In this paper,a fusion model based on a long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network and enhanced search ant colony optimization(ENSACO)is proposed to predict the power degradation trend of proton exchange membrane fuel...In this paper,a fusion model based on a long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network and enhanced search ant colony optimization(ENSACO)is proposed to predict the power degradation trend of proton exchange membrane fuel cells(PEMFC).Firstly,the Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)value method is used to select external characteristic parameters with high contributions as inputs for the data-driven approach.Next,a novel swarm optimization algorithm,the enhanced search ant colony optimization,is proposed.This algorithm improves the ant colony optimization(ACO)algorithm based on a reinforcement factor to avoid premature convergence and accelerate the convergence speed.Comparative experiments are set up to compare the performance differences between particle swarm optimization(PSO),ACO,and ENSACO.Finally,a data-driven method based on ENSACO-LSTM is proposed to predict the power degradation trend of PEMFCs.And actual aging data is used to validate the method.The results show that,within a limited number of iterations,the optimization capability of ENSACO is significantly stronger than that of PSO and ACO.Additionally,the prediction accuracy of the ENSACO-LSTM method is greatly improved,with an average increase of approximately 50.58%compared to LSTM,PSO-LSTM,and ACO-LSTM.展开更多
According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are comput...According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are computed to determine the time delay and the embedding dimension.Due to different features of the data,data mining algorithm is conducted to classify the data into different groups.Redundant information is eliminated by the advantage of data mining technology,and the historical loads that have highly similar features with the forecasting day are searched by the system.As a result,the training data can be decreased and the computing speed can also be improved when constructing support vector machine(SVM) model.Then,SVM algorithm is used to predict power load with parameters that get in pretreatment.In order to prove the effectiveness of the new model,the calculation with data mining SVM algorithm is compared with that of single SVM and back propagation network.It can be seen that the new DSVM algorithm effectively improves the forecast accuracy by 0.75%,1.10% and 1.73% compared with SVM for two random dimensions of 11-dimension,14-dimension and BP network,respectively.This indicates that the DSVM gains perfect improvement effect in the short-term power load forecasting.展开更多
A performance assisted enhancement Kalman filtering algorithm(PAE-KF) for GPS/INS integration navigation in urban areas was presented in this work. The aim of this PAE-KF algorithm was to prevent "deep contaminat...A performance assisted enhancement Kalman filtering algorithm(PAE-KF) for GPS/INS integration navigation in urban areas was presented in this work. The aim of this PAE-KF algorithm was to prevent "deep contamination" caused by error GPS data. This filtering algorithm effectively combined fault estimation of raw GPS data and nonholonomic constraint of vehicle. In fault estimation, a change point detection algorithm based on abrupt change model was proposed. Statistical tool was then used to infer the future bound of GPS data, which can detect faults in GPS raw data. If any kinds of faults were detected, dead reckoning mechanism begins to compute current position. Nonholonomic constraint condition of vehicle was used to estimate velocity of vehicle and change point detection was added into classic Kalman filtering structure. Experiment on vehicle shows that even when the GPS signals are unavailable for a period of time, this method can also output high accuracy data.展开更多
基金Supported by the Major Science and Technology Project of Jilin Province(20220301010GX)the International Scientific and Technological Cooperation(20240402071GH).
文摘In this paper,a fusion model based on a long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network and enhanced search ant colony optimization(ENSACO)is proposed to predict the power degradation trend of proton exchange membrane fuel cells(PEMFC).Firstly,the Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)value method is used to select external characteristic parameters with high contributions as inputs for the data-driven approach.Next,a novel swarm optimization algorithm,the enhanced search ant colony optimization,is proposed.This algorithm improves the ant colony optimization(ACO)algorithm based on a reinforcement factor to avoid premature convergence and accelerate the convergence speed.Comparative experiments are set up to compare the performance differences between particle swarm optimization(PSO),ACO,and ENSACO.Finally,a data-driven method based on ENSACO-LSTM is proposed to predict the power degradation trend of PEMFCs.And actual aging data is used to validate the method.The results show that,within a limited number of iterations,the optimization capability of ENSACO is significantly stronger than that of PSO and ACO.Additionally,the prediction accuracy of the ENSACO-LSTM method is greatly improved,with an average increase of approximately 50.58%compared to LSTM,PSO-LSTM,and ACO-LSTM.
基金Project(70671039) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are computed to determine the time delay and the embedding dimension.Due to different features of the data,data mining algorithm is conducted to classify the data into different groups.Redundant information is eliminated by the advantage of data mining technology,and the historical loads that have highly similar features with the forecasting day are searched by the system.As a result,the training data can be decreased and the computing speed can also be improved when constructing support vector machine(SVM) model.Then,SVM algorithm is used to predict power load with parameters that get in pretreatment.In order to prove the effectiveness of the new model,the calculation with data mining SVM algorithm is compared with that of single SVM and back propagation network.It can be seen that the new DSVM algorithm effectively improves the forecast accuracy by 0.75%,1.10% and 1.73% compared with SVM for two random dimensions of 11-dimension,14-dimension and BP network,respectively.This indicates that the DSVM gains perfect improvement effect in the short-term power load forecasting.
基金Projects(90820302,60805027)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2011BAK15B06)supported by the National Science and Technology Support Program,China+1 种基金Project(2013M541003)supported by the China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProject(2012YQ090208)supported by the Special-Funded Program on National Key Scientific Instruments and Equipment Development
文摘A performance assisted enhancement Kalman filtering algorithm(PAE-KF) for GPS/INS integration navigation in urban areas was presented in this work. The aim of this PAE-KF algorithm was to prevent "deep contamination" caused by error GPS data. This filtering algorithm effectively combined fault estimation of raw GPS data and nonholonomic constraint of vehicle. In fault estimation, a change point detection algorithm based on abrupt change model was proposed. Statistical tool was then used to infer the future bound of GPS data, which can detect faults in GPS raw data. If any kinds of faults were detected, dead reckoning mechanism begins to compute current position. Nonholonomic constraint condition of vehicle was used to estimate velocity of vehicle and change point detection was added into classic Kalman filtering structure. Experiment on vehicle shows that even when the GPS signals are unavailable for a period of time, this method can also output high accuracy data.
