真过程模型的具体步骤,随后基于蒙特.卡罗方法设计并实现了相应的可靠性仿真算法。... 针对传统可靠性仿真过程缺乏准确度以及仿真结果缺乏可信度等问题,通过嵌入验证模块和反馈模块,给出了改进的可靠性仿真过程模型。深入分析了改进后的仿真过程模型的具体步骤,随后基于蒙特.卡罗方法设计并实现了相应的可靠性仿真算法。最后,应用Matlab软件进行了仿真实验分析。实验结果表明,改进后的过程模型能够显著提高可靠性仿真的效率和精度,对于系统可靠性分析具有良好的指导意义和实用价值。 展开更多
关键词 可靠性 可靠性仿真 蒙特·卡罗方法 过程模型
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基于Monte Carlo方法的软件移植风险测试与实际处理过程
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作者 徐明 孙小兵 詹敏 《南京师大学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第4期131-136,共6页
针对软件移植过程中可能出现的风险,本文分析了各种应对策略以及实际处理过程.按照软件移植的风险测试及处理顺序,文中首先给出了功能风险因素分析,作为预测软件移植是否成功的首要标志.在完成了软件移植过程中对于产生的各种错误进行... 针对软件移植过程中可能出现的风险,本文分析了各种应对策略以及实际处理过程.按照软件移植的风险测试及处理顺序,文中首先给出了功能风险因素分析,作为预测软件移植是否成功的首要标志.在完成了软件移植过程中对于产生的各种错误进行测试以及处理之后,深入探讨了Monte Carlo测试法,作为移植后软件正确性、稳定性的一种最终检测手段,凸显在软件移植全过程中的重要地位.文章以JSP平台到.NET平台转换为例,详细阐述了软件移植的具体过程.该软件移植风险分析思路已成功运用于某管理系统项目的软件移植过程中. 展开更多
关键词 软件移植 风险因素 蒙特·卡罗方法 JSP .NET
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Elbow precision machining technology by abrasive flow based on direct Monte Carlo method 被引量:4
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作者 LI Jun-ye ZHU Zhi-bao +4 位作者 WANG Bin-yu ZHANG Xin-ming WANG Fei ZHAO Wei-hong XU Cheng-yu 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第12期3667-3683,共17页
The investigation was carried out on the technical problems of finishing the inner surface of elbow parts and the action mechanism of particles in elbow precision machining by abrasive flow.This work was analyzed and ... The investigation was carried out on the technical problems of finishing the inner surface of elbow parts and the action mechanism of particles in elbow precision machining by abrasive flow.This work was analyzed and researched by combining theory,numerical and experimental methods.The direct simulation Monte Carlo(DSMC)method and the finite element analysis method were combined to reveal the random collision of particles during the precision machining of abrasive flow.Under different inlet velocity,volume fraction and abrasive particle size,the dynamic pressure and turbulence flow energy of abrasive flow in elbow were analyzed,and the machining mechanism of particles on the wall and the influence of different machining parameters on the precision machining quality of abrasive flow were obtained.The test results show the order of the influence of different parameters on the quality of abrasive flow precision machining and establish the optimal process parameters.The results of the surface morphology before and after the precision machining of the inner surface of the elbow are discussed,and the surface roughness Ra value is reduced from 1.125μm to 0.295μm after the precision machining of the abrasive flow.The application of DSMC method provides special insights for the development of abrasive flow technology. 展开更多
关键词 precision machining by abrasive flow direct simulation Monte Carlo method abrasive particle collision processing technology
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Time-variant reliability analysis of three-dimensional slopes based on Support Vector Machine method 被引量:4
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作者 陈昌富 肖治宇 张根宝 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第6期2108-2114,共7页
In the reliability analysis of slope, the performance functions derived from the most available stability analysis procedures of slopes are usually implicit and cannot be solved by first-order second-moment approach. ... In the reliability analysis of slope, the performance functions derived from the most available stability analysis procedures of slopes are usually implicit and cannot be solved by first-order second-moment approach. A new reliability analysis approach was presented based on three-dimensional Morgenstem-Price method to investigate three-dimensional effect of landslide in stability analyses. To obtain the reliability index, Support Vector Machine (SVM) was applied to approximate the performance function. The time-consuming of this approach is only 0.028% of that using Monte-Carlo method at the same computation accuracy. Also, the influence of time effect of shearing strength parameters of slope soils on the long-term reliability of three-dimensional slopes was investigated by this new approach. It is found that the reliability index of the slope would decrease by 52.54% and the failure probability would increase from 0.000 705% to 1.966%. In the end, the impact of variation coefficients of c andfon reliability index of slopes was taken into discussion and the changing trend was observed. 展开更多
关键词 slope engineering Morgenstern-Price method three dimension Support Vector Machine time-variant reliability
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Reliability analysis of supporting pressure in tunnels based on three-dimensional failure mechanism 被引量:7
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作者 罗卫华 李闻韬 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第5期1243-1252,共10页
Based on nonlinear failure criterion,a three-dimensional failure mechanism of the possible collapse of deep tunnel is presented with limit analysis theory.Support pressure is taken into consideration in the virtual wo... Based on nonlinear failure criterion,a three-dimensional failure mechanism of the possible collapse of deep tunnel is presented with limit analysis theory.Support pressure is taken into consideration in the virtual work equation performed under the upper bound theorem.It is necessary to point out that the properties of surrounding rock mass plays a vital role in the shape of collapsing rock mass.The first order reliability method and Monte Carlo simulation method are then employed to analyze the stability of presented mechanism.Different rock parameters are considered random variables to value the corresponding reliability index with an increasing applied support pressure.The reliability indexes calculated by two methods are in good agreement.Sensitivity analysis was performed and the influence of coefficient variation of rock parameters was discussed.It is shown that the tensile strength plays a much more important role in reliability index than dimensionless parameter,and that small changes occurring in the coefficient of variation would make great influence of reliability index.Thus,significant attention should be paid to the properties of surrounding rock mass and the applied support pressure to maintain the stability of tunnel can be determined for a given reliability index. 展开更多
关键词 rectangular tunnel limit analysis failure mechanism reliability analysis
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Comparison of GUF and Monte Carlo methods to evaluate task-specific uncertainty in laser tracker measurement 被引量:1
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作者 杨景照 李国喜 +2 位作者 吴宝中 龚京忠 王杰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第10期3793-3804,共12页
Measurement uncertainty plays an important role in laser tracking measurement analyses. In the present work, the guides to the expression of uncertainty in measurement(GUM) uncertainty framework(GUF) and its supplemen... Measurement uncertainty plays an important role in laser tracking measurement analyses. In the present work, the guides to the expression of uncertainty in measurement(GUM) uncertainty framework(GUF) and its supplement, the Monte Carlo method, were used to estimate the uncertainty of task-specific laser tracker measurements. First, the sources of error in laser tracker measurement were analyzed in detail, including instruments, measuring network fusion, measurement strategies, measurement process factors(such as the operator), measurement environment, and task-specific data processing. Second, the GUM and Monte Carlo methods and their application to laser tracker measurement were presented. Finally, a case study involving the uncertainty estimation of a cylindricity measurement process using the GUF and Monte Carlo methods was illustrated. The expanded uncertainty results(at 95% confidence levels) obtained with the Monte Carlo method are 0.069 mm(least-squares criterion) and 0.062 mm(minimum zone criterion), respectively, while with the GUM uncertainty framework, none but the result of least-squares criterion can be got, which is 0.071 mm. Thus, the GUM uncertainty framework slightly underestimates the overall uncertainty by 10%. The results demonstrate that the two methods have different characteristics in task-specific uncertainty evaluations of laser tracker measurements. The results indicate that the Monte Carlo method is a practical tool for applying the principle of propagation of distributions and does not depend on the assumptions and limitations required by the law of propagation of uncertainties(GUF). These features of the Monte Carlo method reduce the risk of an unreliable measurement of uncertainty estimation, particularly in cases of complicated measurement models, without the need to evaluate partial derivatives. In addition, the impact of sampling strategy and evaluation method on the uncertainty of the measurement results can also be taken into account with Monte Carlo method, which plays a guiding role in measurement planning. 展开更多
关键词 task-specific uncertainty laser tracker measurement uncertainty evaluation Monte Carlo method uncertainy framework(GUF)
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Natural ventilation performance of single room building with fluctuating wind speed and thermal mass 被引量:3
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作者 TAN Gang 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第3期733-739,共7页
Natural ventilation is driven by either buoyancy forces or wind pressure forces or their combinations that inherit stochastic variation into ventilation rates. Since the ventilation rate is a nonlinear function of mul... Natural ventilation is driven by either buoyancy forces or wind pressure forces or their combinations that inherit stochastic variation into ventilation rates. Since the ventilation rate is a nonlinear function of multiple variable factors including wind speed, wind direction, internal heat source and building structural thermal mass, the conventional methods for quantifying ventilation rate simply using dominant wind direction and average wind speed may not accurately describe the characteristic performance of natural ventilation. From a new point of view, the natural ventilation performance of a single room building under fluctuating wind speed condition using the Monte-Carlo simulation approach was investigated by incorporating building facade thermal mass effect. Given a same hourly turbulence intensity distribution, the wind speeds with 1 rain frequency fluctuations were generated using a stochastic model, the modified GARCH model. Comparisons of natural ventilation profiles, effective ventilation rates, and air conditioning electricity use for a three-month period show statistically significant differences (for 80% confidence interval) between the new calculations and the traditional methods based on hourly average wind speed. 展开更多
关键词 natural ventilation fluctuating wind speed thermal mass GARCH model
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Application of response surface method for contact fatigue reliability analysis of spur gear with consideration of EHL 被引量:2
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作者 胡贇 刘少军 +1 位作者 丁晟 廖雅诗 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第7期2549-2556,共8页
In order to consider the effects of elastohydrodynamic lubrication(EHL) on contact fatigue reliability of spur gear, an accurate and efficient method that combines with response surface method(RSM) and first order sec... In order to consider the effects of elastohydrodynamic lubrication(EHL) on contact fatigue reliability of spur gear, an accurate and efficient method that combines with response surface method(RSM) and first order second moment method(FOSM) was developed for estimating the contact fatigue reliability of spur gear under EHL. The mechanical model of contact stress analysis of spur gear under EHL was established, in which the oil film pressure was mapped into hertz contact zone. Considering the randomness of EHL, material properties and fatigue strength correction factors, the proposed method was used to analyze the contact fatigue reliability of spur gear under EHL. Compared with the results of 1.5×105 by traditional Monte-Carlo, the difference between the two failure probability results calculated by the above mentioned methods is 2.2×10-4, the relative error of the failure probability results is 26.8%, and time-consuming only accounts for 0.14% of the traditional Monte-Carlo method(MCM). Sensitivity analysis results are in very good agreement with practical cognition. Analysis results show that the proposed method is precise and efficient, and could correctly reflect the influence of EHL on contact fatigue reliability of spur gear. 展开更多
关键词 response surface contact fatigue reliability spur gear elastohydrodynamic lubrication
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Stability,detonation properties and pyrolysis mechanisms of polynitrotriprismanes C_6H_(6-n)(NO_2)_n (n=1-6)
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作者 唐忠海 欧阳永中 +1 位作者 梁逸曾 饶力群 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第5期1395-1401,共7页
To further test whether polynitriprismanes are capable of being potential high energy density materials (HEDMs), extensive theoretical calculations were carried out to investigate on a series of polynitrotriprisman... To further test whether polynitriprismanes are capable of being potential high energy density materials (HEDMs), extensive theoretical calculations were carried out to investigate on a series of polynitrotriprismanes (PNNPs): C6H6-.(NO2). (n=1-6) Heats of formation (HOFs), strain energies (SE), and disproportionation energy (DE) were obtained using B3LYP/6-311+G(2df, 2p)//B3LYP/6-31G* method by designing different isodesmic reactions, respectively. Detonation properties of PNNPs were obtained by the well-known KAMLET-JACOBS equations, using the predicted densities (p) obtained by Monte Carlo method and HOFs. It is found that they increase as the number of nitro groups n varies from 1 to 6, and PNNPs with n〉4 have excellent detonation properties The relative stability and the pyrolysis mechanism of PNNPs were evaluated by the calculated bond dissociation energy (BDE). The comparison of BDE suggests that rupturing the C--C bond is the trigger for thermolysis of PNNPs. The computed BDE for cleavage of C--C bond (88.5 kJ/mol) further demonstrates that only the hexa-nitrotriprismane can be considered to be the target of HEDMs. 展开更多
关键词 high energy density materials polynitrotriprismanes heats of formation strain energies disproportionation energy bond dissociation energy
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One-step random-walk process of nanoparticles in cement-based materials 被引量:2
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作者 Ali BAHARI Aref SADEGHI-NIK +3 位作者 Elena CERRO-PRADA Adel SADEGHI-NIK Mandana ROODBARI Yan ZHUGE 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第6期1679-1691,共13页
Efficient modelling approaches capable of predicting the behavior and effects of nanoparticles in cement-based materials are required for conducting relevant experiments.From the microstructural characterization of a ... Efficient modelling approaches capable of predicting the behavior and effects of nanoparticles in cement-based materials are required for conducting relevant experiments.From the microstructural characterization of a cement-nanoparticle system,this paper investigates the potential of cell-based weighted random-walk method to establish statistically significant relationships between chemical bonding and diffusion processes of nanoparticles within cement matrix.LaSr_(0.5)C_(0.5)O_(3)(LSCO)nanoparticles were employed to develop a discrete event system that accounts for the behavior of individual cells where nanoparticles and cement components were expected to interact.The stochastic model is based on annihilation(loss)and creation(gain)of a bond in the cell.The model considers both chemical reactions and transport mechanism of nanoparticles from cementitious cells,along with cement hydration process.This approach may be useful for simulating nanoparticle transport in complex 2D cement-based materials systems. 展开更多
关键词 Markov chain Monte Carlo random-walk method Fokker-Planck equation LaSr_(0.5)C_(0.5)O_(3)(LSCO) CEMENT nanoparticle incorporation
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