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多模型融合评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性 被引量:34
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作者 施龙青 曲兴玥 +4 位作者 韩进 邱梅 高卫富 秦道霞 刘海松 《煤炭学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2019年第8期2484-2493,共10页
在我国华北型石炭—二叠系煤田中,煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水现象尤为突出。为准确地评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性,防治煤矿水害事故,实现承压水体上煤层安全开采。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,选用含水层厚度、单位涌水量、充水含水层渗... 在我国华北型石炭—二叠系煤田中,煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水现象尤为突出。为准确地评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性,防治煤矿水害事故,实现承压水体上煤层安全开采。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,选用含水层厚度、单位涌水量、充水含水层渗透性、水压、断层影响因子、含水层厚度、含水层岩性组合特征以及底板破坏深度8个指标评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性。采用有序二元比较量化法和区间数模糊决策矩阵EA-TOPSIS排序模型分别确定煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水主控因素权重。在此基础之上,基于冲突证据理论将二者进行耦合,得到煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水主控因素组合权重,保证了对动态模型指标相对重要性的有效评价。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,构建单指标直线型未知测度函数及非直线型未知测度函数,并以新汶煤田煤层开采为例,将30个监测点处实测的8个指标值代入,建立多指标综合测度矩阵。引入“置信度”评价准则判定样本数据 X i 所属的危险性等级。并通过集对分析,进一步表征新汶煤田煤层开采过程中煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水风险总体态势。研究表明,评价结果与矿山实际情况相吻合。在此基础之上,依据搜集的大量华北煤矿突水案例,以其中典型的15个为例,将建立的模型推广到整个华北煤田底板突水危险性的评价。通过与矿井实际突水情况对比可以发现,模型确定的矿井突水危险性等级与实际相吻合,表明该模型对于评价整个华北煤田底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性具有一定的适宜性。 展开更多
关键词 底板灰岩岩溶突水 危险性评价 有序二元比较量化 EA-TOPSIS 冲突证据理论 未知测度评价 集对分析
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Integrating unascertained measurement and information entropy theory to assess blastability of rock mass 被引量:15
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作者 周健 李夕兵 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第7期1953-1960,共8页
Due to the complex features of rock mass blastability assessment systems, an evaluation model of rock mass blastability was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement (UM) theory and the actual charac... Due to the complex features of rock mass blastability assessment systems, an evaluation model of rock mass blastability was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement (UM) theory and the actual characteristics of the project. Considering a comprehensive range of intact rock properties and discontinuous structures of rock mass, twelve main factors influencing the evaluation blastability of rock mass were taken into account in the UM model, and the blastability evaluation index system of rock mass was constructed. The unascertained evaluation indices corresponding to the selected factors for the actual situation were solved both qualitatively and quantitatively. Then, the UM function of each evaluation index was obtained based on the initial data for the analysis of the blastability of six rock mass at a highway improvement cutting site in North Wales. The index weights of the factors were calculated by entropy theory, and credible degree identification (CDI) criteria were established according to the UM theory. The results of rock mass blastability evaluation were obtained by the CDI criteria. The results show that the UM model assessment results agree well with the actual records, and are consistent with those of the fuzzy sets evaluation method. Meanwhile, the unascertained superiority degree of rock mass blastability of samples S1-$6 which can be calculated by scoring criteria are 3.428 5, 3.453 3, 4.058 7, 3.675 9, 3.516 7 and 3.289 7, respectively. Furthermore, the proposed method can take into account large amount of uncertain information in blastability evaluation, which can provide an effective, credible and feasible way for estimating the blastability of rock mass. Engineering practices show that it can complete the blastability assessment systematically and scientifically without any assumption by the proposed model, which can be applied to practical engineering. 展开更多
关键词 rock mass BLASTABILITY unascertained measurement (UM) model information entropy PREDICTION
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Evaluation methods of man-machine-environment system for clean and safe production in phosphorus mines: A case study 被引量:6
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作者 DONG Long-jun ZHOU Ying +2 位作者 DENG Si-jia WANG Mei SUN Dao-yuan 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第12期3856-3870,共15页
Phosphorus is an essential element in agricultural production and chemical industry. However, since the risk of casualties and economic loss by mining accidents, the application of clean and safe production in phospho... Phosphorus is an essential element in agricultural production and chemical industry. However, since the risk of casualties and economic loss by mining accidents, the application of clean and safe production in phosphorus mines encounters great challenges. For this purpose, a man-machine-environment system composed of evaluation indexes was established, and the grading standards of indexes were defined. Firstly, the measurements of 39 qualitative indexes were obtained through the survey data. According to the measured values of 31 quantitative indexes, the measurements of quantitative indexes were calculated by linear measurement function(LM) and other three functions. Then the singleindex measurement evaluation matrixes were established. Secondly, the entropy weight method was used to determine the weights of each index directly. The analytic hierarchy process(AHP) was also applied to calculate the weights of index and index factor hierarchies after the established hierarchical model. The weights of system hierarchies were given by the grid-based fuzzy Borda method(GFB). The comprehensive weights were determined by the combination method of AHP and GFB(CAG). Furthermore, the multi-index comprehensive measurement evaluation vectors were obtained.Thirdly, the vectors were evaluated by the credible degree recognition(CDR) and the maximum membership(TMM)criteria. Based on the above functions, methods, and criteria, 16 combination evaluation methods were recommended.Finally, the clean and safe production grade of Kaiyang phosphate mine in China was evaluated. The results show that the LM-CAG-CDR is the most reasonable method, which can not only determine the clean and safe production grade of phosphorus mines, but also improve the development level of clean and safe mining of phosphorus mines for guidance.In addition, some beneficial suggestions and measures were also proposed to advance the clean and safe production grade of Kaiyang phosphorus mine. 展开更多
关键词 phosphorus mines clean and safe production man-machine-environment system unascertained measurement evaluation grid-based fuzzy borda method analytic hierarchy process
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Optimization model of unascertained measurement for underground mining method selection and its application 被引量:6
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作者 刘爱华 董蕾 董陇军 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第4期744-749,共6页
An optimization model of underground mining method selection was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement theory.Considering the geologic conditions,technology,economy and safety production,ten main f... An optimization model of underground mining method selection was established on the basis of the unascertained measurement theory.Considering the geologic conditions,technology,economy and safety production,ten main factors influencing the selection of mining method were taken into account,and the comprehensive evaluation index system of mining method selection was constructed.The unascertained evaluation indices corresponding to the selected factors for the actual situation were solved both qualitatively and quantitatively.New measurement standards were constructed.Then,the unascertained measurement function of each evaluation index was established.The index weights of the factors were calculated by entropy theory,and credible degree recognition criteria were established according to the unascertained measurement theory.The results of mining method evaluation were obtained using the credible degree criteria,thus the best underground mining method was determined.Furthermore,this model was employed for the comprehensive evaluation and selection of the chosen standard mining methods in Xinli Gold Mine in Sanshandao of China.The results show that the relative superiority degrees of mining methods can be calculated using the unascertained measurement optimization model,so the optimal method can be easily determined.Meanwhile,the proposed method can take into account large amount of uncertain information in mining method selection,which can provide an effective way for selecting the optimal underground mining method. 展开更多
关键词 mining engineering underground mining method optimization model unascertained measurement theory information entropy
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