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我国财政货币政策组合变动的理性预期效应——基于MS-DSGE模型 被引量:10
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作者 夏仕龙 《财贸研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第12期14-29,共16页
从历年国务院政府工作报告总结我国财政货币政策取向组合的变迁规律,得出2008—2017年为积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策、积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策两种取向组合的样本区间,且可用经济主体预期的马尔科夫过程刻画。将符合马... 从历年国务院政府工作报告总结我国财政货币政策取向组合的变迁规律,得出2008—2017年为积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策、积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策两种取向组合的样本区间,且可用经济主体预期的马尔科夫过程刻画。将符合马尔科夫区制转换的政策规则植入含政府部门的新凯恩斯模型,用Maih(2015)开发的RISE软件对MS-DSGE模型进行参数估计和模型求解,通过脉冲响应分析剥离出宏观经济政策不确定性效应,发现经济主体预期的宏观经济政策不确定性会显著影响货币政策冲击、通胀目标冲击和自然利率冲击的效果。因此,政策当局应及时对未来宏观经济政策的取向做出承诺或有效沟通,在预期管理到位的情况下,实现对宏观经济的精准调控。 展开更多
关键词 财政政策 货币政策 组合变动 理性预期 MS-DSGE
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Optical investigations on lean combustion improvement of natural gas engines via turbulence enhancement 被引量:7
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作者 LI Jin-guang ZHANG Ren +3 位作者 YANG Peng-hui PAN Jia-ying WEI Hai-qiao CHEN Lin 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第7期2225-2238,共14页
In the global background of“Carbon Peak”and“Carbon Neutral”,natural gas engines show great advantages in energy-saving and pollution reduction.However,natural gas engines suffer from the issues of combustion insta... In the global background of“Carbon Peak”and“Carbon Neutral”,natural gas engines show great advantages in energy-saving and pollution reduction.However,natural gas engines suffer from the issues of combustion instabilities when operating under lean burning conditions.In this paper,the role of turbulence enhancement in improving the lean combustion of natural gas was investigated in an optical SI engine with high compression ratios.Variable swirl control valves(SCV)were designed and intake tumble and swirl were combined to regulate turbulent motion and turbulent intensity.Particle image velocimetry was employed to measure in-cylinder turbulence,and transient pressure acquisition and high-speed photography were synchronously performed to quantify combustion evolutions.The results show that incylinder turbulent intensity is enhanced significantly through reducing SCV closing angles.Such that flame propagation speed and thermal efficiency are significantly improved with an increment of turbulent intensity,which indicated that mean effective pressures are not sensitive to spark timing.The analysis of flame images shows that the combined turbulence increases in the radial orientation from the spark plug to the cylinder wall,leading to an earlier flame kernel formation and a faster burning rate.Therefore,the combined turbulence has the potential in reducing the cyclic variations of lean combustion in natural gas engines. 展开更多
关键词 optical engines lean combustion combined turbulence early flame kernel cyclic variations
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Distortional buckling analysis of steel-concrete composite box beams considering effect of stud rotational restraint under hogging moment
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作者 JIANG Li-zhong NIE Lei-xin +2 位作者 ZHOU Wang-bao WU Xia LIU Li-li 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第9期3158-3170,共13页
Restrained distortional buckling is an important buckling mode of steel-concrete composite box beams(SCCBB)under the hogging moment.Rotational and lateral deformation restraints of the bottom plate by the webs are ess... Restrained distortional buckling is an important buckling mode of steel-concrete composite box beams(SCCBB)under the hogging moment.Rotational and lateral deformation restraints of the bottom plate by the webs are essential factors affecting SCCBB distortional buckling.Based on the stationary potential energy principle,the analytical expressions for the rotational restraint stiffness(RRS)of the web upper edge as well as the RRS and the lateral restraint stiffness(LRS)of the bottom plate were derived.Also,the SCCBB critical moment formula under the hogging moment was derived.Using twenty specimens,the theoretical calculation method is compared with the finite-element method.Results indicate that the theoretical calculation method can effectively and accurately reflect the restraint effect of the studs,top steel flange,and other factors on the bottom plate.Both the RRS and the LRS have a nonlinear coupling relationship with the external loads and the RRS of the web’s upper edge.Under the hogging moment,the RRS of the web upper edge has a certain influence on the SCCBB distortional buckling critical moment.With increasing RRS of the web upper edge,the SCCBB critical moment increases at first and then tends to be stable. 展开更多
关键词 steel-concrete composite box beams distortional buckling elastic rotational restraint boundary lateral restraint stiffness buckling moment
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