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陕西苹果花期机理性预报模型的适用性评价 被引量:28
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作者 邬定荣 霍治国 +4 位作者 王培娟 王景红 姜会飞 柏秦凤 杨建莹 《应用气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2019年第5期555-564,共10页
以陕西苹果花期为研究对象,针对4个机理性物候模型--顺序模型(SM)、平行模型(PM)、深度休息模型(DRM)和热时模型(TTM),基于各果区代表站的花期数据及同期气象数据订正模型参数,利用内部检验和交叉验证(留一验证)方法,评价模型在模拟花... 以陕西苹果花期为研究对象,针对4个机理性物候模型--顺序模型(SM)、平行模型(PM)、深度休息模型(DRM)和热时模型(TTM),基于各果区代表站的花期数据及同期气象数据订正模型参数,利用内部检验和交叉验证(留一验证)方法,评价模型在模拟花期上的适用性。结果表明:内部检验时各站点的最适模型不同,总体上,SM和TTM均方根误差略低(3.30 d);交叉验证时模型表现相当,各模型平均的均方根误差为4.52 d,略优于内部检验。使用单站外推和求平均后外推将TTM参数应用至果区内其他站,这两种方法的均方根误差均优于国外同类研究(10.0 d),其中单站外推的均方根误差(5.90 d)又高于求平均后外推(7.21 d)。综合考虑模型的复杂性与模拟精度,推荐使用TTM并分果区模拟陕西苹果花期。 展开更多
关键词 苹果花期 机理模型 适用性评价 热时模型
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山西阳高杏花期前气温对花期的影响及花期冻害风险分析 被引量:3
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作者 李效珍 李子龙 +3 位作者 李腊平 王志伟 张勋 刘鹏 《中国果树》 北大核心 2023年第9期27-31,共5页
利用1981—2021年山西省大同市杏主产区阳高县的气象观测站资料,分析了杏开花前气温对花期的影响;采用热时模型利用日平均气温重构阳高县杏花期,分析了模型的可行性;按照杏花冻害指标阈值提取重度、中度、轻度3个等级冻害终日,采用线性... 利用1981—2021年山西省大同市杏主产区阳高县的气象观测站资料,分析了杏开花前气温对花期的影响;采用热时模型利用日平均气温重构阳高县杏花期,分析了模型的可行性;按照杏花冻害指标阈值提取重度、中度、轻度3个等级冻害终日,采用线性趋势法和风险等级划分法,分析阳高县杏花期冻害风险。结果表明:花期前不同时段气温与花期日序数呈负相关;应用热时模型重构的花期亦呈提前趋势;重度、总冻害风险在降低,而轻度、中度冻害风险呈弱的增加趋势。 展开更多
关键词 阳高 花期前气温 花期 热时模型 花期冻害 风险
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Numerical method and model for calculating thermal storage time for an annular tube with phase change material 被引量:5
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作者 刘泛函 徐建新 +1 位作者 王辉涛 王华 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第1期217-226,共10页
For calculating the thermal storage time for an annular tube with phase change material (PCM), a novel method is proposed. The method is suitable for either low-temperature PCM or high-temperature PCM whose initial ... For calculating the thermal storage time for an annular tube with phase change material (PCM), a novel method is proposed. The method is suitable for either low-temperature PCM or high-temperature PCM whose initial temperature is near the melting point. The deviation fit is smaller than 8% when the time is below 2x104 s. Comparison between the predictions and the reported experimental data of thermal storage time at same conditions is investigated and good agreements have been got. Based on this method, the performance of the thermal storage unit and the role of natural convection are also investigated. Results show a linear relation between the maximum amount of stored heat and thermal storage time, and their ratio increases with the height of the thermal storage unit. As the thickness of the cavity increases, natural convection plays an increasingly important role in promoting the melting behavior of paraffin. When the thickness of the cavity is small, natural convection restrains the melting behavior of paraffin. 展开更多
关键词 natural convection energy storage modeling heat transfer mass transfer
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Numerical and experimental evaluation on methods for parameter identification of thermal response tests 被引量:3
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作者 王沣浩 冯琛琛 +1 位作者 颜亮 王新轲 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第3期816-823,共8页
Several parameter identification methods of thermal response test were evaluated through numerical and experimental study.A three-dimensional finite-volume numerical model was established under the assumption that the... Several parameter identification methods of thermal response test were evaluated through numerical and experimental study.A three-dimensional finite-volume numerical model was established under the assumption that the soil thermal conductivity had been known in the simulation of thermal response test.The thermal response curve was firstly obtained through numerical calculation.Then,the accuracy of the numerical model was verified with measured data obtained through a thermal response test.Based on the numerical and experimental thermal response curves,the thermal conductivity of the soil was calculated by different parameter identification methods.The calculated results were compared with the assumed value and then the accuracy of these methods was evaluated.Furthermore,the effects of test time,variable data quality,borehole radius,initial ground temperature,and heat injection rate were analyzed.The results show that the method based on cylinder-source model has a low precision and the identified thermal conductivity decreases with an increase in borehole radius.For parameter estimation,the measuring accuracy of the initial temperature of the deep ground soil has greater effect on identified thermal conductivity. 展开更多
关键词 ground source heat pump thermal response parameter identification method numerical simulation
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