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基于互信息的湖泊日水位预测——以西洞庭湖为例 被引量:6
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作者 涂月明 付湘 杨会娟 《人民长江》 北大核心 2017年第16期38-42,共5页
鉴于传统的湖泊水位预测在输入因子选择时具有一定的盲目性,以西洞庭湖为例,利用基于互信息的输入因子选择法建立了日水位预测模型。按河流生态功能将水文年划分为枯水期、汛前涨水期、汛期、汛后退水期4个时期,然后分期计算影响湖泊日... 鉴于传统的湖泊水位预测在输入因子选择时具有一定的盲目性,以西洞庭湖为例,利用基于互信息的输入因子选择法建立了日水位预测模型。按河流生态功能将水文年划分为枯水期、汛前涨水期、汛期、汛后退水期4个时期,然后分期计算影响湖泊日水位的自变量与日水位的互信息,并引入广义相关系数将互信息归一化,选出各时期互信息最大的自变量因子作为模型的输入变量。经过模型计算与数据分析可得:F检验结果显著,回归值与实测值的相关度高,剩余标准差小。由此证明用互信息筛选出的因子作为模型的输入变量能取得较好的精度并在实际中易于操作。 展开更多
关键词 互信息 湖泊水位预测 水位预测模型 湖泊生态安全 西洞庭湖
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Boussinesq equation-based model for flow in drainage layer of highway 被引量:2
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作者 但汉成 罗苏平 +1 位作者 李亮 赵炼恒 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第8期2365-2372,共8页
In order to study the water flow in the drainage layer of highway under steady-state condition, one-dimensional (1D) Boussinesq equation-based model with Dupuit-Forchheimer assumption was established and the semi-an... In order to study the water flow in the drainage layer of highway under steady-state condition, one-dimensional (1D) Boussinesq equation-based model with Dupuit-Forchheimer assumption was established and the semi-analytical solutions to predict the water-table height were presented. In order to validate the model, a two-dimensional (2D) saturated flow model based on the Laplace equation was applied for the purpose of the model comparison. The water-table elevations predicted by ID Boussinesq equation-based model and 2D Laplace equation-based model match each other well, which indicates that the horizontal flow in drainage layer is dominated. Also, it validates the 1D Boussinesq equation-based model which can be applied to predict the water-table elevation in drainage layer. Further, the analysis was conducted to examine the effect of infiltration rate, hydraulic conductivity and slope of drainage layer on the water-table elevation. The results show that water-table falls down as the ratio of Is to K decreases and the slope increases. If the aquifer becomes confined by the top of drainage layer due to the larger ratio of Is to K or smaller slope, the solution presented in this work can also be applied to approximate the water-table elevation in unconfined sub-section as well as hydraulic head in the confined sub-section. 展开更多
关键词 drainage layer HIGHWAY GROUNDWATER Boussinesq equation seepage face
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