The probability distributions of wind speeds and the availability of wind turbines were investigated by considering the vertical wind shear. Based on the wind speed data at the standard height observed at a wind farm,...The probability distributions of wind speeds and the availability of wind turbines were investigated by considering the vertical wind shear. Based on the wind speed data at the standard height observed at a wind farm, the power-law process was used to simulate the wind speeds at a hub height of 60 m. The Weibull and Rayleigh distributions were chosen to express the wind speeds at two different heights. The parameters in the model were estimated via the least square(LS) method and the maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) method, respectively. An adjusted MLE approach was also presented for parameter estimation. The main indices of wind energy characteristics were calculated based on observational wind speed data. A case study based on the data of Hexi area, Gansu Province of China was given. The results show that MLE method generally outperforms LS method for parameter estimation, and Weibull distribution is more appropriate to describe the wind speed at the hub height.展开更多
A novel approach for constructing robust Mamdani fuzzy system was proposed, which consisted of an efficiency robust estimator(partial robust M-regression, PRM) in the parameter learning phase of the initial fuzzy syst...A novel approach for constructing robust Mamdani fuzzy system was proposed, which consisted of an efficiency robust estimator(partial robust M-regression, PRM) in the parameter learning phase of the initial fuzzy system, and an improved subtractive clustering algorithm in the fuzzy-rule-selecting phase. The weights obtained in PRM, which gives protection against noise and outliers, were incorporated into the potential measure of the subtractive cluster algorithm to enhance the robustness of the fuzzy rule cluster process, and a compact Mamdani-type fuzzy system was established after the parameters in the consequent parts of rules were re-estimated by partial least squares(PLS). The main characteristics of the new approach were its simplicity and ability to construct fuzzy system fast and robustly. Simulation and experiment results show that the proposed approach can achieve satisfactory results in various kinds of data domains with noise and outliers. Compared with D-SVD and ARRBFN, the proposed approach yields much fewer rules and less RMSE values.展开更多
基金Project(51165019)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(1308RJYA018)supported by Gansu Provincial Natural Science Fund,ChinaProject(2013-4-110)supported by Lanzhou Technology Development Program,China
文摘The probability distributions of wind speeds and the availability of wind turbines were investigated by considering the vertical wind shear. Based on the wind speed data at the standard height observed at a wind farm, the power-law process was used to simulate the wind speeds at a hub height of 60 m. The Weibull and Rayleigh distributions were chosen to express the wind speeds at two different heights. The parameters in the model were estimated via the least square(LS) method and the maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) method, respectively. An adjusted MLE approach was also presented for parameter estimation. The main indices of wind energy characteristics were calculated based on observational wind speed data. A case study based on the data of Hexi area, Gansu Province of China was given. The results show that MLE method generally outperforms LS method for parameter estimation, and Weibull distribution is more appropriate to describe the wind speed at the hub height.
基金Project(61473298)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2015QNA65)supported by Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China
文摘A novel approach for constructing robust Mamdani fuzzy system was proposed, which consisted of an efficiency robust estimator(partial robust M-regression, PRM) in the parameter learning phase of the initial fuzzy system, and an improved subtractive clustering algorithm in the fuzzy-rule-selecting phase. The weights obtained in PRM, which gives protection against noise and outliers, were incorporated into the potential measure of the subtractive cluster algorithm to enhance the robustness of the fuzzy rule cluster process, and a compact Mamdani-type fuzzy system was established after the parameters in the consequent parts of rules were re-estimated by partial least squares(PLS). The main characteristics of the new approach were its simplicity and ability to construct fuzzy system fast and robustly. Simulation and experiment results show that the proposed approach can achieve satisfactory results in various kinds of data domains with noise and outliers. Compared with D-SVD and ARRBFN, the proposed approach yields much fewer rules and less RMSE values.
