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农业社会化服务对农业面源污染的影响研究——基于塔里木河流域棉农微观调查数据的实证分析 被引量:2
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作者 夏童 余国新 《中国农机化学报》 北大核心 2024年第11期325-333,352,共10页
在经济社会发展全面绿色转型背景下,探究农业社会化服务对农业面源污染的影响,旨在实现减污降碳的同时,为完善农业社会化服务体系提供有力支撑。基于新疆塔里木河流域5地州7县360名棉农的调查数据,通过普通最小二乘法和倾向得分匹配法... 在经济社会发展全面绿色转型背景下,探究农业社会化服务对农业面源污染的影响,旨在实现减污降碳的同时,为完善农业社会化服务体系提供有力支撑。基于新疆塔里木河流域5地州7县360名棉农的调查数据,通过普通最小二乘法和倾向得分匹配法分析农业社会化服务对农业面源污染的影响,进一步运用逆向概率加权法对农业社会化服务采纳程度与农业面源污染排放量的关系进行实证检验。实证结果表明:不同农业社会化服务类型对农业面源污染的影响存在差异。其中,农业技术服务和农业机械服务对农业面源污染具有显著抑制作用,分别降低农户每公顷农资投入费用约1070元和1170元,而农业保险服务对农业面源污染存在显著正向影响。控制变量中,务农年限、家庭非农劳动力比例、种植规模对农业面源污染具有显著正向影响,而土壤肥力具有负向影响。农业社会化服务采纳程度越高,农业面源污染排放程度越低,且农业机械服务与农业技术服务的协同作用能够进一步降低农业面源污染,相较于仅采纳机械服务或技术服务,同时购买两项服务的农户农资投入费用分别减少约640元和800元。据此,提出积极推进各方主体参与环境污染综合治理,完善环境污染防控协作共治机制;加强农业科技投入,研发农业面源污染防控先进技术;把握农户差异化诉求,提供针对性农业社会化服务的对策建议。 展开更多
关键词 塔里木河流域 农业社会化服务 农业面源污染 线性多元回归法 倾向值得分匹配
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Influence of confined water on the limit support pressure of tunnel face in weakly water-rich strata
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作者 LI Yun-fa WU Guo-jun +2 位作者 CHEN Wei-zhong YUAN Jing-qiang HUO Meng-zhe 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第8期2844-2859,共16页
In the process of shield tunneling through soft soil layers,the presence of confined water ahead poses a significant threat to the stability of the tunnel face.Therefore,it is crucial to consider the impact of confine... In the process of shield tunneling through soft soil layers,the presence of confined water ahead poses a significant threat to the stability of the tunnel face.Therefore,it is crucial to consider the impact of confined water on the limit support pressure of the tunnel face.This study employed the finite element method(FEM)to analyze the limit support pressure of shield tunnel face instability within a pressurized water-containing layer.Subsequently,a multiple linear regression approach was applied to derive a concise solution formula for the limit support pressure,incorporating various influencing factors.The analysis yields the following conclusions:1)The influence of confined water on the instability mode of the tunnel face in soft soil layers makes the displacement response of the strata not significant when the face is unstable;2)The limit support pressure increases approximately linearly with the pressure head,shield tunnel diameter,and tunnel burial depth.And inversely proportional to the thickness of the impermeable layer,soil cohesion and internal friction angle;3)Through an engineering case study analysis,the results align well with those obtained from traditional theoretical methods,thereby validating the rationality of the equations proposed in this paper.Furthermore,the proposed equations overcome the limitation of traditional theoretical approaches considering the influence of changes in impermeable layer thickness.It can accurately depict the dynamic variation in the required limit support pressure to maintain the stability of the tunnel face during shield tunneling,thus better reflecting engineering reality. 展开更多
关键词 weakly water-rich strata confined aquifer limit support pressure finite element method multiple linear regression
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