状态估计作为能量管理系统(EMS)和实时电力市场的基础和核心,正在变得日益重要。该文从信息科学的新视角,对电力系统状态估计的数学基础进行了研究。根据最小信息损失(MIL)决策原理,提出了能够适用于各种概率分布的通用的 MIL 状态估计...状态估计作为能量管理系统(EMS)和实时电力市场的基础和核心,正在变得日益重要。该文从信息科学的新视角,对电力系统状态估计的数学基础进行了研究。根据最小信息损失(MIL)决策原理,提出了能够适用于各种概率分布的通用的 MIL 状态估计新原理。并在理论上证明了加权最加权最小二乘(WLAV)估计法都是MIL 状态估计的特例,将传统状态估计方法在信息学的意义上统一起来,赋予了传统状态估计方法全新的信息学内涵。在 MIL 意义上,针对次输电系统和配电系统状态估计中普遍采用的电流幅值量测,得到了大电流是 WLS 估计法的近似条件。用算例比较了 MIL 和 WLS 状态估计的估计结果,进一步验证了 WLS 法在非正态分布时的近似条件。展开更多
The accurate estimation of road traffic states can provide decision making for travelers and traffic managers. In this work,an algorithm based on kernel-k nearest neighbor(KNN) matching of road traffic spatial charact...The accurate estimation of road traffic states can provide decision making for travelers and traffic managers. In this work,an algorithm based on kernel-k nearest neighbor(KNN) matching of road traffic spatial characteristics is presented to estimate road traffic states. Firstly, the representative road traffic state data were extracted to establish the reference sequences of road traffic running characteristics(RSRTRC). Secondly, the spatial road traffic state data sequence was selected and the kernel function was constructed, with which the spatial road traffic data sequence could be mapped into a high dimensional feature space. Thirdly, the referenced and current spatial road traffic data sequences were extracted and the Euclidean distances in the feature space between them were obtained. Finally, the road traffic states were estimated from weighted averages of the selected k road traffic states, which corresponded to the nearest Euclidean distances. Several typical links in Beijing were adopted for case studies. The final results of the experiments show that the accuracy of this algorithm for estimating speed and volume is 95.27% and 91.32% respectively, which prove that this road traffic states estimation approach based on kernel-KNN matching of road traffic spatial characteristics is feasible and can achieve a high accuracy.展开更多
文摘状态估计作为能量管理系统(EMS)和实时电力市场的基础和核心,正在变得日益重要。该文从信息科学的新视角,对电力系统状态估计的数学基础进行了研究。根据最小信息损失(MIL)决策原理,提出了能够适用于各种概率分布的通用的 MIL 状态估计新原理。并在理论上证明了加权最加权最小二乘(WLAV)估计法都是MIL 状态估计的特例,将传统状态估计方法在信息学的意义上统一起来,赋予了传统状态估计方法全新的信息学内涵。在 MIL 意义上,针对次输电系统和配电系统状态估计中普遍采用的电流幅值量测,得到了大电流是 WLS 估计法的近似条件。用算例比较了 MIL 和 WLS 状态估计的估计结果,进一步验证了 WLS 法在非正态分布时的近似条件。
基金Projects(LQ16E080012,LY14F030012)supported by the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation,ChinaProject(61573317)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2015001)supported by the Open Fund for a Key-Key Discipline of Zhejiang University of Technology,China
文摘The accurate estimation of road traffic states can provide decision making for travelers and traffic managers. In this work,an algorithm based on kernel-k nearest neighbor(KNN) matching of road traffic spatial characteristics is presented to estimate road traffic states. Firstly, the representative road traffic state data were extracted to establish the reference sequences of road traffic running characteristics(RSRTRC). Secondly, the spatial road traffic state data sequence was selected and the kernel function was constructed, with which the spatial road traffic data sequence could be mapped into a high dimensional feature space. Thirdly, the referenced and current spatial road traffic data sequences were extracted and the Euclidean distances in the feature space between them were obtained. Finally, the road traffic states were estimated from weighted averages of the selected k road traffic states, which corresponded to the nearest Euclidean distances. Several typical links in Beijing were adopted for case studies. The final results of the experiments show that the accuracy of this algorithm for estimating speed and volume is 95.27% and 91.32% respectively, which prove that this road traffic states estimation approach based on kernel-KNN matching of road traffic spatial characteristics is feasible and can achieve a high accuracy.
