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基于粒子群优化最小二乘向量机的地震预测模型 被引量:5
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作者 徐松金 龙文 《西北地震学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2012年第3期220-223,233,共5页
为解决地震预测中最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型的参数难以确定的问题,利用粒子群算法(PSO)的收敛速度快和全局优化能力,优化LSSVM模型的惩罚因子和核函数参数,建立了PSO-LSSVM地震预测模型。通过对地震实例的预测仿真及其相关分析表明该... 为解决地震预测中最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型的参数难以确定的问题,利用粒子群算法(PSO)的收敛速度快和全局优化能力,优化LSSVM模型的惩罚因子和核函数参数,建立了PSO-LSSVM地震预测模型。通过对地震实例的预测仿真及其相关分析表明该方法的有效性。该方法优于传统的神经网络和支持向量机的地震预测方法,可以有效提高预测效能。 展开更多
关键词 粒子群优化算法 最小二乘向量机模型 地震预测 参数
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改进粒子群算法优化的卫星钟差组合预报模型 被引量:5
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作者 刘赞 陈西宏 +2 位作者 孙际哲 刘强 张群 《探测与控制学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第1期94-98,共5页
针对现有单一导航卫星钟差预报模型存在预报精度不高的问题,提出了改进粒子群算法优化的组合预报模型。该模型利用差分自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA)和最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型的特点,首先建立ARIMA模型预报钟差数据的线性部分,并得... 针对现有单一导航卫星钟差预报模型存在预报精度不高的问题,提出了改进粒子群算法优化的组合预报模型。该模型利用差分自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA)和最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型的特点,首先建立ARIMA模型预报钟差数据的线性部分,并得到预报残差;然后,根据残差建立LSSVM模型预报非线性部分,最后的预报结果即两个预报结果之和。同时引入随优化代数变化的惯性权值和加速度因子,来提高粒子群(PSO)算法寻优能力,并用其优化组合预报模型中LSSVM部分的惩罚因子和核函数参数选取过程,以提高模型的预报精度。实例与结果分析表明,组合模型较单一模型在预报精度上有30%~50%的提高,为导航卫星高精度短期钟差预报提供了一种新思路。 展开更多
关键词 卫星钟差 钟差预报 差分自回归移动平均模型 最小二乘向量机模型 改进粒子群
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Fuzzy least squares support vector machine soft measurement model based on adaptive mutative scale chaos immune algorithm 被引量:8
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作者 王涛生 左红艳 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第2期593-599,共7页
In order to enhance measuring precision of the real complex electromechanical system,complex industrial system and complex ecological & management system with characteristics of multi-variable,non-liner,strong cou... In order to enhance measuring precision of the real complex electromechanical system,complex industrial system and complex ecological & management system with characteristics of multi-variable,non-liner,strong coupling and large time-delay,in terms of the fuzzy character of this real complex system,a fuzzy least squares support vector machine(FLS-SVM) soft measurement model was established and its parameters were optimized by using adaptive mutative scale chaos immune algorithm.The simulation results reveal that fuzzy least squares support vector machines soft measurement model is of better approximation accuracy and robustness.And application results show that the relative errors of the soft measurement model are less than 3.34%. 展开更多
关键词 CHAOS immune algorithm FUZZY support vector machine
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Slope displacement prediction based on morphological filtering 被引量:4
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作者 李启月 许杰 +1 位作者 王卫华 范作鹏 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第6期1724-1730,共7页
Combining mathematical morphology (MM),nonparametric and nonlinear model,a novel approach for predicting slope displacement was developed to improve the prediction accuracy.A parallel-composed morphological filter wit... Combining mathematical morphology (MM),nonparametric and nonlinear model,a novel approach for predicting slope displacement was developed to improve the prediction accuracy.A parallel-composed morphological filter with multiple structure elements was designed to process measured displacement time series with adaptive multi-scale decoupling.Whereafter,functional-coefficient auto regressive (FAR) models were established for the random subsequences.Meanwhile,the trend subsequence was processed by least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) algorithm.Finally,extrapolation results obtained were superposed to get the ultimate prediction result.Case study and comparative analysis demonstrate that the presented method can optimize training samples and show a good nonlinear predicting performance with low risk of choosing wrong algorithms.Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the MM-FAR&LSSVM predicting results are as low as 1.670% and 0.172 mm,respectively,which means that the prediction accuracy are improved significantly. 展开更多
关键词 slope displacement prediction parallel-composed morphological filter functional-coefficient auto regressive predictionaccuracy
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Utilizing partial least square and support vector machine for TBM penetration rate prediction in hard rock conditions 被引量:11
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作者 高栗 李夕兵 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第1期290-295,共6页
Rate of penetration(ROP) of a tunnel boring machine(TBM) in a rock environment is generally a key parameter for the successful accomplishment of a tunneling project. The objectives of this work are to compare the accu... Rate of penetration(ROP) of a tunnel boring machine(TBM) in a rock environment is generally a key parameter for the successful accomplishment of a tunneling project. The objectives of this work are to compare the accuracy of prediction models employing partial least squares(PLS) regression and support vector machine(SVM) regression technique for modeling the penetration rate of TBM. To develop the proposed models, the database that is composed of intact rock properties including uniaxial compressive strength(UCS), Brazilian tensile strength(BTS), and peak slope index(PSI), and also rock mass properties including distance between planes of weakness(DPW) and the alpha angle(α) are input as dependent variables and the measured ROP is chosen as an independent variable. Two hundred sets of data are collected from Queens Water Tunnel and Karaj-Tehran water transfer tunnel TBM project. The accuracy of the prediction models is measured by the coefficient of determination(R2) and root mean squares error(RMSE) between predicted and observed yield employing 10-fold cross-validation schemes. The R2 and RMSE of prediction are 0.8183 and 0.1807 for SVMR method, and 0.9999 and 0.0011 for PLS method, respectively. Comparison between the values of statistical parameters reveals the superiority of the PLSR model over SVMR one. 展开更多
关键词 tunnel boring machine(TBM) performance prediction rate of penetration(ROP) support vector machine(SVM) partial least squares(PLS)
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Prediction method for surface finishing of spiral bevel gear tooth based on least square support vector machine
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作者 马宁 徐文骥 +2 位作者 王续跃 魏泽飞 庞桂兵 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第3期685-689,共5页
The predictive model of surface roughness of the spiral bevel gear (SBG) tooth based on the least square support vector machine (LSSVM) was proposed.A nonlinear LSSVM model with radial basis function (RBF) kernel was ... The predictive model of surface roughness of the spiral bevel gear (SBG) tooth based on the least square support vector machine (LSSVM) was proposed.A nonlinear LSSVM model with radial basis function (RBF) kernel was presented and then the experimental setup of PECF system was established.The Taguchi method was introduced to assess the effect of finishing parameters on the gear tooth surface roughness,and the training data was also obtained through experiments.The comparison between the predicted values and the experimental values under the same conditions was carried out.The results show that the predicted values are found to be approximately consistent with the experimental values.The mean absolute percent error (MAPE) is 2.43% for the surface roughness and 2.61% for the applied voltage. 展开更多
关键词 pulse electrochemical finishing (PECF) surface roughness least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) PREDICTION
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