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不同模态下气候变化对智利竹筴鱼补充量的影响 被引量:2
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作者 张畅 李纲 陈新军 《海洋学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第9期48-58,共11页
智利竹筴鱼(Trachurus murphyi)是东南太平洋重要的经济鱼类之一,其资源量受补充量影响明显,了解补充量状况对智利竹筴鱼资源可持续利用和科学管理具有重要意义。本文基于模态分析将1971-2017年间智利竹筴鱼补充量划分不同模态,运用贝... 智利竹筴鱼(Trachurus murphyi)是东南太平洋重要的经济鱼类之一,其资源量受补充量影响明显,了解补充量状况对智利竹筴鱼资源可持续利用和科学管理具有重要意义。本文基于模态分析将1971-2017年间智利竹筴鱼补充量划分不同模态,运用贝叶斯模型平均法,分析海表面温度、海表面盐度、海表面高度、厄尔尼诺和太平洋年代际振荡5个环境因子在不同模态中对补充量的解释能力,并探讨模态变动对补充量预测的影响。结果表明,第1模态(1971-1980年)更多的受捕捞因素的干扰;第2模态(1981-1990年)厄尔尼诺对补充量变动的解释概率最高;第3模态(1991-2001年)解释概率最高的环境因子为太平洋年代际振荡;第4模态(2002-2015年)厄尔尼诺为解释概率最高的环境因子。对比不考虑模态变动的分析结果,两者存在明显差异,基于不同模态的分析结果对智利竹筴鱼补充量变动的解释更为合理。研究认为,智利竹筴鱼补充量变动受到多个环境因子的影响,在不同模态时期起主导作用的环境因子也不同,推测年代际太平洋年代际振荡冷暖期交替与厄尔尼诺现象可能是诱发智利竹筴鱼补充量发生模态转变的重要因素。建议在未来智利竹筴鱼资源评估与管理中,应该考虑不同的模态变化及其影响因子。 展开更多
关键词 智利竹筴鱼 贝叶斯模型平均法 模态变动 补充量 东南太平洋
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Numerical simulation of intelligent compaction for subgrade construction 被引量:9
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作者 MA Yuan LUAN Ying-cheng +1 位作者 ZHANG Wei-guang ZHANG Yu-qing 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第7期2173-2184,共12页
During the compaction of a road subgrade, the mechanical parameters of the soil mass change in real time, but current research assumes that these parameters remain unchanged. In order to address this discrepancy, this... During the compaction of a road subgrade, the mechanical parameters of the soil mass change in real time, but current research assumes that these parameters remain unchanged. In order to address this discrepancy, this paper establishes a relationship between the degree of compaction K and strain ε. The relationship between the compaction degree K and the shear strength of soil(cohesion c and frictional angle φ) was clearly established through indoor experiments. The subroutine UMAT in ABAQUS finite element numerical software was developed to realize an accurate calculation of the subgrade soil compaction quality. This value was compared and analyzed against the assumed compaction value of the model, thereby verifying the accuracy of the intelligent compaction calculation results for subgrade soil. On this basis, orthogonal tests of the influential factors(frequency, amplitude, and quality) for the degree of compaction and sensitivity analysis were carried out. Finally, the ‘acceleration intelligent compaction value’, which is based on the acceleration signal, is proposed for a compaction meter value that indicates poor accuracy. The research results can provide guidance and basis for further research into the accurate control of compaction quality for roadbeds and pavements. 展开更多
关键词 intelligent compaction numerical simulation dynamic change control indicators orthogonal experiment
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