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改进Grey-Markov模型在油气管道腐蚀深度预测中的应用 被引量:7
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作者 张新生 赵梦旭 《地质科技情报》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第6期286-291,共6页
为解决在役油气管道因腐蚀导致的穿孔泄露等问题,基于GM(1,1)模型及Markov理论,建立了一种管道腐蚀深度预测新方法。首先,利用检测数据建立灰色方程,对油气管道腐蚀深度进行趋势预测;然后,根据趋势预测值进行状态划分,利用马尔可夫理论... 为解决在役油气管道因腐蚀导致的穿孔泄露等问题,基于GM(1,1)模型及Markov理论,建立了一种管道腐蚀深度预测新方法。首先,利用检测数据建立灰色方程,对油气管道腐蚀深度进行趋势预测;然后,根据趋势预测值进行状态划分,利用马尔可夫理论建立滑动转移概率矩阵,通过管道状态变化对管道腐蚀深度进行预测;最后,以胜利海洋石油开发公司孤六联阀组-孤岛首站集输管线试验段为例,对管道腐蚀深度进行了预测,研究结果表明:改进的灰色-马尔可夫模型预测精度较高,预测结果有更高的可信度,能够更好地指导管道的检查维修。 展开更多
关键词 灰色-马尔可夫理论 滑动转移概率矩阵 油气管道 腐蚀 趋势预测
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Clock-based RAIM method and its application in GPS receiver positioning 被引量:4
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作者 滕云龙 师奕兵 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第6期1558-1563,共6页
Because the signals of global positioning system (GPS) satellites are susceptible to obstructions in urban environment with many high buildings around, the number of GPS useful satellites is usually less than six. I... Because the signals of global positioning system (GPS) satellites are susceptible to obstructions in urban environment with many high buildings around, the number of GPS useful satellites is usually less than six. In this case, the receiver autonomous integrity monitoring (RAIM) method earmot exclude faulty satellite. In order to improve the performance of RAIM method and obtain the reliable positioning results with five satellites, the series of receiver clock bias (RCB) is regarded as one useful satellite and used to aid RAIM method. From the point of nonlinear series, a grey-Markov model for predicting the RCB series based on grey theory and Markov chain is presented. And then the model is used for aiding RAIM method in order to exclude faulty satellite. Experimental results demonstrate that the prediction model is fit for predicting the RCB series, and with the clock-based RAIM method the faulty satellite can be correctly excluded and the positioning precision of GPS receiver can be improved for the case where there are only five useful satellites. 展开更多
关键词 positioning precision receiver autonomous integrity monitoring (RAIM) receiver clock bias (RCB) grey theory Markov chain
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