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基于PSO-KELM的煤与瓦斯突出预测研究
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作者 王小生 尹亚红 +2 位作者 涂军 张小健 杨晋 《能源与环保》 2025年第3期60-64,共5页
煤与瓦斯突出是煤矿开采过程中常见的一种地质灾害,为保障井下工作人员的生命安全和国民经济的稳定增长,融合智能优化算法和机器学习算法,以核极限学习机(KELM)作为基准预测模型,结合粒子群算法(PSO)优化KELM关键参数,规避了人为预设导... 煤与瓦斯突出是煤矿开采过程中常见的一种地质灾害,为保障井下工作人员的生命安全和国民经济的稳定增长,融合智能优化算法和机器学习算法,以核极限学习机(KELM)作为基准预测模型,结合粒子群算法(PSO)优化KELM关键参数,规避了人为预设导致的性能缺陷,提高预测模型分类精度。结合现场实测数据,对指标预处理进行有效性分析,验证优化预处理后的模型精度较未处理有所提升;以预处理后的数据样本作为模型输入,对各基准预测模型进行对比,证明了KELM基准预测模型的稳定性和优越性;将PSO-KELM模型与其他常用模型进行30次预测对比实验。结果表明,PSO-KELM模型平均预测准确率达到86.33%,较其他模型具有更好的预测精度和更快的收敛速度,为煤与瓦斯突出预测工作提供了一种新的有效方法和理论支撑。 展开更多
关键词 PSO-KELM模型 煤与瓦斯突出灾害 风险预测粒子群算法 核极限学习机
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Mechanism of stepwise tectonic control on gas occurrence: A study in North China 被引量:1
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作者 Jia Tianrang Zhang Zimin +1 位作者 Wei Guoying Tang Chun'an 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第4期601-606,共6页
To gain an understanding of gas occurrence, distribution is the fundamental basis for preventing gas disasters. Presently, how tectonic structures control gas occurrence remains problematic. This study proposes the th... To gain an understanding of gas occurrence, distribution is the fundamental basis for preventing gas disasters. Presently, how tectonic structures control gas occurrence remains problematic. This study proposes the theory and elucidates the mechanism of stepwise tectonic control on gas occurrence according to the characteristics of gas occurrence and the patterns of gas distribution in coal mines in North China. On the one hand, tectonic compression and shearing lead to stress concentration and thus deform the coal and reduce the coal seam permeability, further contributing to gas preservation. On the other hand, tectonic extension and rifting lead to stress release and thus improve the coal seam permeability, further contributing to gas emission. Therefore, the distribution zones of tectonic compression, ubiquitous coal deformation, and gas accumulation have been step-wisely revealed, and the coal-gas outburst proneness zones are finally identified. The proposed theory of step-wise tectonic control on gas occurrence is of practical significance for gas prediction and control. 展开更多
关键词 Gas occurrence Geological structure Stepwise control Tectonic evolution
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