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基于小波神经网络方法的电力需求预测 被引量:8
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作者 沈放 吴静进 谢风连 《电网与清洁能源》 北大核心 2017年第7期90-96,共7页
当前,诸多研究人员被电力负载预测所吸引,由于其是精确计划、调度及运维电力系统的先决条件。众多因素均影响着电力负载预测,因此提出一个混合模型来提升预测的准确性是有必要的。文中提出一种采用2种方法的新的混合负载估计方案:小波变... 当前,诸多研究人员被电力负载预测所吸引,由于其是精确计划、调度及运维电力系统的先决条件。众多因素均影响着电力负载预测,因此提出一个混合模型来提升预测的准确性是有必要的。文中提出一种采用2种方法的新的混合负载估计方案:小波变换(avelet transform,WT)和人工神经网络(artificial neural network,ANN)。为了将大型非对称时变电力原始数据集合考虑到其中,根据时间和频率采用小波技术来分解数据,众多小波函数可以采用,但选择一种合适的小波函数在设计此模型中扮演着关键作用。文中采用了以下几种类型的小波函数,即Haar小波函数、Deubechies小波函数、Symlet小波函数以及Coiflet小波函数,将电力负载数据分解成不同的段。随后,使用ANN来预测负载的非线性数据。由AEMO获取一周每天24 h的数据验证了文中所设计模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 小波变换 离散小波变换 人工神经网络 小波变换神经网络 短期负载预测
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A new support vector machine optimized by improved particle swarm optimization and its application 被引量:3
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作者 李翔 杨尚东 乞建勋 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2006年第5期568-572,共5页
A new support vector machine (SVM) optimized by an improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) combined with simulated annealing algorithm (SA) was proposed. By incorporating with the simulated annealing method, ... A new support vector machine (SVM) optimized by an improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) combined with simulated annealing algorithm (SA) was proposed. By incorporating with the simulated annealing method, the global searching capacity of the particle swarm optimization(SAPSO) was enchanced, and the searching capacity of the particle swarm optimization was studied. Then, the improyed particle swarm optimization algorithm was used to optimize the parameters of SVM (c,σ and ε). Based on the operational data provided by a regional power grid in north China, the method was used in the actual short term load forecasting. The results show that compared to the PSO-SVM and the traditional SVM, the average time of the proposed method in the experimental process reduces by 11.6 s and 31.1 s, and the precision of the proposed method increases by 1.24% and 3.18%, respectively. So, the improved method is better than the PSO-SVM and the traditional SVM. 展开更多
关键词 support vector machine particle swarm optimization algorithm short-term load forecasting simulated annealing
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Improved wavelet neural network combined with particle swarm optimization algorithm and its application 被引量:1
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作者 李翔 杨尚东 +1 位作者 乞建勋 杨淑霞 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 2006年第3期256-259,共4页
An improved wavelet neural network algorithm which combines with particle swarm optimization was proposed to avoid encountering the curse of dimensionality and overcome the shortage in the responding speed and learnin... An improved wavelet neural network algorithm which combines with particle swarm optimization was proposed to avoid encountering the curse of dimensionality and overcome the shortage in the responding speed and learning ability brought about by the traditional models. Based on the operational data provided by a regional power grid in the south of China, the method was used in the actual short term load forecasting. The results show that the average time cost of the proposed method in the experiment process is reduced by 12.2 s, and the precision of the proposed method is increased by 3.43% compared to the traditional wavelet network. Consequently, the improved wavelet neural network forecasting model is better than the traditional wavelet neural network forecasting model in both forecasting effect and network function. 展开更多
关键词 artificial neural network particle swarm optimization algorithm short-term load forecasting WAVELET curse of dimensionality
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